billsfan89

The Patriots offense in 2018 was a ground and pound offense too. The Pats success is going to be determined by the offensive line and if they can get Sanu and Harry going. In the end I think the Pats will be a 6-8 win team behind a strong defense and special teams but with an offense that will struggle against better defenses.

2015 was insanely frustrating because the one major hole on the roster was thought to be QB and possibly Oline but InCog and a good rookie year from Miller fixed that and Tyrod was a serviceable QB. But it was the defense that regressed massively from a top 3 unit despite having a "defensive guru" as a head coach. Had the defense just been upper midlevel they probably would have won 10 games and competed for a wildcard spot. Had the defense stayed the same if would have been an 12 win season.

The Dareus trade was addition by subtraction. Not only did the Bill's get rid of his contract a year early (which helped them have a ton of spending money for 2019 free agency) but they also got rid of a locker room problem when they were trying to establish a new culture. The actually draft pick compensation is fairly inconsequential. I do think that the 2017 defense did suffer from Dareus absence in rush defense but long term it was worth it. It is unfortunate that Dareus never worked out. From 2011 to 2014 Dareus was a good to great player and even in the Rex and first McD years he still was a capable player. But you can't live up to that type of contract by simply being a better than average player.

I think the idea would be to cut Murphy to both free up the D-line spot and ease the cap hit. Cutting Murphy saves about 8 million on the cap so if you cut Murphy and sign Clowney to a one year 13 million dollar deal you only lose 5 million in roll over. I would be all for giving Clowney a somewhat low ball one year offer, 12 million with 1.5 million in incentives. That's about a 13.5 million hit total but after you cut Murphy you are only looking at about a 5.5 million dollar difference. I think rolling the dice on losing 5.5 million in roll over money is worth the potentially massive upgrade you would get between Murphy and Clowney. I think Clowney's stat total last year was a bit misleading, he was a very disruptive player and having him on a one year deal might be the motivation he needs. I think going to far beyond the 13 million dollar range is stupid as yes you can't have a guy that isn't a sure fire talent eating away more than 4 or 5 million in roll over.

Spencer Long comes to mind if Bates lights it up and D.Williams has a good camp. But I think they want to roll 4 deep along the Oline. I think a Johnson on the Dline could be a late round pick type deal.

Brown performed like a low end WR1 last season. If he stays healthy I think he can easily be a high end WR2.

People were legit saying Lamar Jackson will need to switch positions.

Jacksonville would give him a shot to compete for a starting job and of course the Pats probably would toss him into a QB competition. Overall I think he isn't going to have any better shot to start other than being in a QB competition.

They could make cap space and backload his deal to have a small cap hit in 2020. It isn't like teams can't maneuver the salary cap to get 5-7 million in space.

That's not a bad fit, but I think Dalton would prefer to have a chance at a starting position. In Jacksonville and NE he has a chance to start. With the Steelers he is definitely a backup.

If I have to predict anything I would say that he goes to Jacksonville as a backup who competes for a starting job. Patriots would be the next likely destination.

I think he would actually be a decent option at backup but I think there are teams like the Pats that would give him a contract that wouldn't be justifiable for the Bills to give a backup esp when Barkley isn't a bad back up.

Or the Bills develop him behind Josh (While having Barkley as a short term option) and after 2-3 years they can flip him for a good pick? For a 5th round pick when you have no glaring needs on the roster I don't see the harm in having a guy developing on your bench into either a solid backup 2 years from now or trade bait.

I get the idea of wanting your own people in the organization but you can't just replace everyone even if they were related to someone who left on less than stellar terms. It also isn't like this guy is involved in football operations directly. He is a staff lawyer most likely reviewing contracts and legal documents. I don't think he is going to cause much of a stir.

Miami is improved from last season and I think the Jets are as well but more so marginally (improved the O-line heavily but stagnated almost everywhere else on the roster) but the Pats are much more vulnerable. So is the division hard or easier than last season? I would say it is about the same. Miami improved, the Jets slightly improved and the Patriots stepped back. Based on the rest of the schedule it is hard to make any real legitimate predictions as the NFL is such a volatile league, often times games you thought would be easy are hard and games you thought would be hard are easy. I think looking at the schedule beyond your divison can often be misleading. A lot of people around here were talking about how brutal last year’s schedule was going to be beyond the first few weeks. And guess what it didn’t get hard until way later and even in the team’s brutal 4 game stretch 2 of the games were wins and against opponents who were softer than previously thought (Pitt and Dal.) The Bills have the talent to hand with anyone in this league. The schedule isn’t going to be a major factor, Josh’s development and general health of the roster (which is every year) will determine how far this team goes.

