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DO NOT DRAFT!


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5 minutes ago, Not at the table Karlos said:

I remember watching some of his videos and going back and trying to find a ball that he didn't let into his body. It took a long time to find one. 

 

Yep. Plays smaller than his size because he catches basically nothing above the rim. When you add that into the fact he also drops his share..... hmm. I see the potential but the flaws are real. 

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2 hours ago, HappyDays said:

My unpopular opinion - Darnell Wright. It's nothing against the player. I just don't want to draft a RT only in the 1st round. Then we have a possible scenario where Spencer Brown takes a big step in his development and we either have our 1st rounder on the bench or two good players at the same position. Maybe Wright will be a great player but I'll take the risk of missing on a RT.

 

Didn't Wright play Guard too?

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3 hours ago, dorquemada said:

any player that has 'undersized' or 'high motor' in their profile

 

If they're going to pick someone that's going to piss us all off (DL, CB, scat back) then they better be an absolute sure fire prospect and not a project

 

in fact, no projects.  day 1 starters only, at least in first 3 rounds

Wow. You want 3 day one starters? It's pretty unlikely we would have 3 rookies starting day one.

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3 minutes ago, MJS said:

Wow. You want 3 day one starters? It's pretty unlikely we would have 3 rookies starting day one.


We haven’t had that since Doug Whaley’s famous “ 3 starters off the bus “ draft in 2016.. Shaq Lawson, Reggie Ragland and  Adolphous Washington…

 

https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2016/05/11/doug-whaley-believes-bills-drafted-at-least-three-day-one-starters/

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1 hour ago, Not at the table Karlos said:

I remember watching some of his videos and going back and trying to find a ball that he didn't let into his body. It took a long time to find one. 

 

Well he isn't going to be a contested catch specialist in the NFL. But that's fine. Contested catch ability is overrated anyways in the pros. He projects as a vertical separation + YAC specialist. Those are much more important traits IMO. I would compare him to Christian Watson from last year's draft, but stronger and harder to bring down in the open field even if you manage to catch up to him. And unlike Watson he produced big time against top college teams, namely Michigan in the playoff semifinals.

 

After weeks of reading up and watching film on draft prospects, I've come to the conclusion that my preferred 1st round outcome for the Bills is Quentin Johnston drops far enough that we can use our 3rd round pick to trade up to draft him. No way a player with elite physical traits that fills a need and plays a premium position is going to drop to us at 27. It's a weak draft anyways so I want us to take that swing. The bust factor with Johnston is real, I just think his high football character and physical traits makes it unlikely.

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3 hours ago, HappyDays said:

My unpopular opinion - Darnell Wright. It's nothing against the player. I just don't want to draft a RT only in the 1st round. Then we have a possible scenario where Spencer Brown takes a big step in his development and we either have our 1st rounder on the bench or two good players at the same position. Maybe Wright will be a great player but I'll take the risk of missing on a RT.

There would be an opportunity to trade said player for picks or another player in a position of need…,  but I get you are saying, 

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3 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:


We haven’t had that since Doug Whaley’s famous “ 3 starters off the bus “ draft in 2016.. Shaq Lawson, Reggie Ragland and  Adolphous Washington…

 

https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2016/05/11/doug-whaley-believes-bills-drafted-at-least-three-day-one-starters/

I wouldn't expect 3 rookies starting for a 13-3 team unless something drastic happened.

 

It's possible, I suppose. If you got Campbell at MLB, a WR #2, and a RT. But I seriously doubt a WR or RT will come in and start day 1 unless they are 1st rounders, and we aren't getting 3 players good enough at those positions to start day one over what we already have.

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6 minutes ago, MJS said:

I wouldn't expect 3 rookies starting for a 13-3 team unless something drastic happened.

 

It's possible, I suppose. If you got Campbell at MLB, a WR #2, and a RT. But I seriously doubt a WR or RT will come in and start day 1 unless they are 1st rounders, and we aren't getting 3 players good enough at those positions to start day one over what we already have.


Yes .. I agree that it is unlikely to happen and didn’t even happen in 2016 either despite Doug’s prediction…

 

I want them to have a mindset though of picking guys in those early rounds that can contribute in 2023 ( if not Day 1) to help them win a Championship …

 

No more Bernard’s in the third round …

 

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1 hour ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

The “do not draft” lists are worthless ever since the 2018 draft.

 

that said, I’m still basically anti-running back in the first round no matter what.
 

