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billsfan89

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Everything posted by billsfan89

  1. Almost all top top tier WR 1 are divas and cause some level of issues. I wouldn't hesitate to give up a 2nd plus other picks for Brown.
  2. If its between 9-10 million I would decline it. Shaq is still here for 2019 so the team can get one more year to evaluate him and if he breaks out he can be franchised and a deal can be worked out. I don't think there are many major players that will be free agents from the 2016 draft class that would require the tag anyway.
  3. How so? There are so many man hours that can be dedicated to servicing a community in the same way that there are only so many man hours a doctor can provide patients? If Healthcare is a commodity because it is finite then why isn't policing which is equally as finite a commodity? Electricity, Water, and Healthcare are just as essential as policing and we treat those as commodities. Under the conditions to which people here have described Healthcare as being a commodity policing would fall under those criteria. Now if you want to say that neither healthcare nor policing should be treated as commodities then I would agree. But you can't specificity the conditions for why Healthcare is a commodity and then when I apply those same conditions to policing say those conditions don't apply.
  4. What's the cost of the 5th year option? He is under contract for 2019 so you can let him play it out. I am not sure if I would pick it up.
  5. Policing is a commodity, it is individually applied and there is only so much attention and patrolling that can be applied to specific areas. Yet we do not have a system where you need private police insurance to administer policing. Everything can be called a commodity if you break it down enough. So why do we treat policing which is paid for by the public and administered as such (while also having a private market for private security and investigation if you can afford it) but Healthcare which is a similar product (It isn't elastic, its finite, and people need it in emergency situations where they can't shop around) should be treated as a commodity despite the fact that it isn't a product you can ethically deny people and it is needed in emergency situations where you can't shop around? Please explain to me how a massive private insurance system where each provider has its own codes, own billing practices, own network of doctors and providers, and own billing administration is going to drive down costs for insurance? No amount of Durrrr government sucks waves that fact away.
  6. The USA spends 17.8% of its GDP on healthcare, the next closest developed nation spends Switzerland spends 12.4% most developed nations with a form of single payer healthcare spend about 10-11% of GDP on healthcare. Healthcare is not a commodity, you aren't always in a position to shop around for it and it isn't an elastic commodity. I would rather employers pay a payroll tax (In place of what they pay for medical insurance now) so that everyone has a basic medicare plan than to have an insanely complicated system that is inefficient (Imagine calling the police and needing private police insurance and calling the right police in your police network to avoid ending up with a 10k bill) and just costs more money without providing better outcomes. I know there is an orthodoxy for a lot of people here that the government sucks and private industry is better at everything but yet anytime I travel to other nations in the developed world they seem to like their healthcare system and outright fear and laugh at the cost and complexity of the US healthcare system. I also think our privatized healthcare system is bad for someone wanting to start their own business. Small businesses and start ups have to put their own and their families health on the line just to be able to get off the ground. That's a horrible and perverse incentive. Our healthcare system also makes it almost impossible for you to freelance or go into business for yourself and maintain good coverage. You see the government sucks at everything. Just ignore real world evidence that single payer systems produce similar or better outcomes for less money.
  7. It was a hard schedule but every year your schedule is hard and you will have to beat good teams. Yes some years you might luck out and be pitted against a bad division but typically your schedule in the NFL is always hard.
  8. Unless Foles goes on a deep run in this years playoffs and looks good doing it, then no. But if the Eagles get bounced by the Bears and Foles looks mediocre I would rather stick with Wentz who is still on a rookie deal and was an MVP candidate last year.
  9. I think Fornette is talented but I don't see him being a Zeke, Gurley, Bell or Barkley type difference maker. He is a dam fine power runner but not a capable receiver and not elite at pushing between the tackles either. I think he has top 10 RB talent but when you draft him at pick 4 you want a top 5 elite RB. I think Jacksonville dumps him for a early 3rd or late 2nd round pick this off-season. It cuts their losses while another team gets very good talent on the cheap. I don't think he would be worth trading for if you are the Bills. Too much of a headcase and malcontent for McBeane even if it cost the team a 3rd rounder I just don't see the fit.
