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Interesting Tyrod Stat from Mike Rodak


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2 minutes ago, Reed83HOF said:

And the new update:

 

Mike RodakVerified account @mikerodak
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Mike Rodak Retweeted Mike Rodak

Since 2015, the Bills have scored (FG or TD) on 28% of fourth-quarter drives when trailing by eight or fewer points. That ranks 30th. Meanwhile, 40% of such drives have ended 3-and-out, second-worst in NFL.

 

So 30th and 31st in two important categories....yikes.

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Just now, Reed83HOF said:

 

None of any of this is surprising if you watch the games...

 

It's not.  Pretty much every time we're down in the 4th, I expect a loss.  I know we've had a few comebacks but the majority of the time the outcome is disappointing.

I view Taylor as Nicholas Cage....he's had some good films but most of them leave you disappointed.

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3 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

It's not.  Pretty much every time we're down in the 4th, I expect a loss.  I know we've had a few comebacks but the majority of the time the outcome is disappointing.

I view Taylor as Nicholas Cage....he's had some good films but most of them leave you disappointed.

What’s the NFL QB equivalent of winning the Oscar for best actor? Because until TT achieves that, he is rungs below Nicolas Cage. 

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The two most critical games of Tyrod's career:

 

1) at Miami this year.........which he won

 

2) At home against Miami in 2016 with playoffs on the line......where he twice lead the Bills back from 14 point deficits......including a long TD drive to go up 3 with just over a minute left........and the subsequent long OT drive where Carpenter missed the chip shot FG.  

 

There are some good and some bad aspects with Tyrod late in games...........but then again last season we were also treated to the stat about Aaron Rodgers abysmal track record against winning teams when trailing by even ONE POINT in the 4th quarter that made him look like utter garbage too.  

 

Small stat samples don't necessarily tell the story. 

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I really want to shove these stats into Evan Silva's face, but it's not worth the effort. He said he hoped Buffalo didn't get into the playoffs because McD put himself above the team when he played Peterman against the Chargers. Per him, Bills fans are narrow minded and myopic and can't see the league landscape, therefore we blew the QB situation. We put our fanboy feel over facts. 

 

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2 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

The two most critical games of Tyrod's career:

 

1) at Miami this year.........which he won

 

2) At home against Miami in 2016 with playoffs on the line......where he twice lead the Bills back from 14 point deficits......including a long TD drive to go up 3 with just over a minute left........and the subsequent long OT drive where Carpenter missed the chip shot FG.  

 

There are some good and some bad aspects with Tyrod late in games...........but then again last season we were also treated to the stat about Aaron Rodgers abysmal track record against winning teams when trailing by even ONE POINT in the 4th quarter that made him look like utter garbage too.  

 

Small stat samples don't necessarily tell the story. 

 

Why is Miami more critical than Jacksonville ? 

 

What about Philly, Washington, Steelers, Raiders, Pats, Saints, Panthers, Bengals, Ravens, etc ? 

 

Beating David Fales is his Mona Lisa ? 

 

Edited by Teddy KGB
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2 minutes ago, YattaOkasan said:

I personally do appreciate the attempts to come up with data to reflect what our eyes are actually seeing

 

A lot of variables.....but bottom line is TT has hit his ceiling....the question is his his ceiling good enough to get us through a year so a talented 1st round draft pick QB can not be thrown to the wolves?

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1 hour ago, BuffaloHokie13 said:

I think I've got it reverse engineered at this point. When the Bills are trailing by 8 or fewer points in the 4th Quarter, Tyrod is:

38/71 for 455 yards, 3 TDs and 5 INTs. He's taken 7 sacks, and he's converted 19 1st downs.

Werent a couple of those meaningless throws late in games where he is trying to force something when we have been down big?

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Just now, John from Hemet said:

I personally do appreciate the attempts to come up with data to reflect what our eyes are actually seeing

 

A lot of variables.....but bottom line is TT has hit his ceiling....the question is his his ceiling good enough to get us through a year so a talented 1st round draft pick QB can not be thrown to the wolves?

So its definitely adding OT that changed things.  Adds 4 not good QBs to the list.  TT didnt really have a lot of attempts in OT.  Could probably change the qualifying from 50+ passes to 60+ passes.

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I just know when the chips are down and we are behind I don't want to see Tyrod on the field for us. I know we were spoiled as fans with Kelly and even Reich being able to come from behind and win. Heck I remember thinking Kelly wasn't even getting going until the second half. Now with Tyrod I know when we are behind by anything more than a FG I feel like the game is over in the second half. 

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5 minutes ago, matter2003 said:

Werent a couple of those meaningless throws late in games where he is trying to force something when we have been down big?

Hes actually relatively small sample size relative to other QBs.  Including the OT (so 4 lowest included) hes 27 out 36 qualifying.  

Edited by YattaOkasan
added ranking for pass attempts
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