jwhit34

Cody Ford has played over 80 games in the league, most of them as a starter. He also was a key component in the trade up for the 2018 draft and that pick was then packaged in the trade up for #7 which resulted in Josh Allen. So that wasn't too bad. Singletary was a mid round 3rd who has over 5,700 career yards from scrimmage. Epenesa was #54 overall and will probably play 10 years in the NFL. Solid player, not a waste. Basham is the worst pick. Moss was 86th overall. Not the best pick but still in the league. I'll give you that one. I still say that's an excellent track record.

Agree with other people on: Epenesa - not a wasted pick, he got a 2nd contract and is a productive player. Singletary - was a good player for Bills and continues to play in the league. The Douglas trade was a 3rd for Douglas and a 5th. Don't remember who they got with the 5th. Douglas was good, he was a player rental for '23 and that worked out well. His play fell off last year but that was a "trade for now". Cooper - Everyone loved it at the time, maybe it didn't work out as planned but also a trade for now and they did get to the AFC Championship game. Basham didn't pan out, Moss either but in 7 drafts if you have 14 picks in the 2nd and 3rd rounds (they may have had more) there's only 2 that didn't really work out (and Moss has played 4 years in the league) that's a very good track record. And there have been some really good ones: James Cook, Spencer Brown, Terrell Bernard, O'Cyrus Torrence, Dawson Knox, and the McDermott year it was Dion Dawkins. All core players.

No surprises this year - I picked other.

at least 1 year too early to even have a clue on how good the 2024 draft class will be. Check back this time next year and see how the 5 mentioned (Coleman, Bishop, Carter, SVP, Grable) are doing. No one knows at this point including the Bills coaches and Beane.

Two things: 1. preseason football is brutal. 2. If the rest of the league watches this game film, the Bills will not have any problem getting players back on the practice squad after cuts to the 53.

I think 51 are locks: QB - Allen, Trubisky RB/FB - Cook, Johnson, Davis, Gilliam OL - 5 starters, Anderson, VanDemark, Grable, TE - Kincaid, Knox, Hawes WR - Shakir, Coleman, Palmer, Samuel, Moore Offense locks: 22 DL - Rousseau, Bosa, Jackson, Epenesa, Solomon, Oliver, Jones, Sanders, Walker, Carter LB - Milano, Bernard, Andreeson, Williams, Thompson CB - Benford, White, T Johnson, Hairston (don't think they IR him), D Jackson, Strong S - Rapp, Bishop, Hamlin, Lewis, Hancock Defense locks: 26 Special teams: Bass, Robbins, Ferguson ST locks: 3 That leaves 2 spots. One will go to OL, if Van Pran Granger comes off PUP it will be him, if he starts on IR it will be Lundt I think Shavers is #53.

Fun to watch. Loved: 1. The Russell Copeland TD they show the graphic that Kelly is 1-14 for 4 yards and 3 Ints before that play. 2. Ditka disgusted and spitting after the TD. Allen's throws are effortless. Fergy - underrated. Lofton - probably the best pure athlete that ever played WR for the Bills. So smooth. Honorable mention to Jerry Butler. I think I was 10 when they drafted JD Hill. I thought he was going to be the next Paul Warfield.

Preseason record in Kelly/Super Bowl era: 1988: 1-3 1989: 1-4 1990: 0-4 (best chance to win it all) 1991: 2-3 1992: 2-2 1993: 2-3 Totals: 8 wins, 19 losses. Regular season record over those 6 years: 70-26 And the starters played a lot more back then than they do now. I vaguely remember talk that Gale Gilbert was looking better than Jim Kelly one year (Art Wander comment?). In the Super Bowl years they didn't run no huddle in preseason. As McDermott said in presser, on a scale of 1-10, how much game planning did they do? 0-1. Amazing reaction over the weekend.

