jwhit34

Duke Williams continues to be the 6th best WR on the team behind Brown, Beasley, McKenzie, Roberts and Foster. And only 5 are active on game day. Duke starting to look like he will join the ranks of Da'rick Rodgers, Brandon Reilly, Naaman Roosevelt, Dezmin Lewis, Kolby Listenbee and many others of fan-obsessed, marginal to sub-standard NFL WR talent to spend time with the Bills. I think it all dates back to Don Beebe, who had a decent NFL career but was way overvalued by Bills fans. He had 164 receptions for the Bills in 6 years, never had more than 40 and capped out ta 554 yards.

He's had a terrific year. The only WRs that interest me in 2020 free agency are: AJ Green (age 32) and Emmanuel Sanders (33): Because of age and in Green's case injury, could sign to 1-2 year deal and draft a WR in 1st round, either of these guys end up being a short-term solution. Amari Cooper (26) and Robbie Anderson (27): In their primes age-wise, would cost a lot and be a long term commitment. I'm lukewarm on Anderson and Cooper is probably a low probability but I would be good with them breaking the bank for him. Cooper-Brown-Beasley in 2 WR sets would be awesome, then having Singletary out of backfield and hopefully development of Knox at TE then you really have weapons. But if they got Green for 2 years and hit on a WR in the 1st round that could work too. Devante Parker wouldn't be too bad either, maybe not a true #1 but Parker and Brown as 1B and 1A could be pretty good.

The top record would get a bye and the 3 other division winners would host the playoff games vs. the 3 wild cards. The league will want to preserve the value of winning the division.

TV has the 7 second delay not the radio

My thought here is if they have Tre cover Beckham the entire game and he can neutralize him one-on-one, then: 1. They can provide safety help to Levi Wallace on Landry 2. They can commit more defenders to stopping the run A second key is Milano and Edmunds' ability in pass coverage on Chubb and Hunt. Njoku out helps because the TE isn't much of a threat.

With everyone healthy, I think the first 4 are easy: Boettger Bates Sweeney Vosean Joseph The other 3 will be a DB, WR and DT best guess: Marlowe (outside chance it's Coleman) Duke Williams (Foster stays and they use McKenzie a lot) Taylor Though Yeldon is a good possibility too. Maybe that's how they get 5 DTs active

Here's where Fitz ranks in career passing yards. He also has more yards than HOFers Bradshaw, Stabler, Len Dawson, Namath, Blanda. 1,800 yards in the last 8 games this year and he's up to #40. He obviously benefits from it being a passing league now and now he's played a lot of years but still....he's played for 8 different teams (1/4 of the league). 30 Jim Hart 34,665 1966-1984 2TM 31 Steve DeBerg 34,241 1978-1998 6TM 32 Tony Romo 34,183 2004-2016 dal 33 Alex Smith 34,068 2005-2018 3TM 34 John Hadl 33,503 1962-1977 4TM 35 Phil Simms 33,462 1979-1993 nyg 36 Steve Young+ 33,124 1985-1999 2TM 37 Y.A. Tittle+ 33,070 1948-1964 3TM 38 Troy Aikman+ 32,942 1989-2000 dal 39 Ken Anderson 32,838 1971-1986 cin 40 Kurt Warner+ 32,344 1998-2009 3TM Rank Player Yds Years Tm 41 Sonny Jurgensen+ 32,224 1957-1974 2TM 42 Mark Brunell 32,072 1994-2011 5TM 43 John Brodie 31,548 1957-1973 sfo 44 Steve McNair 31,304 1995-2007 2TM 45 Norm Snead 30,797 1961-1976 5TM 46 Ryan Fitzpatrick 30,552 2005-2019 8TM 47 Andy Dalton 30,352 2011-2019 cin 48 Randall Cunningham 29,979 1985-2001 4TM 49 Joe Ferguson 29,817 1973-1990 4TM 50 Jon Kitna

This is incorrect, Siran Neal did not play a single defensive snap yesterday. Kevin Johnson played a handful at nickel, Neal only played special teams.

Also interesting that Hughes got 76%, Murphy 69% and Lawson 55% at DE. D Johnson got none. Lorenzo does get some on DL in passing situations. Phillips 65%, Star 57%, Oliver 35% and Taylor 18% means L Alexander got 25% of the interior DL snaps. Harrison Phillips may be the best interior DL. Chicken/egg question: Are the inside guys less effective because the outside/edge guys are just okay (Hughes - good, Lawson - decent, Murphy - ?) or the outside guys less effective because the inside guys are just okay? My take is that counting H Phillips they have 6 pretty good-to-good players, no real standout, no one that their opponents have to game plan for. In some respects it's like their group of WRs now.

I think I'd rather have SIdney Moncrief.

Injury report: Taron Johnson, Matt Milano and Corey Thompson are questionable, though T Johnson was full participant at practice. Who are the inactives? My guess: Thompson, Milano, Dean Marlowe, Jaquan Johnson, Ike Boettger, Tommy Sweeney and if past history is a good guide, Bates. Super thin at LB. I can't see them dressing 4 TEs. If Taron Johnson doesn't play then Marlowe's in.

Interesting - 83.5% say he should be on a team in the league, which means that he is at least one of the top 64 QBs. However, when confronted with a situation where poll takers have a need on "their" team (theoretically Bills need to pick up the 65th best QB), 67% say "not for my team". Those answers contradict each other. If he's good enough to be in the league and if your team is all about acquiring the best players available, then 83.5% should have responded sign him for the Bills scenario.

They are going to trade all 3 of their 2020 fifth rounders and their 2 2021 5th rounders for Trent Williams.

