BillsIsrael Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/31264141/nfl-win-total-predictions-2021-reporters-make-picks-all-32-teams The line on every team win total ion the upcoming season. I don't disagree with what it says about the Bills. I don't usually bet - but could someone explain to me There are 17 games in the regular season for every team so the most there can be is 272 wins (there could be less if there are ties). The line predicts 275.5 wins, so theoretically if I bet the under on all teams I'm guaranteed to win or am I missing something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJB Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Id put $5000 on the Vikings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 18 minutes ago, BillsIsrael said: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/31264141/nfl-win-total-predictions-2021-reporters-make-picks-all-32-teams The line on every team win total ion the upcoming season. I don't disagree with what it says about the Bills. I don't usually bet - but could someone explain to me There are 17 games in the regular season for every team so the most there can be is 272 wins (there could be less if there are ties). The line predicts 275.5 wins, so theoretically if I bet the under on all teams I'm guaranteed to win or am I missing something? Not guaranteed to win. The payouts aren’t 1 to 1. The payout ranges from +135 to -160. The bills are 10.5. I love the over, but the bet is -125, so you have to bet $125 in order to win $100. the packers line is 10.5, but the over is -160 and the under is +130 ( @Mr. WEO, you should jump all over this!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOboy Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 The article picked the over on almost every team??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Given that our schedule is not as tough as it was last year? I will go with our record from last year.....but hopefully this time our defense kicks ass this year and gets us over the Super Bowl wall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbitmic Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 The record will be 20-0 of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 57 minutes ago, NewEra said: Not guaranteed to win. The payouts aren’t 1 to 1. The payout ranges from +135 to -160. The bills are 10.5. I love the over, but the bet is -125, so you have to bet $125 in order to win $100. the packers line is 10.5, but the over is -160 and the under is +130 ( @Mr. WEO, you should jump all over this!!) lol I put all my money on the Lions and over. Although to be consistent, I should lay some on the under for the Rams---that dumb QB swap gonna make me some De Niro!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 (edited) 1 hour ago, BillsIsrael said: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/31264141/nfl-win-total-predictions-2021-reporters-make-picks-all-32-teams The line on every team win total ion the upcoming season. I don't disagree with what it says about the Bills. I don't usually bet - but could someone explain to me There are 17 games in the regular season for every team so the most there can be is 272 wins (there could be less if there are ties). The line predicts 275.5 wins, so theoretically if I bet the under on all teams I'm guaranteed to win or am I missing something? First. You'd have to pay whatever the vig is for each bet slightly minimizing your profits. You're also betting individual teams and not overall wins. You could easily have 17 teams go over because you have a few teams only have one to three wins boosting everyone else's win totals. For example, last year half of the AFC teams had double digit wins because the Jets, Jaguars, Texans, and Bengals didn't win more than four. Edited April 17, 2021 by Doc Brown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said: lol I put all my money on the Lions and over. Although to be consistent, I should lay some on the under for the Rams---that dumb QB swap gonna make me some De Niro!! The under on the Rams is -140 on my app. Ugh. -125 is usually the most I usually pay on the o/u win totals. -140 is steep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, NewEra said: The under on the Rams is -140 on my app. Ugh. -125 is usually the most I usually pay on the o/u win totals. -140 is steep Yeah but Stafford is old and busted up. His best days are years behind him and Megatron isn't walking through that Rams locker room door for him to sail jump balls to.... And Goff can win 6. Can you imagine if the the Bills.....after Josh had made the PB twice, taken them to the SB, averaged 4300 yards a year for 4 years as full time starter completing 64% of his passes....traded him the the Lions for Stafford???? It's "mind boggling". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo03 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 2 hours ago, frostbitmic said: The record will be 20-0 of course. Throw preseason in there to. 23-0 baby 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 18 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: Yeah but Stafford is old and busted up. His best days are years behind him and Megatron isn't walking through that Rams locker room door for him to sail jump balls to.... And Goff can win 6. Can you imagine if the the Bills.....after Josh had made the PB twice, taken them to the SB, averaged 4300 yards a year for 4 years as full time starter completing 64% of his passes....traded him the the Lions for Stafford???? It's "mind boggling". Idk.....I’d rather have stafford over Goff..... Dan Campbell.... Tyrell Williams and breshard perriman 1-2 WRs...... 3 good players on D (imo)...... playing the NFC West and AFC North...,,, I wouldn’t bet on Detroit to win 6 games at -115. