BillsFan619 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 (edited) I guess we just need to always face the Steelers in the playoffs. 🤣  Go Bills!   Edited January 12 by BillsFan619 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billznut Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Yeah saw this a couple days ago. Pretty cool stat. I was surprised I hadn’t seen anyone mentioning it until now. Maybe I missed it in other threads most likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 (edited) I mean, it’s not some crazy stat. In 1974 there were only 4 teams in the AFC playoffs so the winner had a 50/50 chance.  In 1992 they met in the divisional round. Same odds as in 1974.  In 1995 they met in the divisional round. Same as before…..50/50 chance one team made the Super Bowl. Edited January 12 by Beast 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, Billznut said: Yeah saw this a couple days ago. Pretty cool stat. I was surprised I hadn’t seen anyone mentioning it until now. Maybe I missed it in other threads most likely.  It's also the first time the Steelers have ever played here in the playoffs. All 3 prior matchups were in Pittsburgh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, Beast said: I mean, it’s not some crazy stat. In 1974 there were only 4 teams in the AFC playoffs so the winner had a 50/50 chance.  In 1992 they met in the divisional round. Same odds as in 1974.  In 1995 they met in the divisional round. Same as before…..50/50 chance one team made the Super Bowl. Cal me crazy, but I’m pretty sure the two teams in each Conference Championship Game have a 50/50 chance at making the Super Bowl. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WotAGuy Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 22 minutes ago, Gugny said: Cal me crazy, but I’m pretty sure the two teams in each Conference Championship Game have a 50/50 chance at making the Super Bowl. Unless it’s the Bills in that game, in which case the odds are against them 90-10. You’ll read about it here. 🤣 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 hours ago, Beast said: I mean, it’s not some crazy stat. In 1974 there were only 4 teams in the AFC playoffs so the winner had a 50/50 chance.  In 1992 they met in the divisional round. Same odds as in 1974.  In 1995 they met in the divisional round. Same as before…..50/50 chance one team made the Super Bowl. If you give the winner a 50/50 chance, there still was only a 12.5% chance that the winner would make the Super Bowl all three times.  So not the best odds that it’s happened. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Never use the SÂ word during the playoffs It's bad Karma.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 hours ago, strive_for_five_guy said: If you give the winner a 50/50 chance, there still was only a 12.5% chance that the winner would make the Super Bowl all three times.  So not the best odds that it’s happened. Wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, Beast said: Wrong. Lol oh really?  What were the correct odds? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Watkins101 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 (edited) 4 hours ago, Gugny said: Cal me crazy, but I’m pretty sure the two teams in each Conference Championship Game have a 50/50 chance at making the Super Bowl. Yes, but If the bills/Steelers met in the divisional round, the winner of that game has a roughly 50% shot at making the Super Bowl, just as he said. And like @strive_for_five_guy said, the odds that would happen 3 times in a row would be (.5*.5*.5) which is 12.5%. @Beast  Of course that assumes the two conference championship teams have the same chance of winning, however reality is slightly different. Edited January 12 by Watkins101 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 29 minutes ago, Watkins101 said: Yes, but If the bills/Steelers met in the divisional round, the winner of that game has a roughly 50% shot at making the Super Bowl, just as he said. And like @strive_for_five_guy said, the odds that would happen 3 times in a row would be (.5*.5*.5) which is 12.5%. @Beast  Of course that assumes the two conference championship teams have the same chance of winning, however reality is slightly different. That’s kind of like saying that one of the two Super Bowl teams has a 100% chance of winning.  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Watkins101 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 52 minutes ago, Gugny said: That’s kind of like saying that one of the two Super Bowl teams has a 100% chance of winning.  And is that wrong? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Watkins101 said: And is that wrong? Nope.  But going back to Beast’s attempt to suck the joy out of everything, before a wild card game begins, neither team has a 50/50 shot of going to the Super Bowl. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Gugny said: Nope.  But going back to Beast’s attempt to suck the joy out of everything, before a wild card game begins, neither team has a 50/50 shot of going to the Super Bowl. LOL. I didn’t try to suck the joy out of it. I was just stating the winner of those three games only had one game to win to make it to the SB.  I didn’t think it would be that hard to fugure out but I guess I was wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albany,n.y. Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 6 hours ago, Bogie_Klinkhammer said: Never use the S word during the playoffs It's bad Karma.... Sorry, I've already made some Super Bowl plans.  I don't believe in superstitions.  1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaw66 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 9 hours ago, Gugny said: Cal me crazy, but I’m pretty sure the two teams in each Conference Championship Game have a 50/50 chance at making the Super Bowl. But there's only a 1 in 8 chance it would three times in a row.  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBill Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 9 hours ago, Gugny said: Cal me crazy, but I’m pretty sure the two teams in each Conference Championship Game have a 50/50 chance at making the Super Bowl.  Excellent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Only meeting 3 times previously and never in Buffalo is a little surprising to me …  Gotta have this one .. against a team I respect but don’t particularly like . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Starr Almighty Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 hours ago, Beast said: LOL. I didn’t try to suck the joy out of it. I was just stating the winner of those three games only had one game to win to make it to the SB.  I didn’t think it would be that hard to fugure out but I guess I was wrong. Serious question if they are playing in the divisional round wouldn't they have to win that game AND the AFCCG to get to the Superbowl? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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