Probably as close to 0% chance of this happening and for good reason: Start with who is better. I can think of 4 probably for sure: Reid, McVay, Shanahan and Kevin O'Connell. Then maybe most would say John Harbaugh and Sean Payton, though McDermott has as good or a better track record over the past 10 years. Both of them have Super Bowl wins over 10 years ago, but how relevant is that? I'd say push to slightly better. There would be a couple, like Dan Campbell and maybe Sirianni, that some would favor but I think those are a push at best. Common thread with all of the above? They aren't going to be available probably ever. So if you could upgrade that would be good. Otherwise you're taking a shot with a hot coordinator or a retread or a college coach and hoping for a better result. All of those would be a crapshoot. The Bills are arguably the 2nd or 3rd most successful team in the past 6 years (KC, Philly). McDermott and Beane are going nowhere and that is the right thing.

So reminiscent of Brandon Reilly, Da'Rick Rogers, Naaman Roosevelt, _____________ (fill in name of WR camp darling of past who never really made it). The Bills historically keep 5 WRs, there are 5 that are pretty much locks given their skills and contracts. It's much more likely that Shavers, Virgil and Prather are on the practice squad and they each get 3 call ups to play special teams or cover a WR injury. That covers 9 of 17 games.

It really comes down to the 4th year. A 2nd round pick is not getting released in year 2, so more than 50% is guaranteed (signing bonus + first 2 years). There is probably a very low percentage released before year 3 so with salary escalations and bonuses, realistically around 80% is essentially guaranteed. It's the last 20% that is up for discussion.

The 43rd pick signing is great for Bills. At 88% of contract guaranteed and Sanders being the 41st pick, they will probably be at 90-92% and get the deal done. Contract will probably be around $10.5 million over 4 years so every 1% over 88% is worth $105k in guaranteed money. In the grand scheme of things, it's not a lot so it shouldn't take too long to get him signed (and everyone else from 34-42).

This was the first time I looked at the total chart. My seats are in the $8k section (Bills side). Overall, I think they did a pretty good job pricing the PSLs, they covered the spectrum very well and as mentioned by others there is a level that is accessible for a wide swath of fans. I viewed the $8k/seat (I have 4) as not bad - amortized over the life of the PSL it is $267/season, which as it turns out is going to be just under the cost of a regular season ticket. I knew the game tickets were going to go up a lot and was more concerned about that. Mine are going from the current about $180 (I think, never know how to factor in the preseason games) to about $300, which is a huge jump - 8 regular season game cost per ticket up from about $1,440 to $2,400.

Everyone has mentioned the best ones. Hall of Famers + Allen: Bruce Smith, OJ, Allen, Thurman Thomas, Joe D, Billy Shaw, Andre Reed, Jim Kelly. That's 8. Bennett, Talley, Moulds, Smerlas and Hull are probably the next ones because of their combined longevity, excellence and value to the team. Smerlas should be a borderline HOF veterans committee consideration. He was even T5 for DPOY once and I think 3-4 All Pros and 5 or so Pro Bowls. We're at 13 The last two I would put in the group are Tasker and Kemp. Unique players without the stats of others. Tasker redefined special teams players and Kemp was the leader on the 2 AFL championship teams. That leaves a lot of guys out but that's how I would put together the list. The one I would question the most is Kemp but fairly evaluating QBs from that era is difficult. Look at the stats for Unitas, Starr and Namath, but they all meant a lot to their teams. The 3 I think of that would almost certainly would have been in strong consideration for the top 15 if not for injury would be Robert James (who you could make a case for sneaking in at 15 or instead of Bennett or Talley), Sam Cowart and Jerry Butler, in that order. I think Cowart would have been better than Bennett and Talley

If you think that's challenging, the Oklahoma City Thunder (roster of 15) have Jalen Williams and Jaylin Williams.

