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Calling it now: Bills are going to at least reach the AFCCG


Alphadawg7

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2 minutes ago, Iiiiiiiiive Got a Feeeelin said:

We might have the talent but am I the only one who's lost all faith in coaching in critical games?  I don't see us winning at least 7 games straight with all the choking we've done, this year alone nevermind the track record.

You’re definitely not alone in thinking this. You’re mostly the majority. 

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Also, bring a dome team into the Great Lakes region, in an open air stadium, on December 17th for a late afternoon game with sundown at 4:42 PM and I wonder if they will even know how to handle it.  It's easy to get accustomed to playing offensive football in perfect weather conditions.  But, there will be an extra portion of Cowboy fans there as every such fan within 200 miles of High Mark has likely considered going to game as it is a once every 8 years opportunity.

 

So, beat the Chiefs and it looks more much more doable.  Just don't leave the game to the defense to fail at the end.  Play and coach the game with that as a an overt goal.  There are a majority of other contenders that are wounded at the QB position.  That has to matter.

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2 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:

Bills are going to make the playoffs, and I actually believe like I did in 2021 when we were 6 games out that we are going to probably win out.  I know this will be split between the over optimistic crowd and the overly negative crowd, but I am not saying this to just say it.  In 2021 I thought the Bills figured something out in the 2nd half of the Bucs game and I started a thread saying we would win out and they did.  

 

This year, not saying it out of blind homerism, but I really do think this team is about to finish the season strong and likely win out and make the playoffs because I am fully convinced that this offense under Brady is not just a 2 game fling and is going to continue down the stretch.  

 

Ive been watching a lot of content on the Dorsey offense vs the differences in the Brady led offense, and its remarkable Dorsey kept his job as long as he did.  This offense IMHO has turned a corner that will stay the rest of the season.  Its now coming off a bye week to get even more settled into what Brady wants to do and tweaks and wrinkles they want to install.  So lets look at what is in store and why I feel this team is about to cook the next 5 weeks and enter the playoffs as maybe the hottest team in the AFC:

 

KC - Coming off a loss and an offense with no identity anymore.  The personnel grouping there is shockingly bad and this offense can no longer keep up with high powered offenses.  The thing that has saved KC this year has been the much improved defense, but that defense just got cooked by GB and took some injuries in that game too.  I think the Bills coming in off a bye, KC in an offensive rut, Rasul and Linval now more comfortable in our defense, and this just feels like a game the Bills win and probably win decisively.  

 

DAL - They are the Dolphins of the NFC - They struggle against the better teams in the league while boosting stats on bad teams.  Their "DPOY" just got torched by Seattle along with their whole defense, and that offense in Seattle is mediocre at best.  Dak on the road in Buffalo is a recipe for a down game.  I think because of Buffalos 6-6 record and early season offensive struggles that people see this game as more dangerous than it really is.  I actually think we are going to beat the Cowboys handedly.  Wouldn't surprise me if it looks a lot like what the Niners did to Dallas.   

 

LAC - Allen and this offense will drop over 40 on that defense, especially without Bosa.  Herbert and that offense can score too, and this might be a high scoring game, but Staley and the LAC are the best in the NFL at losing games, so even if they put a lot of points up I still think the Bills win by 2 scores.  

 

NE - Its New England - we arent losing to them twice.  Bottom 3 team in the NFL right now without question.

 

MIAMI - With Trevors ankle injury, and KC losing to GB and probably losing to us this week, the #1 seed could very well be locked down for Miami by week 17 and they would rest their starters for all or part of the game.  Either way, I do not expect Miami to have much to play for and we probably don't see their starters for more than a half.  BUT even if they do need to win and play the whole game, we always cook the Fish, so a dub either way in my eyes.  The key to beating Miami is take away Tuas first read and don't give up the big play, something the Bills have excelled at during the Tua-Hill era.    

 

I see 5 games, and I see 5 wins.  Negative crowd is gonna flame away, just like they did in 2021.  But I really do think this team is about to cook these last 5 weeks and that momentum will carry over into the post season where I don't see too much of a threat standing in the way to reach the AFCCG for the Bills.

 

With the offense humming and the defense integrating so much needed veteran reinforcements in Rasul and Linval, I think we are poised to make a run here.  I think 5-0 is quite possible, but even 4-1 may get the job done of getting in.  

