billsfan89

Miami is home so that's 3 points schedule makes spot for home field, so Vegas basically thinks the Fins are 2.5 points better than the Bill's. I think the 5.5 comes down to 4 or 4.5. I think that the Fins aren't a bad team and this is not an easy game esp away. Overall I think it will be another close game going deep into the 4th quarter. I think the Fins win a close one, I have a bad feeling that Allen makes a bad mistake that leads to a loss. I hope I am wrong, this is a very winnable game that would keep the Bill's slim Hopes alive for one more week.

The Steelers are notorious for not giving multiple years of guarantees to non-QB players. So I imagine the issue with Bell and the Steelers was not over AAV but more so with guaranteed money. They were reportedly offering an AAV right around 15 per so to me it seems more like a case of wanting a bigger guarantee.

Players developing usually means you win some games, the Bill's sport 5 young starters on offense (Zay, Foster, Teller, Dawkins, and Allen) the Bill's are also sporting 6 young starters on defense (White, T.Johnson, Wallace, Shaq, Milano, and Edumonds) the defense also gives critical snaps to Phillips another young player. That's 11 out of 22 staters that are either first or second year players. Plus several other young players getting critical snaps on both sides of the ball. So yes there isn't really carry over momentum but young players gaining experience and developing positively is something that builds for next season.

The Colts would be Bell's best fit in my opinion, they have the most cap space, the oline, the QB, and some pass catching talent with TY and Ebron. If the Colts sign Bell and add a #2 reciever they could have the best offense in the league. I personally wouldn't want Bell for the Bill's, yes the Bill's have the cap space but I would rather they spend that money at Oline and WR much more pressing needs than RB as I would rather draft a RB in rounds 3 or 4 and stick with the vets Ivory and Shady for one more year. If I were the Colts I would sign Bell, sign a legit vet WR, resign Ebron, and make a couple big signings on defense they could have a loaded roster esp considering that they have an extra 2nd round pick that can fill even more holes with 3 picks early.

I am not sure Kyle comes back. I can see him taking another 1 year deal esp if he feels the team can be special in 2019. But in the end i think the deal will come down to how he feels physically and mentally. Kyle will get a solid 1 year offer if he wants to play.I think money or the team's future is the deciding factor

Foster should be on the 2019 roster, I think he could be a Tyler Gabriel type deep threat.I am not sure if he has the hands and skills to develop into a true all around WR1.

They might pick it up, hard to say since DEs get paid big time and 10.3 isn't a lot too pay for a starting caliber DE. But Shaq at this moment isn't worth 10.3, you would be picking that up on speculation. Then again they might just want to see how 2019 plays out and at worst franchise him.

I think they decline the option too. But if the option is reasonable and Shaq finishes the year strong I wouldn't rule it out.

Shaq is under the last year of his rookie contract in 2019, they could also option him for 2020 but I am not sure they will do it as a 5th year option is usually expensive. So I think Shaq is here for at least one more season.

The Bill's are for sure in a better spot than the Jags, the Jags spent big on free agents in 2017 and 2018 and really wanted to go for it in 2018 after making it to the AFCCG. The Jags have some nice pieces Fournette is a preimer young RB, Ramsey is a young shut down corner, a few additional young pieces are sprinkled in but for the most part they have an older team with no QB and a bad cap situation. The Bill's have a young QB in place, they have a set of preimer young LB'S In Milano and Edumonds, the Bills have their own young shut down corner in White, Dawkins and Teller look like real players on the O-line, Shaq and Phillips are young defensive line players, Zay could amount to something, and T.Johnson is a young slot corner. The Bill's will also have a windfall of cap space in 2019 to make improvements. The Jags could be looking at a complete rebuild in 2019 having to go with a rookie QB and let go of a lot of higher paid talent.

