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Everything posted by billsfan89
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I think it is clear that Allen, Mayfield, and Darnold were the top 3 prospects to most organizations, Rosen was in a tier below (Which is not necessarily a knock on Rosen who would probably be a top 2 QB in most draft classes, that speaks to the strength of the draft class.) Jackson was then far below Rosen (and I think the knocks on Jackson were a little bit biased but he had his flaws.) 2018 might go down as one of the better QB draft classes in recent memory and the Bills just might have gotten the best out of the bunch.
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If I am speculating the Bills had a framework for a deal that probably worked for both sides in terms of draft pick compensation or at least the Steelers asking price was within the realm of what the Bills were willing to give up. The Bills knowing AB wanted an extension probably reached out to AB seeing how much he wanted and what it would take. Rosenhaus reached back out and said that AB didn't want to come to Buffalo and the whole thing collapsed. I think this is Rosenhaus protecting his client and trying to save face. I don't think the deal was as close as maybe reported but I do think that the Bills had a general framework in place and then went to put together the AB side of things and that's where it fell apart. Considering what the Bills did and continue to do in free agency I think it worked out OK.
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LB - Starters/Depth - Is more needed?
billsfan89 replied to ColoradoBills's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I see LB as a draft depth need. I think in the 4th or 5th round they draft a LB. They found Milano in round 5, so I think given that there is no intimidate need for a LB in terms of starting I think they can address the position well enough in round 4 or 5 (where the team has 4 picks.) The depth needs of this team to me are primarily at RB (Gore and Shady are ancient definitely need to spend a pick somewhere between rounds 3 and 5 on a RB,) LB (Not much behind the 3 starters and there needs to be an heir apparent behind Lorax,) and Safety (I am not sure what we have behind the two starters.) Luckily the team has plenty of picks in the mid rounds to address this. -
If the Bills were to make such a trade (And I am not sure Rosen would go for anything less than a 2nd plus a late rounder) they would have Rosen's not so light contract (Rosen's contract looks great for a starting QB or an heir apparent but it would make him among the highest paid back up QB's in the league) on the books guaranteed for 3 seasons. I just don't see this organization giving up a high third round pick for a backup QB whose contract is guaranteed at a significant cost for 3 seasons. It also doesn't help that Rosen isn't the same kind of QB as Josh (Although Barkley isn't that mobile either to be fair.) I think Rosen would be a good pickup for The Giants or any team needing a QB now or soon. I think a high second plus a sixth rounder should get it done. The Giants could easily give up their high second round pick and toss in a late round pick and then have picks 6 and 17 along with two third-round picks to build a team in other avenues. All my Giant fan friends want them to trade for Rosen and then draft DK with pick 6 and then turn around and draft a tackle pick 17 optimally trying to fill out the offense as best as possible as soon as possible then worry about the defense later when they have more cap space.
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If Oliver is there at 9 I am sold. I think pass rush is the team's top defensive need and among the team's top needs overall. Even after free agency the Bills still have some needs on offense but I don't see the value at WR, TE, or Tackle. I also think that after nabbing a top pass rusher like Oliver in round 1 the team can and will fill needs in rounds 2 and 3 on offense. Now unless there is an amazing draft the team will likely still have a couple of holes and depth issues. But an impactful draft where 2-3 starters and nice depth are found can cement the team's roster in a really nice way.
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Shocked the Jets didn't go with Pradis whose contract ended up being fairly reasonable.
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Should the NFL eliminate the onside kick?
billsfan89 replied to Buffalo03's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I say eliminate the kickoff and make it a 4th and 15 where the team can punt or go for a conversion. There is a great video on YouTube about how punts are more exciting and safer than kickoffs. -
Bills sign TE Jake Fisher to 1-year deal
billsfan89 replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Kind of a funky experimental signing. I really like it since it's low risk and innovative. -
A depth bubble guy not bad but not an Earth shattering signing either
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I think at this stage of free agency most players aren't getting a multi year deal esp a player with injury issues. I think he gets a one year deal but how much is that deal worth is the question? I think he gets between 6-8 million but I could see it a little higher or lower. I would be pleased to see the Bills land him, low risk high reward. I don't see why they would need a DE to go necessarily. They can carry Hughes, Ziggy, Murphy, and Lawson. Lorax plays linebacker and flexes into a pass rushing situations so I don't count him as a D-line player. Overall I think that the Bills are following the modern blueprint for defensive lines have a lot of subs and fresh legs rotating in and out as opposed to leaning heavily on a handful of star pass rushers. So I don't think Ziggy necessarily pushes someone out.