OKC is ahead of the curve in the NBA. The collective bargaining agreement signed 2 years ago instituted a de facto hard cap. The NBA "cap" has never been a hard cap, there are all sorts of exceptions. A few of them: 1. The so called "Bird exception" allows teams to circumvent the cap and sign their franchise players to max contracts which exceed what other teams can pay. 2. Mid-level exception - veteran contracts that count less against the cap (allows vets to chase rings). 3. Trade exception - I don't know all the details, there are all sorts of rules regarding contract values with trades, but there are trade exceptions. The CBA has always had a luxury tax provision in it. By using all the exceptions, you could go over the cap but if you exceeded it by a certain amount, you had to pay a luxury tax. The more you exceed, the more punitive. With the new CBA, they instituted what is referred to as "the second apron". All the cap rules apply, but if you exceed the 2nd level over the cap (the 2nd apron), the consequences are much more severe. You are limited in trades, the financial penalties (luxury tax) are extreme. Teams really try to avoid the 2nd apron, and they essentially have more of a hard cap now. Compare that back to NFL who has a hard cap. Managing rosters are more straightforward but as shown by the Bills (and I would say Chiefs, Eagles and Ravens), if you have a franchise QB, building a deep, solid roster will make you a perennial contender. So the Bills formula is definitely working in the NFL, Back to the NBA and the Thunder: They purged their roster years ago of Harden, Durant and Westbrook (and a few others) and their GM, Sam Presti, stockpiled loads of picks. But the biggest deal was when they traded Paul George for Shai-Gilgeous Alexander and 5 draft picks. After years of losing, they now have a roster that is incredibly deep, and I think they have 7 first round picks in the next 3 or 4 drafts. But the crown jewel was getting SGA in the George trade. It will be interesting to see how they manage the roster in the coming years, they will be able to keep SGA, Chet Holmgren and probably one other (Jalen WIliams) but a lot of the rest of the roster spots are made up of interchangeable parts. With all the picks, they will be able to seed the roster with cheap, value players. SGA is the Thunder's Josh Allen. The Thunder do play hard, they play amazing defense which is a reflection of their coach, who is excellent. With that many talented players, requiring them to play great D is easier and rewarded with playing time. They also have 2 of the best defensive players in the game in Luc Dort and Alex Caruso (Dort starts, Caruso comes in off the bench). So I can see some of the similarities but there are some differences. OKC may beat the Bills to the first team with a title, they look tough to beat.

By 2027 the starters will be Benford, Hairston, Strong, Hancock and Bishop. Lewis and Ingram will not make the team. Hamlin's $700+K dead cap is nothing, remember MVS was I think $2 million. And remember OJ Howard. On the 53: Benford, Hairston, T Johnson, White, Strong, Jackson, Rapp, Bishop, Forrest, Hancock. If they keep 24 on offense (2 QB, 4 RB/FB, 9 OL, 3 TE, 6 WR) and 3 ST that leaves 26 for D. With the 2 suspensions, they can get away with 10 DL, 10 DB, 6 LBs. The roster challenges start when the suspended players come back.

Landon Jackson's vertical jump is 40" and this guy is 30.5" also a foot longer in broad jump.

The two UB guys, Lewis and Ingraham, are probably gone. Codrington too. Hancock and Strong in. With the 2 DL suspensions, they could still go 10 DL to start with and more DBs. Then when 2 suspended return, let 1 DL and 1 DB go. Of course, injuries could be a big factor, will be juggling roster by then.

Before they get to the Bills' picks 170, 173 and 177: On offense - looks like 21 spots are locked up - 2 QBs, 4 RB/FB, 4 WR, 2 TE, 9 OL (frequent visitors know the names). Special teams - 3 (Bass, Ferguson and a P) On offense, 1-2 WR, 1 TE and they are done. At most, that's 27 Offense/Special Teams. Defense has a lot of roster-worthy players: 6 DT: Oliver, D Jones, Carter, Sanders (r), Walker (r), Ogunjobi (suspended) 6 DE/Edge: Rousseau, Bosa, Epenesa, Solomon, Jackson (r), Hoecht (suspended) 4-5 LB - Bernard, Milano, Williams, Ulafoshio, maybe Andreesson 5 CB: Benford, T Johnson, White, Hairston (r), D Jackson 4 S: Rapp, Bishop, Hamlin, Forrest They like Cam Lewis (S or slot CB) Hoecht and Ogunjobi are not on roster for first 6 games so that alleviates the crunch when they cut to 53. So there is initially room for 1-2 players. But at some point, they cannot roster 12 on DL. WR, TE, LB to draft. Trade Epenesa? Solomon would not have trade value yet.

Ignore the rounds, they gave up 56, 62 and 109 for 41, 72 and a 7th.

