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jwhit34

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Everything posted by jwhit34

  1. This is the easiest to fix - do what the NBA does and when the play clock (NBA shot clock) gets to 5 go to showing tenths of a second. Can't get any clearer than that.
  2. What does everyone think about the starting OLine?
  3. The challenging thing for teams is that the 3rd QB has to be on the 53 cannot be a practice squad call up. Will that lead to more teams keeping 3 QBs. How about the Bills? Would they roster Barkley and if so what position gets cut back? If 3 QBs: QB 3 RB/FB 4 WR 6 TE 3 OL 10 DL 9 LB 6 DB 9 K/P/LS 3 I think in this scenario they go with 9 DBs (4 S, 5 CB) instead of 10, but I could also see them keeping 9 OL (4 OT, 5 IOL) and 10 DBs.
  4. Guard comparison: 2022: Saffold, Bates, VanRoten, Mancz, Boettger, maybe a little Doyle before injured 2023: McGovern, Bates, Torrence, Edwards, Boettger, maybe Broeker To me, the improvement of the interior OL is the most important and biggest story line to come out of the offseason as it relates to 2023, with the potential of Kincaid a close second. The change at RB is story #3. Cook, Harris, Hynes can they combine for around 110 yards from scrimmage per game? Josh throws for 250/game and runs for 35-40 that's an average of almost 400 yards of offense (minus sacks). The offense will be much better and it was already really good.
  5. In terms of how fans judged/valued/overvalued him, I equate McKenzie to Don Beebe, though Beebe had a more accomplished career. Beeb played 6 years in Buffalo, never had more than 40 catches, was in the low 500s in yards, and had that one big game vs. Pittsburgh when he had 4 TDs. McKenzie had more modest production, though had over 400 yards last year, but had the New England game and also the Miami end of season game in '20 with 2 receiving TDs and a punt return TD. Both were WR4 type players, pretty one-dimensional (speed). Every fan base seems to have players that they overvalue because they are "their guys" but the rest of the league views them as a very replaceable, down-the-depth chart player.
  6. I found this data of average number of regular season NFL games played by draft pick by round: Round Avg. # Reg. Season Games 1 62.3 2 56.3 3 48.1 4 44.4 5 40.5 6 32.5 7 28.1 I thought it was interesting that round 3-5 were separated by only 7.6 games and that there was a big drop from round 5 to 6 (8.3 games). One way to think of it is for every 6th rounder that plays 4 seasons there is 1 who never plays. 6th rounders get about 2 years. So Stevenson to some degree has been an average 6th rounder - been in league 2 years.
  7. Gronkowski and Hernandez had 1,327 and 910 yards, respectively in 2011, their best year. If Allen throws for 4,500 yards (265 yards/game), here's a possible breakdown: Diggs 1,250 Kincaid 850 Davis 800 Knox 500 RBs 550 Other WR 550 I don't know if Kincaid gets to the record (and keep in mind it's in more games). I think this is a reasonable distribution, maybe Allen goes for 5,000...
  8. There are 6 non-white/mixed race: Tomlin, Bowles, Ryans, Salah, Rivera, M. McDaniel Your comparison to the entire US population is not a valid one. The more relevant analysis would be how does the racial makeup of coaches compare to the racial makeup of the players, since pretty much every coach has played the game (at some level, at least college). To that point, about 56% of players are Black/Hispanic, 11% Mixed Race/Bi-Racial, 25% White and the remainder other or non-disclosed. The point is that the NFL has 6 of 32 or 18.75% of head coaches are non-white while the players they are coaching are at least 67% non-white. The NFL still has a long way to go. I'm not saying 2/3 of coaches should be of color, but it still is not where it should be by a long shot. By contrast, about 72% of NBA players are Black and half the coaches are Black. By HamSandwhich logic, there are too many Black coaches in the NBA (since only 13.6% of population is Black) and that clearly is not the case.
  9. Signing a player who has played very well vs. Bills is part of Beane's MO. Pending the contract details, which given what Singletary got would probably be a $1.7-2.5 million salary with incentives and that would be good, this is exactly how you play the RB game. Draft players in rounds 2-4 a majority of years, don't give them a 2nd contract, pick up 1-2 vets to round out the RB slots on cheap, 2nd contracts because (a) they are interchangeable and (b) when you are a pass first offense and have Allen (who is probably going to get 500-700 rush yards) keep the investment in the position at about $6 million on the cap.
  10. Wait until all the contract restructure stuff happens. Lots of things will change: If they pull the contract levers for Allen and Miller, either cut or restructure Hines and then restructure 1 or 2 big contracts (Dawkins and/or Milano) they will be around $30 million under the cap. Do a couple other things (release McKenzie, extend Daquan Jones) and maybe it's more like $35 million. Like the Miller contract from a year ago, they can sign a couple guys to pretty big money and still only count around $7-8 million on the cap. The bottom 10 players on the cap now average about $850k so a signing at a cap hit of $7 million is really adding a little more than $6 million to the cap. I think they will re-sign Edmunds but his '23 cap will be around $7-8 million. They could opt for a couple more with cap hits in the $7-9 million range and then fill with $1-3 million/year players. Bottom line: the cap situation isn't that bad, it is just something that every GM has to deal with each year.
  11. OJ in '73 and '75 as many have stated is on the list. I do think the '75 season for total yards from scrimmage and TDs is the better season. Pick a Hasek year the Cup run for what he meant to the team plus the stats makes sense. I like including McAdoo, his '74-75 MVP year was great. The only other one I would add to consider is the LaFontaine/Mogilny '92-93 season. LaFontaine was 53-95 for 148 points and Mogilny was 76-51-127.
