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It’s Dallas week and the Division is on the line!


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7 hours ago, Beck Water said:

Can you give us the lo-down on the weather?

Looking at the ECWMF which has maintained a consistent solution over last 48 hours:

 

Strong southerly flow starting Southeasterly and shifting to Southerly flow during the game 12-15mph gusting up 25-30mph.  Light rain showers transitioning to occasional moderate showers around halftime. But winds look to taper off around this time as well.  Temps will be unseasonably warm and in the mid to upper 40’s.

 

With the stadium orientation being a true northwest-southeast orientation, we’re not going to see a true head or tail wind.  A South-South East wind will create a modified head/tail and cross wind as it intersects the field at a 45 degree angle.  This will transition to a cross wind later in the game as winds switch to the south. This will have a marginal impact on the flight trajectory on longer passes and FGs because adjustments will be needed to compensate for the change in direction.  
 

My opinion, the winds speeds wont be a huge factor but the direction will be.  I think this weather favors the Bills who rely on mostly short to medium completions and it limits the Cowboys best weapons, their deep threat and FG kicker.  Josh also has the stronger arm, and don’t trust Bass on longer kicks, so not seeing as big of an impact for the Bills.  I expect to see a lot of Cook (run and pass),QB runs and short passes to Kincaid and Knox.  

Edited by TheWeatherMan
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FanDuel reported Thursday that the Cowboys-Bills game was setting up to the one most popular with bettors of the season. "We are in another unusual position where a Cowboys cover would actually be a big win for the book, as an ever-growing liability continues to come in on the Bills," a FanDuel representative said in a company release. Sportsbook PointsBet also has reported a surge of betting interest on the Bills to win the Super Bowl. Since Nov. 27, the Bills had attracted more bets and more money in PointsBet's odds to win the Super Bowl than any other team.

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4 hours ago, TheWeatherMan said:

Looking at the ECWMF which has maintained a consistent solution over last 48 hours:

 

Strong southerly flow starting Southeasterly and shifting to Southerly flow during the game 12-15mph gusting up 25-30mph.  Light rain showers transitioning to occasional moderate showers around halftime. But winds look to taper off around this time as well.  Temps will be unseasonably warm and in the mid to upper 40’s.

 

With the stadium orientation being a true northwest-southeast orientation, we’re not going to see a true head or tail wind.  A South-South East wind will create a modified head/tail and cross wind as it intersects the field at a 45 degree angle.  This will transition to a cross wind later in the game as winds switch to the south. This will have a marginal impact on the flight trajectory on longer passes and FGs because adjustments will be needed to compensate for the change in direction.  
 

My opinion, the winds speeds wont be a huge factor but the direction will be.  I think this weather favors the Bills who rely on mostly short to medium completions and it limits the Cowboys best weapons, their deep threat and FG kicker.  Josh also has the stronger arm, and don’t trust Bass on longer kicks, so not seeing as big of an impact for the Bills.  I expect to see a lot of Cook (run and pass),QB runs and short passes to Kincaid and Knox.  

Living up to the username!

 

FWIW I agree with your general premises on game impact. I was listening to Cover 1, and the Cowboys guest writer was talking about how what has been unlocked since their bye it more deep passes after starting on a WCO to start. Deep passes against a strong secondary with a meh run game tells me the Bills have a chance to limit them.

 

Against the Cowboys, their strength appears to be the D-line and an decent secondary, so the game plan vs the Chiefs and Jets seems like the natural starting point. Lots of Cook and Kincaid plz.

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1 minute ago, Gman10 said:

Looks like real feel will be in the 30s with the rain during game time
Can we get a random famous buffalo snowstorm or something?

Every time we play in snow you’d think we’d have the advantage but the other team looks like it always has better traction. 

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1 hour ago, Gman10 said:

Looks like real feel will be in the 30s with the rain during game time
Can we get a random famous buffalo snowstorm or something?

 

That's the kind of thing I pulled for during the drought - because we usually played teams who were more talented, and we needed an equalizer.

