billsfan89

As bad as the defense was I blame the scheme and the KC offense just being too good. The offense needed to show up in this game. It quite frankly didn't. KC's secondary showed up and won the one on one matchups against the receiving core which allowed them to blitz and pressure Josh who had no time to throw to covered receivers. To beat KC you have to put up 30 when it counts. The Bills put up 15 when it counted. That's not good enough to beat most teams let alone the defending champs.

The key ones in my opinion are Milano, Ty, Mongo, Roberts, D.Williams, McKenzie and Levi Wallace. That's 4 starters and 3 impactful role players or depth players (Roberts, Ty and Mac). The odds of keeping all 7 are low even if the cap is set at 195 million or above. The Bills likely are going to be able to have a budget to retain some of these players but likely not all. If you can only retain 3 of the starters and 1-2 of the role players I would keep D.Williams above and beyond anyone else and then keep Mongo and hopefully either Milano or Wallace. I would let Milano or Wallace walk if their demands don't line up. As far as Ty, Roberts and Mac I would make a good effort to resign all three but I feel like any of them wanting more than they are worth you have to let them walk and look for cheaper options. Ideally I would love to see the cap set at 205 million and the Bills resign their players to the following deals. Daryl Williams - 3 years 30 million Mongo 3 years 15.5 million (similar structure to Spain) Milano 3 years 24 million Levi Wallace - 2 years 12 million Ty- 1 year 3.5 million Roberts - 1 year 3.4 million Mac - 1 year 2.3 million That would add up to 38.5 million which with a cap at 205 million would put the Bills in the need to cut about 30 million via other cuts and restructurings to fit the rookie pool and emergency money in. Butler is an easy cut that saves about 7 million and Q.Jefferson is either an easy cut that saves 7 million or a restructure that could save 3-4 million (I would more like to see him restructured.) Lee Smith is another cut that saves 2.25 million and then you have John Brown who saves another 8 million on the table or is a restructure candidate to save 2-3 million. You also have big contracts from Mitch, Addision and Hughes that are deals that you can restructure. It will be interesting to see just if the Bills can make the cuts to Smith and Butler (saving about 9.5 million on the cap) and then make the needed restructurings to Brown, Jefferson, Mitch, Addison, and Hughes to make the cap work. More than likely they are going to have to make a cut that will hurt or let a key player or two walk.

This is critical and hopefully three more playoff games worth of experience will get this team the ability to make that adjustment.

I don't think McD coaches scared (if you can call it that) against KC because of Andy Reid or a little brother mentality. I think he coaches conservative because Hill, Mahomes and Kelce are a deadly combination and the offense is dynamic enough to win a shootout. Those are three dynamic players and the Bills offense should be able to put up points. Hoping to not let up big plays and stiffen in the redzone is the strategy of someone who knows their opponent and has faith in their offense. It didn't work obviously and they should have adjusted at the half at the very least. Hopefully after two cracks at KC this year they find a strategy that works and KC maybe starts to lose some pieces.

Also Spotracs numbers are for the rock bottom 175 million cap. The cap is more than likely going to be set higher to avoid a "cap crunch" of they will do what the NBA did and leave the cap alone but have the players put 20-30% of their pay into escrow where then at the end of the season the league and the players will divvy up that money depending on the final revenue numbers. So I think the Bills are more than likely going to enter into an offseason where the cap is between 195-205 million which will mean that the Bills will likely enter free agency with between 22-32 million in cap space before any cuts or restructuring.

RB is fine, I like Moss and Singletary. Neither are elite backs but I think Moss can be an above average back and Singletary is solid. Considering that this team is going to have a lot of other pieces needed I doubt that the front office is going to invest heavily at RB when you have two young guys with 2-3 years left on their rookie deals there. Maybe they spend a 5th or a 6th to add a speed back to add a little more speed to the offense and depth. TE and DE are two possible spots identified for an upgrade. I like Knox but maybe this team does need that elite TE to compete when they face stronger secondaries like KC. A big time TE will allow Josh to eat teams up underneath when Diggs and the WR's are getting covered? But those don't come cheap and they aren't easy to find. Who could possibly be out there via trade? I don't think Kelce, Kittle or Waller are going to be available by trade and finding one in the draft?

When they brought down the safeties Hill burnt them. Going against Mahomes, Hill and Kelce is a tough task. The coaches in two attempts didn't come up with a good gameplan. I would have attempted what Romo suggested at half down. Go with 3 down players and use Milano to jam Kelce at the line and keep the coverage sustained. But even then that would have only given Mahomes more time to throw and Hill can still pick you apart underneath. The defense wasn't playing scared they just had no real recourse for a KC team that was playing well.

Division Title, 13 wins, two seed in the AFC, two playoff wins, and getting a within a game of the Super Bowl oh and this team has a legit franchise QB who happens to be still on his rookie deal and has the perfect personality for the fanbase. I will take that season. Going into the season I pegged this team as winning 12 games, winning the division by 2 or more games and winning a playoff game. Even with those lofty expectations this team surpassed them. They got 2 playoff wins in an insanely tough conference and have a runner up MVP at QB who has 2 years left on his rookie deal. The Bills will be highly competitive the next few years a loss hurts as you never know when things will come back again but in McBeane we trust. This season was truly amazing. I thought 2019 was great but this season really surpassed my expectations. In the darkest days of the drought in 2010 (When they hired Chan and went something like 3-13) I thought of simply making the playoffs as a wildcard as being nearly impossible. I never considered giving up on the Bills but I just resigned myself to them not being good ever. So to go from complete hopelessness and dreaming of a simple playoff appearance as the promise to now actually being within one game of the Super Bowl after making the playoffs 3 out of 4 seasons is truly wild. Hopefully McBeane can sustain success long term and get Josh and the defense the pieces needed to get over the hump. Cheers to a wonderful season!

