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Everything posted by billsfan89
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What was the Bill's Play-of-the-Decade?
billsfan89 replied to cage's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
His knees have to be what infinity? That's a lot of milage. -
What’s your Saturday going to look like?
billsfan89 replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Big Saturday lined up, me and the wife are going to go to Home Depo, maybe Bed Bath and Beyond, but I don't know if we are going to have enough time. -
I really don't understand what team's see in Daboll's body of work to have HC whispers. Josh has developed but he isn't a top 10 QB (Is Josh now that much better than Trubisky was in 2018?) The offense isn't a prolific rushing attack either. This is a below average offense (Which isn't bad considering you have a young developing QB and a ton of roster turnover and still lack some playmakers) and I don't see what team's wouldn't want to see how the offense progresses in 2020 (can Daboll develop Josh into a top 10 QB with improved weapons and a year of having this offense staying together?) But why jump on this guy as a head coach for doing a good but not great job one year in? I don't even see Daboll's play calling or schemes as being that innovative. If I am going into the up and coming coordinator pool I would rather touch base with Gregg Roman or several other candidates who have had better more sustained offensive success.
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No Team Wants To See The Buffalo Bills
billsfan89 replied to H2o's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Titans and Bills present tough matchups for teams. Both have top defenses that are very physical and have offenses that know how to play in a style that complements their defense (good ground game, strong line play and turnover averse.) The Texans and Chiefs are both susceptible to these hard matchups as neither defenses scare you. Overall I think both AFC wildcard teams really present the possibility of an upset. -
What was the Bill's Play-of-the-Decade?
billsfan89 replied to cage's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Didn't that play happen in 2009? I think God is getting a little old to play football. -
The reason Knox has drop issues
billsfan89 replied to benderbender's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
10 drops on 50 targets is unacceptable I fully agree. However Knox was a very raw prospect who wasn't supposed to come in as the starter. He was supposed to be a backup to Kroft but Kroft got hurt and he was thrust into action. Knox didn't play much receiver in college so he is going to have some growing pains. I think after getting a full season in and getting another off-season to develop and practice his receiving Knox will be a more consistent player in 2020. I would still like to see them cut Kroft and bring in a vet receiving TE just to take some pressure off of Knox and make it so that he doesn't have to be thrust in over his head if he needs another year to develop. -
24-21 Bills. The Bills go up 24-14 in the 4th and sit on the lead. The Texans score a TD late but the Bills grind out the clock.
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It is all over the place, you have some guys like Myles Garrett on rookie deals who are beasts, some guys like Cameron Wake under performing and others like Matthew Ioannidis who is on a second contract similar to Murphy's who just notched 9.5 sacks. But if Murphy is commanding a top 30 salary at his position I think he has to be better than he was in 2019. At a top 30 salary you have to be a starting caliber player or a dynamic role player. Right now I don't see Murphy being an elite pass rush specialist or a reliable ground defender who can get some pressure. He to me is just a JAG who is getting paid a lot of money. If he was making 2-4 million I would love to see him as the 4th DE who can provide solid depth. But cutting him saves 5.5 million on the cap, money I feel the team can use to help resign Shaq and make other acquisitions easier.
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Yeldon should only be used to spell Singletary in a limited number of snaps in passing situations. I don't see the need to make him anything more than a backup piece. I don't hate him as a backup receiving back but let's not get carried away with this. The Bills shuffling around Duke and the other backups are marginal moves that might not make a lot of a difference. This game is going to come down to how well Brown, Beasley, Knox, and Singletary perform in the passing game and how they can get the ground game going with Singletary.
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Titans at Pats = 1996 Jags at Bills
billsfan89 replied to Lenigmusx's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
There was also less concern about throwing INT's down the field. A lot of times QB's on third and long would take shots deep and force things into coverage because coaches felt that INT's 50 yards down the field weren't that much worse than punts. Of course coaching and the attitudes towards INT's have changed a lot since. Man were they right. Bills still had some success towards the end of the decade but that game was the end of that era. -
He is the 28th highest paid DE in the league by aav. I don't hate Murphy but his production level is not up to his contract. He is a nice player to have as a rotational 4th DE. But he is paid starting caliber money. It is more about value vs. production. He isn't producing up to his value. I think they are better off cutting him and using his money to help off-set resining Shaq.
