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Playoff Matchup Probability


cv05

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I'll never understand the posters who say we should lose any games. It's like you have no understanding of what goes into preparing teams each week to play and win at this level. These guys are playing for their present and future, and are trying to stay in the NFL as long as possible. Besides, losing breeds terrible things.

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15 hours ago, CodeMonkey said:

That is true if there is a point to winning the game like a higher seed.

You don't want him rusty either so a little play is good.  But I'm thinking coaches, players, owners, GM and fans all want this to be a "statement" game on the national stage against a hated team and head coach.  

I think they will start Allen to get him the Yards record (4352 held by Bledsoe).  They will also see if the Steelers are going after the second seed or resting Ben and others.   Will they bring Webb or Fromm from the bench ?

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18 hours ago, stevewin said:

Also energy/momentum/winning attitude entering playoffs - and ask the Titans about how fun it is to travel to cold weather sites this time of year.

 

People also seem to be forgetting the bold above - for an awesomely untouchable unbeatable team the Chiefs have had a lot of games recently they could have lost 

 

image.thumb.png.c3010f227efbff4671635dac321a069e.png

 

 

Bills

 

Week 10 - Loss by  2 points

Week12 - Win  by 10 points

Week13 - Win by  10 ponts

Week14 - Win by  11 points

Week15 - Win by  29 points

Week16 - Win by  29 points

 

all double digit wins after that painstaking loss.

 

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I still contend unless injured, we play the starters at least through the first half.  If the Steelers win and we lose, we go back to the third seed.  It’s not so much about fans, but Sal said yesterday morning, we play keep away from KC until the AFCC game.  We do that and we can beat any other AFC playoff team including the Ravens.  The problem with the Ravens is just one guy, Lamar.  He can be mediocre at times and then explodes with a 30 yard run.  McD is the best though at containing a guy like him.  For the most part, they did that last year with him and Lamar and the Ravens may have won, but it was his worst performance last year until their loss to the Titans.

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2 hours ago, Steve Evans said:

I fixed it. Unless I'm wrong, the only way we play Baltimore in that scenario is if they lose to the Bengals, and that's not happening.

You're wrong.

2 hours ago, Steve Evans said:

I fixed it. Unless I'm wrong, the only way we play Baltimore in that scenario is if they lose to the Bengals, and that's not happening.

If we lose and Baltimore wins, we play Baltimore in 4 of 8 scenarios. That's why we need to win, or the Steelers need to lose. Bills need to play starters long enough to secure win or see that Browns have secured win.

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22 hours ago, BearNorth said:

Does that mean Pitt is conceding the two seed? 

Don't think as nicked up as they are they want to play at Buff in the OP in January.

 

Honestly, what's the difference between playing them in OP in January and playing them in Pittsburgh in January?

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4 hours ago, Steve Evans said:

I'll never understand the posters who say we should lose any games. It's like you have no understanding of what goes into preparing teams each week to play and win at this level. These guys are playing for their present and future, and are trying to stay in the NFL as long as possible. Besides, losing breeds terrible things.

 

Your first thumbs up.   At the elite level, you train, practice and play to win, every day.  Rest some starters, sure.

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So are we Browns fans this week?  Correct me if I'm wrong.  It sounds like if Cleveland wins this weekend, the Bills will play the field of teams (not including Baltimore).  If Pittsburgh wins, we have a good chance to play the Ravens.

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10 hours ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:


this tells me our odds are much better at avoiding Baltimore in the 1st round if we play to win week 17.

The Steelers will be resting starters and also losing. The only scenario we play baltimore if both bills and steelers lose is if baltimore also loses which is not happening.

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32 minutes ago, Process said:

The Steelers will be resting starters and also losing. The only scenario we play baltimore if both bills and steelers lose is if baltimore also loses which is not happening.


I don’t think we can assume that the Steelers are resting starters.  I have seen media speculate on that, but haven’t seen it confirmed yet by the Steelers.

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9 minutes ago, aristocrat said:

pitt likley to rest starters. if that is true they lose to browns.  so down to either colts or browns.  simulator i just did puts bills v colts with browns playing steelers i'd love a pitt 2nd round matchup. 

Why do we think Pittsburgh will rest starters?

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