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Possible trade down with Cleveland


....lybob

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Some pundits have Cleveland taking Johnny Football with the forth pick and I was thinking they may want Mike Evans too- Detroit may want another WR so a deal with the Bills might be an option for Cleveland, Cleveland besides having an extra first have extra picks in the third and forth round. The Bills pick at 9 would be traded for Cleveland's picks 26 from Indy, 35, and their 83 from Pittsburgh .

 

Much speculation and such a thing is highly unlikely but if such an offer was on the table would you take it or is the quality at 9 more important than quantity.

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My gut says I wouldn't be terribly far from saying yes. Draft has a lot of very good players and 3 picks in the top 40ish is appealing.

 

Late 1 early 2 lends itself well to getting a premiere TE, a very good LB and best WR/guard/RT available.

 

With an extra 3 and you could even start talking a depth runningback, or a sliding qb

Edited by NoSaint
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Absolutely. If we wasted the 9th overall on Evans as many would like I'd be devastated. Too early for a tight end as well. This Draft is deep. Get those picks.

Edited by KikoSeeBallKikoGetBall
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I'd never make this trade. We need impact players, not roster depth built via trading down for more lower picks.

 

You do realize if the Bills didn't trade down last year they wouldn't have Kiko right?

 

I'm all for trading down and getting and extra second but not in favor of trading all the way down to 26

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Id definitely make that deal.

#26 - TE Austin Seferian Jenkins

#35- Og Cyril Richardson

#42- Og Gabe Jackson.

Free agency sign Sebastian Veeldeer and we would have best oline in Football

Still got 2 3rds to add lbs and wr's

Behind that oline I wouldn't be surprised to run 180 a gm

Edited by NastyNateSoldiers
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Id definitely make that deal.

#26 - TE Austin Seferian Jenkins

#35- Og Cyril Richardson

#42- Og Gabe Jackson.

Free agency sign Sebastian Veeldeer and we would have best oline in Football

Still got 2 3rds to add lbs and wr's

Behind that oline I wouldn't be surprised to run 180 a gm

I like your thinking
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Absolutely. If we wasted the 9th overall on Evans as many would like I'd be devastated. Too early for a tight end as well. This Draft is deep. Get those picks.

I can't stand when people are so steadfast in their opinion as far as who is going to be great and who is going to bust. I'm sure there were people on Lions websites saying not to draft Calvin Johnson after their first round receiver woes. I'm sure there were people on Falcons websites in an uproar when the Falcons wasted their late first rounder to trade up and take Julio Jones. It's a crapshoot my friend. Please don't pretend you know more than everyone else. Personally, I like the sound of a 6'5" receiver.

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While I'm not opposed to the Bills trading down that wouldn't do it. The top of this draft is packed with positions the Bills need - LB, WR and OL. Unless somebody gives the Bills a sweetheart deal they should stand pat and take their pick of a top flight guy at those positions.

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While I'm not opposed to the Bills trading down that wouldn't do it. The top of this draft is packed with positions the Bills need - LB, WR and OL. Unless somebody gives the Bills a sweetheart deal they should stand pat and take their pick of a top flight guy at those positions.

This!

 

Lets also not forget this isn't the same old scouting dept or GM, and recall how good last years draft was.

 

Think of all those teams needing a QB in front of Buffalo. Texans, Browns, Jags, Browns, Raiders, Vikings could all be looking at one of those top QB's with their first pick. all vying for,Teddy Bridgewater, Blake Bortles, Johnny Manziel, Derek Carr.

 

Six teams that could utilize a QB, and four QB's possibly being drafted before Buffalo Picks at #9. Its almost like they are getting a top six pick of the non QB's.

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I can't stand when people are so steadfast in their opinion as far as who is going to be great and who is going to bust. I'm sure there were people on Lions websites saying not to draft Calvin Johnson after their first round receiver woes. I'm sure there were people on Falcons websites in an uproar when the Falcons wasted their late first rounder to trade up and take Julio Jones. It's a crapshoot my friend. Please don't pretend you know more than everyone else. Personally, I like the sound of a 6'5" receiver.

