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Everything posted by billsfan89
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Just hope that the Steelers and Titans lose and the Bills can take care of the Pats*. That locks the two seed up and makes week 17 meaningless. Which is kind of where the Bills want to be, they can sit Josh, Tre, Dawkins, D.Williams and a few other key players giving the team a defacto bye week (in a year where there is no bye week for the two seed sadly.) The NFL is as much an act of attrition (which is why the Bills depth is so critical) as it is a contest of talent. Getting to avoid KC until the AFCCG, having all your games be at home for the first two round and possibly all rounds if KC gets knocked off, and getting to rest a lot of players the last week of the regular season is setting your team up about as good as you can possibly get without being the one seed.
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The Bills defense even at its lowest points was still ranked not that tragically in a lot of categories (They were typically ranked 18-22 in most categories, not good but not among the worst defenses in the league in anything besides rush defense.) They have played better and are ranking average or better in most key categories, I suspect if they finish strong they will be in the 12-17 range for most categories which is a high level of improvement to go up 5 to 10 rankings in most categories.
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Week 16 NFL Power Rankings
billsfan89 replied to machine gun kelly's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Ranked two in all but one of those rankings (and 3 in the other one)? Very reasonable and legit. This feels unreal. To go from a perennial 6-7 win team stuck in a deep playoff drought with cheap ownership (sorry Ralph) that can't catch a break to a respectable team and now to a contender is wild. Take care of the Pats and get that 2 seed. -
Makes sense but I wish the Bills got one more on there specifically Poyer. I think Hyde, Poyer, Beasley, Dawkins and D.Williams could all make it somewhat justifiably, if there is a "second team" or a reserve team anyone of those could make it. That is honestly the way it should be in my opinion. I think the players should receive an "All Star" honor for their efforts on the season but an actual game is completely unnecessary.
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Sad news...Kevin Greene dead at 58
billsfan89 replied to Dablitzkrieg's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
As a kid I had no idea this guy was a big time football player until I say him playing on the Panthers in 1998 or 99 when he was still putting up double digit sack seasons at age 37 and 38. He is 3rd all time in sacks in an era that wasn't top heavy in passing just yet. -
That depends on what the value of Jimmy G on a huge contract is? He had an excellent year in 2019 but didn't really do all that well in the games he played in 2020 (he wasn't bad but certainly not eye popping performances) and in 2018 he was hurt early and sitting on a 1-2 record with pedestrian numbers. Along with the fact that while he was 5-0 in 2017 he didn't really light the world on fire. He is on a pretty big deal as well. I think that if the number two pick is a top flight QB that trade isn't super outlandish although I think the 2022 pick being a 1st is outright unlikely as it likely would be a 2nd or 3rd. That all being said the 49ers are a pretty veteran team and I doubt they want to start over with a rookie QB while also bankrupting your draft picks for a draft and giving up a premium pick in a future draft.
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I think the Mahomes model of contracts where contracts will be taking up a percentage of the cap as opposed to a raw number will be the norm in these weird cap times. But I do agree that Mahomes will be an Aaron Rodgers type where pretty much no matter what they will be a 10+ win team that contends and wins playoff games. I also think KC will make the cap sacrifices on the defensive side of the ball as opposed to the offense. I think they would rather cut and let walk defensive players and keep the elite talent around him. That of course is going to lead to Mahomes having to win more shoot outs which is hard to do but he of course can do it with some regularity. The Bills luckily have one more year of Josh's rookie deal plus a 5th year option that will be steep but still keeps him under contract under market value (I think after 2021 is when they will have Josh's extension come in so they can lower the aav a bit by putting some money on that 5th year option.) But I also think McD will do the same thing as KC will do and load up on the offensive side draft and cap wise.
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Ex Bills TE Logan Thomas Quietly Having a Great Season
billsfan89 replied to JohnNord's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
At this point if John Brown gets back I view him as a nice complementary weapon. Brown is the burner, Beasley the slot machine and Diggs the number one. Knox, Davis, Kroft, Mac, and the RB's out of the backfield are all complementary weapons. So Knox this season doesn't have to be a huge factor he can still come along more slowly. But I think as Beasley and Brown get older in 2021 it might be time for Davis and Knox to be more of a factor in the passing game. -
Up 16 and the offense hung the defense out to dry. That's on Josh but 2019 was a growing year for him. The defense being asked to not give up anything when up 16 is unreasonable esp with a whole half left to play. Josh gets longer sustained drives and a TD in the third quarter and things are vastly different.