Looooooooong way to go on Allen. Fitz played with the same vigor and tenacity, not saying they are the same but rather that playing with energy is not enough. Still I can't wait to see how Allen can do with a more complete set of offensive talent around him

That's what I hope, I would love to see Gaines back here but I wouldn't be shocked to see a high pick spent on the defense

Bill's scratch out the victory, Allen looked solid for a rookie and the team looked closer to the Team they were when they played the Jets than they did to the previous games. What little dreams this season still has left is alive for one more week!

Clay has a cap hit of 4.5 million if cut. So the question is, is Charles Clay worth 4.5 million? I think considering that Clay is still a decent player and the high cost to replace him even with an average player is far above 4.5 million its likely the team will keep Clay and draft a tight end behind him to groom to take over the position in 2020. Personally I could go either way on Clay, I think at 4.5 million he is serviceable but if they decide to move on I won't be too upset.

The only positive about Murphy is that his contract is fairly easy to get out of. But they could have easily spent that money on some offensive line help instead of having a injured pass rusher.

Its fun to think that if the Bills can beat the Jags, Fins, and Jets (Certainly possible) the Bills will be sitting at 6-7 going against a beatable Lions team. But I think the Bills are going to have to win out in order to make the playoffs. That would knock the Fins out and the Bills would have to hope they get lucky with the Colts and Ravens going 3-3 or worse to end the season. But I just don't see it happening if they even just lose to the Pats.

Running backs have adapted to improve their overall value by becoming a greater part of the passing game. A true do it all back like Barkley or Bell have tremendous value. They are a threat to run it between the tackles or catch it out of the backfield (And if these backs can pass block that improves protection and makes the playbook completely open when they are on the field.) So the idea of running backs being cheap and fairly dispensable is just no longer the case because there are so few running backs that can have a high level of running between the tackles, catching the ball, bringing speed in space, and pass blocking. Which makes having a complete threat like a Barkley, Gurley, or Bell super valuable to an offense. That's why you have seen the return of Return of backs being drafted up high. But the beatings the position takes makes it somewhat of a shorter term investment and likely that even an elite back will be lucky to a big contract let alone try to get 2.

The Chargers should at least get to 10 wins, which means they will occupy the 5th seed. For the 6th seed I think you have to ask yourself the question will either the Titans, Colts, Ravens, Fins or Bengals get to 9 wins? I think one of those 5 teams will go 4-2 to end the season and get to 9 wins. The Bills aren't making it at 8-8.

The Vikings needed a QB and Cousins was the best one out there. The Vikings shot their shot and it just didn't pan out. I don't think Cousins is bad but the Vikings won't be able to sustain an elite roster around a 28 million dollar a year QB. What made the Cousins move a sensible one was the fact that the Vikings had an elite roster that just needed a QB (Although their O-line was suspect) so that even with a slightly above average QB like Cousins they had a chance to compete. Sometimes you have to go for it in the NFL and that's what the Vikings did. Keenum is a subpar QB (I put him in the Tyrod category, starting caliber but below the Dalton line) they went with the much more expensive option however and it hasn't offered much of an upgrade. Hopefully the Vikings can upgrade the O-line a lot and keep the defense together enough for one more year.

Its hard to say as I don't know how the teams needs will be structured based off how the back 6 games play out. For example if Zay and Teller play lights out to end the year I might approach the draft and free agency differently. Going off of what we know now I would sign a high end center and Guard, plus try to trade for Emmanuel Sanders, while adding a upper echelon WR via free agency. I would also look into resigning EJ Gaines if he hits the market and the price is reasonable. The team should still be able to resign Lorax and Cameron. I would go BPA round one, just add talent to the team if its a dynamic player although I would prefer O-line. Round 2 I would go WR, you need depth and a player waiting in the wings to take over for the older players there. Round 3 I would go RB or TE both positions where the team is older and could use a bit of youth. The mid rounds I would just always draft BPA mostly fill out depth needs and get young players behind vets. Right now I look at the Bills as needing 3-4 impact starters on offense via free agency and 2 additional high draft picks on offense. That's 5-6 supplemental starters needed and possibly finding another corner and some continued depth overall. It should be doable to fill all or most of these needs with the current draft picks and the cap space.