 

So you don't like people having different opinions? A lot of posters like Evans. I do not. His supporters are steadfast that he'll be good. I guess only those steadfast opinions are acceptable to you. Do all people who like a Evans think they know more than everyone else as well? (You were really reaching with that comment.) I would be very unhappy if we drafted him at 9, hence, I feel it would be a waste. I'm glad that you would be happy no matter who we drafted at 9. I just think that he would be a huge reach. I have not seen the same WR that others have. I saw a big slow WR. Julio and Calvin were athletic FREAKS on a different level in my opinion. If Evans turns out to be elite (which is what he needs to be if drafted that high as a WR), then I will gladly eat crow.

Edited by KikoSeeBallKikoGetBall
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I would take that deal in a heartbeat.

 

It comes out way ahead for the Bills in trade value points, the compensation the Bills would get would be almost = to the compensation for a First round # 7 pick, not a # 9.

 

I would take ASJ, a big tall, tough TE who is more like a receiver

Shayne Skov, ILB , moving Kiko to the outside

The best available OL prospect

With one of two 3rds I would take the best available QB prospect to challenge EJ, and the BPA at an area of need.

 

It depends on how close you think the Bills are to actually making the playoffs. If you think the Bills are really just one non-QB superstar away from the playoffs, you take the #9.

 

Or if like me you think we are a number of pieces away, you take the trade down and try to make a serious run at the playoffs this year. I am tired of waiting. I want to give us a chance to make a serious run at the playoffs now. I don’t see us going all the way, but just want to finally at least get there after all these years.

Edited by simpleman
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I would take that deal in a heartbeat.

 

It comes out way ahead for the Bills in trade value points, more like almost a 7th round compensation pick.

 

I would take ASJ, a big tall, tough TE who is more like a receiver

Shayne Skov, ILB , moving Kiko to the outside

The best available OL prospect

With one of two 3rds I would take the best available QB prospect to challenge EJ, and the BPA at an area of need.

 

It depends on how close you think the Bills are to actually making the playoffs. If you think the Bills are really just one non-QB superstar away from the playoffs, you take the #9.

 

Or if like me you think we are a number of pieces away, you take the trade down and try to make a serious run at the playoffs this year. I am tired of waiting. I want to give us a chance to make a serious run at the playoffs now. I don’t see us going all the way, but just want to finally at least get there after all these years.

 

TRADE VALUE

 

#9- 1350

 

#26- 700 (1st round)

#35- 550 (2nd round)

#83- 175 (3rd round)

Total - 1425

 

Diff - +75 (4th round)

 

 

I guess I would wait til we are on the clock......

 

that 2nd & 3rd could be used to get another 1st.....

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TRADE VALUE

 

#9- 1350

 

#26- 700 (1st round)

#35- 550 (2nd round)

#83- 175 (3rd round)

Total - 1425

 

Diff - +75 (4th round)

 

 

I guess I would wait til we are on the clock......

 

that 2nd & 3rd could be used to get another 1st.....

I pushed deal slightly in the Bills favor but I really don't think the Trade value charts reflect the new rookie salary cap, in the past you really paid a premium for players in the top ten.
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If Mack and Watkins are off th board I would certainly be interested in a trade down. For those of you that love Evans (I'm not 1) there is a chance that he could be there in the late 20's when the Browns pick. If he does not run well he will begin to slide some (especially if they rewatch his game film from late in the season).

 

He would not be my target in the late 20's however. I would be looking for something like this in a trade down:

Kelvin Benjamin

ASJ

Gabe Jackson (assuming Cyril Richardson is gone)

 

In the 3rd I would be looking at an RB and a LB.

Edited by Kirby Jackson
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TRADE VALUE

 

#9- 1350

 

#26- 700 (1st round)

#35- 550 (2nd round)

#83- 175 (3rd round)

Total - 1425

 

Diff - +75 (4th round)

 

 

I guess I would wait til we are on the clock......

