billsfan89

I remember the Rams and several other teams running that same shovel pass play a lot since 2017. I am sure there are examples of it earlier than that but I know the Rams in 2017 really used it a lot to great success.

I don't think it was ever anything more than a pipe-dream. The Vikings are all in on the season and they were healthily around .500 all season. Diggs is young and locked in on a fair deal. He wasn't going anywhere.

I am not trading for AJ Green until he plays a snap this season.

Top 3 defense in the league. I do worry about their ability to generate pressure against elite O-lines but I think they have the depth and sending talent to at least be capable against better O-lines. I think this defense will look to add one last big piece in the form of a prime time pass rusher off the edge next off-season unless Shaq really breaks out. But I think they either let Shaq walk or cut Murphy and resign Shaq and go after another elite edge rusher.

I am thinking 10 wins because I am inherently pessimistic but I would realistically say 11. There is going to be a gimme they lose and an upset they pull. 12-13 wins seems unlikely although not impossible.

Green is well liked in the locker room and by all accounts a good dude. So he checks and fits that process box. However he is still injured and out for anywhere from another 3-6 more weeks if not longer. The trade deadline is 3 weeks away. I am not trading for a player who likely will not have played before I trade for him. As good as Green is even on the decline I am not so sure I am giving up even a 3rd round pick for a player that I have not seen play for the season. I would rather take a chance on Emmanuel Sanders or another veteran who might not be as talented as AJ Green but I know will be suited up to play right after I trade for him.

The league should really take over the Skins from Snyder at least for a few years. I don't think being bad alone qualifies you to say that a team should be taken over by the league but Snyder's off the field decisions in how he treats the fans and how he handles the teams business combined with the terrible to mediocre football outcomes have taken one of the league's premier franchises and made them a team their fans don't even support. I hope that for the Redskins sake they commit to a young up and coming coordinator and front office combo and give them 3 full seasons to gut the roster and rebuild properly. Rex is not the guy and there are so many good coordinators that could use the opportunity.

I still like the Ford pick, at worst you kick him into the LG position next year and let Spain walk. Ideally you could have an O-line of : Dawkins-Ford-Mitch-Feliciano-Ty (and draft a RT again to push Ty.) I would have preferred the team package some picks with the pick that was used on Singletary to go up and get DK as he was falling into the late 50's instead of taking him around pick 40. I however would still rather have Cody who has shown to be a pretty capable guard.

Andy Reid and the supporting offensive cast (which the Bills wouldn't have been able to provide until 2019) are a big reason for Mahomes being as dynamic and prolific as he has been. It is possible that Mahomes would just be that dynamic early on because he is that good but I think Buffalo was not the right place or right time for Mahomes. I think that if White and Edumonds end up anchoring the defense for the next 4-7 years and Allen is a top 10 QB then history will not look at missing on Mahomes as a blunder (Similar to how the Rockets taking Hakeem above Jordan is not looked at as a blunder.) I think the Bears will be the ones who look like idiots not taking Mahomes or Watson instead trading up a spot to take Mitch who is looking like a bust despite massive improvement in year two. It is all going to depend on Allan, White, and Edumonds and how their career and the Bills shake out.

25th in points is not surprising and while I think the team will finish higher than that the game script for the Bills is going to deflate the Bills point totals. The Bills defense is going to put them in positions where they are running a 4 minute offense to grind out the clock late in games. So the Bills are going to try and run out the clock on teams and not trying to score late in a lot of games. I think they finish in the late teens or early 20's in terms of points. And while that is mediocre it isn't a bad thing in the context of having a great defense and a QB that is developing. With a top 2-3 defense, solid special teams unit you only need a lower mid-level offense to get to 10-11 wins.

