billsfan89

Some common ones will be Marrone, Patricia, Gase, and Dan Quinn are all on the hot seat but I think that the types of coaches that will lose their jobs in season will be due to a player revolt. I think Quinn is the least vulnerable to that out of those four. That leaves Gase, Patricia, and Marrone as the most vulnerable to an in season firing. I think that Marrone is most likely to get fired in season. Gase has at least some of the locker room and I think Patricia has enough talent to float just close enough to .500. to avoid a firing early. Whereas the Jags could be 1-4 or 1-5 and pull the plug. Whereas I could see the Lions at 2-3 and hanging in there. I think other coaches like Zac Taylor, Matt Nagy, Kliff Kingsbury, Anthony Lynn, and Vic Fangio are also on the hot seat but generally speaking they will finish out the season as typically the coaches that get fired in season are the ones where the players quit on them and I don't see that happening with any of them.

PPG can be misleading. I am not hating on Tyrod but you can run up PPG in many ways. If you have a bad defense that is giving up 30+ a game and you get some garbage time TD's to close a 17 point lead to a 10 point lead then your PPG goes up but not in a meaningful way. Tyrod's ppg benefitted from the 2015 and 2016 Rex led defenses being horrid. Josh in 2019 however had a great defense and leads late in games. Leads late means running out the clock and grinding down possessions which leads to deflated point totals.

The offense supporting cast in 2014 was not that great. The Oline was 2 good starters in Glenn and Wood and not much else and the RB corps were damaged goods. So the offense is significantly more talented now outside of the QB position

I would rather have AJ active than Johnson.

Manual Fantasy football sounds like a pain in the ass. I know a lot of people who do in person live drafts and they seem like a lot of fun. However doing manual score tabulations sounds like a lot of work. You are probably going to be hurting for a RB all season if you didn't take one until round 7 unless you hit on someone late. When I first started playing fantasy I drafted a RB round 1 and then went to try and get a bunch of sleepers in rounds 6-9 thinking that my RB drafted in round 1 would be my anchor and then I could build up the rest of the roster in rounds 2-6 and then all I needed to do was find 1 RB in those late rounds and I would be set. Well my first round stud RB (Jamal Charles) got hurt in week 1 and none of my "sleepers" came through and even though my WR's, TE and QB taken in rounds 2-6 were solid it wasn't enough to make up for the lack of RB production. Since then my strategy is to always go 2 out of my first three picks at RB. Secure the RB position early and use on pick to get a stud WR to anchor the WR position. I figure even if one of your two top RB's gets hurt or busts you will likely at least get the other one to be a top 10-12 RB. I then draft WR's in rounds 4-5 and go RB again in round 6-7 to try and get some depth. I pretty much avoid drafting anything other than a WR or RB in rounds 1-6 unless the value at the picks really isn't there (last year I drafted Mahomes in round 3 because none of the receivers I wanted were there.)

If Tyrod was on the Jags in 2017 when they had that elite defense and decent pieces on offense I could have easily seen him guiding a team like that to 10+ wins consistently. He doesn't turn the ball over, makes plays with his legs and can do just enough to manage a game in the check down department. But the Chargers are far from an elite team, they are more of a middling team and mediocre QB play with that roster in a recipe for 5-6 wins.

I shudder to think of all the years that the Bills had way more success in rounds 5-7 and with undrafted free agents than picks in the first four rounds in the Jauron years. From 2003 to 2008 many of the teams successful players were either drafted late in rounds 5-7 or undrafted free agents. Kyle, Stevie, Peters, Jabari Greer, Fred Jackson, Jim Leonard (although his tenure with the Bills wasn't that great), and Brad Butler were all later or un-drafted guys a great haul for any organization and something that could have had a good run of success but when you wiff a lot in the first four rounds and your organization doesn't have a good coach and lacks the cash to spend on free agents things don't go well. I wonder why the team was so good at identifying starting caliber players in rounds 5-7 and in the undrafted process? But yet they couldn't hit early in the draft or in free agency? Now the Bills have a nice mix of hitting on a lot of their early picks (Tre, Dawkins, Eduomnds and possibly Josh, Ford and Ed) and hitting solid value on later selections (T.Johnson, Milano Singletary, and Levi Wallace along with possibly Knox, Sweeney and a few others.) That along with a solid (although not great) free agency supplementation has finally built a complete roster.

Honestly it's part of a pretty calculated plan. Put TT in there to take the pressure off of the rookie for the first 4-7 weeks. Then once the season looks lost you toss the rookie in there for the back 11-9 games. I think in this weird type of Covid season it is probably best you don't toss a rookie in there if you don't have to. I love TT and I think if you have a great team around him he can manage you to double digit wins easily. But the Chargers while they aren't a bad team they aren't going to be able to carry bad QB play that well.

Unfortunately I didn't get Diggs as I got greedy and hoped to get him a few picks later and he got taken two picks before my round 5 selection (got Keenan Allen instead not too shabby.) Same thing happened in round 6 with Singletary he got taken 2 picks ahead of me so I took Devante Parker instead. I went RB, RB, and RB in my first three picks (Zeke at pick 3, and then Josh Jacobs and Chris Carson) so I didn't need an RB necessarily but as a late 6th I was hoping to secure some depth with Singletary. But considering I was weaker at receiver (Cooper Kupp and Keenan Allen were my only receivers at that point) nabbing a solid WR2 like Parker late in the 6th wasn't too shabby. Josh Allen was taken fairly high as he was the last pick of the 7th. I was considering taking him with the third pick in round 9 had he fallen but he got take way earlier than I expected. Bills defense also got drafted with pick 1 of round 10 by the same guy (who is a Giants fan.) So my hopes of snagging one of those two were dashed by them being reached on. I ended up taking Chicago towards the back end of round 12 and getting Carson Wentz with the pick that I slated for Josh.