 

that 2nd & 3rd could be used to get another 1st.....

I wrote it wrong, I meant to say that the compensation the Bills would get would be almost = to the compensation for a First round # 7 pick, not a #9

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Please don't trade down...take a top 10 talent. This team needs top talents.

 

and at the area youd fall into, you can get the top talents at our positions of need to (TE, less premium OL positions like G or RT, LB). potentially the best of all worlds - quantity, quality, and fit.

Edited by NoSaint
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and at the area youd fall into, you can get the top talents at our positions of need to (TE, less premium OL positions like G or RT, LB). potentially the best of all worlds - quantity, quality, and fit.

 

Perhaps you could get a TE, RT, or LB there; I can almost assure you that it wouldn't be the top TE, OT, or LB, as all 3 are very likely to go in the top 25 picks.

 

What I'm saying is that I'd prefer the team to have their pick of the litter. I'd rather get the top TE or LB than the 3rd TE and 4th LB, which I think is what you're getting with the trade down.

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Perhaps you could get a TE, RT, or LB there; I can almost assure you that it wouldn't be the top TE, OT, or LB, as all 3 are very likely to go in the top 25 picks.

 

What I'm saying is that I'd prefer the team to have their pick of the litter. I'd rather get the top TE or LB than the 3rd TE and 4th LB, which I think is what you're getting with the trade down.

 

I don't think that it is quite that simple. You really need to look at where teams are picking and their needs. You need to think of specific players and how they would fit. Some players that could be available off the top of my head (some of them will be): ASJ, Amaro, Kelvin Benjamin, Ryan Shazier, Tiny Richardson, Cyril Richardson, Gabe Jackson, possibly Mosely, Marquise Lee or Evans. You may now have a chance to get 2 of these guys instead of 1 (plus you still have your own 2nd). 3 of the top 42 is much more appealing to me than 2 of the top 42. The only way that I would stay at 9 is if Mack or Watkins was available. Those are the potential star impact players IMO. If you are seeking quality starters than I would follow last years strategy and try to get a few.

Edited by Kirby Jackson
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I like Mike Evans but there might be 2-3 WRs who end up better than him, who we could take at 26.

 

But the compensation does seem low.

 

its probably pretty close to right. by the outdated chart its actually cleveland giving up too much.

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In this situation we can take TE or WR with that first rounder, grab a LB with Cleveland's 2nd then grab offensive line with our 2nd and their third.

 

its probably pretty close to right. by the outdated chart its actually cleveland giving up too much.

 

actually it would be more beneficial for cleveland now. Since back then you would end up paying pick 9 as much and probably more than the other three picks combined. With the cap it isnt that much of a distortion.

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I don't think that it is quite that simple. You really need to look at where teams are picking and their needs. You need to think of specific players and how they would fit. Some players that could be available off the top of my head (some of them will be): ASJ, Amaro, Kelvin Benjamin, Ryan Shazier, Tiny Richardson, Cyril Richardson, Gabe Jackson, possibly Mosely, Marquise Lee. You may now have a chance to get 2 of these guys instead of 1 (plus you still have your own 2nd). 3 of the top 42 is much more appealing to me than 2 of the top 42. The only way that I would stay at 9 is if Mack or Watkins was available. Those are the potential star impact players IMO. If you are seeking quality starters than I would follow last years strategy and try to get a few.