 

 

 

 

 

I like your confidence but I prefer to take it one game at a time. Unless this team gets back their killer mentality and that means getting up on teams and just continuing to pour it on then I worry about our defence and letting teams back into games.  They need to start setting goals of scoring 35-40 points or more a game and never trying to run the ball when they are up.  Score fast and continue to score,  that was our identity 2 seasons ago. I still remember Jerry complaining that the Bills were still passing the ball up 3 scores in the 4th.

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4 minutes ago, ChrisWatson#21 said:

Dude snap out of it.  This team isn't good enough to beat New England or the Jets five straight weeks if they played them.  They are 6-6 for a reason.

 

While its certainly reasonable they could not go 5-0...you analogy here is just pretty ridiculous.  They just destroyed the Jets for crying out loud in 3 quarters before they took the foot off the gas.  

2 minutes ago, damj said:

The way this season has gone ... I see us beating the Chiefs and Dallas, then losing to Denver.

 

Finish 10-7 and miss the playoffs on tie breakers.

 

We don't play Denver, we already played them and was the catalyst to fire Dorsey

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2 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:

Bills are going to make the playoffs, and I actually believe like I did in 2021 when we were 6 games out that we are going to probably win out.  I know this will be split between the over optimistic crowd and the overly negative crowd, but I am not saying this to just say it.  In 2021 I thought the Bills figured something out in the 2nd half of the Bucs game and I started a thread saying we would win out and they did.  

 

This year, not saying it out of blind homerism, but I really do think this team is about to finish the season strong and likely win out and make the playoffs because I am fully convinced that this offense under Brady is not just a 2 game fling and is going to continue down the stretch.  

 

Ive been watching a lot of content on the Dorsey offense vs the differences in the Brady led offense, and its remarkable Dorsey kept his job as long as he did.  This offense IMHO has turned a corner that will stay the rest of the season.  Its now coming off a bye week to get even more settled into what Brady wants to do and tweaks and wrinkles they want to install.  So lets look at what is in store and why I feel this team is about to cook the next 5 weeks and enter the playoffs as maybe the hottest team in the AFC:

 

KC - Coming off a loss and an offense with no identity anymore.  The personnel grouping there is shockingly bad and this offense can no longer keep up with high powered offenses.  The thing that has saved KC this year has been the much improved defense, but that defense just got cooked by GB and took some injuries in that game too.  I think the Bills coming in off a bye, KC in an offensive rut, Rasul and Linval now more comfortable in our defense, and this just feels like a game the Bills win and probably win decisively.  

 

DAL - They are the Dolphins of the NFC - They struggle against the better teams in the league while boosting stats on bad teams.  Their "DPOY" just got torched by Seattle along with their whole defense, and that offense in Seattle is mediocre at best.  Dak on the road in Buffalo is a recipe for a down game.  I think because of Buffalos 6-6 record and early season offensive struggles that people see this game as more dangerous than it really is.  I actually think we are going to beat the Cowboys handedly.  Wouldn't surprise me if it looks a lot like what the Niners did to Dallas.   

 

LAC - Allen and this offense will drop over 40 on that defense, especially without Bosa.  Herbert and that offense can score too, and this might be a high scoring game, but Staley and the LAC are the best in the NFL at losing games, so even if they put a lot of points up I still think the Bills win by 2 scores.  

 

NE - Its New England - we arent losing to them twice.  Bottom 3 team in the NFL right now without question.

 

MIAMI - With Trevors ankle injury, and KC losing to GB and probably losing to us this week, the #1 seed could very well be locked down for Miami by week 17 and they would rest their starters for all or part of the game.  Either way, I do not expect Miami to have much to play for and we probably don't see their starters for more than a half.  BUT even if they do need to win and play the whole game, we always cook the Fish, so a dub either way in my eyes.  The key to beating Miami is take away Tuas first read and don't give up the big play, something the Bills have excelled at during the Tua-Hill era.    

 

I see 5 games, and I see 5 wins.  Negative crowd is gonna flame away, just like they did in 2021.  But I really do think this team is about to cook these last 5 weeks and that momentum will carry over into the post season where I don't see too much of a threat standing in the way to reach the AFCCG for the Bills.

 

With the offense humming and the defense integrating so much needed veteran reinforcements in Rasul and Linval, I think we are poised to make a run here.  I think 5-0 is quite possible, but even 4-1 may get the job done of getting in.

 

 

Love the enthusiasm, dawg, and I agree that it is within the realm of possibility. I just don't see how you can be so confident knowing that McD's defense can't be counted on for anything at the end of games. If there's one thing we've learned over the years, and especially this year, is that no matter how good the offense is playing, no matter how many points we score, our 4th Q/OT defense is an even bet to lose the game for us.

