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What we've learned about McDermott & Beane from this season


Dr. K

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12 minutes ago, Sweats said:

You know what i've learned?...........our HC and GM are learning as they go.

 

Isn't that exactly what we're looking for from a professional franchise when determining player management?

 

Aye Carumba

 

So do you think that Bill Polian and Marv Levy were just born great GM and coach? Hell no.

 

They sure look a hell of a lot better than any combination we have had in a long, long time, so I will give them the benefit of the doubt.

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I believe the "clean house" comment to be sarcasm.  You would think all Bills fans would have thick skin by now, but maybe some are just on their last nerve.

 

As for this summary, I might look at a couple of the points differently than posted here.  One has to do with "the process."  The fact of the matter here is that this franchise has lost a culture that expects success (17 non-playoff years will do that).  Through 4 SB appearances, the culture assumed regular success and playoff appearances.  After our last SB, we appeared in the playoffs for of the next six years.  Unfortunately, after Kelly and the gang left, we found that we had not in fact built a successful franchise (such as GB, or Pittsburgh), but instead had a nice run with a Hall of Fame group.

 

I think the players jettisoned, including Watkins and Dareus, presented as me guys, not we guys, so McDermott felt the need to make it clear that type of attitude does not win and is not needed for our rebuild.  The Rams are winning because of a superior D line and Gurley, not so much Watkins.  Dareus has not make a significant impact since joining the Jags.  They both may have made some plays on the field that could have been helpful, but I suspect their influence in the locker room was not positive overall.

 

Although I agree, he's probably not much of a risk taker, I don't think we have enough playmakers to reward him for taking too many risks.  It will be fascinating to see if our drafts lean toward defensive, or offensive dominant.  The types of offensive players he's accumulated so far (Z. Jones, Benjamin) are more workmanlike type guys than take the top off guys.  Unless that changes, you are probably right, but I'd like to see a couple of burners with the guys we have now.  That would be fun to see what he does then.

 

For the same reason I listed above (limited talent), I'll reserve judgement on his ability to manage a game.  He's done some things I wouldn't do, but I suspect he's not in a position to get very exotic with what we put on the field, so again, until we can build a more talented team, this group is going to look very vanilla.  Remember how the Brady offense looked until he got Moss and Welker.  Once he had luxury toys to play with, he was a pretty vanilla QB also.

 

Although we've all waited far longer than we should to see a truly successful team on the field, I think what I've seen this year has been more encouraging than I've seen in a long time.  We just have to pray next year is not a significant regression.

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I think McDermott is not up to date on football metrics & win probability. He knows Tyrod is limited but so is Peterman. Going 8-8 will be hailed as an achievement. The trouble is finding a QB. If they strike out, I doubt Pegula waits for things to turn past 2019. Pegula give Beane & McDermott 2018 to find & develop a QB. That gives them 2019 possibly 2020 to start competing for the playoffs. It shouldn’t take a competent coach & GM 3 seasons to make the playoffs. It has to happen either 2018, or 2019 or they’re both gone.

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As is usual, I assume it will come down to whether McDermott/Beane can find and develop a QB.  The Texans' offense looked great with Watson and terrible with the other QBs that have started for them this year.  Denver still has a strong defense, but they are on the field too much this year (and short fields because of turnovers and the failure of the offense to even generate yards), and now they look pedestrian.  Green Bay was barely able to tread water without Rogers.  The Rams have become a strong team because of the development of Goff.  Same with Philly with Wentz (until his injury).  It really is about the QB.  

 

 

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9 minutes ago, yungmack said:

So is McVay...

With a former number 1 pick at QB. It is funny how coaches look pretty good with a QB who can consistently play well at QB and throw over 300 yards in a regular basis. A QB can make or break a coach's career (see Bellicheat with Brady).

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1 hour ago, Haslett_Stomp said:

Give him some time.  When they focused on him on the sideline he was clearly really pissed yesterday once he realized that the fix was in with the Pats**.   Sure, he's still learning but Romo's comments regarding the play where he matched Hoody on 4th down (forcing them to kick a FG) were spot on and an indication he is going to be a good coach. More to come for sure but I'm sure we can all agree that we are feeling better about the Bills than we were at the beginning of the season.

 

Agreed. 