 

i agree - I dont think there are many players in this group that stand out as "if you dont get him now it might be years before a similar prospect is available" but from somewhere in the top 10 through 50 I think the talent level is pretty high without a lot of dropoff - especially at a few of our positions of need. I dont think wed end up not taking a ngata and scrambling for a guy like mccargo (though there could be a couple rare talents that slide to us, as you note, depending on how things shake out)

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I don't think that it is quite that simple. You really need to look at where teams are picking and their needs. You need to think of specific players and how they would fit. Some players that could be available off the top of my head (some of them will be): ASJ, Amaro, Kelvin Benjamin, Ryan Shazier, Tiny Richardson, Cyril Richardson, Gabe Jackson, possibly Mosely, Marquise Lee or Evans. You may now have a chance to get 2 of these guys instead of 1 (plus you still have your own 2nd). 3 of the top 42 is much more appealing to me than 2 of the top 42. The only way that I would stay at 9 is if Mack or Watkins was available. Those are the potential star impact players IMO. If you are seeking quality starters than I would follow last years strategy and try to get a few.

 

I think that the worst thing you can do is look at teams and needs...you need to look at player value, as that's far more indicative of where a player will be drafted. For example, Gabe Jackson is probably the 4th best OG in the draft...if you think that the 4th-most-guard-needy team is going to take him just because they need a guard, well, I strongly disagree with you.

 

And I understand the idea of wanting 3 of the top 42 guys more than 2 of them...what I'm saying is that I believe more strongly in getting 1 of the top 10 players in the draft as opposed to getting 0 of the top 10 players moreso than I believe in getting 3 of the top 42 vs. 2 of the top 42.

 

Know what I mean?

 

i agree - I dont think there are many players in this group that stand out as "if you dont get him now it might be years before a similar prospect is available" but from somewhere in the top 10 through 50 I think the talent level is pretty high without a lot of dropoff - especially at a few of our positions of need. I dont think wed end up not taking a ngata and scrambling for a guy like mccargo (though there could be a couple rare talents that slide to us, as you note, depending on how things shake out)

 

I understand where you're coming from--to me, it's not only about getting a top 10 talent, but also about giving yourself the best chance to get that impact guy. Having your pick of the litter gives you the best chance IMO.

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I understand where you're coming from--to me, it's not only about getting a top 10 talent, but also about giving yourself the best chance to get that impact guy. Having your pick of the litter gives you the best chance IMO.

 

no shame in that, and i cant say its wrong. my guts simply saying taking 2 players that i think will be similar talent gives you a better chance, and we might end up with 2 of them at that.

 

the real thing is, if it werent debatable, the trade probably wouldnt make sense for one side. both arguments have to make sense to get it done.

Edited by NoSaint
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I think that the worst thing you can do is look at teams and needs...you need to look at player value, as that's far more indicative of where a player will be drafted. For example, Gabe Jackson is probably the 4th best OG in the draft...if you think that the 4th-most-guard-needy team is going to take him just because they need a guard, well, I strongly disagree with you.

 

And I understand the idea of wanting 3 of the top 42 guys more than 2 of them...what I'm saying is that I believe more strongly in getting 1 of the top 10 players in the draft as opposed to getting 0 of the top 10 players moreso than I believe in getting 3 of the top 42 vs. 2 of the top 42.

 

Know what I mean?

 

 

 

I understand where you're coming from--to me, it's not only about getting a top 10 talent, but also about giving yourself the best chance to get that impact guy. Having your pick of the litter gives you the best chance IMO.

 

I don't think that we necessarily disagree bandit. I think that we are just disagreeing on who the impact guys are. I only see 2 that the Bills could realistically take -Watkins and Mack. Watkins is almost definitely gone and Mack probably gone.

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I don't think that we necessarily disagree bandit. I think that we are just disagreeing on who the impact guys are. I only see 2 that the Bills could realistically take -Watkins and Mack. Watkins is almost definitely gone and Mack probably gone.

 

Yeah I think that's the case. I'd call the following guys the impact guys (while reserving the right to add or delete from this list pending further evaluation LOL):

 

**for the record, I realize you're only postulating regarding impact guys that could be available when Buffalo picks at 9--at this point I'm going to just list them all for simplicity**

 

Bridgewater

Manziel

Clowney

Barr

Watkins

Mack

Ebron

Mosley

Benjamin

Dennard

 

I am also wavering on Marquise Lee

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