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Alex Smith vs. Sam Bradford


Alex Smith vs. Sam Bradford  

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  1. 1. If you had to choose between these two veteran quarterbacks, which one would it be?

    • Alex Smith
      106
    • Sam Bradford
      33


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As a Qb id prefer Bradford.  His injury history is what it is.  Also, the last few years when healthy he showed to be an above average Qb and healthy today is a better Qb than Taylor.  I think that Bradford should be the target.   Buffalo could sign Bradford and a starting DT for much less than the price tag for Cousin.  Im for Buffalo using the Fa period to bring in guys to compete for spots at each of the weakness or holes on the roster. Use the Draft to get a Qb you think could become a Franchise Qb and spend the second and third round picks to find a starter or day 1 sub package starter on offense and defense.  I think that is the best option Buffalo could go.  Im not saying I wouldn't reach out to Cousins but if he wants 25 mil plus a year and a massive guarantee like I expect him to want I would move on to the next guy on my list.  With Cousins being the hot commodity playing the averages and making a move for Bradford or which ever Qb they like first may be the smart move so you are not stuck with out a Qb when it all said and done.

4 minutes ago, Jay_Fixit said:

I’d prefer if Bridgewater was available but for your thread, I think Smith would be the better choice as far as a QB goes.

 

However, since the Chiefs are asking quite a bit, I’d prefer Bradford. If he’s healthy, he can play.

 

I hope that’s clear as mud.

 

Id prefer Bridgewater but Imo he seems to be Zimmers guy.  There was talk he would be the starter this year but Keenum went a run and didnt give Bridgewater a chance.  I think the Op is using the logic that Minny keeps 2 and those two most likley are Keenum and Bridgewater.  

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9 minutes ago, JohnBonhamRocks said:

Also chose Bradford because:

(a) injury history does not matter in this scenario as we are likely handing the reigns to a rookie QB sooner than later anyways; 

(b) costs less $;

(c) does not cost draft capital;

(d) has higher upside (if can stay healthy) because more talented

Reply to (a) If sooner is not sometime in the first three games, you're likely going to be disappointed in your investment.

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37 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

For me it’s Smith and not very close. I don’t trust Bradford at all. Alex Smith played the best football of his career and is a good option for the next few years. If the Bills can get him for their 3 and the pick that they got for Ragland that would be great. If they have to insert a 2 instead so be it. 

 

The issue I have with Smith is that he is only under a 1 year deal, and many people will want Smith, so I think it will take a 2nd.  Then, he is going to want to cash-in.  I'm also not sure if he throws with anticipation.  And the 0 TD's to WR's of 2 years ago worries me.  

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Of course, one can simply deny the premise of the question.  You're not forced to choose between Bradford or Smith.  Get a wily vet who shakes loose for cheap and move up to get a potential franchise qb that could plausibly start (Mayfield, for example.)

Edited by Dr. Who
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I really like Bradford, but like Cousins he becomes your franchise quarterback. He is going to take a significant investment, at least the next 4 years. Not gonna get the money like Cousins, be isnt going to sign a 1 year deal. He is going to sign to be the guy. He's an borderline great player, but he always hurt. If I'm making that investment I probably take Bridgewater instead because he is younger and has similar question marks. 

 

I prefer Smith because he could be a bridge, or he could be the guys for the next 4-5 years. He gives you options. I really want a young guy drafted to be the guy for the next 10-15 years. Smith allows you to do that and still make the playoffs next year.  