  10. He will be 31, on a sizable contract, and has been banged up lately. I wouldn't be opposed to trading for him but not at the cost of 2 draft picks. If it was a swap of our 3rd for Cincy's 5th or 6th I would strongly consider it. Green I think still might have 1-3 very productive years left. But I am not trading a high 2nd rounder and a mid round pick (which I value more with a regime that seems to know how to draft) for a short term solution at WR that is far from a sure thing high impact player. If the draft compensation were lowered then I would listen as the market for free agent WR's isn't that great and the draft might not produce an impact player. But at the steep asking price of a early 2nd and a late 4th I would rather just draft 2 WR's with those picks.
  11. He was viewed as a generational guard prospect projected to be a Zack Martin type player right out of the gate and Nelson came in and looked the part his rookie year. Given how important each position along the O-line is now and how hard it is to find guards now (It used to be the best guards and centers drafted in the first two rounds were low risk picks not so much anymore) its no longer stupid to draft guards or centers high up. They are premium positions that aren't easily replaceable. Overall I like to see a much hyped rookie guard come in and look the part, the last time guards went high in round one (Cooper and Warmack) they busted.
  12. Its not necessarily a fallacy but it is something that gets overstated. Often times the highest player on the board will not be taken if the position doesn't fit need simply because the second best player on the board is in a position of need. The draft is about value and if you are drafting 9 and you have the 7th and 9th best player on your board still available but the player that is ranked 7th isn't at a position of need and the 9th best player is then teams will take the player ranked 9th. Its splitting hairs in terms of talent level and you want the player that will help your team more. Now if the choice is between the 7th best player on the board who isn't at a position of need and the 14th that is then you take the higher ranked player. So its value vs. need and you weigh value more but its not the be all end all.
  13. I am not sure a trade down will be available at pick 9. Unless multiple QB's get highly coveted in the pre-draft process I don't see the Bills having a talent at pick 9 that they wouldn't want but other teams would be willing to trade up for. So I think more than likely the team is stuck at pick 9 and will have to take the best player available. That being said if I have my choice of positions to pick it would be RT. Ideally I think WR is the teams biggest need but there isn't a player worth taking at 9 at the position. More realistically at RT would fit the teams second biggest need on offense and be a mighty fine way to add more talent around Allen via the draft. At pick 41 the team can take a WR to complement the existing talent (I also would want a vet WR, I am not going to be fooled by Zay and Foster just yet.)
  14. I am glad Kyle is looking to get out at age 35, he has had a significant amount of injury issues and playing deep into your 30's can take its toll. Kyle has also collected on a big contract so its not like he needs the money. I hope he enjoys retirement. It was so great to see him end the drought and come back to try and be the glue for a young defense. Even through his last season was a losing season he had a good year and certainly helped lay the foundation for the defense and the culture of the new regime. Really always loved Kyle, he was almost always a bright spot for a team with so few bright spots.
  15. O-line players are highly coveted so I can't see the trade market having high end lower risk impact starters. WR's on the other hand might be more available. So I can see a trade for a WR happening, but I think a massive trading spree is unlikely. The team has been drafting well and they have the dollars to spend in free agency. Why burn picks to take back players most likely on bigger contracts when you can just sign free agents? Ertz is the best or second best tight end in the game, there is almost zero chance he gets traded unless its for an ungodly sum of draft picks at which point it wouldn't be worth it.
  16. Yes but if you are suffering from CTE I don't think weed will help your brain is my main point. Chronic weed use has been associated with negative effects on the brain (That being said most if not all of the effects are reversible if you stop using over a long period of time.) So unless there is new research showing otherwise I think the better argument for weed is to treat pain for these retired players. CBD might be better for CTE but I think research needs to be done.