The roster seems more set than most years, my guess at pretty much roster locks: QB (2) - Allen and either Trubisky or White RB (3) - Cook, Johnson, Davis FB (1) - Gilliam OL (9) - Dawkins, Edwards, McGovern, Torrence, Brown, SVPG, Grable, VanDemark, Anderson TE (2) - Kincaid, Knox WR (4) - Coleman, Shakir, Palmer, Samuel Total offense: 21 DL (9) - Rousseau, Bosa, Epenesa, Soloman, Hoecht, Oliver, Jones, Carter, Ogunjobi LB (5) - Milano, Bernard, Williams, Andreessen, Ulofoshio CB (4) - Benford, T Johnson, Jackson, Ingraham S (5) - Rapp, Bishop, Forrest, Hamlin, Lewis (swing S/CB) Total defense: 23 K - Bass, Punter (Camarda or other) LS - Ferguson KR - Codrington Total special teams: 4 Total roster: 48 Open Spots: 5 - TE3, WR5, CB2, LB6 or DL10, one other (WR6, DL10-11) The Bills have 10 draft picks, based on this 5, maybe 6 make it (there are always surprise vet cut or two). Current picks are 30, 56, 62, 109, 132, 169, 170, 193, 176 and 206. Normally I do not favor trading up, but many of these late round picks will be cut candidates and probably drafted too high to get back on the practice squad. Using the trade value chart, I would try to make the following trades: Trade picks 109, 170 and 173 (123 points) for #94 (124 points) Trade picks 132 and 176 (64 points) for #115 (64 points) Trade picks 169 and 206 (33 points) for # 147 (33 points) They would end up with a 1st (30), 2 2nds (56, 62), a 3rd (94), a 4th (115) and a 5th (147). Draft priorities CB, DT that can play right away, WR. Draft a TE to compete with Davidson for TE3. If they made these trades the 5th rounder screams DB they always draft one late and try to develop. That pick could bump either Lewis or Ingraham. I didn't list Spector, maybe he makes it, maybe they take a LB in draft to upgrade LB6.

The projection has 49 of 53 spots taken. Most likely they keep only 2 QBs, and Spector and Davidson are not sure things, so realistically there are only 7 open spots. They have 10 draft picks, 7 in the first 5 rounds. The 6th rounders have a lower chance of making the team, and probably less than 50% chance of clearing waivers. This would seem to strongly indicate that they will use later round draft picks to move up in the earlier rounds. Current picks: 30, 56, 62, 109, 132, 169, 173, 177, 204, 206. Either move up in rounds 2 (56, 62) or 4 (109, 132) or trade later picks for '26 picks (trading a 5th or 6th this year for a 4th or 5th). It would be nice to get 5 picks in the top 100-110 which seems very possible.

Agree with most of the points made. Two other points: 1. It is super nice that the team now has players like Bernard, Rousseau and Shakir that are drafted and developed players and it isn't a matter of should they be retained/signed it is what is the right value. 2. The cap is being managed well so that when it is time to give out 2nd contracts to good players they are in a position to do so without going through a crazy cap moves to be able to do it. In these instances, they are actually saving on the cap and the extensions enable them to do other things.

Guess the RB based on the past two years' stats: RB Rush Yds Rec Yds Total TDs 1 2,357 833 31 2 2,134 579 18 3 2,131 703 24 4 2,050 685 24 5 2,097 404 16 6 2,078 453 14 7 2,084 549 11 #1 is clearly a cut above the others. If you use 34 games (I didn't adjust for games missed) then #s 2-7 averaged between 74-83 total yards per game, so really no difference at all. There is wide disparity in TDs, and for most of them they varied a lot year-to-year. The reveal: #1 is Jahmyr Gibbs. He is great, imagine if he didn't split time with Montgomery. Most people on this board probably can guess which one is James Cook in no more than 2 guesses. Knowing his 2024 TDs is a dead giveaway. Cook is #3 Joe Mixon is #4 #2 is James Conner #5 is Chuba Hubbard #6 is Najee Harris #7 is Tony Pollard What's the point? Outside of Gibbs, these are not top tier RBs and their stats are essentially the same except for the TDs. Some have played with pedestrian QBs at best (Hubbard, Harris, Conner), Pollard split time in Dallas 1 year and played on an awful TEN team, which leaves Mixon and Cook. Cook is a really nice player but he is not super distinguishable from the mid-level RBs in the league.