billsfan89

Dude he sucks get over it, Tyrod looks like TyGod compared to Peterman.

Yup its embarrassing, esp considering that Peterman did the exact same thing last year and a lot of suckers on this board fell for it. Peterman looked like a world beater in last years pre-season to the point where so many were clamoring for Tyrod to be benched before the season started. I would routinely make arguments that Tyrod was as good a bridge QB as the Bills could possibly get for Allen who would have zero pressure going into year 1 if a vet like Tyrod was anchoring the spot. But people were so against Tyrod on essentially a one year deal because they were so confident that any QB off the street was better than Tyrod. Now granted the Bills got a decent return for Tyrod on the final year of a contract and AJ McCaron could have been a decent game manager. So while I wouldn't have done the move I at least saw the effort to put into place a competent QB option in front of whichever QB we drafted. Instead they shipped AJ off for a 5th and banked on !@#$ing Peterman because he looked good in pre-season again.

I think the possibility of a spot foul is necessary, if it was a 15 yard penalty defenders would do a lot more intentional fouling on big throws down the field if they know they got beat. Overall I would like to see more digression given to the refs to call it a 15 yard or spot foul penalty given the nature of the play.

Thursday games are always kind of fluky, so I can't put too much into it, they are !@#$ing awful.

Snacks when he got that contract was coming off of being a top run defender in the league for back to back seasons with the Jets, Star had not been as successful or highly rated in his previous seasons. I think that Star should have been in the 6-8 AAV range as opposed to 10. I think the FO overbid on a player based off of being familiar with him. Now that's not to say that I don't think Star can't be productive and anchor the run defense, but rather that they overpaid for him and if his contract is a bust that's a huge negative on the FO. Where I am concerned with the front office is their pro-personnel evaluations. The 2017 draft looks to be a good draft (White, Dawkins, and Milano will look like hits and if Zay Jones could be productive the draft will go from good to great) and I like what they did in the 2018 draft (Although it will be heavily dependent on Allen panning out.) But if they can't improve their pro-personnel decision then they won't be able to supplement the roster with the free agents needed and all that cap space become a lot less useful.

What I like McD is that he understands the team culture is the most consistent thing you can control. Having players buying into a consistent philsophy is something that is very underrated in the NFL. But it is on Beane to put the pieces in place and if McD isn't capable of buying the groceries on offense then Beane has to step in and find the players himself.

That's a very fair point but Star has to be one of the best run stuffers in the league to justify that contract, Snacks Harrison grades out according to both the analytics and by the eyeball test as the best interior run defender in the league the past few seasons and Star is getting paid more than him the following two seasons.

The Bills were committed to getting out from under a lot of contracts from the Whaley era. Beane was also committed to landing a QB mortgaging a lot of draft capital to acquire a QB so that has compromised the roster. 2019 will be make or break for Beane in my opinion. There will be no more excuses for the cap or draft capital. The team will be set up to be built in the mold that they want.

The FO has made some good moves for sure but they have also made some puzzling ones that could end up being huge miscues. The Star contract is looking like a terrible move so far (Granted still too early to tell but he was unimpressive in training camp and pre-season and lacked impact game 1, even at the time of the signing I thought the Bills overpaid) and not resigning EJ Gaines could also prove to be a costly negative move esp given what he eventually ended up signing for. So although the FO hasn't proven to be incompetent (not even close) they made more questionable moves than I would like to see (Every FO makes mistakes but the Bills are making more mistakes than other elite front offices.)

At least Bottiger is a young player, I would rather toss him in than Vlad.

There is only so much you can do with NP at QB. Honestly even if DaBoll was absolutely awful in week one (Which I don't know hard to tell by the tape) I still am not in panic mode just yet. Hopefully week 1 was just an epic disaster and not a complete foretelling of the teams fortunes this season.

I still think this team desperately needs a backup QB. Peterman is completely awful and the team simply shouldn't start him. Josh Allen is the starter but they can have Peterman one play away from starting at QB. I also don't think it would hurt to have a vet QB for Allen to lean on.

I think having better players surrounding younger players can help aid their development. That being said the two primary positions I would seek out the best possible vet free agents would be along the O-line (At all costs need to protect Josh Allen) and at DT (Have to keep guys off Edumonds and Milano.) The rest I am fine with running young guys out there or the players that are currently out there. But those two positions would be critical to target as I think they too heavily can negatively impact the development of other young players.

I think Linebackers that can cover are restoring value to the linebacker position. I think the emphasis on the short and intermediate passing game has made a linebacker that can cover those areas of the field is super valuable. I also think that Edumonds has value some what in the pass rush but I think his value in the pass defense is something that is really valuable. You could argue if a trade up (even for a modest price) was worth it for or not but Edumonds could be a very valuable piece of the defense his skillset fits a valuable part of a modern NFL defense.

McBeane's rebuilding is actually the right way to do it. Get rid of bad bloated contracts, get rid of players that don't fit the system for draft picks of value, establish a new culture with high roster turnover, and go hard after getting the right young QB. The problem is that the cap situation from the Whaley years wasn't going to be fixed in 1 year and McBeane's limited free agency decisions haven't panned out. Once you get your QB and you don't have too many significant contracts you can figure out the rest. 2018 to me was always a rebuilding year, the team overachieved in 2017 (Finally the team got lucky one year) and but the trades need to get Allen and Edumonds gutted the team of valuable draft capital and the two big free agency acquisition Star and Murphy haven't yielded dividends at least not right away. I think come 2019 we will know just how good the rebuilding process is. They have the cap space, the big pieces in place (At least in principle) and they have another draft class.