I was shocked that they cut Edwards after such a short time in camp (former Jets punter was pretty good for them, many Jets fans not sure why they cut him.) I thought for sure Edwards would supplant Bojo as Edwards played in similar cold weather and wind conditions in NJ and produced average to above average results. Whereas I feel like Bojo has a shank here and there which is frustrating and can give away a lot of field position. But I guess Bojo must have been that dam good for them to cut Edwards or Edwards must have been that bad? Given how McBeane always puts attention to the little parts of the roster I think the Bills must like what they have with Bojo.

Makes sense, I always heard he was on the roster mainly for his special teams ability and his locker room presence. I guess when you start a rebuild you need a few of those guys to adjust the culture.

Football in college isn't a controlled environment. NFL teams can kind of sequester their players because their players don't have to go to classes and they have their own housing. College players are often on campuses with general populations that aren't being tested nearly as often and they sleep in dorms that are a breeding ground for the virus. I just don't see how it can be done safely with those conditions.

Madden takes years to add in features from past Madden games and even NFL2k5/All Pro Football 2k8. Unfortunately when you discontinue Pepsi in favor of Coke the Pepsi fans are going to not be completely satisfied.

People act like he was a total bum, yes he had bad seasons in 2015 and 2016 (In fact he had his best season in 2014 when the Niners talent level dipped but he still had a solid year and the Niners went 8-8 the last year Harbaugh was there) but the Niners were a complete dumpster fire in those post Harbaugh Pre-Shanny years. If he hit free agency in 2017 with no baggage he probably would have either been brought on to compete with a young QB or be in a premium backup situation like NOLA. Maybe he would have been out of the league by 2020 or maybe he would have hung around. We don't know. However by the time he left San Francisco there definitely would have been takers for him in a bad situation to start or a good situation to be a backup. Considering he hasn't played since 2016 I would argue that in 2017 Kap probably would have been rated 77-79 as a QB not too far off from 81 everyone seems to be mocking.

I also think that women will go out with guys a lot of times based on money which is just as shallow as looks. Also no you didn't misread the bolded part I wrote that wrong haha. I meant to say I never broke up with a girl because of weight without notice. I think the ethical thing to do is let someone know you are becoming less attracted to them for reasons they can control and give them time to change.

That's a dirtbag move but honestly you were 19, being a dirtbag when you are 19 is kind of what you are supposed to do to some extent (got to get that womanizing out of you when you are young.) I never broke up with a girl because of weight although I did tell a girl that she was gaining weight and after two months of literally no effort to change I dumped her. I was 23 at the time, it was a shallow thing to do but I at least did it in what I felt was an ethical way.

That makes more sense 18.8 million aav puts it under Thomas by a big number (Of course Hopkins is older and had more years remaining.)

Nothing wrong with that in my opinion as long as you give the other person some notice.

I don't think Beane signs him, far too much of a distraction as good as he might be. I just don't think McBeane want to deal with the headache at this point. Maybe in 2021 if he is still out there and he his legal issues and league issues are sorted it would make more sense.

27 million per-year? That is insane Michael Thomas who is just as good of a player got 22.5 million aav or about that much. Are you telling me Hopkins is 5 million dollar better? Insane, good for Hopkins but that really throws the WR market out of whack.

If you are taking Moss over Singletary you are doing so more so out of blind faith in a rookie in a time split than anything else which would be foolish. I think that if Singletary gives you similar production to 2019 he is giving you mid to lower level RB2 play.

Mid 5th and higher is the cut off for Devin. I think the earliest you can justify getting him in with the last 2-3 picks of the 5th round. As you mentioned RB isn't the deepest position so by the back end of the 5th getting a RB2 with Rb1 upside is insanely good. 4th is way too high, 5th is where you take him if you really like him. I hold my value with him as a back end 5th rounder or more preferably a 6th rounder.

Ertz is one of the top TE's in the league and not too bad of an injury history. But I agree it is hard to justify significant draft capital and the extension he would want (which would be a 15ish million dollar deal.) Diggs was younger and already on a bigger deal (so the costs were more fixed.) I just don't see how with the Dawkins and Tre extensions adding Ertz a vet on a big contract would make sense. If the Bills want to add a TE I think a rental for cheaper player would make more sense. The TE out of Cleveland would be the type of player I would go after for a mid round pick.

I have Singletary as a 6th round value, Diggs as a 5th round value, Moss as a 9th or 10th round value, Allen as a 9th round value, and Brown as a 10th or 11th value. I think Singletary has at worst a similar season to last year but has RB1 upside. I don't see Moss taking that many more snaps than Gore did last year and I see the Bills running more and more effectively. If you draft Singletary in round 6 or late round 5 and he gives you what he produced last year which was RB2 value that's acceptable value for that pick. But then you have that insane upside at the most premium position.

My league is drafting later today, we drafted a few days later than we usually do just to avoid as much uncertainty as possible. I honestly did very little research until this weekend just because there is so much volitality.