 

McDermott is by no means perfect so far, but he's definitely the best coach to come our way in the drought era.  He has effectively replaced every member of the secondary, and that group is suddenly a team strength.  He knows how to lead men, and I'd say he has shown that he can get the most out of a group of them.  We will probably be 9-7, and much of this board had them at 4-12 or worse once Watkins & Darby were shipped off.  
 
McDermott and Beane were in a tough spot - trying to be competitive while also doing what's right for the future.  You can't have your cake and eat it too, but they did about as good a job of it as you possibly could.  We are just not ready to do any damage in the NFL playoffs yet.  The Pats and/or Steelers would totally dismantle us.  So I don't care a lot about ending the drought this year, I just think we will need to employ a better QB before we can be taken seriously as a contender.
 
Tyrod is not nearly the worst we have seen at QB, but I am convinced he is only just good enough to tease you.  We need quicker & more threatening downfield ball distribution from that position.  So blame McD for the Peterman start if you must, but I actually credit him for trying something different when our offense was so inept (at NYJ & vs NO). Blame him & Beane for our sometimes porous run D because Dareus is gone, but I actually thank them for freeing us up from an absolutely crippling contract for a guy who gave almost zero production & buy-in combined.
 
I do indeed trust McDermott and the process. 
 
Now, let's keep our picks, go sign Alex Smith or Kirk Cousins or Foles or whoever you can... draft one too... and let's giddyup!
 
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45 minutes ago, Magox said:

Considering the lack of talent, he's done a hell of a job.  Sure, his game managing skills need work but coaching is so much more than game management.  He's got this team motivated and playing above their talent level.   Next year, when this defense completely revamps its front 7 and improves the offensive line, this team is going to improve markedly from where it is right now.   What's killing this team more than anything is it's front 7.   They can't shut down the run and they can't get pressure.   McD/Beane realize this and they will do everything they possibly can both in the draft and FA to improve that.  I wouldn't be surprised if we see 4-5 new starters in the front 7 this coming year.

This!

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47 minutes ago, Magox said:

Considering the lack of talent, he's done a hell of a job.  Sure, his game managing skills need work but coaching is so much more than game management.  He's got this team motivated and playing above their talent level.   Next year, when this defense completely revamps its front 7 and improves the offensive line, this team is going to improve markedly from where it is right now.   What's killing this team more than anything is it's front 7.   They can't shut down the run and they can't get pressure.   McD/Beane realize this and they will do everything they possibly can both in the draft and FA to improve that.  I wouldn't be surprised if we see 4-5 new starters in the front 7 this coming year.

 

As Jim Carrey said in Dumb and Dumber...

 

"I like it A LOT" :D

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1 hour ago, Foreigner said:

He may get along by his coaching, but all the personnel decisions made this year have been

so bad. And even though Beane is GM don't think for one second that McDermott didn't

have his fingerprints over everything that goes on.

Who do you think is calling the shots, Pegula, Brandon? Please, they have as much knowledge

running a football team, as they do a hockey team.    

I can't think of a single personnel decision that I wouldn't have done if I was in their shoes.  They are shaping this roster to fit their philosophy.  Me first guys are gone and they are set up for a great draft.  

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58 minutes ago, Magox said:

Considering the lack of talent, he's done a hell of a job.  Sure, his game managing skills need work but coaching is so much more than game management.  He's got this team motivated and playing above their talent level.   Next year, when this defense completely revamps its front 7 and improves the offensive line, this team is going to improve markedly from where it is right now.   What's killing this team more than anything is it's front 7.   They can't shut down the run and they can't get pressure.   McD/Beane realize this and they will do everything they possibly can both in the draft and FA to improve that.  I wouldn't be surprised if we see 4-5 new starters in the front 7 this coming year.

Not sure I can agree with this. Who is playing above their talent level. I think we all agree the front 7 is weak, as is the right side of the O-Line. Zay Jones, not above his talent level.

I think he's done well enough to be confident going into next season, but we are playing at our talent level. We are an 8-7 team right now.

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43 minutes ago, familykwi said:

I believe the "clean house" comment to be sarcasm.  You would think all Bills fans would have thick skin by now, but maybe some are just on their last nerve.

