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Everything posted by billsfan89
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There is an element of nepotism and good old boys club. But I think the opportunity and being around the game is a larger factor. Being a coaches kid gives you a lot of opportunity and chances that others may not.
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When you are talking about the Superbowl and the ratings being on the margins then I do think markets could be the difference between 110 million and 105 million viewers. The highest rated Super Bowl was 2013/2014 when Seattle played Denver in New Jersey/NYC Metro area. Now it may sound perplexing that the 13th TV market (Seattle) and 17th TV market (Denver) would produce the highest rating, however the game was a big deal locally in the NYC metro area. It was the first and most likely only Super Bowl played in outdoor cold weather and in NYC metro area. Living in NJ at the time I can tell you that game was a big deal locally, toss in the fact that it was a highly anticipated matchup in football terms and it scored the biggest rating. LA might not be an optimal market for ratings on football but other areas like NYC, Philly, Boston, Chicago and other bigger markets can draw a few million people that might make the difference.
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ESPN way too early power rankings
billsfan89 replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
IF somehow the Bills can retain Mongo, D.Williams, Milano and some of their role players along with the key restricted players (Bojo, Wallace and Ike) and then have an impactful draft class (maybe add a pass rush and a pass catcher and some supplemental depth as this team will lose depth) if all those chips fall then I think this team will be 12+ wins and back into contention. That's a lot to ask for McBeane but let's see where they place the cap and how good they are at managing the cap. -
Everything that could have gone wrong for KC in the run up to this game just did. Big snow storm puts off when KC could get to the game, coaches son gets in a pretty serious DWI accident and in the second half of the AFCCG your start LT goes down and creates even bigger O-line issues. As good as Tampa was KC just did not get handed the best hand.
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The state of the Bills is strong, young franchise QB in place with two years remaining on a rookie deal (including the 5th year option), a very good head coach with his full staff intact, a lot of talent around the young QB on offense and a solid defense and really good special teams unit. The team also played 3 playoff games winning two of them. That's a big boost to all the players on the team who now know what they have to do to win. The state isn't perfect as the Bills for once are having to retain a lot of talent and are going to be up against the cap and depending on where that cap is set the Bills will have to let some key players walk. For once the Bills are in a legit place to contend and hopefully Watson isn't traded within the division (would love to see him go to the NFC or to the Raiders where he and Mahomes can meet up twice a year.)
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I stand corrected, I still think they could be fine signing a cheap vet to a near minimum deal and drafting a mid-round pick to complement White/Wallace/Johnson/Jackson.
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You are correct in that the ground game needs to be a component of the offense but I think people expecting a massive shift in the ground games production will be disappointed. I think if this team can retain the same O-line (Dawkins-Ike/Ford-Mitch-Mongo-D.Williams) they will have enough talent to make a push in the ground attack. Moss and Singletary while not elite backs are quality young backs that I think can be productive running behind this O-line. The issue to me is more so of design and not talent. Daboll needs to have a running play set that can set that ground attack when it is needed.
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Joe B article speculates John Brown will be cut
billsfan89 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It all depends where the cap sits. If the cap is under 185 million which many think it will be I think Brown is a cap casualty unless he takes a massive pay cut to get his cap number below 5 million. If the cap is over 195 million and the Bills actually have some room to work with then I think Brown can stay esp if he takes a small pay cut to lower his cap number to around 7ish million. -
Would the Bills have beaten the Bucs?
billsfan89 replied to QB Bills's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It would have been a closer game but I am too sure if the Bills would have won. I think Brady would have eaten this defenses lunch. Which means Josh would have had to put up 30ish to win and against a good defense that might have been hard. Overall though the Fisher injury sealed KC's fate and that's unfortunate because I think the game would have been much more competitive had they at least had Fisher. -
Bring back Wallace on an affordable deal and draft a CB in round 5. I like Tre/Wallace/Johnson as the starting 3 and then you have Jackson, Gaines and another mid-round pick for depth. So many other areas of concern that I would rather not spend limited resources at a position where the team is fairly solid at.
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Priority #1: Large, angry men for the OL and DL
billsfan89 replied to TheFunPolice's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If the cap crunches to around 180ish a year (slightly higher than the 175 million floor but still putting the Bills right up against the cap the Bills might have to let Mongo and Milano walk. With cutting John Brown, Vernon Butler, Lee Smith and Quinton Jefferson and restructuring Mitch, Hughes and Addision you probably put yourself around 33 million in cap space. Enough to resign D.Williams but not much else. Hopefully the NFL comes to its senses and get the cap closer to 195 million. Just have the players keep 15% of their checks in escrow and take back whatever you need to make up for the shortfalls at the end of the season. It's what the NBA did to keep their cap the same. -
Turning Point in the Game
billsfan89 replied to st pete gogolak's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Honestly the turning point in the game was when Eric Fisher got hurt in the AFCCG. Outside of Mahomes Fisher might be the most important player on KC's offense. Fisher would have been or at least had a good chance to block Shaq Barrett one on one which would have helped ease the pressure massively on Mahomes and given him a shot to put up points. Mahomes is a dynamic generational QB but you can only do so much when the defense is getting pressure with the front 4 almost every snap. -
I don't understand this move at all for the Rams. I think Stafford is a better QB than Goff but Goff isn't a bad QB at all and Stafford isn't dramatically better. I also keep hearing the argument that the second first round pick is compensation for taking back Goff's contract. But that makes little sense since over the course of the next two seasons the Rams see little cap relief. They are taking on 20 million in dead money from this trade and combining that with adding Stafford's 20+ million dollar cap number. So the Rams lose 7 million in cap space in 2021 and only gain 14 million in cap space in 2022. The only net gain of cap space over two years is 7 million. It seems like an awful lot of draft capital to give up for at best a moderate upgrade to the QB position. For the Lions they made the right move, those draft picks will help them secure a proper rebuild and they do right to try and get a new longer term solution at QB while Goff is a solid placeholder.
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I wouldn't hate Clowney on a one year mid level or lower deal. But I would prefer to try and trade for a more impactful player. But the options might be slim and Clowney on a affordable deal could make sense.
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The Great Tremaine Edmunds Debate
billsfan89 replied to JohnNord's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Bills rushing defense did slump in the middle of 2019 but both Star and Edumonds picked up their play. I think if Star plays like his latter half of 2019 form and Edumonds progresses a bit more I think the run defense will be strong enough. -
Physical tools Josh is equally as talented as Mahomes. Josh has just as strong if not stronger of an arm and both players can run. Mahomes however has a mental edge over Josh. Mahomes knows how to perfectly counter any type of defense that is thrown at him. Josh has come a long way mentally but he still has some defenses he needs to work against better. Hopefully he works on attacking zones and blitzes in the offseason. Because Josh can put it together like Mahomes.
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The Great Tremaine Edmunds Debate
billsfan89 replied to JohnNord's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Edumonds is a solid player. When he gets good DT play in front of him he can be really impactful. But he still has flaws and I worry about his man to man coverage ability. Hoping with Star in front of him in 2021 and him having yet another year under his belt he can take a step up. He has all the physical tools to be an elite player. But he needs to improve his instincts and coverage ability.