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For context:

 

Bradford stats:  Advanced Passing   (100 is average, higher is better)

 
Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS QBrec Att Y/A+ NY/A+ AY/A+ ANY/A+ Cmp%+ TD%+ Int%+ Sack%+ Rate+
Career       80 80 34-45-1 2887                  
2010 23 STL QB 8 16 16 7-9-0 590 81 84 87 88 98 86 106 106 92
2011 24 STL QB 8 10 10 1-9-0 357 79 73 86 82 75 71 119 76 82
2012 25 STL QB 8 16 16 7-8-1 551 92 94 96 97 96 95 107 104 97
2013 26 STL qb 8 7 7 3-4-0 262 83 89 100 102 96 111 119 108 105
2015 28 PHI QB 7 14 14 7-7-0 532 95 98 93 95 108 89 96 108 95
2016 29 MIN QB 8 15 15 7-8-0 552 97 96 105 104 135 91 126 98 115

 

 

Smith stats:   Advanced Passing   (100 is average, higher is better)

 
Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS QBrec Att Y/A+ NY/A+ AY/A+ ANY/A+ Cmp%+ TD%+ Int%+ Sack%+ Rate+
Career       156 151 88-62-1 4613                
2005 21 SFO qb 11 9 7 2-5-0 165 73 60 53 49 71 60 40 47 49
2006 22 SFO QB 11 16 16 7-9-0 442 94 94 92 92 93 96 92 94 92
2007 23 SFO qb 11 7 7 2-5-0 193 56 59 69 69 57 66 115 88 66
2009 25 SFO QB 11 11 10 5-5-0 372 88 90 92 93 98 109 96 103 98
2010 26 SFO QB 11 11 10 3-7-0 342 98 98 98 98 97 98 101 95 98
2011 27 SFO QB 11 16 16 13-3-0 445 99 93 108 104 103 95 128 77 108
2012 28 SFO QB 11 10 9 6-2-1 218 117 107 117 111 133 118 108 71 123
2013* 29 KAN QB 11 15 15 11-4-0 508 85 87 100 99 96 102 122 94 103
2014 30 KAN QB 11 15 15 8-7-0 464 96 92 104 101 112 93 121 81 107
2015 31 KAN QB 11 16 16 11-5-0 470 105 99 109 104 110 98 116 79 109
2016* 32 KAN QB 11 15 15 11-4-0 489 100 104 101 104 117 85 113 105 103
2017* 33 KAN QB 11 15 15 9-6-0 505 120 117 123 121 119 111 123 97 123

 

 

Tyrod Taylor:   Advanced Passing   (100 is average, higher is better)

 
Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS QBrec Att Y/A+ NY/A+ AY/A+ ANY/A+ Cmp%+ TD%+ Int%+ Sack%+ Rate+
Career       58 43 22-20-0 1271                
2015* 26 BUF QB/wr 5 14 14 7-6-0 380 119 109 120 113 103 110 115 79 115
2016 27 BUF QB 5 15 15 7-8-0 436 95 92 102 99 96 94 117 78 101
2017 28 BUF QB 5 15 14 8-6-0 420 91 84 100 95 100 89 124 68 101

 

 

Edited by Lurker
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53 minutes ago, Wayne Arnold said:

The more I analyze this Buffalo Bills offseason, the more I think our 2018 starting QB could come down to either Alex Smith or Sam Bradford.

 

When it comes to the Draft, the Bills are in a tough spot at picks 21/22. Teams are going to want a king's ransom in order to move up to the Top 10 (much less Top 5).

 

I also see this QB class as being way more flawed than people choose to believe. Each prospect has his own warts. There might be a star in this class, but no one knows who it is. It might be the 1st rated QB in the class, or it might be the 5th rated. It's a total crap shoot.

 

So what is the Bills' best option for 2018 (and beyond)? It might be one of the veteran QB's that will be available.

 

Kirk Cousins: As much as I would love it to happen, I don't see Kirk Cousins being realistic for us considering the lack of cap space we have and the competition for his services.

Teddy Bridgewater: This guy is a total question mark due to his knee. I'm guessing that he'll stay with the Vikings on a prove-you-can-still-play one-year contract extension.

Case Keenum: I think the Vikings give him a solid contract extension.

 

The rest are trash.