It's on Josh honestly. If Josh plays about the same as he did last season this team will win 10-11 games and be competitive. If Josh regresses then this is a 8 or 9 win team. If Josh can progress to being a top 12-9 QB then this team will win 12-13 games. The components around Josh are there, he has 3 quality receivers, decent TE's, a good promising RB duo, and a solid Offensive line. The Special teams which was mid-level last year added 3 specialists which should make that unit stronger and the defense should remain a top 5 unit in the league. It all comes down to how good the QB will be.

He has had a lot of injuries to the point where I think he isn't going to be healthy anytime soon. It isn't like he is coming off of one big injury. He has had 2-3 major injuries along with several other minor injuries in the past 4-5 years. He needs a year to get physically and mentally right. I would love to have seen a team sign him and IR him for a year as I think that would be best for his development as he ages to really get a full years worth of rest on his body as he ages into his 30's.

There is a lot of money on the D-line right now but the money isn't committed long term. The only contracts that are on the books for 2021 that come with a dead cap hit above 2 million dollars is Addison who is still a 4 million dollar dead cap hit and Star who comes with 7 million in dead money. The commitment the Bills have on the D-line is super flexible and shouldn't impact the team's ability to sign bigger players long term. In fact the only contract that is truly tragic as far as dead money is Star.

The Bills are not the right spot for Cam, Josh doesn't need a big name personality behind him as a backup. Barkley is a capable back and Fromm is the developmental guy. They don't need a QB behind Josh that is going to command a lot of attention and be a possible headache. I like Cam but I think he needs to sit 2020 out and get healthy and then reassess his options once more QB slots open up. His biggest concern is his health and if he sat out 2020 I think he would get his health in order and teams would look at him more positively in 2021.

No he made a decision based on the relationship with the front office and coach.

John Brown is 2 years younger and coming off of back to back healthy and productive seasons. AJ Green hasn't had a healthy season since 2017 and has been hurt 3 out of the past 4 seasons. Stop with this AJ Green bull####. You are falling in love with a name and not what the actual player is likely to produce.

The draft looks good on paper should be 2 starter types with potentially 3 if one of the mid to late round guys pans out and 1-2 role players. All that with no first round pick too. Not too shabby on paper. Beane and McD deserve to be extended now. What they have done to not only get to winning but put the team into a 2-3 year window of contention is a sight to see.

I think the Bills should offer him 2 million with 500k guaranteed. It's a fairly low risk in the grand scheme of things, if he doesn't want to come OK fine. But right now if the Bills want to contend they have to focus on every single area of the roster no matter how small and get it to be as good as possible. In the draft they did just that but punter remains one of the few uninspiring avenues of the roster and I say you have to kick the tires on a possible upgrade. His cap hit was large for a punter and the Chiefs need every drop of cap they can find. I think if KC was right up against the cap they probably would have at least brought him into camp.

I agree I was just elaborating that Rodgers in 2005 was actually a much better prospect than Jordan Love. You said that Rodgers wasn't a generational prospect when the Packers drafted him I disagreed because he was in the running to be a top pick and only fell because of his own pride and not anything related to his game or other major issues. So at pick 24 Rodgers in 2005 was too good to pass up. However Jordan Love is a nice QB prospect but not a prospect that you can't find in other drafts. I think passing up on a Tee Higgins or another WR prospect for a QB that isn't a steal at pick 26 is a mistake. The Packers got ride or Farve and he had a decent season in 2008 with the Jets and a great season in 2009 with the Vikings, so it isn't like teams aren't willing to get rid of a player a year too early. The Packers are always a QB farm they are willing to get rid of Rodgers sooner and they want a QB in place. But I think you could have easily drafted a QB next year of the same caliber as Jordan Love and had 2-3 years to develop him. Help you generational QB now instead of taking a chance on a fairly OK prospect.

I don't think much of either Vedvik or Bojo to not try and get a good veteran punter in there. My opinion would be to cut Vedvik or Bojo and bring in Colquitt to compete with whomever doesn't get cut. But it is a fair enough take to say just stick with the young guys. I just don't really like what's on the roster as far as punters go so a vet coming off a good year seems like the better option for a competition than 2 guys with shaky at best track records.