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billsfan89

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Everything posted by billsfan89

  1. The methodology of these estimates may not be full proof but it is a nice way to have some sort of understanding of sacks throughout NFL history
  2. Especially if the Packers are missing Rodgers (which I honestly doubt, I think they resolve the Rodgers situation by telling him they will trade him after this season) the Bucs path to a return to the Super Bowl is rather easy. Even if I am assuming the Packers have no issues with Rodgers the NFC is still pretty top heavy. The Rams are a dam good team but super thin, depth is something that can wear a team down. The Seahawks and 49ers should prove to be tough teams but both are significantly flawed. The Seahawks have a mediocre defense and possible Oline issues. The 49ers QB situation and skill players could possibly limit them. The Cardinals are solid but not sure if their Oline and defense will be good enough. The NFC East is going to be mediocre and so will the rest of the NFC South. The West also will beat up on each other which hurts them and the Packers are the only better than average team in the North. The Bucs are in a good position to say the least.
  3. When John Brown was hurt this team was able to be highly productive passing the ball. I do wonder how much speed is left in Sander game at age 34? Sanders at age 32 in 2019 was averaging about 13.1 yards per reception bouncing between two passing attacks in the bad Broncos and the so so 49ers. But then in NOLA in 2020 he only average 11.9 per reception a respectable total but not a guy taking a top off the defense. But the Saints had a shot 41 year old QB with zero arm strength. If Sanders can get 70ish receptions at 13 yards per reception that will be a very good season (900+ yards) and add some bigger play ability. He isn't going to be that 14.7 yards per reception monster John Brown was in 2019 but if he can be a respectable zone breaker he will really help out the offense.
  4. Allen needs to polish up the finer points but if he is as productive as he was last season (particularly in the regular season and the first playoff game) the team will be fine. It is offensive staff and the RB's who need to get the situational ground game going.
  5. If they find a capable replacement either cheaper in free agency or they sink a high draft choice into the position they will be fine without Eduomnds long term. For now Edumonds is here and he is a positive part of the defense. I do feel like LB play is a critical part of the defense (and in coverage becoming a bigger part of modern NFL defenses) and I do like what Edumonds brings to the defense but he might not be destined for the team longer term.
  6. These are the harder choices that the Bills will have to make sooner rather than later. They were fortunate to be able to lock up White, Dawkins, Mongo, D.Williams and Milano all to pretty reasonable deals. And while I do think that Edumonds is a valuable part of this defense I see him as being the odd man out if he commands an insane contract.
  7. The Bills rebuild hasn’t been perfect but it has been tremendous. It starts with ownership who got the right coach and GM combo and gave them the control and resources needed to execute their vision for a proper rebuild. They overachieved vastly in Year one but still stuck to a rebuild and got out of bad cap issues and landed the QB they staked the teams future around. After a step back record wise in 2018 they spent two years properly rebuilding an offense around a young Qb and maintaining the defense. Now in 2021 they are not only in position for success short but also long term.
  8. I don't see it happening unless it is a minimum guaranteed deal. I think the Bills would love to bring him into camp and kick the tires but I don't see them giving him any significant money or guarantees. The Bills don't really need another three tech they have two quality options in Oliver and Butler at the three so bringing in Short is only going to log jam the position which also has Star and Harry as one techs and Zimmer tossed in there. But McBeane always loves adding competition so I can't say it is an impossibility either.
  9. Forgot the Steelers lost Dupree, but the Steelers have some grave issues on their Oline that even if this signing works out will still be a big problem.
  10. A good signing for the Steelers but doesn't actually address their critical issues. Mainly their O-line is terrible and Big Ben is declining. This signing is a good low risk play for their defense but the defense already has Watt and Bud Dupree as primary pass rushers so while Ingram can be a good addition but it doesn't move the needle towards their primary needs.
  11. Hopefully he can come back, the Rams suffer a loss but I think they will be Ok as Brown is a solid back. Injuries are the worst part of football
  12. The keys to this season in my mind are as followed. 1- Health (really the key to any season) 2- Will the pass rush be better against elite competition? 3- Will Star make enough impact in the run defense? 4- Will the WR's around Diggs be enough of a complement? 5- Will the run game be turned around and more of a component to the offense when needed? The first one is pretty simple, you have to stay healthy and that's a wildcard in any sport. The second one is the team's big Achilles heel in my opinion. The pass rush was upper mid-level last year. Good against average and poor pass blocking offensive lines but struggled at times against other units. The team had limited resources but invested their resources they had were heavily invested into improving the pass rush via the draft. Will Gregory and Boogie along with the free agency addition of Efe Obada are a solid blend of reinforcements behind AJ, Jerry and Addison. But what will the impact be of those three along with how much can AJ improve in year two? If this team can develop a bigger pass rush it will go a long way towards winning those deeper playoff games. The next biggest concern is the impact Star will have. The defense really lacked a true one tech last season. Will Star returning from opt out simply be enough to plug that hole? Will this team address the lack of a true one tech if Star is hurt or lackluster? I would then say on offense the next biggest concerns will be if the complementary weapons around Diggs be enough? Will Gabe Davis take a step up, can Cole maintain his production level and will E.Sanders be able to provide significant production? I feel overall confident in the group but if Cole and Sanders get old quick and Davis isn't ready for prime time it could be an issue. Finally the other issue on the offensive side is can the ground game turn around? The ground game doesn't need to be a vast component in the offense but when needed can it be counted on?
