Jump to content

Shady's value to the Bills...


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 481
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

I hate to admit it Badol, but even I'm really disappointed Shady comes in and has a hamstring problem. You would think this guy would take hot yoga or something to be as limber as possible.

 

If this is a ruse to get out of practice like Bruce Smith used to do, I'd rather that than McCoy getting hurt again.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NFL's scariest position groups: Ranking the top 10

 

10) Buffalo Bills' running backs

Rex Ryan's "ground and pound" attack features an electric veteran (LeSean McCoy) with explosive shake-and-bake skills and a big-bodied youngster (Karlos Williams) with big-play potential. In addition, the Bills have an emerging runner in Mike Gillislee with outstanding balance, body control and burst. I predict that, in an offense committed to pounding the ball between the tackles, the Bills' talented stable of runners will anchor the NFL's top-ranked rush attack for the second straight season.

 

 

 

Only if the QB rushes for 500-600 yards...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

 

Only if the QB rushes for 500-600 yards...

I have already shown you that attributing Buffalo's rushing prowess to QB yards is untrue.

 

They rank 5th in YPC and 6th in total yards when QB rushing yards are removed across the league

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This board is amazing.

I train athletes for a living and I can tell you for 100% sure that when people show up hurt, they weren't doing what they were supposed to do. Either that, or they were flat-out making it up like Byrd did.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I train athletes for a living and I can tell you for 100% sure that when people show up hurt, they weren't doing what they were supposed to do. Either that, or they were flat-out making it up like Byrd did.

For one, he didn't show up hurt--it tightened up and the team decided to hold him out

 

Secondly, I also work with athletes, and I've seen plenty of times that guys simply tweak something and it had zero to do with their level of preparation, so while it may be the case often, it's absolutely nowhere near 100% of the time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Oh, gawd, Here We Go Again. Karlos really is key

 

I know a lot of people here think that Karlos is the man, but he was horribly inconsistent last season and hasn't proven that he can be relied upon to be the 1st-string RB.

 

Sure, he had a pair of lights-out games rushing in his home state of Florida against the Fins, but otherwise he had a very pedestrian 4.1 ypc and really wasn't very good.

 

He was flat out awful against the Jets and Pats in those four games and against KC and the Giants. Nowhere close to good in those games.

 

He was good in very limited action as a role player vs. Washington and Indy, and otherwise had a decent game against Dallas.

 

So the data points for Karlos being as great as many people here seem to believe come down to those three games against the Fins and Dallas, both of whom had rushing Ds ranked in the 20s.

 

It's early in his career, he can become better and more consistent, but right now he's not ready to carry the torch for us at RB.

 

Besides, Shady has over a month to heal before training camp. If he goes easy 'til then he should be fine. Way too premature to be worried about him. Watkins is the worry.

This board is amazing.

 

LOL

I have already shown you that attributing Buffalo's rushing prowess to QB yards is untrue.

 

They rank 5th in YPC and 6th in total yards when QB rushing yards are removed across the league

 

It is true to an extent. We would have finished 10th behind the Jets after Taylor's 568 rushing yards are removed, and just ahead of the Bears & Packers, not two teams known for their rushing. We were still up there in YPC, but we also had the second fewest pass attempts in the league and the second most rushing attempts, we were easily the team that ran the highest percentage of the time, which skews that data.

 

Did it help us win? ... over say throwing more with an effective QB? You can decide that. I don't think it did.

 

I think that better pass/run balance would be good. The only team that ran the ball more than we did had the 6th-ranked scoring D in the league with an even greater dose from their QB.

Edited by TaskersGhost
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

 

It is true to an extent. We would have finished 10th behind the Jets after Taylor's 568 rushing yards are removed, and just ahead of the Bears & Packers, not two teams known for their rushing. We were still up there in YPC, but we also had the second fewest pass attempts in the league and the second most rushing attempts, we were easily the team that ran the highest percentage of the time, which skews that data.

 

Did it help us win? ... over say throwing more with an effective QB? You can decide that. I don't think it did.

 

I think that better pass/run balance would be good. The only team that ran the ball more than we did had the 6th-ranked scoring D in the league with an even greater dose from their QB.

 

I'd assert that it's not true to any extent.

 

You cannot remove Taylor's rushing yards and then compare Buffalo's ground game to the rest of the league unless you normalize the data by removing ALL QB rushing yards if you're going to go that route. Fortunately, I've already done this:

 

http://forums.twobillsdrive.com/topic/185916-bills-working-on-extensions-for-gilmore-maybe-tyrod/?view=findpost&p=3944423

 

6th in total rushing yards, and 1st (sorry, not 5th) in YPC.

 

Would you mind explaining how you drew the conclusion that running significantly more would result in a higher YPC? It's not readily apparent.

 

As to whether or not it helped us win, well, the results speak for themselves: the team was 0-5 in games where Tyrod Taylor attempted 30 or more passes; they were 8-1 in games in which he attempted fewer than 30 passes.