 

That leaves Sam Bradford (Free Agent) and Alex Smith (under contract with the Chiefs)

 

Sam Bradford Upside:

 

  • Despite having nearly a decade of experience as a starting NFL QB in this league, Bradford will still only be 30 years old when the 2018 season begins
  • Won't have to give up any draft picks for him
  • Considering his injury history, he may be good value if we can get him at a price lower than expected
  • Career at an upward trajectory - had a career year in 2016 and played at a very high level in his two starts in 2017
  • Played under Josh McDaniels in 2011, so may be already acclimated to many of Brain Daboll's concepts

 

Sam Bradford Downside

 

  • Has been plagued by injuries for much of his career. Can he get and stay healthy?
  • Risky acquisition. Can we afford him considering all the competition for the services of quarterback out there?

 

Alex Smith Upside:

 

  • Coming off the best season of his career
  • Competitive guy, underdog 'me-against-the-world' mentality could fit in well in Buffalo

 

Alex Smith Downside:

 

  • Must give up draft picks to get him
  • Only one year left on his deal - is he worth it?
  • Can he perform at such a high level without Andy Reid?
  • Some describe him as Tyrod Taylor without the wheels - doesn't read the field quickly and hesitates to throw to WR who aren't wide open
  • Turns 35 years old this May - how much does he have left?

 

Thoughts?

 

 

I chose Bradford just because there are no picks involved.   He is talented when healthy and if he goes down it gives Peterman another opportunity.

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Remember when Tyrod pantsed Alex smith?

 

Lmao.

 

On a serious note tho.

 

Bradford is the better QB and its obvious.

 

The mitigating factor here is durability.

 

For that reason alone id sign AS, especially if we are taking any rookie QB not named Mayfield, Darnold, or Rosen.

 

Can you imagine the devestation if Bradford gets hurt and we have to start NP all year? 

 

Well at least we would be tanking properly 

 

 

 

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48 minutes ago, Like A Mofo said:

Smith I would select, but is Smith really that much of an upgrade over keeping Tyrod and NOT giving up and a 2nd and 4th round pick?

 

I think he is at this point, yes, provided we upgrade at WR and give him some good targets to throw to.

I view Smith as the ceiling Tyrod Taylor could potentially reach if you give him 3 more years under a consistent high-quality OC.  We don't have 3 more years to give Taylor.  Take Smith and draft the best rookie left when we pick (or modest trade-up)

 

I'm not sure KC gets a 2nd and 4th for Smith.  A lot depends on how the QB draft class continues to shake out and the FA QB market.

 

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6 minutes ago, Lurker said:

For context:

 

Bradford career stats:

 

Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD TD% Int Int% Lng Y/A AY/A Y/C Y/G Rate QBR Sk Yds NY/A ANY/A Sk% 4QC GWD AV
Career       80 80 34-45-1 1805 2887 62.5 19049 101 3.5 57 2.0 80 6.6 6.4 10.6 238.1 85.1   190 1338 5.76 5.58 6.2 7 8 48
4 yrs STL     49 49 18-30-1 1032 1760 58.6 11065 59 3.4 38 2.2 80 6.3 6.0 10.7 225.8 79.3   120 822 5.45 5.17 6.4 6 5 27
2 yrs MIN     17 17 9-8-0 427 595 71.8 4259 23 3.9 5 0.8 71 7.2 7.6 10.0 250.5 101.1   42 316 6.19 6.56 6.6 1 1 12
1 yr PHI     14 14 7-7-0 346 532 65.0 3725 19 3.6 14 2.6 78 7.0 6.5 10.8 266.1 86.4   28 200 6.29 5.85 5.0 0 2 9
2010 23 STL QB 8 16 16 7-9-0 354 590 60.0 3512 18 3.1 15 2.5 49 6.0 5.4 9.9 219.5 76.5 49.6 34 244 5.24 4.73 5.4     9
2011 24 STL QB 8 10 10 1-9-0 191 357 53.5 2164 6 1.7 6 1.7 68 6.1 5.6 11.3 216.4 70.5 34.4 36 248 4.88 4.49 9.2 1 1 3
2012 25 STL QB 8 16 16 7-8-1 328 551 59.5 3702 21 3.8 13 2.4 80 6.7 6.4 11.3 231.4 82.6 55.7 35 233 5.92 5.64 6.0 4 3 9
2013 26 STL qb 8 7 7 3-4-0 159 262 60.7 1687 14 5.3 4 1.5 73 6.4 6.8 10.6 241.0 90.9 58.2 15 97 5.74 6.10 5.4 1 1 6
2015 28 PHI QB 7 14 14 7-7-0 346 532 65.0 3725 19 3.6 14 2.6 78 7.0 6.5 10.8 266.1 86.4 42.8 28 200 6.29 5.85 5.0 0 2 9
2016 29 MIN QB 8 15 15 7-8-0 395 552 71.6 3877 20 3.6 5 0.9 71 7.0 7.3 9.8 258.5 99.3 59.0 37 276 6.11 6.41 6.3 1 1 11
2017 30 MIN qb 8 2 2 2-0-0 32 43 74.4 382 3 7.0 0 0.0 44 8.9 10.3 11.9 191.0 124.4 72.4 5 40 7.13 8.38 10.4     1