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It was the right position to target at the deadline in 2017. The team was 5-2 and looking to end a drought. They had 2 third round picks and once again they desperately needed a WR who could command attention and bringing a big body to target was a plus. It obviously didn't work and I was shocked that McBeane knowing KB from Carolina didn't know to stay away from him due to his attitude and poor work ethic. I would qualify it as the right move in philosophy (getting some help to try and break the drought) but it was poor in execution that means it is a mistake. I think the Dareus trade was a bigger mistake as I think it basically exposed the run defense the rest of the season (as bad as Dareus played relative to his contract he was still a good run stuffer, he did improve the Jags run defense that season.) I think they should have cut or traded Dareus in the off-season but hey it all worked out the drought was broken.
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NE fans are hating life right now. Lookie here...
billsfan89 replied to Peace Frog's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I hope so, this team has everything in place to be 10+ wins for the next 2-3 years at least. But a lot rides on Josh who as much as I like him still needs to progress significantly if this team hopes to be truly great. -
I wouldn't be opposed to seeing what is on the market. But I am not sure Barkely is that much better or worse than your average backup QB.
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Yannick Ngakoue - Peace Out Jax
billsfan89 replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I want the Bills to keep Shaq and sign Yannick. However if Shaq gets a bit too pricy you have to let him walk. I think you are OK with paying retail to keep Shaq but you shouldn't be gouged. As good of a player as Shaq is, he only had 6.5 sacks this year and wasn't doing much the three previous seasons. 10 million aav for him is steep but I might be wiling to pay it if the guarantee is low and easy to get out of after 2 seasons. 10 million aav puts him as the 16th highest paid aav (although more around 20 by the time new contracts get handed out.) That is already a considerable overpay. Ideally I think he sits in the 8ish million range but the market can get crazy sometimes. So I wouldn't go anywhere over 10 million aav and even then only if it is a limited guarantee. I think that if you do keep Shaq and Phillips at a total of 20 million aav combined and you sign Yannick to a 15 million aav deal while cutting Murphy your D-line spending as a unit in 2020 balloons to over 60 million (Star and Hughes 20 million, Shaq and Phillips 20 million, Yannick 15 million, Ed 4.5 million, Phillips and Johnson both under 1 million.) That's a lot to spend on 8 players but you quickly can get out of Star and Hughes after 2020 so that number can come down and Murphy's 1.5 million in dead cap comes off so that helps. Once again this team I think can balance adding 2-3 starting pieces via free agency, while retaining our key players and keeping enough roll over to handle future extensions. -
Bills' mishandling of the CB position
billsfan89 replied to Giuseppe Tognarelli's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The NFL roster size should be expanded to 57 and the amount you dress should be 53. Teams are so thin in general even if they were able to dress everyone. I don't see why a few extra backups and a few extra active people would hurt. This would allow players to come back from injury slower. I also think the NFL should have a "disabled list" where you can put guys on it for 4,6, and 8 weeks and then call up a PS player to replace them for that amount of time or sign a guy off the street. It would allow teams not have to force to carry and rush back hurt players because they need the bodies. The current IR designated for return tag isn't that great it puts guys out for far too long. You could limit the amount of slots you are able to use but there needs to be a complete overhaul of the NFL's injury system. -
Bills at Texans Playoff Game, Saturday 4:35 pm
billsfan89 replied to wppete's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I have a good feeling about this game but I still rank it as a toss up. On the road in the playoffs is not an easy task and Watson is a super dynamic QB. But the Texans defense is not good. If Josh can move the ball on the Texans D with some consistency then I think the Bills can pull it out. Tons of fun given the Bills underdog nature. But the Bills should start to expect more. 10 wins and playoffs is great however a playoff win on the road is completely the type of culture setting thing this team needs. Not only does it advance you in the playoffs (duh) it gets you more experience playing on the road in the playoffs which for an ascending team learning how to win high leverage games is something that they need. -
He is a fairly replacement level rotational DE who is being paid starter or high end rotation money. I think unless he takes a paycut the team is going to cut him. I think they are better off cutting Murphy and Kroft and freeing up about 10 million extra in salary cap space to spend on resining the current free agency, chasing after 2 or 3 starting pieces, and having roll over space for when extensions kick in. He isn't a bad player but he just hasn't lived up to his contract. Which is unfortunate because I thought year 2 removed from his major injury he might have a breakout but he just never got it going besides flashes here or there. Hughes has been a quality player this season while Star has really turned it on since the team's rushing defense woes of the middle of the season. Star largely has been responsible for the team's improved rushing defense against some of the better rushing attacks in the league. I think that while you could argue that Hughes and Star are overpaid a bit they still provide value that is not easily replaced. If Trent was your 4th DE making 2.5 million I don't see why you wouldn't keep him. But he makes a lot of money and only produces like a JAG. It would be virtually impossible for them not to take the 7 or so million they would be spending on him and get better value elsewhere.
