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Just how important is Sundays game?


Ramza86

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2 minutes ago, Joe in Winslow said:

 

Not on defense, they're not.

 

They are a LOT more talented on offense and have a better QB.  Their top tier D-players are all as good as anyone on the Bills too (Garret, Ward, Vernon, Richardson). The Bills D is better overall, of course, but the disparity isn't as great as the one separating the offenses. 

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honestly this is a year for growth and learning, not expecting more than 6-7 wins

 

i look for tangible improvement over the season, a decent little run of wins and some playoff hope in November would be awesome

 

so overall it doesn't really matter big picture, but if you are expecting 10 or 11 wins out of this team, this game is critical

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4 minutes ago, row_33 said:

honestly this is a year for growth and learning, not expecting more than 6-7 wins

 

i look for tangible improvement over the season, a decent little run of wins and some playoff hope in November would be awesome

 

so overall it doesn't really matter big picture, but if you are expecting 10 or 11 wins out of this team, this game is critical

Right on. Lets also be careful about calling this an easy schedule. Perhaps "Maybe Favorable" for a team in transition.

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1 hour ago, BringBackFergy said:

What do you think the Bills record will be this year?

We rarely -if ever- have had a more favorable schedule. I don’t mean quality of opponents so much as how it lays out. All 1pm starts, not playing a team who’s had a couple weeks to prepare, while a few of our opponents do have this to contend with. The perceived strongest competition at home. No West Coast games. The AFCN & NFCE aren’t particularly power Divisions and our Division is 1 power team and 3 weak teams. But I’m hard pressed to recall an NFL club willingly inserting 10 all new players on Offense from the previous season (yes, Allen started 9 games) and making the playoffs. Fairly certain it’s never happened. Thus, we HAVE to expect losses to teams we should be better than.  I can see 8 wins by this formula. Anything else is gravy but I’m not anticipating playoffs with a strong AFCW, AFCS, a revamped AFCN and the Pats*.

Sundays outcome? I think we’re further along in our rebuild, but I have absolutely no idea. That’s why I’ll be watching.

Edited by Chandler#81
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3 hours ago, thebandit27 said:

If they win, they'll be 1-0, and have 15 games remaining.

 

If they lose, they'll be 0-1, and have 15 games remaining.

 

Not trying to be a jerk, but that's really the long and short of it.  It's one game.

You may think that. But it is not a correct assessment.   Teams that start 1-0 historically have a 54% chance of making the playoffs.  Teams that start 0-1 have a 25% chance of making the playoffs.   That is a big difference. 

To make the playoffs you can generally lose 6 times.  That means a weak one loss has used up 17% of your losses.   

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6 minutes ago, Chandler#81 said:

We rarely -if ever- have had a more favorable schedule. I don’t mean quality of opponents so much as how it lays out. All 1pm starts, not playing a team who’s had a couple weeks to prepare, while a few of our opponents do have this to contend with. The perceived strongest competition at home. The AFCN & NFCE aren’t particularly power Divisions and our Division is 1 power team and 3 weak teams. But I’m hard pressed to recall an NFL club willingly inserting 10 all new players on Offense from the previous season (yes, Allen started 9 games) and making the playoffs. Fairly certain it’s never happened. Thus, we HAVE to expect losses to teams we should be better than.  I can see 8 wins by this formula. Anything else is gravy but I’m not anticipating playoffs with a strong AFCW, AFCS, a revamped AFCN and the Pats*.

Sundays outcome? I think we’re further along in our rebuild, but I have absolutely no idea. That’s why I’ll be watching.

I am so glad that you said favorable schedule instead of easy schedule!

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12 minutes ago, Chandler#81 said:

We rarely -if ever- have had a more favorable schedule. I don’t mean quality of opponents so much as how it lays out. All 1pm starts, not playing a team who’s had a couple weeks to prepare, while a few of opponents do have this to contend with. The perceived strongest competition at home. The AFCN & NFCE aren’t particularly power Divisions and our Division is 1 power team and 3 weak teams. But I’m hard pressed to recall an NFL club willingly inserting 10 all new players on Offense from the previous season (yes, Allen started 9 games) and making the playoffs. Fairly certain it’s never happened. Thus, we HAVE to expect losses to teams we should be better than.  I can see 8 wins by this formula. Anything else is gravy but I’m not anticipating playoffs with a strong AFCW, AFCS, a revamped AFCN and the Pats*.

Sundays outcome? I think we’re further along in our rebuild, but I have absolutely no idea. That’s why I’ll be watching.

 

I see the Bills as a solid 8-8 team.  If things progress on the O it should go up from there.

They should be competitive in the vast majority of games.

If games are close anything can happen.

 

I'll be watching too, LOL.

Edited by ColoradoBills
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43 minutes ago, row_33 said:

 

since 1964, this is the year

 

why the insane desire for the Browns to become SB champions immediately exists..... ?????

 

big part of why the Steelers have had a handful of losing seasons since 1973

 

 

the only reason i can gather is people are old enough to remember the Browns being the only team on TV in Buffalo and Southern Ontario, so they have a warm feeling still for Otto Graham and Jim Brown glory

 

 

The Browns fell off the grid entirely, only to be reincarnated in 1999.

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3 hours ago, thebandit27 said:

If they win, they'll be 1-0, and have 15 games remaining.

 

If they lose, they'll be 0-1, and have 15 games remaining.

 

Not trying to be a jerk, but that's really the long and short of it.  It's one game.

But it is also a AFC east game, only six of those, they hold additional importance.

 

Go Bills!!!

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35 minutes ago, PlayoffsPlease said:

You may think that. But it is not a correct assessment.   Teams that start 1-0 historically have a 54% chance of making the playoffs.  Teams that start 0-1 have a 25% chance of making the playoffs.   That is a big difference. 

To make the playoffs you can generally lose 6 times.  That means a weak one loss has used up 17% of your losses.   

 

7/12 playoff teams from 2018 lost in week 1; 3 of those were division losses.

 

It's one game 

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