Guess Who Has the #1 Pass Defense in the NFL?

[st pete gogolak]

Crazy, right?  Not sure it passes the eye test.  Guess we’ll find out on Sunday.

[Blackbeard]

Maybe because most teams try to run on us?

[Virgil]

Just now, Blackbeard said:

Maybe because most teams try to run on us?

 

This

[stlbills13]

Sunday will indeed be a big test

[SCBills]

It’s obviously skewed, but we do actually cover well on the back end with our revamped secondary. 
 

We’ll know for sure whether it’s for real, a mirage or something in between on Sunday around 4 pm. 
 

Edited 43 minutes ago by SCBills

[dorquemada]

would you say that we've quietly gotten better?

[dave mcbride]

16 minutes ago, st pete gogolak said:

Crazy, right?  Not sure it passes the eye test.  Guess we’ll find out on Sunday.

The Bills are 6th in team defense in the passing game: https://www.nfl.com/stats/team-stats/defense/passing/2025/reg/all. Sort by passer rating. Passer rating differential is the most predictive of all NFL stats in determining winning and losing. 

 

Here is the top 10: 

 

The Bills team passer rating on offense is 99.5, and the +18.6 differential is reflected in their 8-4 record.

Edited 37 minutes ago by dave mcbride

[TheyCallMeAndy]

16 minutes ago, st pete gogolak said:

Crazy, right?  Not sure it passes the eye test.  Guess we’ll find out on Sunday.

Guess what defense has been thrown on the least amount in the NFL?

Edited 38 minutes ago by TheyCallMeAndy

[DapperCam]

I’m not sure if it’s a real stat, but I’d be interested in something like success rate per pass attempt or something like that. Teams have so much success running against us, that any volume stats for passing (yards, TDs, passer rating to a degree) won’t tell the full story.

[FireChans]

3 minutes ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:

Guess what defense has been thrown on the least amount in the NFL?

8th in NY/A passing and 31st in Y/A rushing.

[Starr Almighty]

13 minutes ago, Blackbeard said:

Maybe because most teams run at will on us?

Fixed it for ya

[dave mcbride]

Just now, DapperCam said:

I’m not sure if it’s a real stat, but I’d be interested in something like success rate per pass attempt or something like that. Teams have so much success running against us, that any volume stats for passing (yards, TDs, passer rating to a degree) won’t tell the full story.

As mentioned above, passer rating differential is the God stat in the NFL, and the Bills D's passer rating against is very good: 80.9.

 

https://www.si.com/more-sports/2011/06/23/most-importantstatpasserratingdifferential

[Alphadawg7]

Well it certainly helps your pass defense statistics when your run defense is so bad that my 94 year old Grandma can go for 70+ yards and a Tuddy.  That being said, its also not a surprise, we usually fare pretty well in pass defense statistics every year - atl least until we play Andy Reid in the playoffs and McD and his Defense who seem to have no answers for the Chiefs offense even when their offense is having a down year.  

[ColoradoBills]

6 minutes ago, dorquemada said:

would you say that we've quietly gotten better?

 

LOL, good one.

 

I would say this.  Bishop and Poyer are playing better as a safety team than any other combination in the last 2 years.

Benford is playing well.  CB2 with Tre and Max splitting time is serviceable.  Taron needs to get back to something of his former self.

 

It hasn't gotten any worse and that's for sure.

[Ga boy]

10 minutes ago, dorquemada said:

would you say that we've quietly gotten better?

Shhh

[zow2]

The D has some of the guys back plus I think McD and Babich are fixing it.,, they are doing their jobs and doing it well.   

 

In the 2nd half at Houston the D gave up 60 yards and 3 points (thanks to a Shakir fumble).  At Pittsburgh they only gave up 7 points (after a turnover), 166 yards and 10 first downs.

[DapperCam]

5 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:

As mentioned above, passer rating differential is the God stat in the NFL, and the Bills D's passer rating against is very good: 80.9.

 

https://www.si.com/more-sports/2011/06/23/most-importantstatpasserratingdifferential

Passer rating is still a mixture of an efficiency and volume stat though. We have the least passing attempts against in the league, I feel like we need to look at a pure efficiency stat to get a better idea.

[dave mcbride]

4 minutes ago, DapperCam said:

Passer rating is still a mixture of an efficiency and volume stat though. We have the least passing attempts against in the league, I feel like we need to look at a pure efficiency stat to get a better idea.

It's not a volume stat at all. It's all about efficiency. The key metrics are ypa, completion pct, INT rate, and TD rate. 

 

If a QB goes 8-11 in a game for 94 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INTs, his passer rating is 128.6.

Edited 22 minutes ago by dave mcbride

[Miyagi-Do Karate]

We absolutely own Davis Mills and Andy Dalton! 

[Disgusted ills fan]

33 minutes ago, st pete gogolak said:

Crazy, right?  Not sure it passes the eye test.  Guess we’ll find out on Sunday.

The eye test says against legit running games and/or elite WRs/TEs, our defense is straight up homeless ass.  Next weekend, Cincy's WRs are gonna smoke our DBs.