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  2. Thanks for the compliment. šŸ» I understand that it’s an odd take. I’m usually on the most optimistic side. .01% is based on us currently having about a 9% chance of winning the SB. I think we’ll will šŸ’Æ make the playoffs (if we have Kincaid), but more like 90-95% if we didn’t play again in the regular season. My reasoning for these thoughts: I believe that there will be one (of the 4 dcs we play in the playoffs) that will go all out to stop to the run and bring the proper game plan to do it. Which leaves it to the pass game, defense and STs to win the game.. -Of the 3, I have the most confidence in our defense getting the job done (which is scary based on past playoff performances)….IF we have some horses. That said, my pessimism regarding injury is at an all time high and I expect the usual suspects on D to miss time in the playoffs. - Josh just doesn’t seem to have any rhythm in the pass game this season. Just my opinion here, but I think he’s been bailing on the pocket prematurely (at a much higher rate than in the past), not because our OL is getting worked over, but because he’s knows he needs to create angles in the passing game to help his WRs create separation. IMaaaaybe Palmer will be able to be that guy; but based on his usage (and injury which doesn’t seem to be getting any better), I find it doubtful. Josh and Keon just aren’t a good match imo. For as great as Josh is, I have little confidence in him throwing accurate jump balls, back shoulder, high ball placement passes, if he does make a nice one, I don’t have much confidence in Keon bringing it down. I have more confidence in Gabe and Cooks…which is pathetic. Knox looks like a robot in the pass game. I can barely tell the difference between he and Hawes based on their movement. That leaves us with screens to Shakir (and I don’t think that’s sustainable for a 4 game playoff push) and RBs (who I do believe in, but I think they will be the focus of the opposing defense). I don’t think that’s enough to win when teams take away our run game (which is essentially a numbers game). - I don’t have any confidence in our STs winning a game for us in the playoffs. Kincaid is the key to our pass game success and without him, winning 4 games in a row vs playoff teams on the road is beyond just very unlikely. We’ll need a miracle. I feel miracles have a much lower than a 1% chance of coming to fruition, so .01% sounded good. Lots of luck (which is rarely on our side), great coaching and game planning is our only hope without him imo. hopefully we won’t find out if I’m wrong as Kincaid will miraculously be healthy the rest of the way. i appreciate your take @No_Matter_What and I see why you feel that way. We have Josh Allen and anything is possible with him. I just need to see more from our WRs to regain that type of confidence.
  3. He has one cheap year and then the 5th year option for the team that trades for him. So two cost controlled years. Id ask for a 2, but realistically would take a 3rd. We could also use him on draft day for a trade up. Anything less and I would keep him and hope he figures out a way to stay healthy.. and yes, pick up the option, because if he can, that’s cheap. If he can’t, oh well, we’ve wasted cap on dumber things.
  4. It's funny that you came up with this post because I have been thinking along the same lines about resigning him . IMHO he is a china doll, a very good player when he is healthy but that is the problem to this point in his career he has missed I believe I have read 1/3 of the games that have been played since he has been here and this coaching staff and many others say the best ability is availability . No matter how good you are if your not available to play your talents are a loss ! If Bruce wasn't on the field he would never have been the HOF Bruce that we know & it's the same with most any of the other players of the HOF Dan that the Bills have had in the past . I was thinking they may use him to trade for 1 of 2 things either a better draft selection to move up and get a player that would have a better future from the draft or use to trade him for a player that has already made some waves and is on the rise that would better fit the Bills in what ever position that might be . But if they did that the haters would be out in full force waving the fire Beane flags you can bet . But although a talented player he didn't bulk up much with a full off season and he just can't stay healthy then when he is on the field it seems that they focus more on using him and not using the likes of Knox or now Hawes which showed last week that if implemented in the scheme more the too are weapons . Since Kincaid was drafted Knox which got paid because he showed his worth both as a blocker and a pass catcher that Josh could depend on gets pushed to the side and under utilized and the balance that could be isn't there if both players were used to their strengths in the pass game instead of focusing much more on 1 than the other . And that isn't realized until Kincaid is hurt .
  5. Like Kincaid, wanted the Bills to draft him. Shows potential. But he gets hurt too often & is too underused to get big money IMO. We pay too many guys who underperform. Let's see how the season plays out.
  6. They also cheated a lot by having guys fall down acting injured slowing down the Bills uptempo and two plays later guy is back in making plays.