 

We're as good as this Cowboys team, and should beat them at home.  I'd prefer weather not be much of a factor.

 

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1 hour ago, Success said:

 

That's the kind of thing I pulled for during the drought - because we usually played teams who were more talented, and we needed an equalizer.

 

We're as good as this Cowboys team, and should beat them at home.  I'd prefer weather not be much of a factor.

 

 

Very true. Not sure how we can expect to win a super bowl if we need weather to be a factor as that game will never have bad weather.

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Lot of the talking heads propping up the Bills as favorites and the weather for this game has me nervous. Don’t see weather being much of an advantage. Offense needs to pick it up and defense has to come up with some turnovers. Winnable game but Cowboys have been playing better than the Bills recently. Hopefully the Cowboys continue to struggle on the road.

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14 hours ago, The Red King said:

Buffalo can beat anyone.  It's consistancy that is a problem.  If we bring our 'A' game we can win, or even rout them, even if Dallas brings theirs.  That's the question though.  Will we get an 'A' game out of Buffalo?

If Dallas brings their "A" game they will beat the Bills. Sure seems like you are selling the Cowboys short and over evaluating the Bills. 

 

Both teams can lose to any team especially bad ones. More so the 7-6 Bills than the 10-3 Bills. Wouldn't you agree? 

14 hours ago, Beck Water said:

 

If it makes no difference to the 'Boys if they play inside or outside --- why is their record 3-3 away ave 23.6 pts scored, and 7-0 46.5 pts scored at home?

 

"practiced outside all week and won't be much different than Sunday"  - Dude.

 

 

 

The Bills home field advantage here should be pretty big. 

11 hours ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Really like Cossell

10 hours ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Strength vs Strength. 

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7 hours ago, TheWeatherMan said:

Looking at the ECWMF which has maintained a consistent solution over last 48 hours:

 

Strong southerly flow starting Southeasterly and shifting to Southerly flow during the game 12-15mph gusting up 25-30mph.  Light rain showers transitioning to occasional moderate showers around halftime. But winds look to taper off around this time as well.  Temps will be unseasonably warm and in the mid to upper 40’s.

 

With the stadium orientation being a true northwest-southeast orientation, we’re not going to see a true head or tail wind.  A South-South East wind will create a modified head/tail and cross wind as it intersects the field at a 45 degree angle.  This will transition to a cross wind later in the game as winds switch to the south. This will have a marginal impact on the flight trajectory on longer passes and FGs because adjustments will be needed to compensate for the change in direction.  
 

My opinion, the winds speeds wont be a huge factor but the direction will be.  I think this weather favors the Bills who rely on mostly short to medium completions and it limits the Cowboys best weapons, their deep threat and FG kicker.  Josh also has the stronger arm, and don’t trust Bass on longer kicks, so not seeing as big of an impact for the Bills.  I expect to see a lot of Cook (run and pass),QB runs and short passes to Kincaid and Knox.  

I agree. The more wind the better for Buffalo. Dallas relies on longer big explosive plays. I believe they are the best in the NFL with 20 plus yard completions. 

 

I can't remember when the Bills hit a deep pass. 

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27 minutes ago, billieve420 said:

Lot of the talking heads propping up the Bills as favorites and the weather for this game has me nervous. Don’t see weather being much of an advantage. Offense needs to pick it up and defense has to come up with some turnovers. Winnable game but Cowboys have been playing better than the Bills recently. Hopefully the Cowboys continue to struggle on the road.

None of it matters, just ***** win because it's what you need to do.

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10 hours ago, Pete said:

FanDuel reported Thursday that the Cowboys-Bills game was setting up to the one most popular with bettors of the season. "We are in another unusual position where a Cowboys cover would actually be a big win for the book, as an ever-growing liability continues to come in on the Bills," a FanDuel representative said in a company release. Sportsbook PointsBet also has reported a surge of betting interest on the Bills to win the Super Bowl. Since Nov. 27, the Bills had attracted more bets and more money in PointsBet's odds to win the Super Bowl than any other team.

Does this mean the book will hire the refs to put their their thumbs on the scale? 

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