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**2023 degenerative gamblers thread **


Buffalo716

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On 9/30/2023 at 12:44 AM, Buffalo716 said:

I like USC -12.5 1st half 

 

And ND -5.5 vs Duke

Damn I had Duke ML when they went down 14 7

On 9/27/2023 at 4:27 PM, BillsShredder83 said:

^^^Noice hit!

Sunday I hit on my only NFL bet -- Bills ML + Josh over RushYds + Josh TD

 

Starting to look ahead to College for the week!

 

Also will be betting Canelo v Charlo this weekend:

I absolutely LOVE Charlo to get knocked down at +198

And secondly but more boring:  Canelo to win by decision @ -120

 

My longshot of the night:

To be 2+ knockdowns total @ +700

 

Canelo is a master counter puncher, nasty body puncher, Charlo has been inactive for 18mos (plenty of questions around his training).  I think Charlo gets knocked down with (prob body shot), but don't think Canelo has the juice in him to win on KO/TKO... he shouldve put Ryder down in the 6th rd, the guy was a chump, and Canelo seemed more than happy to let it go to judges decision. I see very similar happening Saturday, Canelo cranks it up in the first half of fight, scores his knockdown, then plays conservative chess until the last bell.

 

Dont like my pick? Fight me about it LOL!

Good call. Canelo dominated,  I was surprised it was that easy. Also surprised he didn't get another ko

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10 hours ago, JerseyBills said:

Damn I had Duke ML when they went down 14 7

Good call. Canelo dominated,  I was surprised it was that easy. Also surprised he didn't get another ko

Yeah pretty easy call on canelo for me. He'll be good for a few more win by decisions in his career,  but if he's not stopping a guy who went up 2 weight classes, and the last 3 fights before, I don't think he's KO'ing anyone again. Dude loves the sport though!

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15 hours ago, AuntieEm said:

Who do you all like for Monday. Giants or Seahaeks??

Neither. Don't bet this game. Seahawks are the better team, but both teams dealing with key injuries. West coast team on the east coast. Etc. Etc. Who knows how it's gonna go.

 

There's always next week. 

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On 9/29/2023 at 12:07 PM, GoBills808 said:

only one NFL bet this week

 

going w the house play for parlay

 

Bills-2.5+UNDER 53.5

 

*1 unit wagered

 

**down 2.5units on the year thus far

LOSE

down 3.5 units on the yr

 

thinking Bills-5.5 is a rat line so they'll probably blow Jags out lmfao

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I do player props for nfl ive been hot enough to start sharing i guess lol

 

If anyone does fantasy football it helps a lot with player props.  Knowing matchups and under the radar players can get you slightly ahead of the books.

 

Of course every time you think you have them figured out....

Edited by section122
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Im 4-9 but +1 unit bc i took a bunch of high odds parlays for fun on caesars.

 

Im 4-3 on dk and up 2.5 units.

 

So 8-12 overall up 3.5 units. 

 

I do good when I avoid those boost parlays but every so often I get suckered.  Luckily I usually limit myself to 1/2 units on themland wait until I've won a bit before getting loose lol.

 

Edit: I haven't shared mine but like I said ill start sharing. I do props though as I'm more well versed than lines. 

Edited by section122
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37 minutes ago, MasterStrategist said:

I haven't posted all mine here, mostly NFL games.

 

But I'm 16-4 NFL, 9-2 college.

 

I'll start posting more in advance

Nice but I'm talking about record of your pics in the thread

 

I have 17 games that I posted before they started with pics against the spread

 

The whole point is posting your pics here before the games ... putting yourself out there

 

I'm not talking specifically about you but coming in and like I'm 3 and 0 on the weekend... And saying the games you win on is really not the point

 

It was about seeing who was the best against the spread on two Bills drive... Just with locked in picks

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13 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

Nice but I'm talking about record of your pics in the thread

 

I have 17 games that I posted before they started with pics against the spread

 

The whole point is posting your pics here before the games ... putting yourself out there

 

I'm not talking specifically about you but coming in and like I'm 3 and 0 on the weekend... And saying the games you win on is really not the point

 

It was about seeing who was the best against the spread on two Bills drive... Just with locked in picks

Totally agree.  I'll start posting more weekly, mostly NFL. 

 

From what I posted on here before game starts, I'm 5-1 (all NFL).  That's of my 16-4 NFL, 9-2 college (which more than half my wins were courtesy of you...so thanks! 😃)

 

I like Washington -6 tonight vs Bears.

 

Western Kentucky/ LT game - under 58.5

 

Liberty-20.5 vs Sam Houston

 

 

 

 

 

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3 minutes ago, MasterStrategist said:

Totally agree.  I'll start posting more weekly, mostly NFL. 

 

From what I posted on here before game starts, I'm 5-1 (all NFL).  That's of my 16-4 NFL, 9-2 college (which more than half my wins were courtesy of you...so thanks! 😃)

 

I like Washington -6 tonight vs Bears.

 

Western Kentucky/ LT game - under 58.5

 

Liberty-20.5 vs Sam Houston

 

 

 

 

 

I was thinking under for the Western Kentucky game but Thursday games are wacky ... wouldn't be shocked if it's 65 so stayed away 

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27 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

Nice but I'm talking about record of your pics in the thread

 

I have 17 games that I posted before they started with pics against the spread

 

The whole point is posting your pics here before the games ... putting yourself out there

 

I'm not talking specifically about you but coming in and like I'm 3 and 0 on the weekend... And saying the games you win on is really not the point

 

It was about seeing who was the best against the spread on two Bills drive... Just with locked in picks

im only posting games that I put actual money on and when i remember to post, and tracking profit/loss

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Western Kentucky -5.5 vs LA tech

 

Locked in

3 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

im only posting games that I put actual money on and when i remember to post, and tracking profit/loss

Every single game I picked I've also bet

 

I feel it would be disingenuous to pick games in a betting world.. that others might take your advice.. if you're also not willing to potentially lose with them also

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14 minutes ago, section122 said:

Can't find this for less than 6.  I tailed your other bets.... sorry in advance lol

I played it at the casino at like 10am.. got 5.5..  forgot to post it with other picks 

 

And then it has moved... still would not be too worried

 

And I want to win some people money here .. it's why i post 3-4 games I really really like .. im combing through 50 games a week to find 4

 

If I hit 70% for others I'd be happy but I'm well over 90% rn and my sharp friend is too who i bounce picks off of... so we are a good tandem 

Edited by Buffalo716
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