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billsfan89

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Everything posted by billsfan89

  1. Keenan Allen is under contract at a little over 10 million AAV through 2020. I don't think the Chargers are trading their number one receiver unless Allen is demanding a new contract. Allen is 26 and produces like a WR1. I think the Chargers want him part of their future. If Allen was made available (Lets assume he wants a new contract at around 15-17 AAV) I would be willing to trade a 3rd round pick in 2019 plus a late rounder in 2020 for Allen. Allen would be 27 next season and probably anchor the WR core as a low end WR1 for the next 4-5 years. That being said given Rivers age I think they are in a win now situation and probably would do what it takes to keep a good young WR in place.
  2. If the Bills drafts pan out (which the early returns on 2017 look really good and the early returns of 2018 aren't bad either) then I think the team will be just fine. The Bills have not had a regime truly good at drafting in a long time. I do agree the trend in coaching is towards offensive minded coaching systems. But if McBeane can draft well they will be able to find solid coordinators to work with good talent.
  3. This team has enough extra mid round picks to afford to bring in one veteran WR via trade. A vet WR like Emmanuel Sanders helps Allen and young WR's develop. Having a WR that commands respect and is reliable right out of the gate makes Allen's job easier and helps him develop. Having a WR at the top of the heap helps young WR's as they have someone to learn from and it helps them from having to be over exposed early in their career. Did it really hurt Trubisky's development to sign the WR's they signed?
  4. Its Brees's MVP to lose at this point. He and the Saints are having an insane season, Brees has also never won before and is a veteran which makes voters much more willing to vote for him since he is a HOF QB without an MVP award having an MVP season. Sports voters always choose the veteran player who hasn't won one (like Brees) over the young player who might be having a slightly better overall season. Its not good logic but that's just how they operate.
  5. Unless Julio Jones become unexpectedly available there is no true WR1 that will be available via free agency or via trade, and there isn't likely a top dynamic WR prospect in the draft like when Julio, Calvin Johnson, or Sammy/Odell (say what you will about Sammy but he was thought of as a true WR1 prospect right out the gate.) I think a modern NFL offense needs a dynamic pass catching play maker to anchor a core of pass catchers. Having an Odell or Antonio Brown type opens up the offense by having a player that must be accounted for by your best corner and possibly double teams. There are a decent amount of WR2 type players that will be paid well. That's why I would want Sanders out of Denver, he isn't a WR1 but he is close and he is on the last year of his deal which makes the commitment much lower than a free agent. But I am not sure Denver would trade Sanders for a early to mid 4th (which is the most I would be willing to give up for him.) I think that Sanu if available would be a nice addition via trade that once again comes with a limited cap commitment as his salary in 2019 is reasonable and his deal is easy to get out of in 2020. Overall I think the trade market might be better than free agency where a ton of teams will be massively overpaying for receivers and tightends.
  6. Gaines was also expected to get a huge deal coming off of a strong 2017 season and the general thirst for CB play. I think the Bills took a shot on what they thought would a much cheaper shorter commitment option in Vonta while drafting a couple of corners in the mid rounds behind Vonta. I think had the Bills known EJ would go for what he did they probably would have resigned him. I can't blame the Bills for over estimating EJ's market since everyone was projecting EJ to be one of the few top corners available on the market. Most people were estimating that EJ would get 8-10 million per-year on a multi year deal with a sizable guarantee.
  7. I hope she does sue, I also hope she sues the outlets that reported it falsely (Although I am not sure what her chances of winning actually are.) I also hope that the era of corporations being weenies when it comes to any little bit of public pressure (esp public pressure that comes from a progressive stand point although it isn't exclusive to the left) comes to an end. Corporations operated under the way the FCC used to with complaints. They think that for every singular person that complains about something there a 1,000 other people that must have been offended and not complained. But that only somewhat worked 15 to 20 years ago because it was much harder to communicate and complain about things. If something offended someone enough to write a letter or call in a complaint that took a lot of effort to do, so there might have been more validity to that logic when there actually was some effort needed to complain. Now gigantic corporations think that if they get a few tweets about something action is needed as there is such a huge public outcry. Ignoring the fact that tweeting or complaining on social media is so much easier to do than writing a letter or calling. These companies just end up in a negative feedback loop, whereas if they ignored 90% of these kinds of issues they would just go away.
  8. If the Jags are in full rebuild mode then trading Ramsey makes sense. They could be cutting 3 key vet D-line players (Campbell, Dareus, and Malik Jackson) to get out of cap hell along with having major offensive issues (Bortles sucks and they need better skill position players.) If they decide to go with a rookie QB then trading Ramsey for some legit draft picks that could help them trade up for QB or add pieces to a offense lacking critical pieces.
