billsfan89

I am not sold on Long and Teller. I think counting on both would be a mistake. I would much rather sign a vet guard or draft one high up and let Teller and Long compete.

It's the free agency premium

I wouldn't say it's set if they got Daryl William's. I would be good with the tackles and the center. But who exactly would be the guards?

That's a great way to start rebuilding the interior. Still need 3 more starters in my opinion but you have to start somewhere and this is great start.

I think it depends on whose there, but I favor best player available at pick 9. I think the team can add multiple offensive linemen, a quality WR, and supplement another need or two via free agency while also having the rest of the draft to add talent. Based off of what I know I think the best player available will likely be a interior pass rusher which is a need esp long term.

As usual it depends on the price. I think Brown could have 2 maybe 3 great years left. It seems like with his skills and relatively low injury history he will age well. But 31 years old at a position where 31 years is close to the falling off point for that position and he is a diva.

DK Metcalf seems like a workout warrior. I wouldn’t mind taking him in the mid to late teens after a trade down. Straight up at 9 I would rather take a pass rusher where at that point in the draft there will be a top tier pass rusher there. I think at around pick 15-20 Metcalf is a risk worth taking. He has a dominant physical profile, the family acumen (His father, uncle, and grandfather were all in the NFL), along with being a good kid in general. But as good a physical freak as he is, Metcalf does have concerns about his lateral ability (His cone drills were awful), his route running, and his hands leave a lot to be desired on tape. He also has an injury history that isn’t insignificant. You need to be able use more than straight line speed and a freak physical profile to be a good WR in the NFL. But if Metcalf can polish his game more he has All-Pro potential. So my appetite for risk on Metcalf at pick 9 is not there. I think if somehow if the Bills can trade down between 15-20 and Metcalf is there at that range (Which now is unlikely but who knows if the hype calms down in the later draft process) then having extra picks and picking lower makes Metcalf a risk worth taking as you likely have an extra 2ndround pick to fill other needs.

Teller is a 50/50 type player. I think he certainly deserves a shot to win a starting guard position in training camp. He played well at times but also struggled at times. I think ideally the team should find a massive upgrade at one of the guard positions and then draft a guard in round 2 or 3 to compete with Teller for the other guard spot. If Teller beats out the rookie great, if he doesn't then Teller can sit for another year and the team can see how he develops.

Seems like a natural fit. T.Williams is at or near the top of the WR market. The Colts have the most cap space and a need to get a third target behind TY and Ebron. Williams would give them a nice complement to the other two players and the Colts could overpay and have enough cap space left over to address other needs. I wouldn't be shocked to see the Colts go after T.Williams and C.Beasley to round out their secondary targets too. The Colts could then go after a pair of top defensive players as well.

I would like the move for a late round pick. I think you could cut Ivory and trade a 6th for Howard then you have your early down back in Howard (Who is cheaper and younger than Ivory) your uber third down back in Shady, while also drafting a RB in the mid rounds to take over for Shady and add some depth. I wouldn't make the move for anything higher than a 6th as I think this regime has proven to be pretty good at drafting in rounds 5 and higher.

I can't see him getting above 12 million AAV coming off of a huge injury. But then again whacky things have happened. Even if the Bills gave him 12 million AAV and traded for Zeitler they would still have well over 55 million to player with to sign another WR and fill out another need or two.

With Kyle gone DT was shockingly thin. Before bringing back Phillips the team had Star who is more of an early down grinder and H.Phillips a rookie who flashed potential but was up and down a lot in his rookie season. Bringing back Jordan Phillips gives the team depth and a quality rotational player. Yes the team probably could use an interior pass rusher but at least with Jordan Phillips the team is not paper thin at DT going into the free agency and draft process. So even if they bring a high draft pick as an interior rusher and H.Phillips develops into a great player then J.Phillips still can be productive as depth and a DT 4. In the modern NFL you need both depth and a quality amount of rotation in the D-line. J.Phillips brings both along with a high energy player who endeared himself to the team and the fans. The lower risk one year deal also makes this a much better signing.

Unless they got this guy on a vet minimum I would pass on Allen, he isn't really that good nor at his best was he ever anything more than decent. He is old and not productive. I would pass and take on a better free agent TE or go for a mid-level free agent TE and draft a TE in the early rounds.

I wouldn't mind signing Williams, the team needs an RT and I think he would come at a reasonable cost. Ideally I would sign Williams, trade for Zeitler, and sign one of the better WR's available in free agency. Zeitler would cost about 12 million, Williams I imagine around 10, and a top tier WR about 12. All together that's 34 million on the cap, a number the team can easily afford, esp when you consider that there is probably another 5-10 million of fat on the roster that can be trimmed (Vlad, Ivory, and DiMarco all of whom I consider expendable would save 5 million, Murphy and Bodine could also save another 5 if you found their replacements in free agency.) So entering in with just under 80 million with another 5-10 available if needed I think the team could spend 34 million on those trades and free agency targets to upgrade 2 spots on the O-line and add a WR. Heck I think they could do that and add a tight end and an edge rusher if they wanted and still roll over 30 million or about that.