  17. If the team resigns Jordan Phillips they have 3 solid DT's in Henry, Star, and Phillips. I think the team would be better off drafting a DT in the mid rounds to help rotate in and develop behind those 3. I think the departure of Kyle means Phillips becomes a must resign. So I think edge is a bigger priority considering Hughes will be 31, the jury is still out on Shaq, and Murphy is both older and comes with injury concerns. IF you resign J.Phillips you can address DT in round 4 and be comfortable. I think they go OT in round 1 but if they went D-line I wouldn't be too upset. The pass rush is decent but not spectacular so adding a top 10 pick that can add a prime pass rusher isn't a bad way to go considering the importance of a big time pass rush to win games.
  18. A wall could easily be circumvented with a ladder, some carpet, and a rope. Also you could just destroy or dig under a wall. Over 50% of illegal immigrants are people who come in legally and overstay their visas. A wall does not address the majority of the problem. I am all for border security but a wall is not the answer. Using technology (Drones, Lasers, and motion detectors) and more manpower is a cheaper and more effective way to secure the border. Also if you want to crack down on illegal immigration you probably are better off cracking down on employers and chocking off the money illegals can make. But Trump himself has hired illegals and his big business buddies like to have an influx of cheap labor. So demonize the southern border with an ineffective solution because the visual of a wall makes people in Alabama feel safer.
  19. Marijuana could certainly help with killing pain and keeping retired players away from much more dangerous pain killers. As far as CTE I think maybe CBD oil and other treatments might be worth studying as alternative treatments but straight weed isn't going to help guys recover from a brain injury, weed isn't as harmful a drug as alchol or harder drugs but it isn't a magic plant either. Weed tends to have a negative effect on your cognition if you are a chronic user so I don't see how it would help with CTE.
  20. Possibly, but I would still like to see the Bills make a run at him or one of the other top WR's on the free agent market. At around pick 6-9 there isn't likely a high impact WR and a trade down might not be available. I am not too sure Mac, Foster, and Zay should be counted on to anchor the wide receiver core, I think Foster or Zay can be a WR3 maybe even a WR2 and Mac could be a good gadget player. But with Allen on a rookie deal I would rather overspend on an abundance of WR talent rather than go cheap because you bought into a few young guns towards the end of the season. Golden Tate and DeSean Jackson would make for two nice players to pair with Zay and Foster for example.
  21. I would love Jackson on a one year deal, Sign him and Tyrell Williams on the outside, let Foster and Zay battle for the slot position. I wouldn't want a longer than 1 year commitment on Jackson but as a one year stop gap while the young guys develop it would be a smart move.
  22. He is a backup with some potential. I wouldn't roll into a season with him as the starter but if he is your backup TE you have decent depth. Will he ever be starting caliber? I don't honestly know but I think he could be if he takes positive steps in development. I would more or less project his ceiling as a low end starter or a high end backup.
  23. I would like to see how Allen can improve with another off-season to work on his footwork and watch his own tape. I also want to see how much better he can play with better pass protection and better skill position players.
  24. There are a lot of teams with QB's on rookie deals who have a ton of cap space and a closing window to take advantage of a QB with a low cap number. I could see a team like the Colts or Jets easily overpaying Clowney, Lawrence (who I think will get tagged), and Bell. Free agents always get overpaid and in a market flushed with cash and urgency its hard to see some team not giving a top pass rusher at least 18-20 million and a top offensive weapon like Bell 14-16 million.
  25. Clowney could command 20 million per, Bell 15 million, and Lawrence 18-20 million. That's 53-55 million Daryl Williams and Pradise probably will combined be well over 10 million if not 8-10 million a piece. That being said even if that 90 million goes quick the team likely can open up an additional 10-25 million in cap space without losing much in value. Shady, Clay, Murphy, Vlad, Ivory, and a few other players can be cut to open up more space if needed.
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