 

Smith career stats: 

 

Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD TD% Int Int% Lng Y/A AY/A Y/C Y/G Rate QBR Sk Yds NY/A ANY/A Sk% 4QC GWD AV
Career       156 151 88-62-1 2877 4613 62.4 31888 183 4.0 96 2.1 80 6.9 6.8 11.1 204.4 87.4   388 2203 5.94 5.80 7.8 19 23 112
7 yrs SFO     80 75 38-36-1 1290 2177 59.3 14280 81 3.7 63 2.9 75 6.6 6.0 11.1 178.5 79.1   196 1182 5.52 5.01 8.3 10 12 40
5 yrs KAN     76 76 50-26-0 1587 2436 65.1 17608 102 4.2 33 1.4 80 7.2 7.5 11.1 231.7 94.8   192 1021 6.31 6.52 7.3 9 11 72
2005 21 SFO qb 11 9 7 2-5-0 84 165 50.9 875 1 0.6 11 6.7 47 5.3 2.4 10.4 97.2 40.8   29 185 3.56 1.11 14.9 1 2 -3
2006 22 SFO QB 11 16 16 7-9-0 257 442 58.1 2890 16 3.6 16 3.6 75 6.5 5.6 11.2 180.6 74.8 46.4 35 202 5.64 4.80 7.3 1 2 10
2007 23 SFO qb 11 7 7 2-5-0 94 193 48.7 914 2 1.0 4 2.1 45 4.7 4.0 9.7 130.6 57.2 19.5 17 121 3.78 3.11 8.1 2 2 0
2009 25 SFO QB 11 11 10 5-5-0 225 372 60.5 2350 18 4.8 12 3.2 73 6.3 5.8 10.4 213.6 81.5 45.0 22 134 5.62 5.17 5.6     7
2010 26 SFO QB 11 11 10 3-7-0 204 342 59.6 2370 14 4.1 10 2.9 62 6.9 6.4 11.6 215.5 82.1 46.2 25 140 6.08 5.61 6.8     6
2011 27 SFO QB 11 16 16 13-3-0 273 445 61.3 3144 17 3.8 5 1.1 56 7.1 7.3 11.5 196.5 90.7 57.2 44 263 5.89 6.13 9.0 6 6 13
2012 28 SFO QB 11 10 9 6-2-1 153 218 70.2 1737 13 6.0 5 2.3 55 8.0 8.1 11.4 173.7 104.1 67.3 24 137 6.61 6.76 9.9     7
2013* 29 KAN QB 11 15 15 11-4-0 308 508 60.6 3313 23 4.5 7 1.4 71 6.5 6.8 10.8 220.9 89.1 48.1 39 210 5.67 5.94 7.1 1 1 14
2014 30 KAN QB 11 15 15 8-7-0 303 464 65.3 3265 18 3.9 6 1.3 70 7.0 7.2 10.8 217.7 93.4 56.8 45 229 5.96 6.14 8.8 3 3 13
2015 31 KAN QB 11 16 16 11-5-0 307 470 65.3 3486 20 4.3 7 1.5 80 7.4 7.6 11.4 217.9 95.4 64.1 45 235 6.31 6.48 8.7 1 1 16
2016* 32 KAN QB 11 15 15 11-4-0 328 489 67.1 3502 15 3.1 8 1.6 80 7.2 7.0 10.7 233.5 91.2 66.1 28 140 6.50 6.39 5.4 3 3 12
2017* 33 KAN QB 11 15 15 9-6-0 341 505 67.5 4042 26 5.1 5 1.0 79 8.0 8.6 11.9 269.5 104.7 63.4 35 207 7.10 7.65 6.5 1 3 17