  13. The Bills have young talent (QB aside) but they aren't exactly a young team either. There are some avenues on this team where the team doesn't feature a lot of young talent but I would say overall if you are forecasting the next 3 seasons (which is about as far out as you can forecast) the Bills are set up for success about as good as any team in the league.
  14. Third round picks are always the most tricky to sign due to the guarantees and bonuses having the most ambiguity in the slotting process.
  15. I wonder if the teams below 50 have coaches who are anti vaccine themselves thus not really pushing that hard? It is such a shocking difference.
  16. I find it a bigger problem that only 8% of High School Seniors can identify slavery as the central cause to the Civil War. I can't really get too worked up about random esoteric examples of over correcting and being a little too woke when the much wider spread issue is the lack of properly educating K-12 students about the history and current impact of race in America.
  17. It isn't burying your head in the sand to genuinely ask how widespread these examples are. Is this a big enough problem to justify such widespread panic? Even in that first video you linked it doesn't show anyone actually teaching CRT it is just a parent complaining about it without citing what specifically is being taught to his kids that he specifically objects to. Are there likely cases of bad teaching of race in America at the K-12 level? Yes, and I would encourage every single parent to make sure their kids curriculum makes sense. But is this related to an esoteric legal study of CRT? Probably not. In fact I would say that while there may be some school districts over correcting for not teaching enough about the history of race and the current role of race in America that the more widespread issue is the lack of teaching proper history about race in many American schools. I would say that it is a bigger issue that only 8% of high school seniors can identify slavery as the central cause of the Civil War than random sparse examples of so called "CRT." https://www.usnews.com/news/education-news/articles/2018-02-01/students-dont-know-slavery-was-a-central-cause-of-the-civil-war-report-shows
  18. Can you please link me to some of these videos?
  19. Josh Norman looked completely shot in 2019 and looked like a respectable corner in 2020. I think Sherman had he not ***** up this way would have had a shot to rebound and turn in a respectable season.
  20. There is one book that states that CRT has bled into other disciplines, I am not really convinced of that argument based on the video I would at least need to see more evidence that it is a much wider discipline by nature. It still seems to me like CRT is an esoteric legal discipline. As far as the general "anti-woke" attitude I will agree that in some rather highly specific cases people are simply being too sensitive but a lot of times I feel like legitimate racial issues of inequality will be ignored in favor of just writing it off as "woke". As though this country doesn't have a big unaddressed racial scar and current inequities to worry about both from a class and race stand point. Yet all some conservatives will point to is that you can't make gay jokes anymore. They aren't teaching CRT at any K-12 school. All the freaking out about CRT is over a small set of schools actually teaching about race relations history in the US honestly. That's not CRT that's just a good and healthy teaching of history.
  21. So there hasn’t been instances of oppression based off of race? I find CRT is just becoming a catch all for wokeness and not an actual discussion of the theory as a study of law and how laws were made.
  22. He was a high caliber player in 2019, I think some team was going to kick the tires on him. If Josh Norman coming off of a disaster of a season in 2019 got a contract in 2020 I would have found it hard to not see Sherman getting a one year deal.
  23. What part of CRT says you should kill people?
  24. From my reading about the topic it is an academic discipline taught in law schools so I am not sure what website and content you are referring to as I am not aware of it being nearly as centralized as you are making it seem. Genuinely asking if you have taken a course on this or have some direct information? It seems like a rather esoteric boogyman to scare white people into thinking their schools are going to tell their white children they are racist. When in reality schools aren't teaching a law school discipline at a K-12 level other than maybe in an AP Law class in a very small amount of schools as part of a wider analysis.
  25. I think he is done for his career unless he gets fully cleared. Unlike other players who have come back from this Sherman is older and on the decline. Team's were going to take him on as even if he isn't what he once was he still had some value but now I just don't see teams wanting all this drama for a guy who maybe had one or two more years left as a serviceable number 2 corner left.
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