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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19


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35 minutes ago, GG said:

 

Figures the pandemic would get you out of the fox hole.  What's up at CDC?

 

 

 

Three months I've been tracking this.  Since two weeks before this thread started.  Still haven't found a single number, reliable or otherwise, for the morbidity rate of nCOVID-19.  It's ridiculous.  The mortality rate varies only by how much testing a country does - more testing, less deaths.  That's a clear indication that no one has any ***** idea what's going on.

 

I hit Costo two weeks ago for non-perishables, figuring everyone was about to go nuts over this.  And a couple weeks ago, someone asked me if they should take their planned trip to Costa Rica last week.  I said "Sure, you'll be fine.  It'll be the week of the 13th that the ***** hits the fan."  I mention that only because my predictions have nailed all of this so far.  So I'll make this prediction: this will all start to unwind and get back to normal probably just after Easter.

 

Mostly, this is not nearly as big a crisis as people are acting.  It's a big problem for the elderly, infirm, and immunocompromised, which is no small thing - I'm self-quarantined since yesterday, because my sister-in-law who lives with us has COPD, and if I bring the Kung Flu home, I probably get a bad cold, but it will kill her.  But other than that, and supply chain disruption (i.e. groceries, gasoline)...in a year, we're likely to look back on this and snicker at the overreaction.

 

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2 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

 

**********

 

Bernie right now: "We're all in this together... now let me tell you why Trump has ***** us."

 

***** off, commie.

 

Just what the country needs, Bernie Sanders getting on national television and saying we may more lose more people than we did in WW II...

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2 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

 

**********

 

Bernie right now: "We're all in this together... now let me tell you why Trump has ***** us."

 

***** off, commie.

 

Bernie's got to be as happy as can be. Usually disease and bodies in the street is 4th or even 5th on the to do list of communist utopias, but here it's built in waiting for him to take office!

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Just now, Deranged Rhino said:

 

Lawfare (as you know) is the heart of the resistance. Their goal is not truth or justice, but to cover up for the coup plotters. 

 

If there ever was any doubt prior, it's gone now.


Yeah, but that was just batshit crazy. 

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10 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:
 

 

 

Following Hunter Biden's argument, we should refrain from releasing any financial records until after the election. We wouldn't want to make it political.

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54 minutes ago, Foxx said:

NHL suspends 2019-20 season amid coronavirus pandemic

 

 

is a delay to start MLB far behind?

 

26 minutes ago, Uncle Joe said:

Unfortunately yes from what I hear. am awaiting announcement before I cancel Spring Training plans in Arizona. ?

Spring Training is cancelled.
When the shyt hit the fan a couple days ago my plan was business as usual and not panic. Fly to Phoenix and back, go to ball games etc. Now I will be cancelling the trip, lodging etc.
My major concern was visiting my 84 year old dad and secondary contact. This is the same dad that brought me ice cream to my room when I had scarlet fever as a 3 year old and basically said fvck it to the quarantine (I still remember that). Anyways debating whether to drive to AZ with my g/f anyways. She is in healthcare, her son works in er, my niece's husband is in his last year of residency so I don't make these decisions in a bubble.

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2 minutes ago, Uncle Joe said:

 

Spring Training is cancelled.
When the shyt hit the fan a couple days ago my plan was business as usual and not panic. Fly to Phoenix and back, go to ball games etc. Now I will be cancelling the trip, lodging etc.
My major concern was visiting my 84 year old dad and secondary contact. This is the same dad that brought me ice cream to my room when I had scarlet fever as a 3 year old and basically said fvck it to the quarantine (I still remember that). Anyways debating whether to drive to AZ with my g/f anyways. She is in healthcare, her son works in er, my niece's husband is in his last year of residency so I don't make these decisions in a bubble.

My prayers are with you and your family.  