  9. Although people will B word about it at least CB2 is a very real need for the defense, probably one of its few truest intimidate needs. I wouldn't be shocked to see the Bills make that pick. But I would hope they have at least added talent to the WR position via free agency and then go in round 2 and 3 and find some supplemental pass catchers.
  10. The Colts could be back in Super Bowl contention next year considering they have an extra 2nd round pick and 100+ million in cap space. They have Luck, They have an O-line, Mack is a legit RB, and TY and Ebron are two high end targets. They could use some supplemental targets for Luck and a lot of help on defense. But they have the draft picks and the cap space to fill most or even all of those needs. For the first time in his career they have a good GM who has addressed the O-line and put them in a position to acquire a lot of talent both via the draft and free agency. I could see the Colts making big moves on defense like signing Clowney away from the Texans and possibly trading for Jalen Ramsey.
  11. Lynn is an odd case. He didn't have a very prestigious coaching career before the Bills. He was a running backs coach for a bunch of teams (None for more than 2 seasons) before becoming an assistant head coach/running backs coach for the Jets the last few years Rex was there (Well after the Jets back to back AFC title games appearances.) Lynn came is as the running backs coach and assistant head coach for the Bills in 2015. Lynn got promoted to OC a few weeks into the 2016 season and the offense performed about as well as it did in 2015 under Roman (good running game, low turnovers, some passing offense here or there, but a limited passing game against better defenses.) Lynn was also the intern head coach for a game or two in 2016. There was nothing about Lynn's resume or 2016 performance that screamed that he would be a head coaching candidate let alone a good head coach in the league. I can't fault the Bills for not hiring him, he didn't have a great resume or results here.
  12. Dam that sucks. Smith and The Redskins were having a good season probably could have won the division. They probably have to move on from Smith long term too despite the fact that they probably had 2-3 high-end years of Smith left. I hope Smith recovers but this could be a career ender or at the very least an injury that ends both his 2018 and 2019 seasons.
  13. Did I ever claim to have any expertise? No, I just stated that the ***** is complicated. You are inferring something that I never implied.
  14. Doesn't California have issues with drought that makes the conditions for large fires to happen easier? I think it might not be an apples to apples comparison to North Carolina. Just to be clear I don't know if specific policies have made the conditions worse but it seems like the droughts have made the conditions different from a lot of other states.
  15. The only truly negative scenario is Allen gets hurt. At worst the coaching staff gets to see what Allen's weaknesses are and what he needs to work on. At best Allen improves and shows you what he can build on. There is very minimal risk as injury is always a constant factor when deciding to play players. Now I will say if Allen has any minimal injury risk from his current injury don't play him, sit him out for another week or two as needed. There is the long term picture to think of and Barkley can try and build on a strong game. But if Allen is healthy throw him out there.
  16. Remember after the Vikings game when Allen was supposed to be a super star?
  17. The team would certainly be better with Tyrod but not that much better. Lets assume they have the same roster with Tyrod (I don't think they get Edumonds but for sake of argument)I think they win the Texans game with Tyrod and they certainly are more competitive in games but I don't see another game they win with Tyrod, that's puts them at 4-6 instead of 3-7. At 4-6 the team facing a soft back 6 games could possibly get to 9-7 by finishing 5-1 and 9-7 might be enough to get the 6th seed. That being said with or without Tyrod I don't see the team going 9-7. Once again I don't doubt Tyrod makes this team better but only marginally better and this team will likely finish with 5-7 wins without Tyrod and they probably only get one more win with Tyrod and they are far more than 1 game out of a playoff spot by the time the season ends.
  18. KB sucks on his contract year, it ended up being a bad trade move on and let it go after this season they will have the cap space to bring in better players. At least Zay is coming on stronger showing consistent improvement.
  19. Anderson provides a stable veteran hand. He knows how to be a leader and knows how to prepare for games, he should at the very least be the third string QB/QB player coach next season. After that I am not sure if Barkley is the backup. As others have mentioned Barkley just played good in one game against a bad team that came out flat. Not exactly a lot to proclaim anything. I wouldn't be opposed to bringing back Barkley next season to be the backup but I think options should be explored to find a more viable backup.
  20. Stevie was a borderline WR1 for a year or two. Stevie in 2010 put up 82 Receptions, 1000+ yards and 10 TD's when David Nelson and Donald Jones were the other WR's on the roster and Fitz was the QB. Dude was really legit for a few years. But I agree the team needs a dynamic receiver I think there are some good receivers out on the market but not a number 1. Zay I don't see as a player that can develop to a WR1, at best he could be a high end WR2. Ideally I would like to see Tate and Emmanuel Sanders join Zay as starters then the team drafts a WR in round 1 or 2 to add some depth and be inline to take over for the two vets in 2020 or beyond. Tate and Sanders would probably cost 25 million total but the limited commitment to Sanders whose 12.4 million expires makes me more willing to commit that amount to the position. They also have plenty of cap space to add those two players and make a big addition or two on the O-line while maybe being able to fit in a defensive player if they so desire without impacting the long term cap picture.