I don't see what would be impressive about Daboll to the point where another team would want him as a head coach. Josh and the offense is still a work in progress and it isn't like the scheme is so unique and innovative either (It is a quality or at least decent offensive scheme but it isn't reinventing the wheel.) But then again I thought the same thing about Lynn and he got hired by the Chargers. So who knows, but I just think Daboll's head coaching aspirations will have to wait until after the 2020 season as I don't think the offense explodes in the second half of the season. But in 2020 adding a weapon or two to the skill position tree could have the offense and Josh position to be a top 10 unit.

The Pats defense has yet to play a really good offense (I consider our offense to be a mid-level type offense) so I think that "on pace to be" is a bit misleading. They play a brutal 6 game stretch where they play six really good teams and I think their defense will regress to simply being a normal great defense haha. But i think the Pats defense is inflated a lot by not playing against good competition.

Tre White, Hyde, Poyer, Milano and Edumonds all have a shot at it. On offense I don't see any unless Mitch plays really well and there is an injury to a typical All-Pro. I don't see special teams having one either although Haush and Roberts have the ability but I don't see their circumstances lining up for them. But I do think that the defense will for sure have 2-3 or more All-Pros barring injuries.

I was being more facetious, I agree with that assessment of his play. I think he turns in more good than bad games but not by a margin wide enough. He is still fairly young so I think it is possible he showcases improvement.

But I thought Dawkins sucks?

I still blame Josh mostly. I think Yeldon would have had a chance on it had he not given up on the route but Josh has to realize that that play is a completely unnecessary risk and just throw the ball away. When you have a lights out defense playing well you should be more risk averse. There is no shame in tossing that one away, why take a shot from an LB to take a low percentage shot that Yeldon might make a play on the ball? Watching that play live I was really thinking he should just throw the ball away by the point number 58 was bearing down on him. He had been doing it most of the game so I don't know why he suddenly was trying to hero ball it.

I don't think this makes any sense. Eli is on a big cap hit. Yes the Bills have a lot of cap space but if the Bills trade for Eli that takes a hit on the space they can roll over in 2020 where they are going to want as much space as possible. I also don't think Eli represents much of an upgrade to Matt Barkley. If I had to pick one QB to win a game I pick Eli over Barkley but I am not giving up a draft pick and cap space to moderately upgrade the backup QB position. I think the Steelers make the most sense as they would be willing to take Eli on a rental.

I think Mayfield is a capable QB playing poorly at the moment. In part due to bad O-line play and he just isn't executing that well at the moment. The Browns played a legit Niners team away, a tough Rams team, and a decent Titans team at home. The Titans loss is a big blemish on their resume but the other two losses they have are hard time to blame on them. They also beat a legit Ravens team and took care of business against a battered and brusied Jets team. I think they have issues currently integrating a lot of new parts going against a tough schedule. But the team in my opinion is talented on both sides of the ball and will finish in the realm of 8-9 wins when all is said and done. However they might be 3-6 going into that easy stretch to end their season which might be too big of a hole to get out of.

The Bills schedule is not that impressive. The Titans are tough mid-level team the Bills beat on the road but they are about a 7-8 win team at the end of the day. The Bills played the Pats extremely tough but they still lost. The Giants are likely a 5-6 win team at the end of the day and the Bengals and Jets are bottom 5-6 teams in the league as well. So right now the Bills resume isn't too impressive. I think in the next 2 weeks after the bye we will know a lot about this team. For one can the Bills really take care of the Fish after the bye? Can this team truly put away an awful team with a 3 possession lead late (If the Fins score a garbage time TD late to cut a 21 point lead to a 14 point lead with less than 5 minutes left I will not split hairs) to get fat without any drama? Then you have the Eagles a more than respectable team at home to worry about. By that point the Eagles will be the 2nd best team the Bills face and that will be a measuring stick. If this team can get to 6-1 entering into a favorable Redskins game that gives them a legit opportunity to get to 7-1 and really fatten themselves up going into a winnable Browns game.

There has to be some digression with a call like that. At that point you are just rewarding a QB for an unavoidable play happening. Those types of penalties are just too favorable to the offense.