As of now: Zay Jones 90 Robert Foster 27 Duke Williams 4 I almost included him as a choice he had 14.

Who will have more career receptions? A. Zay Jones B. Duke Williams C. Robert Foster

Given: The AFC looks very middling except for New England and KC and the Bills played NE tough and KC looked a little vulnerable vs. Indy. The Bills have a favorable schedule. The defense looks like it could be elite/championship caliber. They have most of their key players under contract through 2020 (Alexander probably retires, only starters not signed for '20 are Levi Wallace, Quinton Spain, Frank Gore, key subs not under contract are Shaq Lawson, Jordan Phillips) The team is in a favorable cap situation in '20 Is there enough of a chance to go for it for 2019 by giving up some future assets (draft picks) to get 2-3 players to help them contend this year or is 2020 the year to go for it? Do they have enough to get Trent Williams and a top notch WR (Diggs or Green)? Would they/you be willing to part with to get two high end players for the offense? Green would be a rental for 11 games and has a $12.1 salary component so pro-rated he would cost about $8 million on the cap. Trent Williams is $11 million salary so would count about $7.3 million on the cap. Would Cincy take a 3rd and a player for Green (Foster or Zay)? Would Washington take a 2nd and a player (Foster or Zay - whoever Cincy doesn't take)? Would they be willing to trade both picks? Would the addition of both players be enough to make the offense top 10? I think 2020 roster looks great but they will play the NFC West and AFC West and the 2nd place teams from AFC North and South, so the schedule will be tougher. Getting two players like that, then getting SIngletary back from injury and maybe even Kroft is a real boost and could make a big difference.

My prediction is that one of three things happens with Duke: 1. He takes snaps away from Foster, not Zay Jones 2. He gets less than 15 plays total (less than 20% of snaps) 3. He is inactive tomorrow As a result the posters here at TBD have a collective nuclear meltdown.

All you Duke fans out there even if they add him to the 53 he's probably not one of the active 46. They aren't going to have 7 active WRs. Only way he is active is if Foster is inactive. Inactive #1: Kroft Inactive #2: Thompson Inactive #3: Could be Nsekhe Inactive #4: Either Taron Johnson (injured) or Jaquan Johnson Inactive #5: Presuming Long is okay it's Boettger Inactive #6: Could be Singletary but if he plays it is probably a WR. Inactive #7:. It's not a QB, DL, LB or TE. If Nsekhe is out and Boettger inactive, then it's not an OL. If Taron Johnson plays it could be Marlowe. But most likely it's whoever they made the 53rd player. They also could re-sign McDermott if Nsekhe is out. Yeah, probably Duke. If Singletary plays they probably only dress 5. They already have 6 on roster, Duke would make 7. They probably sit 2. No way Duke plays in that scenario That's why I don't' think they promote him. I think the only way they promote to 53 is if he's going to suit up as one of the 46 on Sunday.

Coming soon to the list (when he's healthy): Devin Singletary. Ed Oliver could get there too.

From the Patriots media guide: DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH Richard Miller is in his 24th season with the Patriots. Miller joined the Patriots as Player Compensation Analyst in March 1996 and was promoted to Director of Research in 2001. Miller is responsible for managing the Patriots salary cap and player costs; player contract research and statistical trends; financial and strategic planning; and assisting the personnel department with draft, free agency and game advance analytics. A native of Hortonville, Wis., Miller graduated from Carroll University with bachelor’s degree in finance and economics in 1993 and from Brandeis University with a master’s degree in international economics in 1996. Miller also matriculated at Aberystwyth University in Wales and the National University of Singapore. Miller resides in Franklin, Mass., with his wife, Sharon, and two sons, Colin and Joshua. Matt Lindsay is in his third season as a data analyst for the New England Patriots. Lindsay joined the organization as an intern in January 2017 before joining the staff full time in June of 2018. Lindsay played wide receiver and tight end at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology where he graduated in 2017 with a degree in math and physics. Born and raised in Batavia, Ill., Lindsay graduated from Wheaton Academy where he played football. They also have an IT director that has been with them 20 years that maintains research databases, amongst other things. So they utilize analytics just like everyone else.

Somewhere in the 14-18 range for Barkley seems about right if evaluating strictly play on the field which is what the list focuses on. He is very valuable off the field as Allen's mentor, may be top 5 for that. I'd take him as a mentor over Manning, Bortles, Tyrod.

I am amazed by the continued fascination/overrating of Duke WIlliams. He was at best the #7 receiver for the Bills who have an average WR group, and no other team had any interest in him. So what is the entire NFL missing on this guy that all the TBD experts see other than a tall, slow WR with average hands? I would bet he never catches a pass in a regular season game for the Bills.

In general I think teams should go for it on 4th more often. I was really torn sitting at the game and we discussed prior to 3rd down too. If I'm going for it on 4th I spread and give Allen a read option type play similar to the 2 point conversion. That makes the D have to play both run and pass on 4th. Bottom line is you have to know prior to the game if you're going to go for it in that situation and exactly what you're going to run. If you feel really good about your 2 down plan then go for it if you don't kick and take the tie. And avoid delay of game penalties if you do kick (apologies to Ariens)....

I am surprised that Jacksonville is not in the bottom 5. I thought they would give Buffalo a run for #32 but they came in at #23. Buffalo's operating income at $82 million is higher than 12 teams and is essentially the same as 2 others (who are at $83 million), so they are middle of the pack. Low operating costs I guess. They also tied for the 2nd highest percentage increase in franchise value (19%).

If they are going to use 21 personnel so much I would like to see them put Yeldon in as the 2nd back instead of DiMarco and if they shift into a passing play have Yeldon or Singletary splitting out in a WR slot instead of DiMarco.