  12. If you take out Hyde and Matakevich (due to lack of snaps) the list makes sense with the exception of Basham so I wouldn't condemn it because of a couple of outliers. The top 6 (excluding Matakevich) are pretty much spot on.
  13. I agree Brady is the best QB all time. Greatest champion? I would say Bill Russell and Michael Jordan have him beat, and from coaching, John Wooden. In terms of football champion, I think you have to consider players from the Steel Curtin SB run and Joe Montana won 4 in 9 years. Brady beats them in longevity and volume though. Montana's Super Bowl stats are amazing (4 games): 4-0 in games 83-122, 1142 yards 11 TDs, 0 Ints 17 rushes for 107 yards and 2 TDs
  14. The lights are a good idea, the other thing they should do, like the NBA and NCAA basketball, is show the tenths of the second in the last 5 seconds of the play clock. I think now when the play clock goes to zero there are actually .9 seconds left. The combo (lights and tenths) would alleviate all these debates.
  15. Keep getting better Damar. Everyone keep channeling positive thoughts to him. How about this scene on Sunday: Instead of introducing the offense or defense, they introduce the medical team. And, if he's able, a quick video clip or photo of Damar on the video screens. Not a dry eye in the stadium.
  16. How about Bills history: Andre Reed and James Lofton, Jerry Butler and Frank Lewis, and for one season Eric Moulds and Peerless Price. That said, 4 of the 6 were drafted by the Bills so I would say use a 1 or 2 in draft for a WR. Draft one OL in first 2 rounds and maybe another in 3rd or 4th. TO sustain, they are going to have to consistently hit on the middle round picks
  17. Three are already fired (Denver, Indy, Carolina). How many more? I think it will be 4 out of these 6: Cleveland Tampa Bay New Orleans (does Payton go back?) Arizona Las Vegas LA Chargers if they don't make the playoffs
  18. Given. The question is (given where they are in their careers) is James ever > Dalvin?
  19. With 27 yards vs. the Bears, James Cook would have 390 for his Bills career and would move from 63rd to 58th all time, passing Bills legends Willmer Fowler (372), Billy Joe (377), Chris Ivory (385), Bill "Earthquake" Enyart (387) and Tashard Choice (390). That would put Booker Moore (420) and former rookie of the year Dennis Shaw (432) in range.
  20. Any talk of moving it to Detroit?
  21. Collinsworth probably has in his contract that they cannot flex out a Chiefs/Mahomes game. He would have so much less to talk about. Seriously though BIlls-Jets probably least attractive compared to Eagles-Giants and Miami-Chargers.
  22. Going into the season, a lot of the buzz about the offense was about Gabe Davis "taking the next step" and becoming a big time WR2. Now, a significant portion of fans say he is a disappointment. I think a fair expectation going into the season to be considered a top end WR2 would be a season with 60-70 receptions, 900-1,000 yards and 7-9 TDs. Davis missed 1 game due to injury, so in the 10 games he has played he now has 33 receptions, 650 yards and 5 TDs. How does that compare to expectations? He ranks #22 in receiving yards per game, and the only WR2s ahead of him are Waddle and Higgins. Only 10 WRs have more TDs At 65 yards per game, that extrapolates out to 1,105 over 17 games. If he averages 65/game the rest of the year, it would be 1,040 in 16 games. He has 5 TDs in 10 games played so if he keeps up that pace he will have 8 TDs. The receptions are lighter, he would end at 53 at 3.3/game Yes, the drops are not good, but if you were asked before the beginning of the season would you take a 53-1,040-8 stat line for Davis this year? I am guessing almost everyone would, especially if you said Diggs was going to also have the year he's having. I have thought for a long time a lot of Bills fans overvalued Don Beebe, whose career highs with the Bills were 40 catches ('94) and 554 yards ('92). Davis is moving into undervalued territory.
  23. First, they have Oliver, Jones, Phillips and Settle on the 53. There's really no difference between Eli Ankou, Brandin Bryant and Justin Zimmer. They still have Ankou. This is no big deal.
  24. A lot written about Gabe Davis and "not taking a step" this year. It's not all about stats, but: 2020: 16 games played, 35 receptions, 599 yards, 7 TDs 2021: 16 games played, 35 receptions, 549 yards, 6 TDs (yes, huge game in playoffs) 2022: 9 games played, 29 receptions, 612 yards, 5 TDs Diggs-Davis combo this year (rec-yds-TDs): 105-1,645-13 Other elite combos: Hill-Waddle: 132-2,026-10 Higgins-Chase-Boyd: 136-1,896-13 Jefferson-Thielen: 117-1,585-6 D. Smith-AJ Brown: 101-1,345-9 Metcalf-Lockett: 102-1,221-9 KC has Kelce, so that's a different comparison, but Schuster-Scantling-Hardman-Moore: 118-1,540-7 Hill-Waddle are the tops, and Chase's numbers are down because he has missed 3 games, but Diggs-Davis' numbers are better than everyone else. And Davis' numbers compare real favorably to all #2s other than Higgins and Waddle, and he missed a game (and probably played injured in at least 1-2 others).
  25. Singletary is the Bills' RB2, RB1 is Josh Allen, right? A better run game is a nice to have at this point, not a necessity. If the Bills elevated Duke Johnson, as many have suggested, I would be good with that even if it meant waiving Moss. Antonio Gibson is interesting though. I wonder how willing Beane would be to trade with Washington after the McKissic incident. And I think Cook gets a few more opportunities. With weaker opponents on the horizon (at least on paper), that may present some opportunities for Cook to gain experience.
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