I think the Browns are victims of a brutal schedule. In the end I think they finish 8-8 or 9-7 with an outside shot at 10-6. They have a lot of talent but they have a new coach with a lot of parts to integrate so a slow start might have been possible even against a easier schedule. So toss in a very tough schedule early and I think their stock is down but they are a more dangerous team once they hit the back half of their schedule which is insanely easy (They play the Bengals 2 times, the Fins, the Cardinals, and the Steelers twice, the only above .500 team they play is the Ravens in their last 7 games.) The Browns still have a skill position core that is as good as any in the league, their defense is solid, Mayfield in my opinion is a pretty capable QB, and their O-line while it is struggling has talent and could play better against weaker fronts. However the Browns issue might be that they might be 3-6 by the time they hit that softer patch of their schedule. They sit at 2-3 and in their next 4 games they play The Pats, Broncos (the lone game they will likely be favored in), The Bills, and Seahawks. So if they sit at 3-6 they could go 6-1 in that back half and go 9-7 which might not be enough. Odds are the Browns are going to have to take the Broncos game and then take a game against the Seahawks, Bills, and Pats not an easy task. But if they can take care of the Broncos and snake an upset in those games they would be 4-5 entering into that sweet back half of their schedule where 6-1 takes you to 10 wins.

Away against Dallas and home for the Ravens. I think the Ravens are a legit team who will finish the season strong I grant you that this is based off of a projection. Dallas to me is a very good team at home (they are coming off 2 losses to some of the best teams in the league.) I also see the Eagles and Browns games as a toss up type games as I think the Browns will get more rolling once they hit the later part of their schedule. I think this team will be favored by 3 against the Eagles but considering home field they get some points. I think this team could go as high as 12 wins but I think 10-11 is more reasonable. I think they win 5 out of 6 against the Fins (x2), Redskins, Broncos, Steelers, and Jets (It is the NFL, a fluky type thing is bound to happen in one of those games), I think they split the Browns and Eagles games, and I think it is possible they take 1 out of 3 against the Ravens, Pats, and Cowboys. So in my mind the Bills barring injury get to 10 or 11 depending on if they can pull an upset in one of those other 3 games.

I don't see the Bills trading for Gordon. Gordon is a good top 10 back but I do not see him as a significant game changer for the offense. The Bills current platoon of Gore between the tackles, Yeldon as a receiver, and Singletary as an uber third down back is solid and while Gordon would represent an upgrade it isn't massive. I think if the team makes an acquisition I think they add a capable veteran WR, TE, or Pass rusher. The offense won't be able to add a true WR1 (Sorry but AJ Green is out 5-7 weeks and I don't think any team trades for a player that likely won't have played a snap by the trade deadline) but there could exist a solid vet WR like Emmanual Sanders who could be available at the deadline. I put the odds of a Bills trade at the deadline at 60%. I am not sure if it will be a significant add but I think that they do add a piece to this team to help the depth or upgrade a weaker point of the roster. I don't think there is a major trade like Amari Cooper last year but I think they could trade as high as a third round pick for a rental if a good WR or Pass Rusher hits the market. This season presents too good an opportunity to not be on the market for a trade that can improve the roster.

I definitely feel more confident about this team than the 2017 team. Better depth, better defense, and a QB that is much more dynamic (although much more turnover prone than Tyrod.) I think the team is just very well built and I do think that this team will not be afraid to add a weapon on offense or a pass rusher at a reasonable cost. The schedule is also shaking out very favorably with 6 games the team should be favored in and another 2 I would qualify as toss ups. I think 11 games isn't out of the question although I think 10 is more realistic. But at 11-5 they could land the 3rd best record in the conference.

Solid cut your losses type trade. For a 5th round pick Zay is a decent reclamation gamble to take on. The Bills stock another mid-round pick they could turn around in another trade or pocket it for the 2020 draft. Shocked they got a 5th but it isn't an unreasonable price.