 

Interesting.  throwing Taylor in there fore comparison.  Other than less yards per game, Taylor is as good or better in every category.  TD%, INT%, Comp%,  QB Rating, yards per pass, and his yards per game as a starter are pretty equal to Smith over his career (201 vs 204).  Plus Taylor is younger.  I say if you make a move for anyone you go Bradford or you stick with Taylor.  

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Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD TD% Int Int% Lng Y/A AY/A Y/C Y/G Rate QBR Sk Yds NY/A ANY/A Sk% 4QC GWD AV
Career       58 43 22-20-0 793 1271 62.4 9056 51 4.0 18 1.4 84 7.1 7.3 11.4 156.1 91.2   129 693 5.97 6.12 9.2 3 5 41
4 yrs BAL     14 0   19 35 54.3 199 0 0.0 2 5.7 25 5.7 3.1 10.5 14.2 47.2   5 33 4.15 1.90 12.5     1
3 yrs BUF     44 43 22-20-0 774 1236 62.6 8857 51 4.1 16 1.3 84 7.2 7.4 11.4 201.3 92.5   124 660 6.03 6.25 9.1 3 5 40
2011 22 BAL   2 3 0   1 1 100.0 18 0 0.0 0 0.0 18 18.0 18.0 18.0 6.0 118.7 14.7 2 3 5.00 5.00 66.7     0
2012 23 BAL   2 7 0   17 29 58.6 179 0 0.0 1 3.4 25 6.2 4.6 10.5 25.6 62.3 68.8 3 30 4.66 3.25 9.4     1
2013 24 BAL   2 3 0   1 5 20.0 2 0 0.0 1 20.0 2 0.4 -8.6 2.0 0.7 0.0 73.2 0 0 0.40 -8.60 0.0     0
2014 25 BAL   2 1 0   0 0   0 0   0   0       0.0   1.7 0 0           0
2015* 26 BUF QB/wr 5 14 14 7-6-0 242 380 63.7 3035 20 5.3 6 1.6 63 8.0 8.3 12.5 216.8 99.4 70.3 36 212 6.79 7.10 8.7 1 2 13
2016 27 BUF QB 5 15 15 7-8-0 269 436 61.7 3023 17 3.9 6 1.4 84 6.9 7.1 11.2 201.5 89.7 68.2 42 192 5.92 6.07 8.8 1 1 15
2017 28 BUF QB 5 15 14 8-6-0 263 420 62.6 2799 14 3.3 4 1.0 47 6.7 6.9 10.6 186.6 89.2 56.4 46 256 5.46 5.67 9.9 1 2 12
1 playoff game - full playoff gamelogs
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1 minute ago, VABills said:

Interesting.  throwing Taylor in there fore comparison.  Other than less yards per game, Taylor is as good or better in every category.  TD%, INT%, Comp%,  QB Rating, yards per pass, and his yards per game as a starter are pretty equal to Smith over his career (201 vs 204).  Plus Taylor is younger.  I say if you make a move for anyone you go Bradford or you stick with Taylor.  