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NE fans are hating life right now. Lookie here...
billsfan89 replied to Peace Frog's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Pats can go screw themselves. They went 12-4 with one of if not the best defenses and special teams units in the league and they act like they are a bunch of bums. I really hope they lose to the Titans and just get completely outclassed physically by them. I hope Brady leaves and does well elsewhere while Billy B wins 8 games win a mediocre QB. I really hope the Bills start a sustained run of success that puts them to lead the division for the next 4-5 seasons. -
I love it, but the more I think about it winning in Houston would do a lot to set the culture for this team. A loss in Houston while disappointing wouldn't be the end of the world and the season is still a success. But even just getting one playoff win on the road while also getting to play a second road playoff game is both culture setting and valuable experience this team needs. I also think considering Houston isn't a powerhouse I don't see why the Bills can't set expectations higher.
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I don't really know what Daboll has done that would justify head coaching hype. Josh is still a work in progress. I love Josh and I think he has potential, he already has come a long way but is he a top 10 QB? Is he even a top 15 QB (very arguable.) The offense has been lower mid-level overall (which is fine considering they still need more weapons and it is helmed by a developing QB.) I don't understand how some coaches get this hype while others don't.
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Richie Incognito extended by Raiders
billsfan89 replied to JoeF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The issue with InCog was never on the field. Even in 2017 when his play declined a little bit (considering he was a Pro-Bowl caliber player in 2015 and 2016) he was still a better than average starting caliber guard. Hopefully Gruden and that organization can keep his head on straight. Odds are if he kept himself mentally in a good spot he would be still starting where Spain is right now. -
Josh Allen - SEASON TWO report card
billsfan89 replied to rayray808's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I would give him a B. Was thinking about a B- but his clutch factor and the context to which he plays game (being up late in games and having a defense that makes almost any game close) kind of moved it up to a B. 2 to 1 TD to turnover ratio 3600 passing and rushing yards in essentially 15 games is a fairly mid-level stat line with a completion percentage that leaves a little to be desired. But when you factor in that Josh won games often times coming from behind or closing them out I think you can give him a plus in that regard. His numbers actually kind of mirrors Trubisky's 2018 numbers. But hopefully Josh doesn't have the same type of massive regression. Josh has a long way to go in order to become a top 10 QB in the league. However he took a positive step forward this season and his supporting cast does need to improve esp at receiver opposite Brown. But give Josh some playoff experience, a couple of more weapons, and an off-season to continue to work in the system and improve and I think he can get there. -
NE fans are hating life right now. Lookie here...
billsfan89 replied to Peace Frog's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Pats having to beat a Titans team that will beat you up a lot at home and then having to win a road game in round 2 against KC (if they win) is a tough road to go on compared to having a bye and playing at home in round 2. The Dolphins really made the Pats road to a super bowl a lot harder. BUT until you beat Brady in the playoffs I still favor the Patriots in all matchups. I never count them out. They have the ability to win anywhere. The Pats got really amped for the Bills game. They viewed it as not only for the division but as a matchup against the team that is really coming for them. I think they had a hangover from that game and the Fins are both not an easy out and a team that always tends to beat Miami in a fluky manner. -
NFL Black Monday - Coaching Changes
billsfan89 replied to wppete's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Browns have a young QB with a lot of potential, one of the best skill position corps in the league, and on defense they boast one of the best pass rushers and a shut down corner. They also have 50+ million in cap space and could have about 70 million with some doable cuts. I put them above the Jags because the Jags cap/roster and QB situation suck and they aren't that much less of a dumpster fire in recent history outside of 2017. The Browns are a team that you could see coming together talent wise if they get some help on the O-line and add some pieces to the defense all of which they could do. It is more so about managing the egos that could prove to be a headache. Out of the 6 openings I only put them ahead of the Jags and Redskins who aren't exactly good situations. The Redskins have a toxic environment one that I wouldn't go near since the owner is very meddling and has his goons always high up undermining the coaches and competent staff. Remember a few years ago when the Skins were doing decent with Cousins and they had a lot of great coordinators and seemed to be turning things around? Well Snyder's goons pulled a power play and ousted a lot of the people who were beginning to build up the roster post RGIII. I don't see it being that good of a situation for any coach due to the owner's meddling. They are the Knicks of the NFL.