 

As for this summary, I might look at a couple of the points differently than posted here.  One has to do with "the process."  The fact of the matter here is that this franchise has lost a culture that expects success (17 non-playoff years will do that).  Through 4 SB appearances, the culture assumed regular success and playoff appearances.  After our last SB, we appeared in the playoffs for of the next six years.  Unfortunately, after Kelly and the gang left, we found that we had not in fact built a successful franchise (such as GB, or Pittsburgh), but instead had a nice run with a Hall of Fame group.

 

I think the players jettisoned, including Watkins and Dareus, presented as me guys, not we guys, so McDermott felt the need to make it clear that type of attitude does not win and is not needed for our rebuild.  The Rams are winning because of a superior D line and Gurley, not so much Watkins.  Dareus has not make a significant impact since joining the Jags.  They both may have made some plays on the field that could have been helpful, but I suspect their influence in the locker room was not positive overall.

 

Although I agree, he's probably not much of a risk taker, I don't think we have enough playmakers to reward him for taking too many risks.  It will be fascinating to see if our drafts lean toward defensive, or offensive dominant.  The types of offensive players he's accumulated so far (Z. Jones, Benjamin) are more workmanlike type guys than take the top off guys.  Unless that changes, you are probably right, but I'd like to see a couple of burners with the guys we have now.  That would be fun to see what he does then.

 

For the same reason I listed above (limited talent), I'll reserve judgement on his ability to manage a game.  He's done some things I wouldn't do, but I suspect he's not in a position to get very exotic with what we put on the field, so again, until we can build a more talented team, this group is going to look very vanilla.  Remember how the Brady offense looked until he got Moss and Welker.  Once he had luxury toys to play with, he was a pretty vanilla QB also.

 

Although we've all waited far longer than we should to see a truly successful team on the field, I think what I've seen this year has been more encouraging than I've seen in a long time.  We just have to pray next year is not a significant regression.

 

34 minutes ago, Dr.Sack said:

I think McDermott is not up to date on football metrics & win probability. He knows Tyrod is limited but so is Peterman. Going 8-8 will be hailed as an achievement. The trouble is finding a QB. If they strike out, I doubt Pegula waits for things to turn past 2019. Pegula give Beane & McDermott 2018 to find & develop a QB. That gives them 2019 possibly 2020 to start competing for the playoffs. It shouldn’t take a competent coach & GM 3 seasons to make the playoffs. It has to happen either 2018, or 2019 or they’re both gone.

I agree with familykwi. There are two things that are overlooked in our discussions, they are the draft for 2017 , which was a success with six choices and six players that played. N.E. is a franchise who has Brady and a bunch of players. They do not draft well and they do not normally pay to keep players.They have excellent coaching. Romo said yesterday that Buffalo is on an upswing. I would believe that McD. , being a person who is willing to try a few things that work or don't work will learn from it and we will have a very successful  coach.I do not agree with Dr. Sack who wants to pull the plug after 2018 or 2019 because 2017 has been a very successful year, for the Bill's ,in retrospect.

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23 minutes ago, klos63 said:

Not sure I can agree with this. Who is playing above their talent level. I think we all agree the front 7 is weak, as is the right side of the O-Line. Zay Jones, not above his talent level.

I think he's done well enough to be confident going into next season, but we are playing at our talent level. We are an 8-7 team right now.

The team is playing above their talent level.

 

The collection of players we have right now should be a 4-12 to 6-10 team.   All the prognosticators thought that's where we'd be and that was even before we had traded the all-world decoy Sammy Watkins, underperformer Dareus and the legendary JAG in our back up running back Williams.

 

 

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30 minutes ago, Magox said:

The team is playing above their talent level.

 

The collection of players we have right now should be a 4-12 to 6-10 team.   All the prognosticators thought that's where we'd be and that was even before we had traded the all-world decoy Sammy Watkins, underperformer Dareus and the legendary JAG in our back up running back Williams.

 

 

I asked which players are playing about their talent level, the front 7? tolbert? Zay? Ducasse, Mills?

 

What makes prognosticators more knowledgeable than any of us? I said we should be in the playoffs just because we don't have Rex anymore.

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watched the Texans game today .  and saw the graphic that they were 9-7 the last three years.  I know Watt missed one of them but the Texans have a solid roster with a elite defender and still only 9-7 .  Why ? because of the qb.   Do what ever you want but until you get the qb 6-9 wins is where you end up 

take away the two Pats games that we are so lucky to play every year and Mcbean is 8-4 . I am not sure they would lose both home and home games to the other division leaders.   

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