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Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD TD% Int Int% Lng Y/A AY/A Y/C Y/G Rate QBR Sk Yds NY/A ANY/A Sk% 4QC GWD AV
Career       58 43 22-20-0 793 1271 62.4 9056 51 4.0 18 1.4 84 7.1 7.3 11.4 156.1 91.2   129 693 5.97 6.12 9.2 3 5 41
4 yrs BAL     14 0   19 35 54.3 199 0 0.0 2 5.7 25 5.7 3.1 10.5 14.2 47.2   5 33 4.15 1.90 12.5     1
3 yrs BUF     44 43 22-20-0 774 1236 62.6 8857 51 4.1 16 1.3 84 7.2 7.4 11.4 201.3 92.5   124 660 6.03 6.25 9.1 3 5 40
2011 22 BAL   2 3 0   1 1 100.0 18 0 0.0 0 0.0 18 18.0 18.0 18.0 6.0 118.7 14.7 2 3 5.00 5.00 66.7     0
2012 23 BAL   2 7 0   17 29 58.6 179 0 0.0 1 3.4 25 6.2 4.6 10.5 25.6 62.3 68.8 3 30 4.66 3.25 9.4     1
2013 24 BAL   2 3 0   1 5 20.0 2 0 0.0 1 20.0 2 0.4 -8.6 2.0 0.7 0.0 73.2 0 0 0.40 -8.60 0.0     0
2014 25 BAL   2 1 0   0 0   0 0   0   0       0.0   1.7 0 0           0
2015* 26 BUF QB/wr 5 14 14 7-6-0 242 380 63.7 3035 20 5.3 6 1.6 63 8.0 8.3 12.5 216.8 99.4 70.3 36 212 6.79 7.10 8.7 1 2 13
2016 27 BUF QB 5 15 15 7-8-0 269 436 61.7 3023 17 3.9 6 1.4 84 6.9 7.1 11.2 201.5 89.7 68.2 42 192 5.92 6.07 8.8 1 1 15
2017 28 BUF QB 5 15 14 8-6-0 263 420 62.6 2799 14 3.3 4 1.0 47 6.7 6.9 10.6 186.6 89.2 56.4 46 256 5.46 5.67 9.9 1 2 12
1 playoff game - full playoff gamelogs

 

They're not sticking with Taylor.

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1 minute ago, Wayne Arnold said:

 

They're not sticking with Taylor.

I tend to agree, but neither of these two is an upgrade over Taylor.  Plus at 201 YPG, he also adds another 40 RPG that these two don't so in effect you wind up better off with Taylor.  

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1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said:

For me it’s Smith and not very close. I don’t trust Bradford at all. Alex Smith played the best football of his career and is a good option for the next few years. If the Bills can get him for their 3 and the pick that they got for Ragland that would be great. If they have to insert a 2 instead so be it. 

McD preaches availability so on that score alone, we won't get Bradford

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43 minutes ago, FearLess Price said:

Remember when Tyrod pantsed Alex smith?

image.thumb.png.16c95403477b9c4a263477384557798a.png 

image.thumb.png.26df550923ccecbe4c038f49c5a844e2.png

 

The Punt, Punt, Punt TD 1st QTR? 

1:36 2nd and 9 at KC11Tyrod Taylor pass to the left to Zay Jones for 11 yards for a TOUCHDOWN.

 

 

The defense did it's job 

 

Edited by ShadyBillsFan
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Alex Smith in a heartbeat. I find Bradford so overrated 

44 minutes ago, FearLess Price said:

Remember when Tyrod pantsed Alex smith?

 

Lmao.

 

On a serious note tho.

 

Bradford is the better QB and its obvious.

 

The mitigating factor here is durability.

 

For that reason alone id sign AS, especially if we are taking any rookie QB not named Mayfield, Darnold, or Rosen.

 

Can you imagine the devestation if Bradford gets hurt and we have to start NP all year? 

 

Well at least we would be tanking properly 

 

 

 

Why is it obvious Bradford is better?

 

What has Bradford accomplished in almost 10 years in this league?

 

I don’t believe he’s ever even played in the playoffs 

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