YattaOkasan

Knew Marino was gonna be pretty happy (also mentioned in his podcast). Joe was pumping him all offseason and took his lumps during the preseason/TC. So far (knock on wood), Knox has become much more consistent which makes him very dangerous considering some of the things he can do that others cant.

Oddly I havent heard coaches talk about Milano as much. I actually find that genuinely odd cause he fills the stat sheet more. Additionally, coaches/players generally rank Edmunds over Milano. I dont know why but it seems pretty consistent. Its another piece of evidence to say hes doing something we as fans can't see. Define much better. How do you think itll change these current numbers 12 points per game, 250 yards per game, 178 pass yards per game, 14 first downs per game, 2 Turn overs per game. I would like to know how you get MUCH better from those numbers.

I missed that on his first post. But yeah 2018 and 2019 we were the best against TE from a fantasy perspective so yup even more silliness.

If this season so far is what it looks like when they run and pass at him, then I will happily accept a top 5 defense, and I’ll see you in February now that josh is back.

I feel like you don’t realize you’re saying that the mike on a top 5 defense is a liability to the point that he just can’t play football. God bless you but that’s a white hot take.

Can def respect a lot of this. I do think he’s more that just a solid football player. I think he’s been good but in a way that’s hard to see (setting defense, coverage down field). I would def agree there are things I would like to see more of too (like the Wiggins comparison). Appreciate your thoughts

Haha what. Why is it clear? No doubt? If I have no doubt its that beane will multiple ways to go in the draft so there will definitely be doubt about replacement (should’ve said UFA signing and draft pick). Who are you putting in for his reduced snaps. Klein? 🤮

I really don’t have a good idea (see my comment about not knowing his valuation) since most of his best work happens downfield away from the broadcast view. Certainly players and media thought he was more than 5th last year as he was one of two to make the pro bowl (not a perfect measure of rank I know but says something). I do know he’s not the worst player on the field, like playing with 10, or a mistake to pick up his option. I think we drafted him to be QB of the defense and get us in the right call. He seems to be doing that.

You think the score was on him? He was playing TE deep again. He missed a tackle but so did many folks. also captain means a lot to McDermott. Again your BBFS is making you think of The drought years (like rex). It’s a pretty big deal for this crew.

So you didn’t watch the game. dudes been a captain for 3 straight years. Y’all act like you know more than McBeane (literally the thread title). You’ve been scarred by BBFS. On good teams not every player shows up in the stat sheet. Are we still whipping on Star. He doesn’t fill the stat sheet but defense looks pretty good with him in there. I have no clue what his valuation is but I expect he gets re-signed.

I can see your point but if the DL doesn’t rush with contain in mind it is on them. I blame the DL for how Murray and tannehill tore us up last year.

Jackson got destroyed by AJ in whatever bowl game they faced off in. After the draft I realized the dolphins got Jackson and watched that game some more. edit video But i don’t share their thoughts on jackson

I dont know that teams use PFFs for their grades. There are advanced stats that are very helpful such as splits for under pressure, blitzed, personnel groupings. This can be very valuable to outsource to PFF rather than try to track it yourself.

Third year captain so no....

More likely that KC game is the difference between a 1 and 2 seed. We needed to beat them almost certainly, but I agree they are not holding things back.

Still caused me to recheck my data set, and there was one I missed. 8/2 would fall within random variability. My question at this point is about the recovery rate for offense. Does that mean they jump on the ball or does it include the OBs. Singeltary does have 1 FR (I believe for his own fumble). If its the former (offense jumps on the ball) Singeltary has been unlucky in recoveries. On average, the fumbling team recovered (or the ball went out of bounds, so the fumbling team retained possession) 53.5% of all fumbles in 2019. http://www.footballperspective.com/tag/fumbles/ Appears its the former so Singeltary is lucky @Buffalo716. Though 3 more fumbles without a FL would push back towards non random space.

Thanks. That would def make him not being doing anything different than normal. And more likely hes just lucky. Not sure how I missed as I was compiling data (cause his splits are still 8/2).

At this point (again small sample size), the data does not support that its random for him. Not how it works. If I flip a coin 100 times in row as heads. Does that make it more likely that my next flip is tails? Offensive recovery is slightly greater than 50/50 (54%) on average. This may increase the probability enough to be greater than 0.05 which would make it not necessarily statistically significant.

1 FL in 8 fumbles is sorta not random. If its 50/50 for a recovery (I think odds are worse, but having trouble finding data) then i get a p factor 0.04. Thats statistically significant (despite a small data set of 8). So his fumble loss rate is not necessarily random. Thats amazing. First glance i threw up because of the song. But the histogrm was great.

I got 1 fumble loss in his career (I believe 2019 steelers game with watt getting him good, iirc). Looking up fumble loss rate.

It is high now. But it seems good prior to this year right? I got 1.6% prior to this year. More context seems that 1.6% is not good. with this year it would be worse. Digging into fumbles lost. Not sure I agree fumbles on the field are random. Is there a histogram that shows this?

I guess. But I think football is a situational game and as such a fumble on the boundary seems very different situationally than one even 5 yards away.

I guess but I dont really consider them fumbles. There is no risk. Theres some good stats about how often youre expected to recover a fumble and its low. Being near the boundary seems like it would greatly increase the chance of recover (one reason why I was ok with Allens flip to Knox in Houston). I wonder if/how thats accounted for in that stat.

Agree but in the Miami game the fumble outbounds on the sideline on that play doesnt present much risk to me. Also there was a face mask penalty on that play, not sure how much it mattered to the fumble. EDIT: all his fumbles are out of bounds. is this a concern. hes caring the ball in the correct hand. It doesnt seem to be much risk to me at all.

Sorry was being a bit snarky. I agree.