 

http://www.nfl.com/player/tyrodtaylor/2495240/gamelogs

Edited by thebandit27
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Someone tell me again why you would remove TT's rushing yards? Much less do that and then compare the Bills' rushing stats to the rest of the league...with their QB rushing stats?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Someone tell me again why you would remove TT's rushing yards? Much less do that and then compare the Bills' rushing stats to the rest of the league...with their QB rushing stats?

 

Usually, folks will seek to remove Taylor's rushing yards from the discussion if and only if they believe that the Bills' rushing yards (or YPC) was somehow artificially inflated by Taylor's rushing totals. It's a bit of a gloss-over, but it's understandable if someone hasn't looked at the numbers.

 

Now, why someone would then compare those numbers to the rest of the league's rushing totals including QB yards is something I cannot explain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I dont want to make more of this then it is....

 

but this would be the 2nd year in a row where Shady was having hammy issues? Cant the bills pay some massage therapist out there to massage his hammies?

 

I'd be shocked if they don't already. I also wouldn't be shocked if he's making it up. And I wouldn't be outraged if he was...in June.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

 

Only if the QB rushes for 500-600 yards...

 

Several posters have pointed out that if QB rushing yards are subtracted from all the top rushing teams, the Bills are still near the top - in some cases with the actual statistics attached.

It would be kind of nice to have this point "heard and understood"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So after factoring out Taylor and looking at ypc by backs. Gillislee, karlos, etc had longer runs. And their ypc wasn't that bad, either. So what's McCoys value?

He's the best RB on the roster. That's his value to them. It's that simple.

 

GO BILLS!!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So after factoring out Taylor and looking at ypc by backs. Gillislee, karlos, etc had longer runs. And their ypc wasn't that bad, either. So what's McCoys value?

 

I think Jamaal Charles is a better back than McCoy, but I wonder if there are Chiefs fans out there calling for the dumping of Charles and putting Spencer Ware in there. He had more YPC's, and 50% more TDs than the sluggish, oft-injured 29 year old Charles!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

The SI guys have Shady tied for 4th best NFL RB with Jamaal Charles.

I had Lynch, Charles and McCoy all on the same fantasy team last year. It did not turn out like I expected, to say the least.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

I think Jamaal Charles is a better back than McCoy, but I wonder if there are Chiefs fans out there calling for the dumping of Charles and putting Spencer Ware in there. He had more YPC's, and 50% more TDs than the sluggish, oft-injured 29 year old Charles!

 

 

Probably......the Chiefs were unquestionably a much better team last year when he was out due to injury..........but like you said, what has to be kept in perspective is that Charles is a much better player.

 

To the tune of a yard per attempt more than McCoy for his career.

 

McCoy has become a 4.3 ypa RB who doesn't score TD's while Charles is now a 5.0 ypa back who still scores TD's.

 

Jamal Charles also has a much less burdensome contract.

 

Charles signed a two year $18M extension last year while the Bills gave Shady an ill-advised(to be kind) 5 year $40M extension.

Edited by #BADOL
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have already shown you that attributing Buffalo's rushing prowess to QB yards is untrue.

 

They rank 5th in YPC and 6th in total yards when QB rushing yards are removed across the league

 

 

Yes. But the subject being discussed is "leading the league in rushing" again...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes. But the subject being discussed is "leading the league in rushing" again...

 

Does the league leading team n rushing yards never have QB yards included? The Seahawks led the league in rushing yards in 2014. Should we remove RW's rushing yards?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

 

Probably......the Chiefs were unquestionably a much better team last year when he was out due to injury..........but like you said, what has to be kept in perspective is that Charles is a much better player.

 

To the tune of a yard per attempt more than McCoy for his career.

 

McCoy has become a 4.3 ypa RB who doesn't score TD's while Charles is now a 5.0 ypa back who still scores TD's.

 

Jamal Charles also has a much less burdensome contract.

 

Charles signed a two year $18M extension last year while the Bills gave Shady an ill-advised(to be kind) 5 year $40M extension.

 

Ugh, I don't want to get into the Chiefs amazing turnaround from 1-5, to 10-0, even though I brought the Chiefs up, suffice to say it was not because Charles was out. Correlation does not imply causation. But they can feel free to give him to us if he is such a detriment to them winning. :thumbsup:

 

As for the contract, the Chiefs paid $9 million a year to extend a back into his "twilight" years (29-30), which people tell me is an awful idea because RB's expire around 27-28. The Bills sign LeSean McCoy at age 26 for a 5 year contract worth $8 million a year, and it's ill-advised.

 

We already discussed McCoy becoming a "4.3 ypc" player. You chose to ignore the years he wasn't out of convenience. They were "too far away, or long ago". McCoy is a 4.6 ypc player who tends to do better when he isn't injured. Proven by subsequent and consistent upswings in his ypc when he has an injury free season (2010, 2011, 2013). When he was injured and missed at least a quarter of the season his ypc's declined to 4.2 on average. Then he had his last year with Chip Kelly which he had notable disagreements with, and we can observe an increased use of Sproles, and Polk in their backfield. (Yet still had a 1,319 yard season, but only 4.2 ypc)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Does the league leading team n rushing yards never have QB yards included? The Seahawks led the league in rushing yards in 2014. Should we remove RW's rushing yards?

