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2019 Hurricane Season


T&C

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20 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

Thought about evacuating but it’s my first storm in this house (and the house’s 1st storm). It shouldn’t be too bad for me so it’s probably a good trial run. 

 

It is kind of funny though because I woke up this morning and turned on the weather channel. I was thinking, “I wonder where exactly Jim Cantore is?” Cantore is roughly a mile from my house. I was like, “f@!$”

dude, you stay right there and protect my free place to stay when I come to New Orleans at all costs!

 

I cant make an LSU game this year..just to many Bills game and one game at Notre Dame..but I coming nexy year!

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Not to say no one was affected would would be a lie but I'm glad that it didn't become much worse than it has, few lives were lost. From all I see now upriver flooding is the main threat. 

 

Weirdest tropical system I've seen in a long time. Elena did a loop de loop in Tampa bay years ago,  that was the last bizarre one I've seen.

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@Kirby Jackson I hope you are doing well dealing with the rain and flooding. May I offer you a suggestion that you might not have considered to deal with your annual weather plight? Go to your boss and ask him/her if you could telecommute from Buffalo. You can easily handle your accounts in western NY with up to date tech gadgets and be able to watch Jim Cantore reporting from the bayou while you are safe and sound in western NY. With your luck you will look out your window in a historical winter snow storm and see the peripatetic weatherman hanging onto a lamp post while being bounced around by the ferocious winter wind and snow storm. 

 

How is your dog handling the stressful situation? 

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14 hours ago, JohnC said:

@Kirby Jackson I hope you are doing well dealing with the rain and flooding. May I offer you a suggestion that you might not have considered to deal with your annual weather plight? Go to your boss and ask him/her if you could telecommute from Buffalo. You can easily handle your accounts in western NY with up to date tech gadgets and be able to watch Jim Cantore reporting from the bayou while you are safe and sound in western NY. With your luck you will look out your window in a historical winter snow storm and see the peripatetic weatherman hanging onto a lamp post while being bounced around by the ferocious winter wind and snow storm. 

 

How is your dog handling the stressful situation? 

This storm was a whole lotta nothing. I didn’t even lose DirecTV until the 4th set of the Men’s Final. I calmly clicked over to the Fire Stick and resumed my watching. I never lost power or anything. I’m mostly annoyed that I spent all of that money prepping and sat around most of the weekend while everyone else enjoyed themselves. No issues though 

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2 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

This storm was a whole lotta nothing. I didn’t even lose DirecTV until the 4th set of the Men’s Final. I calmly clicked over to the Fire Stick and resumed my watching. I never lost power or anything. I’m mostly annoyed that I spent all of that money prepping and sat around most of the weekend while everyone else enjoyed themselves. No issues though 

Don't get cocky! Mother nature will kick your ass on her own schedule. When you don't prepare and assume the best you will get beat up by the vicious whims of the weather gods. Be humble and stay prepared. And don't forget to keep your Buffalo option open if need be to escape the turbulent perils of the bayou.  :)

Edited by JohnC
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On 7/15/2019 at 11:18 AM, Kirby Jackson said:

This storm was a whole lotta nothing. I didn’t even lose DirecTV until the 4th set of the Men’s Final. I calmly clicked over to the Fire Stick and resumed my watching. I never lost power or anything. I’m mostly annoyed that I spent all of that money prepping and sat around most of the weekend while everyone else enjoyed themselves. No issues though 

 

Yep, the whole hurricane thing is really anticlimactic, you know.........except when it’s NOT.

 

We never got clobbered too bad. But if it was Cat 4 or 5, we knew enough to get out of Dodge! 

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1 hour ago, ExiledInIllinois said:

Invest 94L has a 20% chance of doing something...

 

 

True, but when one has gotten hammered by hurricanes the last few years it matters. I was watching the opener against the Jets a couple of years ago while oak tree's went down in the back. That ***** took a year to get rid of there was so much of it.

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On 7/21/2019 at 5:31 PM, Augie said:

 

Yep, the whole hurricane thing is really anticlimactic, you know.........except when it’s NOT.

 

We never got clobbered too bad. But if it was Cat 4 or 5, we knew enough to get out of Dodge! 

Yeah, I’m bailing on a real threat. I’ve ridden out a couple of tough ones but nothing major. 

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  • 4 weeks later...
On 8/25/2019 at 1:52 PM, T&C said:

Now hitting the peak of the season:

 

lg_aatrack.jpg

This pic will update itself until no longer necessary. Should be of interest to Florida Bills fans... looks like Puerto Rico will get hit later on today or tomorrow, they don't need it but at least it will be a minimal storm so to say.

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10 minutes ago, T&C said:

Anyone else here "under the gun"? 

Too soon to say. I spent 30 years in hurricane zones. Now in Atlanta and can ignore without much risk. Lived in Hilton Head and Sarasota. Never budged unless sit was a 4 or 5. 