I don't know why but something tells me the Bills management is more so going to go after Williams at RT as the big splash in free agency while maybe adding a mid-level guard and drafting another guard in round 2 or 3. I think at Center the front office will go with a competition between the newly acquired Long and Bodine. Don't get me wrong If I was approaching the Bills off-season I would love to see the team sign Pradis as I think Long is more of a high end backup and Bodine is decent depth at best. Personally I wouldn’t mind seeing the Bills trade a-mid rounder for Kevin Zeitler and sign both Pradis and Williams while maybe making a smaller splash at WR like signing DeSean Jackson and then drafting pass catchers 2 out of the first 3 rounds and a RB in round 4. I don’t see the Bills management making 3 big O-line acquisition and a significant WR addition. I think its more likely the sign Williams at RT, go with a mid-level acquisition at guard, and then sign a significant WR. That’s not terrible. Williams and a competent guard is a good way to help the O-line. But I don’t see why they couldn’t trade a mid-rounder for Zeitler and sign Williams and a WR.

I would give up a mid rounder for him easily as he is a very good player on a contract that is suddenly reasonable for a top guard BUT it gives me pause as to why the Browns would want to trade a top guard when their cap isn't an issue. Supposedly the Browns want the cap space and to pave the way for their 2nd round guard to take over and use the cap space elsewhere. If his medicals check out I don't see why he wouldn't be a great pickup.

Dolphins are going to tank in 2019. Better QB draft class in 2020 (By all reports) and with a new regime in town its pretty easy to think they are going to want to do a standard 2-3 year plan.

I think 12 is more realistic, but I could see some team massively over bidding. Sammy and Allen Robinson got 16 per and there are more teams looking to get weapons for young QB's.

It is a hard contract to get out of until 2021 (in 2020 its a 7.8 million dollar cap hit, even post June first that would be 3.9 a season for 2 seasons.) And even in 2021 the cap penalty is 5 million although you could spread that over 2 seasons to ease it out if needed. I am not going to defend the contract as I think it was a massive overpay and might be an albatross once 2017 and 2018 draft guys need extensions. However for people to act like Star bring zero or negative value to the team is just flat out wrong. Star is a positive for the team and while I think you can find what he offers cheaper it is not as though what he offers isn't needed along the D-line. But if Star in 2019 and 2020 plays to the same level he did in 2018 I think the value he brings to the team will be enough to at least call the contract a productive overpay. And luckily D-line players tend to play well for longer than some other positions.

I think he gets at worst 12 million aav and could get as high as 14-15 million aav. Personally I am not sure which vet WR the Bills will land. T.Williams and Tate are going to command huge money, I am not sure who else is really good on the market, John Brown will get paid close to 10 million aav not sure if he is a quality WR2 or not. There doesn't seem to be much else on the market other than Cole Beasely or maybe a released veteran like DeSean Jackson.

He is going to command number one WR money. Wither or not he is worth it he is worth that is irrelevant because free agents almost always get overpaid and there are a ton of teams with lots of cap space that need WR's to pair with young QB's.

Personally if I were the GM I would waive him. 7 million in cap savings is huge and I would rather spend that money elsewhere and draft a RB and get a mid-level free agent who would cost much less. BUT if you are going to keep him then I think he is better served as a uber third down back. Draft a young guy for early downs, use Ivory (if you don't cut him) for short yardage, and have Shady only be in on 2nd and long and 3rd down. Use him similar to how NOLA uses Kamura. Overall I think Shady can be effective if his role is dramatically shifted, but if the Bills think they can get one more year out of him as a full time back they are sadly mistaken.

Star might be overpaid for his style of play but its not like he isn't a productive player who has a role in the defense. The Bills rush defense was 16th in 2018, that's not bad but hardly enough to write home about except when you factor in the Bills were 29th in 2017. Star wasn't the only reason for the Bills improvement there but he was a major factor for the Bills considerable improvement. So yes is Star worth 11 million in 2019? No, but that doesn't mean he doesn't have value to the defense.

Players go to markets for the following reasons. 1- Money 2- Winning/Team Culture 3- Market/City Culture The Bills with their ownerships willingness to spend and in their current salary cap position can compete with anyone on the money front. But while McD's playoff appearance and shifting of the organization culture has started to move the needle the Bills are not perceived to be a winning organization just yet so organizations like New England, Seattle, and more established winning teams are going to have an edge if a player is interested in winning. However this is something that can change if Allen pans out and the team makes the playoffs again in 2019. However Buffalo is a third tier NFL city. Don't get me wrong I love Buffalo but its not a cultural hub the same way LA, NYC, Chicago, or to a lesser degree Miami is and the weather in the city is much less appealing than Southern cities like Houston or even Tampa Bay. These things aren't as important as money or winning but they do play a factor for players choosing teams. That being said thanks to ownership willing to spend money is not an issue (The cap could be) and if the team starts to win then the opportunity to win will not be a negative. Get those two things in place and your teams roadblock of not being in a sexy market isn't that big. The issue is that Buffalo is a cold weather city and not an apex media center like NYC or Chicago. So while I do think that the Bills Mafia has added something to the culture of the team and Buffalo as a city is on a general upswing it still isn't going to be looked at as a super sexy market for players. However with an owner willing to spend once you start to win you won't have that hard a time recruiting players to a winning situation. Even in the early 2000's under Donahue the Bills signed pretty big free agents like Sam Adams, Spikes, and Fletcher.

They haven't put much resources into signing players on offense. They spent so little on offensive players the past two off-seasons. Their bigger moves and signings have skewed more towards the defense for sure. So is it a matter of them outright sucking or simply not having put the big dollars into it? I am not saying you are wrong but I think any GM whose biggest AAV signing was 3 million would have a hard time finding players there.