 

If it's a close game at the end, it's almost a coin flip.

 

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5 minutes ago, Rubes said:

 

Love the enthusiasm, dawg, and I agree that it is within the realm of possibility. I just don't see how you can be so confident knowing that McD's defense can't be counted on for anything at the end of games. If there's one thing we've learned over the years, and especially this year, is that no matter how good the offense is playing, no matter how many points we score, our 4th Q/OT defense is an even bet to lose the game for us.

 

If it's a close game at the end, it's almost a coin flip.

 

 

Fair...but, in all but the the Philly game, the only reason we were in a situation where our depleted defense had to hold at end of game or OT was because our offense had struggled.  Not to mention, ST mistakes that cost us games or chances to win.  

 

If this offense under Brady the last 2 weeks had been in place all season, we would literally be 11-1 right now with the only loss being to the 9-1 Eagles when we played them.  And even with the issues on D against Eagles in 2nd half, something as simple as making one of the 2 missed FG's and we still win that game.  Or if Davis and Allen don't have the miscommunication.  

 

So while I get your concern, I feel like the offense we have now will get us into more situations where we are up multiple scores late and not be so reliant on one final defensive stop.  

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3 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:

Bills are going to make the playoffs, and I actually believe like I did in 2021 when we were 6 games out that we are going to probably win out.  I know this will be split between the over optimistic crowd and the overly negative crowd, but I am not saying this to just say it.  In 2021 I thought the Bills figured something out in the 2nd half of the Bucs game and I started a thread saying we would win out and they did.  

 

Its now coming off a bye week to get even more settled into what Brady wants to do and tweaks and wrinkles they want to install.  So lets look at what is in store and why I feel this team is about to cook the next 5 weeks and enter the playoffs as maybe the hottest team in the AFC:

Love the optimism, and I hope you're right.

 

One thing though, other than players *maybe* healing up their bodies and getting reinvigorated, all indications are that they had a week off, and were off doing who knows what, and NOT working on plays with Brady and/or hanging out at OBD. I asssume they'll have a normal practice week (4-5 days this week) and then get on the plane Saturday for KC. So, it's a normal prep week for a game; nothing extra (as some adocated for...yes the players CBA says they must get off for Thursday - Sunday of a bye week, but they could have practiced Monday - Wednesday of last week).

 

As I mentioned in another thread in here this week, they had 10 days to prepare for the Bengals earlier this year and that meant nothing, as they got rolled.

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I appreciate the optimism and anyone who doesn’t think there is a chance the Bills could run the table is just being obstinate.  This board has become borderline unreadable over the past several weeks and when it’s no longer fun for me, I stay away.  Hopefully the offense continues its resurgence and McD can get out of his own way during the last two minutes of football games.

 

Go Bills

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2 minutes ago, Bob Jones said:

Love the optimism, and I hope you're right.

 

One thing though, other than players *maybe* healing up their bodies and getting reinvigorated, all indications are that they had a week off, and were off doing who knows what, and NOT working on plays with Brady and/or hanging out at OBD. I asssume they'll have a normal practice week (4-5 days this week) and then get on the plane Saturday for KC. So, it's a normal prep week for a game; nothing extra (as some adocated for...yes the players CBA says they must get off for Thursday - Sunday of a bye week, but they could have practiced Monday - Wednesday of last week).

 

As I mentioned in another thread in here this week, they had 10 days to prepare for the Bengals earlier this year and that meant nothing, as they got rolled.

 

This isn't the same team that played the Bengals...lot has changed.  That was a team with no offensive identity averaging 20.5 PPG over a 6 game stretch under an OC who was in over his head, not to mention before it added some reinforcements with Linval and Rasul on the D too.  

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26 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

This isn't the same team that played the Bengals...lot has changed.  That was a team with no offensive identity averaging 20.5 PPG over a 6 game stretch under an OC who was in over his head, not to mention before it added some reinforcements with Linval and Rasul on the D too.  

My main point was addressing the bye week value and the 10 days off value, AND that the fans care more about a winning season than the players do, as they have NOT shown us at all this season that they are willing to go "above & beyond."

 

I'd bet the farm that a lot of players will be happy as hell to NOT make the playoffs, so they don't have to have an extended season. I may be wrong, but hat's what I see as far as their efforts on the field. Too many missed tackles, bonehead plays, and poor execution screams out to me "I just don't care, and I'm only here for a paycheck."

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