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The WR#2 Market (Spotrac Breakdown and Comparison)


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Hollywood brown would give us a burner we lack and is coming off a down two years in AZ
Calvin Ridley - might be too expensive

Rasheed Shaheed broke out this year in a poor saints offense - could be a risk
DJ Chark - Perfect candidate for a placeholder if we draft a player and want them to earn the role over the course of the year in typical McD fashion.

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9 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

This year we find out if there’s really any issues with Diggs and the Bills. I know there’s a lot of dead cap but it is possible for the Bills to move on and save over $10 million in cap. That’s significant enough to consider if there are any beefs between the Bills and Diggs. We’ll just have to wait and see.

How would we save money?  I don’t think that’s the case

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It is going to be an interesting how Beane address the #2 WR. For most of the year I had assumed Gabe who illustrates the process McDermott believes in would get an extension. The comments at the end of the year from Gabe and McBeane have me rethinking that is the plan (assuming Gabe doesn't take a huge discount). 

The last 1/2 year illustrated the need for a true field stretcher in the Smokey Brown archetype to keep Defenses honest. I am still comfortable with Diggs as the #1 and now Shakiir as #3/Slot.  Kincaid will be a TE1 thus the bills are set with short and medium horizontal options. Shorter will get a shot to replace Gabe though will be the WR5 entering the season like replacing Sherfeild there and in special teams. Harty can return since he is under contract but the staff hasn't shown confidence in him playing WR snaps. 

I see the need for 2 additional WR one in the draft and one FA. I see many auto picking a 1st round WR and inserting him as the #2 starting WR week 1. While I would expect a WR in round 1 or 2 with them being that speed WR I don't think we could expect them to be a starter day 1. The Staff has consistently been hesitant to give rookies big roles to begin their careers,  There isn't money to get a long term starter in free agency thus Beane will need to get creative. I will be very curious to see what veteran WR could be cut and looking for a 1 year deal to improve their final contract with Josh Allen as their QB. I would be looking at M. Williams, T. Lockett, M Thomas, or Odell Beckem to get a Bill's 1 year offer and complete the WR room. I get each of these players have flaws but wouldn't break the bank and allow for the WR draft pick to develop hopefully contribute later in the year and be a non-doubt starter in year 2.  

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I dont think we are going after a WR2 in FA, more like a WR3/4 that gives them flexibility in the offense.  I'd assume they would want speed OR route running.  I think they either go a younger guy off a rookie deal who might have some untapped production, like a Devin Duvernay.  Or, they could maybe go a vet, like a Sterling Sheppard who could play the Sanders role from two years ago.

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6 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:


not this coming season. His cap hit is 27m. His dead cap is 31m. How do you figure they would save 10m? They would pay more to release him than keep him. 

June 1st designation. 

1 minute ago, NewEra said:

How would we save money?  I don’t think that’s the case

June 1st designation. Still a lot of dead cap because his cap is so high but they’d save $10+ million next year with a still a lot of dead cap. 
 

People are afraid of the dead cap but if there are problems within the organization with Diggs the dead cap won’t matter this year.

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3 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:

Hollywood brown would give us a burner we lack and is coming off a down two years in AZ
Calvin Ridley - might be too expensive

Rasheed Shaheed broke out this year in a poor saints offense - could be a risk
DJ Chark - Perfect candidate for a placeholder if we draft a player and want them to earn the role over the course of the year in typical McD fashion.

What would you venture to guess on Brown's price tag?  Sportstrac thinks 15mil which seems pretty high.

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9 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:

Hollywood brown would give us a burner we lack and is coming off a down two years in AZ
Calvin Ridley - might be too expensive

Rasheed Shaheed broke out this year in a poor saints offense - could be a risk
DJ Chark - Perfect candidate for a placeholder if we draft a player and want them to earn the role over the course of the year in typical McD fashion.

Oooh I had missed some. I had left Brown off because I saw his last year and thought he would be too expensive. He might sneak by to get to day 2 day 3

 

Those do seem like the best options if we want to throw money at a placeholder.

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1 hour ago, transient said:

We have 10 draft picks and they're not all going to make the team... we need to set a target of "x" number of receivers that we believe can be WR1 in the first round and make sure we get one (there were rumors floating around the board from "people in the know" that was the plan this past draft, but we weren't able to make the trade up before Addison, the last of that group, was off the board). Screw best player available at our draft position this draft, we NEED to get this fixed and since Diggs' contract ensures that he's here for the next few seasons, it needs to be through the draft. 

 

As Patrick 'Crybaby' Mahomes is paid to say - we need to bundle (the draft picks) if we cannot use all but since there are a lot of free agents on Bills roster and they have cap issues team may be getting younger and less experienced/

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1 minute ago, Maine-iac said:

What would you venture to guess on Brown's price tag?  Sportstrac thinks 15mil which seems pretty high.

I don't think the market will be big for him at all based on two down years. I would think you could get him on a short term prove it deal. He made $3m this year and underperformed a lot of other WRs making similar money. Chark had a much better year at $5M, so I'd say $5-6M 1-2 years.

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7 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

June 1st designation. 

June 1st designation. Still a lot of dead cap because his cap is so high but they’d save $10+ million next year with a still a lot of dead cap. 
 

People are afraid of the dead cap but if there are problems within the organization with Diggs the dead cap won’t matter this year.


So not really saving $10+ million ,,,, just pushing that out 12 months on the credit card …. 

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8 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

June 1st designation. 


all that does is kick the rest of it to the following season. So they would pay like 9mil this season and then have to pay the remaining 22 mil the following season. 

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1 hour ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

I think allowing our young WR to develop is also key. Shakir is ready for a breakout next year but we shouldn’t depend on that. Sign a tier 2 WR2. Starts next year with…

 

WR1 Diggs

WR2 UFA

WR3 Shakir

WR4 Rookie 1st round pick

WR5 Shorter

WR6 Rookie mid round round pick

I think you are counting on Shakir too much.  Gabe Davis looked like he was breaking out, but he topped out.  I think you HAVE to find a very talented rookie WR and if Shakir really does break out, that’s gravy.

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12 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:


So not really saving $10+ million ,,,, just pushing that out 12 months on the credit card …. 

It’s basically like restructuring Diggs but you don’t have Diggs. A lot could happen. Like I said it depends on Diggs. If Diggs wants to be here then he will be because it benefits the Bills to keep him. But if he doesn’t the Bills can move on and look for his replacement with the $10 million in cap savings. They’d just have to backload the contract.

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the reason we are not going to pursue Gabe is we want a young cost controled possible #1 WR in the near future. A player that be a #2 /#1b short term

FA for WRs means over paying for good one or finding value in the scraps left over. If your QB is on a rookie contract you can overpay, but we are not that team anymore. Finding value for WR #4 and #5 in the scraps is ok, but not when we need someone to step up and force other teams to account. The only way we can get a stud WR worthy of catching footballs from Josh is to move up in the draft and find a gem.

Diggs will still grab 80 to 90 catches in a down year, a stud drafted WR will only make the Bills better and by proxy will Diggs will be more effective IMO

 

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