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Ben Allbright’s annual mock draft has Bills taking Etienne at 30. He’s been right about where Bills are looking several years running.


Logic

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Benjamin Allbright only posts one mock draft each year. He posts it the day before the draft.

 

**Edit: He has known which direction the Bills were leaning several years running (not last year, as they had no 1st round pick). He sometimes knows the specific player they like, but usually at least knows the position they most want to pick in round 1. From what I have experienced in the past few years, he seems to have legitimate league sources.

 

This year, he said over a month ago that they were looking running back and has stuck to his guns ever since. Lo and behold, in his mock, he has them taking Etienne even with Newsome and Barmore still on the board.

 

I’m posting this only because Allbright seems to have legit league sources, particularly one with the Bills, and he’s way more accurate/trustworthy than most. 

 

Take from it what you will.

 

https://www.profootballnetwork.com/2021-nfl-mock-draft-1-round-albright/

 

Edited by Logic
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Don't like taking a RB in the first but would get over it very quickly if we did at 30. At the end of the day this offense needs another playmaker and Etienne would give us that.

 

If we trade up for one though I'd be pissed. If it's for say our first and a third, we would have spent three third rounds picks and a first on RBs in three years. 

 

YUCK

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Much like the Roulette Results board in a casino, past results don't mean much for predicting the current pick.

 

It was far easier to hit on our pick when we were consistently picking in or near the Top 10.

 

I feel like even I accurately predicted our picks, going back to at least Gilmore. And I dont know anything.

 

Now, if he nails this pick, then THAT is something to brag about, and I'll give him a lot of credit going into next year's mocks.

1 minute ago, Special K said:

Maybe he can break the curse of the Clemson first round picks for the Bills.

 

Spiller, Watkins = bad mojo!!

 

 

Shaq did alright, considering.

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1 minute ago, DrDawkinstein said:

Much like the Roulette Results board in a casino, past results don't mean much for predicting the current pick.

 

It was far easier to hit on our pick when we were consistently picking in or near the Top 10.

 

I feel like even I accurately predicted our picks, going back to at least Gilmore. And I dont know anything.

 

Now, if he nails this pick, then THAT is something to brag about, and I'll give him a lot of credit going into next year's mocks.

 


Totally fair. Based on Allbright apparently having a source within the Bills (which he has subtly implied), I think what this says is that if ETN is on the board at 30, he’s their guy. With 29 picks happening before the Bills are up, it only takes one team to ruin the Bills’ plan and thus, to make Allbright’s pick wrong.

 

I think it’s reasonable to conclude that ETN might be their preferred player based on who they think will be available. Allbright also previously stated that the Bills will be flexible if a player of high value at a premium position slips. If the board falls as many expect, it might be time to buy a #9 Bills jersey.
 

 

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6 minutes ago, Logic said:


Totally fair. Based on Allbright apparently having a source within the Bills (which he has subtly implied), I think what this says is that if ETN is on the board at 30, he’s their guy. With 29 picks happening before the Bills are up, it only takes one team to ruin the Bills’ plan and thus, to make Allbright’s pick wrong.

 

I think it’s reasonable to conclude that ETN might be their preferred player based on who they think will be available. Allbright also previously stated that the Bills will be flexible if a player of high value at a premium position slips. If the board falls as many expect, it might be time to buy a #9 Bills jersey.
 

 

 

Absolutely.

 

And to that same end, if he ISNT correct about our pick, I wont call him a hack. I dont doubt Beane has some interest in ETN, but to guess who will be available at 30 is almost impossible.

 

 

 

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18 minutes ago, Logic said:

Benjamin Allbright only posts one mock draft each year. He posts it the day before the draft.

 

He has mocked the correct 1st round player to the Bills several years running (not last year, as they had no 1st round pick).

 

This year, he said over a month ago that they were looking running back and has stuck to his guns ever since. Lo and behold, in his mock, he has them taking Etienne even with Newsome and Barmore still on the board.

 

I’m posting this only because Allbright seems to have legit league sources, particularly one with the Bills, and he’s way more accurate/trustworthy than most. 

 

Take from it what you will.

 

https://www.profootballnetwork.com/2021-nfl-mock-draft-1-round-albright/

 

Which 1st round picks other than Allen has he gotten correct? He didn’t have Oliver in 2019. Did he have the 2017 pick of Tre white?

 

 

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4 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:

As long as we don't have to trade up to get him I could tolerate the pick. He'll immediately need to learn pass blocking. I do like his RB skills/speed over Najee. It will be hard to see McB pass on a defensive player @ 30.

 

Disagree.

 

He should be out in the flat catching the hot route pass and turning it up field for 15 yards.

 

If we keep him in to block at all, THEN it is a wasted pick.

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13 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

Much like the Roulette Results board in a casino, past results don't mean much for predicting the current pick.

 

It was far easier to hit on our pick when we were consistently picking in or near the Top 10.

 

I feel like even I accurately predicted our picks, going back to at least Gilmore. And I dont know anything.

 

Now, if he nails this pick, then THAT is something to brag about, and I'll give him a lot of credit going into next year's mocks.

 

This was my first initial thought when i opened this post.  I'd like to see how he's done in the past several years with his mock drafts for teams who've been selecting in the bottom 10 of the draft.

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13 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

Much like the Roulette Results board in a casino, past results don't mean much for predicting the current pick.

 

It was far easier to hit on our pick when we were consistently picking in or near the Top 10.

 

I feel like even I accurately predicted our picks, going back to at least Gilmore. And I dont know anything.

 

Now, if he nails this pick, then THAT is something to brag about, and I'll give him a lot of credit going into next year's mocks.

 

Shaq did alright, considering.

Did he really though?  He did ok in his contract year....other than that, he’s one of the least memorable players in recent memory imo. Complete waste of space until it was time to get paid.  I wish he was still on the Dolphins 

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15 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:Shaq did alright, considering.


You mean the guy we didn’t re-sign after an okay season and has since been traded off his new team?  
 

You got some low expectations boss 😋

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8 minutes ago, Special K said:

 

Fair point...forgot about Lawson.

 

I wouldn’t hate the pick at 30, but no trade up please!! 


I wouldn’t consider Shaq’s time in Buffalo a success. I mean he wasn’t terrible but I’d say Spiller and Watkins both had more production. Spiller did have a 1000 yard season, and Sammy averaged 1000 yards a season his first 2 years in Buffalo. But none of the three got a 2nd contract with the team. I’d consider that bad drafting 

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