I might get flamed for this, but in a draft with so few impact players (especially irt WRs), I wouldn't be mad at drafting Robinson who (someone smart correct me if I'm wrong) does look like he'd be an impact player. In fact, I wouldn't be mad if we traded up to get him, because frankly, I would be mad in the Patriots* got him. Seems like he'd be a pretty good fit in NE*.

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1 minute ago, Rocky Landing said:

I might get flamed for this, but in a draft with so few impact players (especially irt WRs), I wouldn't be mad at drafting Robinson who (someone smart correct me if I'm wrong) does look like he'd be an impact player. In fact, I wouldn't be mad if we traded up to get him, because frankly, I would be mad in the Patriots* got him. Seems like he'd be a pretty good fit in NE*.

I don't think you should go into the draft fixated on what your opponents are doing and trying to prevent them from getting certain players. You have to be focused on what makes your own team better.

 

Let the Patriots worry about what WE are doing to improve. They are the ones who should be worried.

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3 hours ago, HappyDays said:

My unpopular opinion - Darnell Wright. It's nothing against the player. I just don't want to draft a RT only in the 1st round. Then we have a possible scenario where Spencer Brown takes a big step in his development and we either have our 1st rounder on the bench or two good players at the same position. Maybe Wright will be a great player but I'll take the risk of missing on a RT.


The flip side of course is that Brown doesn’t improve… 

 

He was terrible last year.. if that continues then I could see that being  something that could derail a season…

 

They kept expecting Ford to take a big step forward which never happened..

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2 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

He was terrible last year.. if that continues then I could see that being  something that could derail a season…

 

The Chiefs had an elite OL with Andrew Wylie as the weak link at RT. Even worst case scenario if Spencer Brown doesn't progress at all, it's an easy position to work around. I still want us to draft OL once or twice at some point, RT just isn't my preference in the 1st round.

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16 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

 

The Chiefs had an elite OL with Andrew Wylie as the weak link at RT. Even worst case scenario if Spencer Brown doesn't progress at all, it's an easy position to work around. I still want us to draft OL once or twice at some point, RT just isn't my preference in the 1st round.


Wylie may have been their least player on the OL but he was much better than Brown last year… I see he is making $8m a year now …

 

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8 minutes ago, Dr. Who said:

Yes, that is the apt verb, but I'm going to stick with eradicate as an acceptable alternative for get rid of. Yours is more correct, but somehow I find it less funny.

well Gaston from Beauty and Beast is especially good at it, and he's my role model

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1 hour ago, MJS said:

I don't think you should go into the draft fixated on what your opponents are doing and trying to prevent them from getting certain players. You have to be focused on what makes your own team better.

 

Let the Patriots worry about what WE are doing to improve. They are the ones who should be worried.

Oh of course. I wasn’t suggesting that as a draft strategy— just my own feelings. 
 

As far as draft strategy in regards to a running back is concerned, I do think that drafting a RB in the first becomes more forgivable when the quality of the skill positions offered in the draft is lower, assuming the RB in question is an impact player. 

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5 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

The guys that are true "do not draft" guys are rubbish late round possibles that I don't think can play.

 

The biggest consensus day 1 or 2 name that I would not draft in the first 3 rounds is Dawand Jones. 

 

If he slipped to round 4, sure I'd take a chance on the size. But he will go at latest round 3 and I wouldn't take him.

 

I assume he means do not draft at #27.  Jordan Addison is my guy.  I think his size limits him to slot and despite being small, he's got pretty much average timed speed.  If I'm going to draft someone in round one, I'm hoping I can find a guy who is a bit closer to being elite at something besides his route running.  Route running is something that receivers picked lower can develop.  Josh Downs is in that category too, but he has slipped out of the first round in the thinking of most.  Zay Flowers is small, but at least he runs pretty fast.  I can live with that.

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30 minutes ago, BigAl2526 said:

I assume he means do not draft at #27.  Jordan Addison is my guy.  I think his size limits him to slot and despite being small, he's got pretty much average timed speed.  If I'm going to draft someone in round one, I'm hoping I can find a guy who is a bit closer to being elite at something besides his route running.  Route running is something that receivers picked lower can develop.  Josh Downs is in that category too, but he has slipped out of the first round in the thinking of most.  Zay Flowers is small, but at least he runs pretty fast.  I can live with that.

 

Whereas I place route running #1 and hands #2 at receiver. They are the most translateable attributes. 

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