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What is fair trade value for Clowney?
billsfan89 replied to BrycePaup4ever's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It is usually a bad idea to give up significant draft compensation and cap space for a player (of course there are exceptions like the Mack trade which work out for the team trading for the big name player.) But I would imagine that the Texans are probably going to want significant compensation and Clowney is going to want an extension or wind up a pricy rental. I think it would take the Bills 2ndand 4thround picks or a 2ndplus a swap of first round picks. Which isn’t super steep like the Odell trade but hardly a buy low situation either. I wouldn’t want Clowney unless the draft compensation was limited to a 3rdplus a mid-rounder. Cap wise the team has about 10-20 million to play with after you factor in rookie contracts and emergency money. There is also some fat they can cut on the roster like Ivory, DiMarco, and Vlad who could free up about 5 million dollars in space if needed. So the cap in this situation shouldn’t be an issue to make another significant trade/signing. I think it wouldn’t be in the Bills best interest to pull off such a trade for Clowney. I do like Clowney and I think in a 4-3 he could be an absolute beast. But I also think he is injury prone and can be a bit volatile personality wise. I think getting Ziggy on a one year deal would be a nice cherry on top of a good free agency period (I also wouldn’t mind seeing them sign EJ Gaines on the cheap too) it would add one needed piece to the defense and make the draft come from an even stronger position of strength. -
I do think you need an attention commander in the receiving game. You need at least one dynamic receiving option to sort of set the table for any offense. Do you need a top 10-15 receiver or a top 3-5 tight end? No but I do think you need a quality pass catcher to keep defenses honest and give your running game and supplemental receivers a chance to have space to operate. Look at the difference Amari Cooper made to Dallas's offense just as an example. I would qualify Cooper as a top 10-15 receiver but just having someone good on the outside shifts how teams play against you. I love the speed that the team brought in with Brown. I think Beasley is a quality slot player. Foster and Zay could have potential, but I think that unless Zay or Foster emerge as higher quality players than there will be a longer term need to provide a true top receiving option for the offense.
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C Mitch Morse (Chiefs) to the Bills
billsfan89 replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not sold on any of the guards on the roster. -
C Mitch Morse (Chiefs) to the Bills
billsfan89 replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I am not sold on Long and Teller. I think counting on both would be a mistake. I would much rather sign a vet guard or draft one high up and let Teller and Long compete. -
C Mitch Morse (Chiefs) to the Bills
billsfan89 replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's the free agency premium -
C Mitch Morse (Chiefs) to the Bills
billsfan89 replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I wouldn't say it's set if they got Daryl William's. I would be good with the tackles and the center. But who exactly would be the guards? -
C Mitch Morse (Chiefs) to the Bills
billsfan89 replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's a great way to start rebuilding the interior. Still need 3 more starters in my opinion but you have to start somewhere and this is great start. -
If The Bills Stay @ #9, Who Is Your Guy?
billsfan89 replied to H2o's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think it depends on whose there, but I favor best player available at pick 9. I think the team can add multiple offensive linemen, a quality WR, and supplement another need or two via free agency while also having the rest of the draft to add talent. Based off of what I know I think the best player available will likely be a interior pass rusher which is a need esp long term. -
How can we not be all in on Metcalf now?
billsfan89 replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
DK Metcalf seems like a workout warrior. I wouldn’t mind taking him in the mid to late teens after a trade down. Straight up at 9 I would rather take a pass rusher where at that point in the draft there will be a top tier pass rusher there. I think at around pick 15-20 Metcalf is a risk worth taking. He has a dominant physical profile, the family acumen (His father, uncle, and grandfather were all in the NFL), along with being a good kid in general. But as good a physical freak as he is, Metcalf does have concerns about his lateral ability (His cone drills were awful), his route running, and his hands leave a lot to be desired on tape. He also has an injury history that isn’t insignificant. You need to be able use more than straight line speed and a freak physical profile to be a good WR in the NFL. But if Metcalf can polish his game more he has All-Pro potential. So my appetite for risk on Metcalf at pick 9 is not there. I think if somehow if the Bills can trade down between 15-20 and Metcalf is there at that range (Which now is unlikely but who knows if the hype calms down in the later draft process) then having extra picks and picking lower makes Metcalf a risk worth taking as you likely have an extra 2ndround pick to fill other needs.