The NFL is a balancing act. The league will always slant the rules towards the offenses because "Chicks dig the long ball" but the defensive minds that make up the game will always adjust to new rules and adapt to new strategies. You saw safeties converted into linebackers and pass coverage becoming a necessity for linebackers to limit the short and intermediate passing game. You saw interior defensive linemen become integral to the pass rush as its a lot quicker to get to the QB over the middle. In 2018 the NFL saw that over the course of the past 4-5 years defenses caught up. Teams like Seattle and Denver fielded teams that had true lock down defenses for at least a few years. Now the NFL has slanted the rules again to help the offenses and the defenses are left to adjust. I have no doubt that in 2-3 years defenses will have adapted and we will see a new sense of balanced play arrive. Its always a game that swings based off of new strategies, even offenses adapted by ditching the fullback for a slot receiver and using the running back as a receiver out of the backfield. I

I am genuinely asking this question but why would the uber wealthy elite whose own fortune and money needs a functioning society in order to actually work and benefit them want to destroy the economies that they and their loved ones live in? It seems to me that if you are a central bank you want the money you are issuing to be as valuable as possible (or at least hold some sort of value.) I just don't see how their motives function with their goals? If you are a billionaire you want the money and assets you hold to actually sustain their value so that you can continue to live the life of a billionaire. It kind of seems counter intuitive to want control at the cost of destroying the very institutions that allow your lavish wealth to exist. I would say that 2019 things will hum along fairly steadily, the tax cut sugar high will still be felt in 2019 but the shallow nature of the tax cuts (Which in my opinion won't do much to improve consumer demand which is the primary underlying need of the economy) but in 2020 the cracks will start to show like they did in 2007 and the crash will likely come in 2021 similar to 2008.

This game delivered big time, a true masterpiece of football. Don't let the high score fool you as there was 3 defensive TD's and several turnovers forced by the defense so while by any metric this game was a high scoring affair this game had great input from both defenses. Its also great to see a new generation of young QB's. Goff and Mahomes are great, Wentz and Watson could be big time too if they recover from their injuries, even Trubisky a player most wrote off as a bust is looking like a viable QB. That's potentially 5 really good young QB's to come into the league in back to back seasons. Marioata and Winston aren't looking so hot but either one could still turn it around. Then you have this current rookie class that could yield multiple good QB's. Even guys like Luck and Cam Newton are still in their prime and continuing to play at a high level. Toss in Matty Ice and Matthew Stafford who are still likely to have 5-6 good years left and you are looking at the NFL having pretty good QB play for the next decade. That's nothing to say of the vet QB's that are still playing at a high level like Big Ben, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, and Rivers all of whom could play 2-4 more seasons at a high levle. I know the rules of the NFL are making it easier to play QB and score more in general but it felt like for years that the NFL was just not having many good QB's entering into the draft. You would be lucky to get 1 Matty Ice trickle in now and again. Now in a lot of drafts it seems like you are seeing good QB's come in much more consistently.

Correlation may not equal causality, it also completely misrepresenting the source and the nature of the "study" as another poster pointed out. Onto the correlation point, I am not saying that there is or isn't a positive correlation between gun access/density and crime but rather that the findings might be not accurately looking at the cause of crime vs. the reason laws were enacted. For example if violent crime is increasing in an area or region, that region will enact gun control laws. The Gun control laws were a response to rising crime not the cause of the rising crime. Whereas if crime isn't a major problem in an area then that area won't enact gun control laws. So the safe nature of an area isn't a result of laxer gun laws but rather a byproduct of it. Crime tends to correlate to relative poverty and lack of opportunity (Which results in single motherhood and a lot of disaffected youth who are the most susceptible to commit crime) above any other factors such as criminal justice and gun control laws. I just don't think gun control or loosening of gun laws correlate that much to general crime.

The Bills didn't offer him a contract. Don't know what you wanted him to do.