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Only Mahomes is a slam dunk but the only other player you could argue is Watson in my opinion. Russell Wilson has proven more in the playoffs but he is 32 and on a huge contract, give me Allen instead. Aaron Rodgers is the better player right now but is way older at age 37 and also on a massive deal. There aren't too many other QB's that are better. Watson is about the same age and is stuck on a turd team but could be argued has accomplished more and is just as skilled. Honestly outside of Mahomes I wouldn't want anyone else.
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This Thread is about Kyle Orton
billsfan89 replied to Brennan Huff's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Bills needed a competent QB to supplement an elite defense. That's what they got in Orton and it kind of worked since the team went 9-7. I think Orton would have done a little better had Spiller not gotten banged up again and he had a better O-line. -
Ex Bills TE Logan Thomas Quietly Having a Great Season
billsfan89 replied to JohnNord's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
My hope is that his hands issues are just an experience thing. He barely played in college and now is taking live rounds in the pros, there was going to be a rough transition. Hopefully a more normal off-season allows him to work with his coaches better and get his hands right. I think it is in part a mental and timing issue. Although I doubt he ever gets to be a "sure handed" TE, I think he can be a lot better and lessen his drops considerably. -
The one Jets fan I know really wanted them to get Lawrence and hopefully trade Darnold for a late 1st or early 2nd round pick plus maybe a mid round pick in 2022. He said that he wanted to see Darnold end up on a team like the Steelers that has a vet QB and a good system in front of him where he can sit for a year and then take over. The Jets would then have 5 selections in the first 65 picks (Their 1st, 2nd and 3rd, Seattle's 1st and a pick from trading Darnold) which he felt like along with the ***** ton of cap space they would have would make for a nice place for a new HC to build an offense around Lawrence. Personally I think Lawrence is going to go back to college. I am not sure he is too thrilled about the Jags or Jets (And honestly I would rather go to the Jets.) I think Lawrence who likely has loss of value insurance (so if his draft stock plummeted or he gets hurt he has fiscal security) is going to really examine either situation and use his leverage (going back to school while having insurance) to get into a situation in the pros he likes.
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Ex Bills TE Logan Thomas Quietly Having a Great Season
billsfan89 replied to JohnNord's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It is the equivalent of in the NBA a player putting up 20 points a game on a really bad team but the shot efficiency isn't that great. So the casual fan might see a guy who is averaging 20 a game and think he is good but he is only shooting 40% from the field and the team is terrible. I think Thomas has shown he can start in the league and might have been slightly better than what the Bills have but the numbers he would have had here would have been a lot lower because he simply isn't getting 90+ targets. -
Ex Bills TE Logan Thomas Quietly Having a Great Season
billsfan89 replied to JohnNord's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
They liked what they had in Knox/Kroft more. Generally speaking not sure if Thomas would have flourished here as he is a top 2 option for the WFT and soaks up a lot of targets from QB's who are constantly checking down. I think Thomas likely would have been a better player here but I don't think his numbers would be the same here. Hopefully in year 3 and to end this year Knox develops into the beast he shows potential to be. -
99.9% chance wk. 17 will matter to Bills
billsfan89 replied to The Red King's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
In my mind the difference between the 3 and 4 seed is huge. But the difference between the 2 and 3 seed is lackluster. Getting the 3 seed ensures that you don't have to play KC until the AFCCG. Getting the 2 seed does ensure that you get a home game if you win round 1 but my main path to the Super Bowl means avoiding KC until the AFCCG or hoping KC gets knocked off in the divisional round in an upset. The Steelers if they win tonight will likely be the competition for the 2 seed and while I would rather play them at home I don't really fear them in their current banged up and offensively limited state. -
If he is good to go play him with a limited snap count
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ESPN NFL Playoff Machine (Updated December 22nd)
billsfan89 replied to TSNBDSC's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The AFC is tough this year, no easy outs. Even Miami who I consider the weakest team is still well coached and has a strong defense. -
ESPN NFL Playoff Machine (Updated December 22nd)
billsfan89 replied to TSNBDSC's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It would be insufferable. This team needs to at the very least win a playoff game. Both for the psyche of the team and the fanbase.