 

No you should not. But whether the Bills lead the league in rushing will depend only on the rushing production of TT (2nd in the league beside Newton), not that of McCoy and Karlos.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

No you should not. But whether the Bills lead the league in rushing will depend only on the rushing production of TT (2nd in the league beside Newton), not that of McCoy and Karlos.

 

Not necessarily. A healthy Shady could produce another 300-400 yards while a healthy Karlos or the addition of Jonathan Williams could do the same. That would eclipse TT's 568 yards.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Ugh, I don't want to get into the Chiefs amazing turnaround from 1-5, to 10-0, even though I brought the Chiefs up, suffice to say it was not because Charles was out. Correlation does not imply causation. But they can feel free to give him to us if he is such a detriment to them winning. :thumbsup:

 

As for the contract, the Chiefs paid $9 million a year to extend a back into his "twilight" years (29-30), which people tell me is an awful idea because RB's expire around 27-28. The Bills sign LeSean McCoy at age 26 for a 5 year contract worth $8 million a year, and it's ill-advised.

 

We already discussed McCoy becoming a "4.3 ypc" player. You chose to ignore the years he wasn't out of convenience. They were "too far away, or long ago". McCoy is a 4.6 ypc player who tends to do better when he isn't injured. Proven by subsequent and consistent upswings in his ypc when he has an injury free season (2010, 2011, 2013). When he was injured and missed at least a quarter of the season his ypc's declined to 4.2 on average. Then he had his last year with Chip Kelly which he had notable disagreements with, and we can observe an increased use of Sproles, and Polk in their backfield. (Yet still had a 1,319 yard season, but only 4.2 ypc)

 

1) So you are saying that the Chiefs were 10-0 without a "franchise" RB and only 1-5 with one? I don't know if that's accurate but you think that somehow supports your opinion? :flirt:

 

2) So Jamal Charles, who has been at or over 5 yards per attempt for EVERY year in his career, is in his twilight years and unworthy of a two year extension?.......while another finesse RB in Shady McCoy.......who has only ran for 4.2, 5.0, 4.2 and 4.4 averages in the past 4 seasons and needs everyone else to score the TD's for him and has 300+ more career NFL carries of mileage than Charles........was worthy of a FIVE year extension? :lol:

 

3) I'm sorry I don't go back 5 years for you......but as Kirby says, in the NFL you are what your record says you are........five years ago Charles was a 5.9-6.4 ypa RB.......is he still that same guy too? :lol:

 

Thanks for bringing up Jamal Charles. :thumbsup:

 

As you said........a much better player.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Not necessarily. A healthy Shady could produce another 300-400 yards while a healthy Karlos or the addition of Jonathan Williams could do the same. That would eclipse TT's 568 yards.

 

 

McCoy does not have another 1200-1300 season in him. And the two backups would be splitting the remaining carries, not adding total carries. Unless you think the staff is going to tell TT "do not run anymore", the play mix is likely to be the same this season as last.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

McCoy does not have another 1200-1300 season in him. And the two backups would be splitting the remaining carries, not adding total carries. Unless you think the staff is going to tell TT "do not run anymore", the play mix is likely to be the same this season as last.

That's pure conjecture. And the play mix might be the same (hopefully not since I want them to pass a lot more so we can see if TT is a franchise QB or not). But they very well could run more if the ground game is working and the defense is dominating. We'll see. But just a quick glance at the past 2 season shows that the top rushing had a little of rushing yards by the QB.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That's pure conjecture. And the play mix might be the same (hopefully not since I want them to pass a lot more so we can see if TT is a franchise QB or not). But they very well could run more if the ground game is working and the defense is dominating. We'll see. But just a quick glance at the past 2 season shows that the top rushing had a little of rushing yards by the QB.

No more conjecture than Easley can put up Hogan's numbers, eh Doc?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That's pure conjecture. And the play mix might be the same (hopefully not since I want them to pass a lot more so we can see if TT is a franchise QB or not). But they very well could run more if the ground game is working and the defense is dominating. We'll see. But just a quick glance at the past 2 season shows that the top rushing had a little of rushing yards by the QB.

 

 

Top rushing teams past 2 seasons had little rushing yards by the QB?

 

2015: needed the top rushing QB in the NFL's 636 yards to get to the number 2 spot behind the Bills. In fact the top 3 rushing teams were only the top 3 because their second leading rusher was their QB.

 

2014: Seattle, even with a 1300 yard RB in the roster, still needed over 800 yards from the QB to get to number one.

No more conjecture than Easley can put up Hogan's numbers, eh Doc?

 

 

And how many Bills coaching personnel have now concluded Easley isn't an NFL WR since they drafted him as such? Yet they threw the lacrosse player in there at WR....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Top rushing teams past 2 seasons had little rushing yards by the QB?

 

2015: needed the top rushing QB in the NFL's 636 yards to get to the number 2 spot behind the Bills. In fact the top 3 rushing teams were only the top 3 because their second leading rusher was their QB.

 

2014: Seattle, even with a 1300 yard RB in the roster, still needed over 800 yards from the QB to get to number one.

Phone autocorrected "a lot" to "little."
Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...