  21. I don't think the Falcons would trade Julio. The Falcons offense is special because of Julio who will turn 30 next season which means he probably has 2-3 more elite years left. Ridley is good but they need Julio to compete in the short term. Matty Ice is turning 34 next year and their window to win with him isn't super wide so they can't afford to dump 2-3 years of elite receiver play for a draft pick and some cap space. Don't get me wrong I would love Julio but I just don't think it adds up.
  22. The free agent crop of WR's isn't stellar, Golden Tate, Devin Funchess, John Brown, and Tyrell Williams are pretty decent options and anyone of those players would represent an upgrade but I don't consider any of those players to be number one receivers. Although the team likely will sign one of those players the team likely needs more help at receiver. Who are some players that might be available via trade that you think the Bills should take a look at to bolster the WR core? I would love to see the Bills trade a mid round pick for Emmanuel Sanders, I am not sure a mid round pick would do it but if Denver goes full rebuild it might end up being a possibility. Sanders is a high end WR2 and his contract expires after 2019, it would be a good one year rental to sign Sanders and avoid having to overexpose a rookie WR year one. Adding Tate or Funchess via free agency and pairing them up with Sanders and having Zay be WR3 while drafting a rookie high to be depth and take over for Sanders in 2020 is an ideal scenario. Sanders has a high 12.4 million dollar cap hit for 2019 but then completely expires in 2020 so the commitment is limited. Plan B on the trade block would be Mohammed Sanu. If Zay Jones finishes the year super strong maybe the need goes from needing a WR1 and WR2 to needing a WR1 and a WR3. Sanu would come in and fill the WR3 position. Sanu only makes 7.4 on the cap in 2019 and his deal comes with a limited cap hit in 2020 if the team has younger players developing behind him. Other possibilities include. Marvin Jones (I could see the Lions drafting heavy at WR and dumping Jones salary) Will Fuller (Often injured and D.Thomas is there as the WR2, could see the Texans taking offers) Kevin White (Might be cut but easily could be had for a 7th on the last year of his rookie contract) M.Bryant (Oakland seems to be on a fire sale, not sure Bryant fits the process though even if he is a burner type the team could use) Devante Parker (Fins clearly want to trade him not sure they would do so in the division, high price tag on his 5th year option too.) Deshaun Jackson (Could Tampa just be going full youth movement if they move on from Winston, might make Jackson available) Who are the receivers that you would want the Bills to target via trade?
  23. In regards to public debt its really complicated, we owe nearly as much as we are owed. I have no clue how public debt works, I only made the point to say that the system of public debt is complicated using that one point to illustrate simply that this ***** is complicated. As far as the liabilities my point was not that the Social Security system and earned benefits programs don't have serious issues but rather like with anything involving accounting you can screw with numbers to get bigger totals. The social security system is facing a big crisis I will not dispute that. Any solution will have to require something painful. Although there is a hyperbolic sense of doom as the worst case scenario is a 20% cut to benefits not the collapse of the whole system (Although a 20% cut for many seniors is a serious crisis for them not trying to downplay that.) Some combination of benefits cuts, raising the retirement age, raising the cap to which the payroll tax is applied, means testing the program, or a modest increase to payroll taxes or a national VAT tax will be needed. To my original point about the 100+ Trillion owed is that the number is not entirely accurate although the sentiment behind it is.
  24. We would owe that number to people in retirement if Social Security followed the standards of private pension systems, it currently does not, it does not need to have the same overrun and investment liquidity standards that a private pension system does. There are outstanding liabilities that are very seriously concerning but not to that amount. As far as links for the 80 cents number I put them below. General numbers about the money owed to the US https://www.titlemax.com/discovery-center/money-finance/debts-owed-by-the-us-and-owed-to-the-us/ https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/10-countries-that-owe-the-us-the-most-money-545585/ Specific number in 2011 the US owed 18.4 Trillion to the world and is owed 15 trillion from the world. If you want more recent numbers it will take me some time to find it. https://www.firstpost.com/world/get-this-world-owes-us-nearly-as-much-it-owes-world-74314.html
  25. I wouldn't be opposed to it. Dude has earned it. In 2020 he will be 32 which is an age where edge rushers can still be productive (Typically pass rushers fall off the cliff at 32-33) a one year extension which might bump him up slightly in 2019 and give him some guaranteed money (I would say guarantee 40-50% of his salary that year and give him a 10-15% raise in 2019) in 2020 would work for both parties. But he is at least going to be under contract for 2019.
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