This is a great deal for David Johnson it pays him a notch below what the elite backs like Gurley and Bell and gives him basically two years of guaranteed money. I honestly don't like this deal for the Cards. DJ was one of the best backs in the league in 2016 but he is coming off of a serious injury and his contract value wouldn't have been that much more than it would have been if he had another elite season (The Cards could always have tagged him to prevent him from hitting the market.) If DJ put together another 2016 type season how much more would he have commanded? 15-16 million, that's only 2-3 million more than he currently has. Whereas if DJ get hurt they could be stuck with damaged goods for 2 seasons at 13 million a pop. Any player needs to stay healthy for a deal to work for the team. I do think that this is a bad deal considering that DJ has only had 1 elite season and is coming off a big injury. I think the Cards were better off just seeing how 2018 plays out for DJ and franchising him if he has a great year.

The defense will carry the team to 6 wins somehow. I just feel that the bend don't break thing will pull a few games out of the teams ass. I think that IF (And I don't think this will happen) the Bills do get the number 1 pick I think they either go Bosa or trade down to a team looking for a QB. I am not sure if there is a top QB prospect projected to be out there but if one emerges as a legit top pick then the Bills will be in a good position to trade away that top pick to a team looking for their future QB. The Bills could Easily score a 1st in 2020, a 2nd in 2019, a 3rd in 2020 plus additional compensation to trade down if that scenario were to pan out.

60 million in cap space and only one major contract the team can't cut (Star) the Bills could easily free up an additional 30-45 million in cap space with a variety of cuts.

210 yards, 1 TD 1 INT 63% completion percentage. It will be a very Tyrod like number (minus the rushing yards) where there are a lot of garbage time yards and a very conservative passing game either because Peterson sucks or the O-Line is putting him under constant pressure. I think playing Peterman in this early brutal schedule is the right move. See what he has and throw him to the wolves. But I just can't see him or most QB's for that matter playing against these presumably tough defenses having success with this O-line and lackluster reciving core.

It will be a tight defensive struggle for sure but I see the Ravens moving the ball more consistently on the Bills "bend don't break" defense and slowly kicking a bunch of field goals. While I don't see the Bills offense generating much against a pretty good Raven's defense. I see it being a 21-10 Raven's win. That being said close defensive games come down to turnovers and one or two plays and that could swing to the Bills just as easily as it could to the Ravens. Week 1 always has some crazy upsets, I usually get out of my suicide pool very early or very late.

Rams over Raiders seems to be the best bet in my mind.

Bills Wins OVER (6 wins is my projection) Allen Starts UNDER (7-8 is my projection) McCoy rushing yards UNDER (over 1000 though) Leading Reciver yards OVER (I could see Benjamin getting a 1000 yards or close) Leading receiver catches OVER (See above) Total INT's UNDER (Regression from last year) Player with most INT's UNDER (see above) Player with most sacks 8.5 UNDER (I think the Bills spread out the sacks) 1st win week 4 OVER Draft picks number 6 UNDER (Top 10 pick but not top 6) Bills Pro Bowlers 1.5 OVER (I could see the secondary producing 2)

I don't think Flacco has been all that bad the past 3 seasons considering that the Raven's best skill position player the past 3 seasons has either been a mid-level RB in Alex Collins or a washed up Jeremy Maclin. Flacco hasn't been very good either, I think he has been average but an average QB with poor talent around him isn't going to produce very good results. I think that the Raven's do have an edge in terms of QB over the Bills. That's objectively true based off of what you can project and predict based off of what both players have done and are expected to do. Now that may not be the case once the pads come on and the players go after it. And even if you acknowledge the Raven's having an edge in QB play that doesn't mean the Raven's will win. But I think adding up all the pieces of the Raven's vs. the Bills I think that the Raven's just have an edge in too many avenues for the Bills to win the game. I hope to be proven wrong.

Joe Flacco the past three seasons has thrown for 52 TD's in 42 games (He missed 6 games in 2015) against 40 INT's and has had a completion percentages of 64.1, 64.9, and 64.1 and considering the fact that the Ravens have had very little talent on the offensive side of the ball I wouldn't call those numbers awful at all. Peterman is a completely unknown entity but there is no reason to believe that given what little we know about Peterman (low draft pick, horrendous pro-debut, not a great physical profile, and his only positive is a pair of good pre-season) that Peterman is better than Flacco who is at worst a competent starting caliber QB. Now could it be the case that Peterman plays better on Sunday? Yes, but there is no reason to believe that based off of anything other than chance, all past performance indicators and future projections do not lead you to believe that.

Bell would basically be tossing out the year but Bell simply is not risking a huge contract by playing in 2018 on a franchise tag. Bell will lose the 14.5 million plus several million in fines in 2018 but he will hit the market as an elite 27 year old running back coming off of a season of rest (I think he gets 35 or more million in guaranteed money on the open market.) Or The Steelers can simply give Bell a new deal that offers him more beyond the 2018 franchise tag. The Steelers aren't going to get Bell to play on the tag, they have put him in the untenable position of having too much to lose and only needing to lose one year to get to free agency. Bell played on the tag one year and that was risky but it burnt the first franchise tag off (And continued to establish himself as an elite RB for a 4th straight year) and now Bell only needs to sit one season before hitting the market.