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**2023 degenerative gamblers thread **


Buffalo716

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5 hours ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

Hoping to make a cool $750 today.

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I love responsible betting. I started last year and I am slaying the house by sticking with relatively safe moneyline parlays. VERY little action on the spread because I think that's where people really get in trouble and a lot of luck comes into it.

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It's VERY easy to make nice side money just by using your football knowledge to make smart picks. You just have to have self control and never bet anything that makes you uncomfortable.

What are your picks? Iā€™ve got money line eagles jags and minny

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Crazy how low scoring everything is so far. Been saying all off season, I think we're gunna see a small trend towards more running this year (as a league). Just a theory

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More nickel than ever being ran. LBs get smaller every year. Rookies coming out have been geared towards the pass for most of their adult life. Less skilled/experienced working the run game.

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Saw few teams last year serious about running and playing defense. Especially teams with bad to mid qbs. Think we trend back towards run a bit as a whole league this year

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Just my (uneducated) theory lolĀ 

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Not sure where my post got moved to. But after getting pretty well smoked yesterday, I took my winning from the games I actually won and dropped it all on USC. Thank God it came through. Almost brought me back to even. So I let it rip on 6 games today.

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Steelers +2.5 (looking like a big L)

Ravens -9.5

Tampa +5.5

Saints -3

Raiders +3.5

Seahawks-4.5

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17 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

Crazy how low scoring everything is so far. Been saying all off season, I think we're gunna see a small trend towards more running this year (as a league). Just a theory

Ā 

More nickel than ever being ran. LBs get smaller every year. Rookies coming out have been geared towards the pass for most of their adult life. Less skilled/experienced working the run game.

Ā 

Saw few teams last year serious about running and playing defense. Especially teams with bad to mid qbs. Think we trend back towards run a bit as a whole league this year

Ā 

Just my (uneducated) theory lolĀ 

ive said it since new jersey passed.Ā  Fantasy football was a draft kings and fanduel fueled money maker.Ā  The fantasy era is over, the nfl is trending back to the workhorse back.Ā Ā 

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58 minutes ago, 1onemangang7 said:

ive said it since new jersey passed.Ā  Fantasy football was a draft kings and fanduel fueled money maker.Ā  The fantasy era is over, the nfl is trending back to the workhorse back.Ā Ā 

Interesting. I'm not sure how they'd be connected enough to drive league direction, but I am intrigued on what you mean šŸ¤”Ā 

***on the gambling side of things I've got smoked two days in a row****

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Fading me might give someone in here the best record out of all us Lol

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I'm not blindly picking here, have a few strategies, clearly not working lolĀ 

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9 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

Interesting. I'm not sure how they'd be connected enough to drive league direction, but I am intrigued on what you mean šŸ¤”Ā 

***on the gambling side of things I've got smoked two days in a row****

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Fading me might give someone in here the best record out of all us Lol

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I'm not blindly picking here, have a few strategies, clearly not working lolĀ 

i didnt see your post to fade if I wanted to.Ā  i'm treading on the lighter side early.Ā  It's definitely a streaky game...no shame.... i had played the patriots and theyre down to 3.5, i'm going to tease them up with green bay and put a small ml parlay with gb and new england for half of what i'd get from the tease.Ā Ā 

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1 & 4 today

2 & 7 yesterday šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£

22 minutes ago, 1onemangang7 said:

i didnt see your post to fade if I wanted to.Ā  i'm treading on the lighter side early.Ā  It's definitely a streaky game...no shame.... i had played the patriots and theyre down to 3.5, i'm going to tease them up with green bay and put a small ml parlay with gb and new england for half of what i'd get from the tease.Ā Ā 

I'm gunna do some homework early next week. Make my picks early, post em here with how I arrived at em, and look for some old fashioned criticism lol

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It's a harder hobby than anyone would know

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11 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

1 & 4 today

2 & 7 yesterday šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£

I'm gunna do some homework early next week. Make my picks early, post em here with how I arrived at em, and look for some old fashioned criticism lol

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It's a harder hobby than anyone would know

good luck to youĀ 

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8 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

1 & 4 today

2 & 7 yesterday šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£

I'm gunna do some homework early next week. Make my picks early, post em here with how I arrived at em, and look for some old fashioned criticism lol

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It's a harder hobby than anyone would know

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I don't even consider it a hobby during CFB ... This is like a second job and I'm very diligentĀ 

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And you need as much luck as knowledge sometimes... Even though I was extremely confident with my Oklahoma -16.5

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I still needed a crazy fourth quarter and back door cover... I'm two plays the other way from losing

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That's why most lose and few succeed ... It's a lot of workĀ 

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2 hours ago, Bubba Gump said:

Not sure where my post got moved to. But after getting pretty well smoked yesterday, I took my winning from the games I actually won and dropped it all on USC. Thank God it came through. Almost brought me back to even. So I let it rip on 6 games today.

Ā 

Steelers +2.5 (looking like a big L)

Ravens -9.5

Tampa +5.5

Saints -3

Raiders +3.5

Seahawks-4.5

Ā 

Ā 

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Saints coulda easily scored or kicked a fg to cover. But no, they wanted to play nice. *****!!! Lol

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@BillsShredder83

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If I could give you 1 piece of advice I would say you are betting too many gamesĀ 

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9 is a lot of games... And the oddsmakers are very good at what they do

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I'm usually pretty comfortable with around four games a week in college...

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Once you get to 6-7-8 games you're falling into the oddsmaker's hands

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50 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

@BillsShredder83

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If I could give you 1 piece of advice I would say you are betting too many gamesĀ 

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9 is a lot of games... And the oddsmakers are very good at what they do

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I'm usually pretty comfortable with around four games a week in college...

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Once you get to 6-7-8 games you're falling into the oddsmaker's hands


betting that many is an impossibilityĀ 

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49 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

@BillsShredder83

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If I could give you 1 piece of advice I would say you are betting too many gamesĀ 

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9 is a lot of games... And the oddsmakers are very good at what they do

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I'm usually pretty comfortable with around four games a week in college...

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Once you get to 6-7-8 games you're falling into the oddsmaker's hands

No doubt. I bet small So it's easier to fall in that trap!

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I do kno it ain't helping but if $5-10 makes a bad mlb/college/nfl more fun than it's cheap entertainment.

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I do want to get better but I'll proli always have a few too many. I'll focus my record on games I really did homework on versus, 'bored and over is more fun to bet' lol

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I appreciate any help always. This is gunna be a cool group in here!

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