DabillsDaBillsDaBills

I can agree that the Giants in XXV and the Jags yesterday both sold out to stop the pass. The gigantic difference is that Thurman was eating the Giants alive, whereas Singletary & Moss were utterly ineffective. Thurman Thomas in XXV 15 carries 135 yards 1 TD Moss & Singletary combined stats yesterday 9 carries 22 yards "riverboat gambling" would be trying to run the ball and settling for 65+ yard FGs. It's not like we went out there and called some stupid trick play that generated a huge loss to knock us out of FG range. We ran routine plays that ultimately did not work. Complaining about it is 100% hindsight

Couldn't disagree more. There was exactly one drive that ended in FG range with no points (Josh's first INT). Is your suggestion that McD should've known Josh was going to throw an INT there and we should've run the ball for no gain? Or are you talking about the 4th and 2 from JAX 43 yard line? Every coach in the league is going to go for the 4th down instead of attempting a 60 yard FG. After the false start penalty it turns into a 65 yard FG vs a punt. Final drive was 4th and 16 from the JAX 48. 65 yard FG vs a very long 4th down are both bad options, but I think going for it is the right choice.

How about this gem towards the end of the first half right after the Jags fumble ? 1st & 10 at BUF 20 (1:24 - 2nd) (Shotgun) J.Allen up the middle to BUF 21 for 1 yard (J.Allen).

Bills 31 Jags 10 Really don't see this one being close. Our DEF will eat Lawrence alive

The only Steelers game I've seen this year was when we played them in week 1 and I thought Ingram was dominating that game. Surprised he only went for a 6th, but maybe that was his best game of the year ?

Despite the stats I don't trust our DEF to play well against good offenses, or to step up and win a game in the clutch. If a 1 score game is coming down to the final possession I would want to see Josh and the offense out there 10 out of 10 times instead of relying on the DEF for a stop. The DEF is certainly good enough to win a SuperBowl, although not good enough to carry the team to a Superbowl (like the Ravens or Bears).

The decisions were made according to The Process™. As much as we love Beane his O-line decisions have left a lot to be desired. He traded Teller (and a 7th) for a 5th and 6th. He released Spain 6 weeks into a 3 year deal and returned negative value with the dead cap hit. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/positional/offensive-line/ We have one of the pricier O-lines in the league this season, and our O-line is one of the worst in the league. We have to be dead last in terms of money spent vs quality of play.

Sure, and there was the comeback game. But neither of those games required scoring 16 points with 1 minute left in the 4th Q with 0 timeouts. It's pretty telling to me that the Dolphins didn't even try to score after we failed the 2 pt conversion.

The TD was on a 3rd and 6 from the 7 yard line with over a minute left. I don't see how anyone could complain about that. However, going for 2 was completely unnecessary. The Dolphins had no chance of winning. We can talk about hypotheticals and point out that teams have scored 2 TDs in <1 minute before, but how many times has a team overcome a 16 point deficit with 1 minute left in the 4th Quarter (and no timeouts)? Has it ever happened in NFL history? The Dolphins didn't even try to drive down the field to score after we failed the conversion.

I think it's mostly confirmation bias. If they see traits they like in a rookie, and the rookie works out, they will be able to say "See, I always knew that guy would work out". If the same player doesn't work out they can blame it on reasons X,Y, and Z instead of admitting their 1st impression was wrong. Teams invest millions of dollars and untold hours investigating who to draft in the 1st round, yet there are constantly 1st round busts (and late round success stories). If it was that easy to decide if a player was going to make it or not that wouldn't happen as often as it does.

Singletary in the bottom 5 is a head scratcher for me. He finished with 5 carries for 27 yards and 5 catches (on 5 targets) for 16 yards. I distinctly remember him breaking a few tackles and creating more yards than what was blocked for him on some of those carries. I'm not saying he deserved an A+ or anything, but I thought he did fine with his limited touches.

I'd argue that Wyatt Teller is a superstar and a fantastic pick. 2nd team all-pro player with a 5th round pick is genius. Of course we didn't give him time to develop and traded him for next to nothing, but that doesn't change the fact it was a killer draft pick.

Yea, draft star DTs from Alabama. Like Marcell Dareus

We have one of the more expensive O-lines in the league https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/positional/offensive-line/ That unit is easily the biggest disappointment of the season for the Bills. We can't even blame it on injuries.

They did the opposite of "going with the hot hand". Singletary had a few nice runs early where he broke some tackles and gained a lot of extra yards. He was rewarded with 2 touches in the 2nd half. Moss had a fumble (out of bounds). Not going to blame Moss for the INT, but with a better reaction he could've at least tried to break up the catch.

Don't know how the 42% number was reached. Thinking out loud - we could miss the FG attempt. If we make the FG the Titans would've had ~20 seconds and timeouts to try and win the game in regulation. Neither option would be very likely, but should push the odds slightly in their favor instead of purely 50/50 OT coin flip.

Agreed. I think there's a vocal minority upset with Allen, but they are idiots.

Not sure how 1 post in the entire thread mentioning that it was an Allen audible (which I'll note was posted AFTER my comment) qualifies as "umpteenth"? All that does is shift more blame to Allen than Daboll. I still don't like the decision to go for a QB sneak out of a timeout like that.

Would you have gone for 4th and 3 from the 5 in a 0-0 game? Or the 4th and goal from the 10 while leading 3-0 ? And to note that the DEF was playing lights out at that point of the game. I ripped on McDermotts 4th down decisions in the Steelers game, but I thought he was 100% correct on 4th down calls last night.

Love the advanced stats. If you want to look at "gut feeling" our OFF was playing great and the DEF was trash. I'd much rather trust my offense and Josh to score a TD in that situation than have the game come down to the OT coin flip. I think it was absolutely the right decision to go for it. I'm not sold on the play call, but tough to blame Daboll when his LT gets blown TF up and QB slips.

I was wondering this myself during the game. If my math is right the Titans average field position after a Bills kickoff was the 21 yard line. Gaining 4 yards of field position doesn't seem worth risking a big return (or TD), but that's just me. I like the idea of short directional kicks, but I think it works better when it's a surprise (like what the Redskins did to us). Don't do it on every single kickoff.

I remember the DEF carrying this team to two playoff appearances while Flutie was starting. Wins are a TEAM stat. Keep in mind guys like Vince Young and Tim Tebow won more games than they lost as starting QB.

Dallas Goedert was out due to COVID

Titans 31 Bills 20 Bills offense is out of sync and turns the ball over early and often. Derrick Henry does Derrick Henry things.

Not sure this is the best "what if" scenario to dive into given Watt is healthy and playing well in AZ. The DEF would probably be even better this season with Watt on the team, depending on how exactly we fit him under the cap. The most likely scenario would be we cut Addison and pull some shenanigans with signing bonuses. The other major DEF moves could've been the same (draft Rousseau, sign Milano) and it wouldn't have killed our cap situation for future seasons. I don't feel bad about not signing him, but I'm not going to celebrate it either.