  7. Every QB, even Allen & Mahomes have weaknesses. At some point, someone will find out what Maye’s are outside of taking a bunch of inconsequential 2 yard sacks. McDaniels is killing it for him. Their WR room is average, yet dudes are running wide open all over the place. That doesn’t mean he’s Stroud or Daniels and falls off the map next year. I think he’s potentially going to be Top 5 unfortunately… but he has weaknesses, he’s not perfect, yet - at least against this schedule in the regular season - he’s not shown any cracks.
  8. Doesn't have to be cheap, Knox will be gone next year, just switch the money
  9. Not reliable enough to keep him. Get Hawes more involved in passing game and use Anderson or another blocking TE . Not reliable enough to keep him. Get Hawes more involved in passing game and use Anderson or another blocking TE . Not reliable enough to keep him. Get Hawes more involved in passing game and use Anderson or another blocking TE . Not reliable enough to keep him. Get Hawes more involved in passing game and use Anderson or another blocking TE .
  10. As a Wyoming alumni becoming a Bills fan because of Josh, this awesome. It has been a true joy watching him grow over the last ten years.
  11. I was having a brain fart. For some reason I had this year as his 4th. Nothing to see here...carry on...
  12. If I’m an NFL team, I’d be pretty open to moving a haul to go get Mendoza at 1. He’s more mobile than I thought. Can take a hit. Throws a nice ball. And while he’s getting mocked by the ā€œtoo coolā€ crowd for his postgame, if I’m a HC/GM, I know that dude is going to be a great face of my organization and I don’t have to worry about him in terms of leadership or off the field stuff.
  13. He's missed games, played hurt and yet still is tied for the lead in receiving TDs, 2nd in receiving yards and third in receptions. His success rate and catch percentage is very high, seems like a no brainer. Hopefully he can get healthy and stay that way, if that happens, expect a long term deal to follow. The Bills have a lot of receiver problems, this isn't at the top of the list
  14. Yo... Dope. Clearly you don't realize I am trashing UNC because I like Duke
  15. the Bills social media team would be working overtime to keep that one family-friendly
  16. 8m is a reasonable salary for a young TE that has flashed and still has lots of upside. If we can extend him a few more years at or just below that rate it's a win. If he was our 4th or 5th option pass catcher that may be something different, but we're not in the position to be letting talented young guys with upside walk, just because they have not lived up to their draft position.
  17. 100% Beane picks up the option. I think he should, 8-9 mil for a year isn’t bad. Give him 2 years to see if he can change the narrative. He wasn’t injury prone at Utah, and Josh really did him dirty with that horrific pass when Kincaid was wide open that blew up his right knee. That was a career altering for Kincaid. The guy has elite skills when he can stay healthy (not saying he’s an elite player). If he can get himself off the All Glass team, maybe he reaches his potential.
  18. This is always our cheat code when we need it. Not only are JA runs effective in and of themself, but it also opens up the passing game by drawing eyes to the threat of Josh Allen running. I don’t see us as in must win mode today though. 3-2 over these last 5 gets us in, and depending how things play out, 2-3 could. If there’s any game to circle as a game guys should gut it out to get a W, it’s next week to stop NE from clinching against us. It’s gonna happen, but don’t let it happen vs us.
  19. During the brief blip that was Hoecht's season, Buffalo changed the look up a ton. And they changed it in ways I hadn't seen while he was out on suspension and haven't seen since. That 2 DE, no DT look they ran worked very well. Unfortunately, I haven't seen them run it since Hoecht went down. I'd like for them to try and bring it back as they do have guys I think could do ok there in AJE and Dorian Williams. Maybe Morgan Fox can do it. Who knows. Point being, I think they have a good chunk of their defensive playbook mothballed. This would be a good time to dial it up and cause some confusion.
  20. According to the Bills recent schedule, they are supposed to lose this week but win next week. lol
  21. True but you have to look at where & what those coaches have went through to be the coaches that they now are at some point they had to get the opportunity to show the skills that they had learned while in lets say their understudy roles and if they didn't they may have never made it to where they are . Practical hands on experience is the best teacher and there is NO WAY book learning will ever trump that .
  22. Burrow barely completed half his passes last week. Bengals have the worst running and passing defenses in the league. It won't matter if Glass Toe Joe gets his 1 or 2 TDs. If Brady can't scheme for this joke of a Defense then he needs to be fired postgame.
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