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ProcessTruster Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Not sure on this. All I can say for sure is that for the first time in at least 20 years, I can say definitively, in April, that the Bills will be more than competitive against every team they play this coming season. No doubt. Not a team on the schedule that is an L. Nope. that feels amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, NewEra said: Idk.....I’d rather have stafford over Goff..... Dan Campbell.... Tyrell Williams and breshard perriman 1-2 WRs...... 3 good players on D (imo)...... playing the NFC West and AFC North...,,, I wouldn’t bet on Detroit to win 6 games at -115. It' a bizarre move by the Rams. Stafford is high milage. The only bought the last 2 years of his current contract. $160 million for a 74-90 career, 3 playoff games, all losses. Their division will be tougher to win 11 games in than the Lions in the NFC North with Vikes and Bears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: It' a bizarre move by the Rams. Stafford is high milage. The only bought the last 2 years of his current contract. $160 million for a 74-90 career, 3 playoff games, all losses. Their division will be tougher to win 11 games in than the Lions in the NFC North with Vikes and Bears. But the lions only have 5 good players on the entire team.....and they’re being coached by Dan Campbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 1 minute ago, NewEra said: But the lions only have 5 good players on the entire team.....and they’re being coached by Dan Campbell They won 11 games once with the mannequin Jim Caldwell. Matt Patricia was a paler Hue Jackson and they won 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 19 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: They won 11 games once with the mannequin Jim Caldwell. Matt Patricia was a paler Hue Jackson and they won 5. Thanks to Matt Stafford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Just now, NewEra said: Thanks to Matt Stafford Maybe. He's definitely good for 5 wins these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Mr. WEO said: Maybe. He's definitely good for 5 wins these days. Schwartz, Caldwell, Patricia. Those are staffords coaches. 1st rd picks drafted by the lions after stafford pettigrew suh best fairley reiff ansah ebron tominlson decker j davis Ragnow hockenson okudah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, NewEra said: Schwartz, Caldwell, Patricia. Those are staffords coaches. 1st rd picks drafted by the lions after stafford pettigrew suh best fairley reiff ansah ebron tominlson decker j davis Ragnow hockenson okudah They have a new GM too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capco Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 3 hours ago, frostbitmic said: The record will be 20-0 of course. I love how you’ve always maintained this attitude over the years. Go Bills! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 5 hours ago, BillsIsrael said: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/31264141/nfl-win-total-predictions-2021-reporters-make-picks-all-32-teams The line on every team win total ion the upcoming season. I don't disagree with what it says about the Bills. I don't usually bet - but could someone explain to me There are 17 games in the regular season for every team so the most there can be is 272 wins (there could be less if there are ties). The line predicts 275.5 wins, so theoretically if I bet the under on all teams I'm guaranteed to win or am I missing something? I’m taking the under on Pittsburgh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsIsrael Posted April 18, 2021 Author Share Posted April 18, 2021 19 hours ago, TOboy said: The article picked the over on almost every team??? I think that's because each team got a different staff member to decide the over under - so it's not one writer who thinks everyone will be over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 (edited) 13 or more Edited April 18, 2021 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOboy Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 3 hours ago, BillsIsrael said: I think that's because each team got a different staff member to decide the over under - so it's not one writer who thinks everyone will be over. Or they are just pandering to multiple fan bases. You're probably right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 (edited) On 4/17/2021 at 3:34 PM, DJB said: Id put $5000 on the Vikings But the real question is........would you tell your wife??? . Edited April 18, 2021 by Augie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick Duffy Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Iv'e been back and forth with 13-4 and 12-5. On one hand the 12-5 would be due to the extra game and could end up being meaningless because I think it's a very good chance Bills will have division locked up and will only be depending on seeding if it will matter. Other hand if this is how it happens, MT at QB2 I feel will probably be a big factor in winning that meaningless game. Oh well, I'm going with 13-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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