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It's like living in Long Island when there is a snow storm forecasted for the weekend. Grocery stores with cashier lines all the way down the grocery aisles. Carts over full of water, candles, etc. Like it's never freaking snowed there.

 

Went to Publix today, it was a freaking zoo. You'd think there has never been a tropical storm in this area before.

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I'm north of Orlando, and we are still not sure what to expect....very stressful times for the entire peninsula of Florida.(even those of us who are inland, like me).

 

Two years ago, the remnants of the core of Irma passed right over my house, and we were without power for almost a week...the slow movement of this one is what is so concerning(flooding, prolonged exposure to high winds).

 

This makes 4 consecutive years that a major hurricane will hit the state, yet on average 800 people a week move to the state....something has got to give.

Edited by Special K
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If that blocking high in the Atlantic weakens just a bit or shifts more to the east there is a chance nobody gets a direct hit. Some models are showing just that.

 

Consensus models (this will also automatically update until no longer needed):

 

lg_spaghetti3.jpg

 

 

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9 hours ago, Special K said:

I'm north of Orlando, and we are still not sure what to expect....very stressful times for the entire peninsula of Florida.(even those of us who are inland, like me).

 

Two years ago, the remnants of the core of Irma passed right over my house, and we were without power for almost a week...the slow movement of this one is what is so concerning(flooding, prolonged exposure to high winds).

 

This makes 4 consecutive years that a major hurricane will hit the state, yet on average 800 people a week move to the state....something has got to give.

My folks are in the Ocala area, sister in Jax.  I gave them all the "talk" about getting prepared last nite.  I'd start doing the same.

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1 hour ago, T&C said:

If that blocking high in the Atlantic weakens just a bit or shifts more to the east there is a chance nobody gets a direct hit. Some models are showing just that.

 

Consensus models (this will also automatically update until no longer needed):

 

lg_spaghetti3.jpg

 

 

Looks like it's heading straight for you know who.?

 

The United States has "Battered Wife Syndrome."  He'll just say he's sorry.  Bring roses... And we will all be spared... Until next trolling temper tantrun.  Thanx Dorian.  Send us a picture of Dorian Gray too while you're at it!  We can just let that age while your actual worldly transgressions go unabated.  /smh

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23 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said:

 

LoL... There has to be a way we as humans can "steer" that Muthafooger!  Gotta be a way... And no... Not going all Orange on you.  I realize nuking that bad ass heathen Dorian ain't the answer!? 

 

We're Americans dammit, we can do anything until we erroneously send it hurling into Ireland!  Oooops!

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I put the Track with expected intensities, the main spaghetti model, and the consensus model in the first post of this thread. They will update automatically when new data arrives so it will be a complete update for anyone potentially in the path of Dorian... that will be one easy click to be current with the situation.

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18 minutes ago, Bandito said:

It was tongue in cheek. Actually the government researched doing so well before Trump became President. But don't let facts get in your way

 

I'm well aware. And wasn't concerned with "facts" when I posted it for that part of my post was also "tongue in cheek" But you also, don't let facts get in your way.   ?

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14 hours ago, Special K said:

I'm north of Orlando, and we are still not sure what to expect....very stressful times for the entire peninsula of Florida.(even those of us who are inland, like me).

 

Two years ago, the remnants of the core of Irma passed right over my house, and we were without power for almost a week...the slow movement of this one is what is so concerning(flooding, prolonged exposure to high winds).

 

This makes 4 consecutive years that a major hurricane will hit the state, yet on average 800 people a week move to the state....something has got to give.

I'm just east of Tampa... I was watching the Bills/Jets opening game when Irma was hitting, same place I sit here typing right now. Oaks in the back yard were cracking and then coming down. One eye on the game, the other watching the turmoil in the back yard.

 

2 years later we open with the Jets and now this. ***** the Jets.

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My sister is just shutting things off... Shutters closed, power and water off and leaving Stuart now.  She's right on the ocean, yards away.  Said... It was a ghost town.

1 hour ago, njbuff said:

This thing is basically going to stall over Florida as of now.

 

Yikes.

 

If you are in Florida, please be safe.

Two highs.  One over the Ocean above.  One over The States.  Got no where to go, being blocked.  Like poster said, best bet, ride the groove between them if the high over Bermuda nudges east.

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Just now, row_33 said:

.

or your place?

 

A. I'm pretty sure the owner is fully insured.

B. It's an f'ing golf course - get over it

 

The shame is that in order for that tiny piece of universal karma to happen people in West Palm Beach and several other much less well off places will get destroyed as well and they won't have the resources to that the owner of mar-a-lago does and I'm pretty certain that the owner of mar-a-lago doesn't give a damn about them to help them either so it would be best if that didn't happen. So, yeah, hurricanes are bad and I don't want people's stuff destroyed or for them to die.  I don't think the owner of mar-a-lago will be overly inconvenienced either way.

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