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12 minutes ago, Uncle Joe said:

 

Spring Training is cancelled.
When the shyt hit the fan a couple days ago my plan was business as usual and not panic. Fly to Phoenix and back, go to ball games etc. Now I will be cancelling the trip, lodging etc.
My major concern was visiting my 84 year old dad and secondary contact. This is the same dad that brought me ice cream to my room when I had scarlet fever as a 3 year old and basically said fvck it to the quarantine (I still remember that). Anyways debating whether to drive to AZ with my g/f anyways. She is in healthcare, her son works in er, my niece's husband is in his last year of residency so I don't make these decisions in a bubble.

 

We take a customer of ours each year to Giants Spring Training and had to cancel.

 

Too bad. We get tickets at the Charro Lodge for a dozen people;  burgers, beers, etc. Pretty much no one watches the game, but we have a blast.

 

 

Meanwhile, the left continues to lose its freaking mind.

 

 

Edited by IDBillzFan
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Question for those who are more informed.

 

Two themes that I'm picking up as I scroll through different news sources on this:

 

1- We don't have enough tests, and hardly anyone is getting tested.

 

2- Cases are rising exponentially across the country. 

 

Are these cases presumptive, without an actual test being administered, or am I missing something?

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17 minutes ago, IDBillzFan said:

 

We take a customer of ours each year to Giants Spring Training and had to cancel.

 

Too bad. We get tickets at the Charro Lodge for a dozen people;  burgers, beers, etc. Pretty much no one watches the game, but we have a blast.

 

 

Meanwhile, the left continues to lose its freaking mind.

 

 

 

The left never fails to capitalize on a situation to promote their fake racism.

 

People are tired of this bullschiff and they just tune it out. Don't even bother to pay any mind to it whatsoever.

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10 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

Question for those who are more informed.

 

Two themes that I'm picking up as I scroll through different news sources on this:

 

1- We don't have enough tests, and hardly anyone is getting tested.

 

2- Cases are rising exponentially across the country. 

 

Are these cases presumptive, without an actual test being administered, or am I missing something?

 

as of 9:33 am this morning (not sure of the time zone however).

DtPFsNw.png

Edited by Foxx
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8 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

Question for those who are more informed.

 

Two themes that I'm picking up as I scroll through different news sources on this:

 

1- We don't have enough tests, and hardly anyone is getting tested.

 

2- Cases are rising exponentially across the country. 

 

Are these cases presumptive, without an actual test being administered, or am I missing something?

 

They're presumptive - there's a mathematical model that describes the spread pretty well (seen it on Twitter, only Japan doesn't fit.)  Odds are, there's probably a lot more people in the US that have the virus than have been tested for it.  Also means the odds are it's doesn't cause serious illness in most people.  Gets back to what I said earlier: I haven't seen any number - not just a reliable number, but even a wild guess - as to the morbidity of COVID-19.  Either no one knows, or no one's telling.  

 

South Korea's epidemiological numbers are probably the most accurate, since they did the broadest and most aggressive testing.  The US numbers are probably least accurate.  And don't ask me what's going on with Italy.

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5 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:

NYC in a state of emergency now per the mayor...

 

So, does that mean no one gets in or out? 

 

I guess I ain't gettin a paycheck for a while.

 

Which also means my wife will be much more deadlier than this virus. 

Edited by njbuff
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23 minutes ago, Foxx said:

 

as of 9:33 am this morning (not sure of the time zone however).

DtPFsNw.png

 

 

Interesting. Do you suppose they're calling all confirmed cases those that have been tested?

 

 

 

Also, nearly 65% of deaths have occurred in one area of china (presumably where Wuhan/Ground 0 is) is that simply due to the timeline? It seems disproportionate and with China there's always that question of available resources/what the government might be doing (not to mention the overall lack of trust in the statistics reported by the government)  

 

 

Also, for those in the know: The majority of cases seem to be well north of the equator... Is that due to countries in South America and Africa not having as much exposure to foreigners, or is there more to that?

 

I understand a lot of this stuff is unknown, just wondering what others have seen discussed!

Edited by whatdrought
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