The Bills lost in the conference finals against the defending champs who field a stacked team with a generational QB in his prime still on the tail end of his rookie deal. This is a massive disappointment as you never know in football when you will get another crack at things. However this isn't the end of the world. The Bills were not a Cinderella story. They were not a team that got hot at the right time and just hit the right matchups. This team isn't the Titans last year where "this was our shot." This Bills team is loaded for another run in 2021, however it is on the front office to keep the key pieces together and get those last key pieces needed to surpass the elite team and it is on the coaches to find a way to play against KC. KC is going to be the standard and the elephant in the room for a long time so you have to find a strategy that works against them. You will get another shot in the regular season and hopefully the post season next year.

Indy is in a tough spot, Stafford puts them right back into the 10+ win range but he won't get them past the divisional round either. But do the Colts want to waste a high quality roster on a young unproven QB? It is a tough spot to be in.

Jets should go all in give them pick 2, both Seattle firsts and the Jets 2022 pick along with whatever else you need to get the trade done. I hope that neither the Jets nor Fins get him but it would be the optimal move for either franchise.

The Colts might be a good fit, not sure where else he could go that would make sense for both parties. I think Campbell is selling the ownership on a 3 year full rebuild.

He was a Giant then a Cowboy and Lion. Mostly a blocking tight end for most of his career.

The sometimes lacking 3rd and long defense in my opinion is a direct result of not having an elite pass rusher on the D-line. When you watch a team that has that elite pass rusher I feel as though on third and long situations is where they dial up the pass rush and put pressure or absorb a double/triple team that allows someone else to blitz or beat a one on one situation.

Unless the weather is horrid it actually doesn't. Against Mahomes and KC you need to put up points. If you don't score 30 you aren't going to win.

The Bills had to make it to the AFCCG in order for the season to be a success after Josh had established himself and the 13 win season. You lose against Indy and now you have a real problem with "choking" and even if you lost to the Raven's you have an issue of is Josh "elite" in the playoffs? Now that this team has 2 playoff wins they have the swag and know they can get there. If they lose an away game to the best QB going who has a very good supporting cast that's fine it happens. I feel the confidence of the team and hope Josh can show up!

He will known as the Herbert Hoover of the pandemic along with a man who was such a sore loser he nearly overthrew the government.

The Bills basically got Tre and Edumonds for Mahomes along with ancillary draft capital. Both guys (although Edumonds a bit less so) are foundational pieces to the defense. Now even two All-Pro (and Edumonds isn't all Pro yet) defenders wouldn't be worth a Mahomes. But the Bills made the right call the year after and on the QB so now you have the QB and the defensive pieces.

If Josh wins a Super Bowl with the Bills regardless of how Mahomes career pans out then the Bills will not be looked at as a historic blunder. The Houston Rockets aren't looked at as having made a huge mistake drafting Hakeem over Jordan as they got two titles out of it.

It would take wayyyyy more than that. It would easily cost the Colts their first three picks in 2021 and their 2nd and 1st round picks in 2022 and 2023 among other considerations.

I anticipate LB and CB possibly being immediate needs as I think this team will prioritize Mongo and D.Williams as this team needs to orient its cap resources around Josh. I also look at longer term needs and short term depth needs at DE and at safety. I think a lot of fans think TE is a big need but I don't see the team moving away from Knox. I think a trade down just a few spots to recoup a 4th is the best move unless fantastic value presents its self at pick 32. I think at picks 33-39 you can get a similar caliber prospect and you then can address other needs by having an extra pick. And considering how good this regime has been at drafting having more picks to replace guys who just left or could age out soon is a good idea. If I had to guess I would say that if they resign Levi, Mongo, Roberts, and D.Williams but let Milano walk the first two picks will be at DE and LB while the third round pick will be in the secondary. An RB who can bring some speed to the team might get picked but that is a 5th round or later type pick.

Ike has defiantly been an unsung hero. I thought Ford would hold down the LG spot once Spain went awol. And while I think Ford would have he got hurt and Ike came in and has been very effective. They need to do everything they can to keep this O-line together. Even if that means having to let Milano and Levi possibly walk.

Context matters and obviously player availability matters. Budda Baker was taken at pick 36 in 2017 and is also a two time All Pro in the secondary. Most NFL scouts have said in interviews that early second round picks are fairly close talent wise to late first round picks. My point was that philosophy the Bills who don't have a 4th round pick due to the Diggs trade could get that 4th round pick back plus another late round pick and still get a impact starter. Also to claim I am not for using a pick in the first four rounds on an RB. I feel that this team is likely going to need to replace Milano and get younger at DE and in the secondary. If you can trade down a few spots from pick 32ish you can still get an LB or DE that you need and get an extra selection or two to help you get depth and help the roster long term.

We will see just how "elite" Josh is on Sunday. Josh played well but clenched up late in the Colts game, he played fairly average against the Ravens but the Ravens were an elite defense and the weather/gameplan was horrid. Hopefully Josh with 2 playoff wins under his belt feels the confidence to let it rip against the Chiefs solid but not elite defense.

Right now I am going to assume that between Mongo, D.Williams, Levi Wallace and Milano they are going to lose one of those players if not two. I think Mongo and D.Williams are brought back as this is Josh's team and they need his guys. I think Milano might be the odd guy out which means I could see LB being the pick in round 1 and the secondary being picked in round 2 and 3. Not really passing up on an impact starter. If you trade down from 32 to 35-40 you are still picking early in the second round. Early in the second round your talent level is not that much different than the last pick of the first round. The only thing you are passing up is the 5th year option on a player. I also disagree that it would be difficult for a early 4th round pick to make the roster. There will be some players that leave via free agency and you will need to replace them with draft picks.