transplantbillsfan Posted September 6, 2021 Author Share Posted September 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, JerseyBills said: You'd be picking at the bottom of rd 2. You don't pick 1st each round Got it! Makes sense! It says it's a live standard draft... didn't know what that meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snafu Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, GunnerBill said: It is the points over replacement point as well though. Kind of easier to find consistent production in the 2nd tier of QBs. Especially as against backs. The way the the league is going now the pool of viable running backs thins out pretty fast because so few teams are run heavy with a clear #1 bellcow. I have always been a QB later guy though so I am probably not the guy to ask. This makes sense, yes, for the top RBs. But you’re also looking at points over replacement vs RBs who are just behind the top guys — so draft order is important there, too. I guess I’d go WR even over a bellcow, except maybe one who can also catch passes or isn’t on a bad team that has to throw a lot late in games. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbitmic Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 I picked 4th in both of my snake drafts this year, 10 team leagues. Draft 1 - 1st Kamara ... 2nd Diggs ... 5th Wilson Draft 2 - 1st Kamara ... 2nd Ridley ... 5th Rodgers Allen went in the 3rd both drafts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alphadawg7 Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said: In my league, passing TDs are 4 points while rushing and receiving TDs are 6 points. Considering the 30+ passing TDs we expect/hope Allen gets this season and the 5+ rushing TDs... why is he a bad pick at #1 exactly? You are thinking about it all wrong. Allen is a fantastic fantasy football QB no doubt, but its a terrible pick because he will be there later. Would you take a RB slated to go in the 2nd or 3rd round in the real NFL draft number 1 overall? Nope, and you shouldn't make the same mistake in fantasy football either. And the difference between the top 5 quarterbacks is fantasy is not that big. In a 10 team league, only 10 QB's start each week. Where as you need multiple RB's and WR's and the premium RB's especially go mostly in the first 2 rounds. If you take Allen first, you are going to have a weak stable of RB's and WR's overall...and that alone will kill your team. And if Allen doesn't make it to you with your second round pick, someone like Murray will be there who will put up comparable fantasy production anyway. But the RB's you get if you skip them in the first round will most likely not put up comparable fantasy production to the guy who passed up at number 1 overall. Fantasy is just a game of math. You need to create as many point advantages at each position and reduce point disadvantages at others as much as possible. Allen may end up being the top QB in fantasy, but his margin over next few may not be that big to justify the disadvantage in weekly points you are taking over the rest of your roster. And those weeks Allen doesn't have big weeks you are much more likely to lose because the lack of balance you sacrifice in your roster taking a QB first. Its simple really...if you want to be a fan playing fantasy, take Allen. If you want to increase your odds of winning fantasy football, taking any QB number 1 overall (or more importantly, over drafting your favorite players in general) is not a sound strategy, and will more often than not make your season more challenging. Nothing wrong with either approach, some people just want to play with their favorite players, and thats great if thats your reason. But I don't like losing, let alone losing money, so my approach is try and field the best team to win the league. PS: As good as Allen is, don't bank on another 8 rushing TD's. I think its plausible now that he is both too valuable and our run game should be improved to risk Allen running as much as they have in the past. So for me, I think his passing production increases and his rushing production and rushing TD's reduces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted September 7, 2021 Author Share Posted September 7, 2021 Oh well guys... I'm just a Bills fan playing fantasy. This is why I never play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted September 7, 2021 Author Share Posted September 7, 2021 FWIW... I picked Allen and Diggs with my first 2 picks... and Devin Singletary in the 4th round... and in the very late rounds I got Dawson Knox, Zach Moss and Gabriel Davis as my bench... along with former Bill Ryan Fitzpatrick... and Tyler Bass is my Kicker... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bangarang Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said: FWIW... I picked Allen and Diggs with my first 2 picks... and Devin Singletary in the 4th round... and in the very late rounds I got Dawson Knox, Zach Moss and Gabriel Davis as my bench... along with former Bill Ryan Fitzpatrick... and Tyler Bass is my Kicker... Not going to lie, this team is going to be very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulus Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 What about your second round pick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nucci Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 3 hours ago, transplantbillsfan said: FWIW... I picked Allen and Diggs with my first 2 picks... and Devin Singletary in the 4th round... and in the very late rounds I got Dawson Knox, Zach Moss and Gabriel Davis as my bench... along with former Bill Ryan Fitzpatrick... and Tyler Bass is my Kicker... I hope you're joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCofNC Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 I took allen at 11 overall because the impact backs and WRs were gone. He was clearly the best available and IDGAF what the experts say, a QB that drops 45 TDs is worth more than a RB who scores 15 in most scoring systems. Once you are out of the top 5 QBs the drop off is big in terms of scoring. With Maholmes off the board and 7Rbs gone, and Adams and Diggs off the board, I’m ok with taking the best available. I still wound up with a pretty stacked roster, not loving my RBs, but there wasn’t much left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hsker4life Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 I won’t touch a QB in the first 3 rounds (maybe even 4), and that’s even with me being in a league in which passing TDs count as 6 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VaMilBill Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 I want able to get Allen or Diggs. I’m not gonna lie I’m pretty disappointed. Normally I never draft Bills because up until last year no one has really had fantasy relevancy, with the exception of Fred Jackson. However, we finally have some fantasy studs and I miss out on those guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Had my first draft yesterday…12-team PPR, QB passing TDs worth 6, QB/2 RB/2 WR/TE/2 Flex/1 Superflex/D/K. Basically the Superflex position makes it a 2 QB league. Picking 10th, snake draft. One keeper; mine was Jefferson who I picked up as a FA last year. He counted as my 10th round pick! QBs went fast and furious, with Mahomes, Josh, and Lamont going in the 1st round. I grabbed Dak with my 2nd pick. Overall my draft was mediocre (6th out of 12 on a ranking site) but I do think I got a bit of a steal with Beasley in the 13th round. 2nd (and final) draft tomorrow night. 10-teams, also PPR, QB TDs worth 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sabres431 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 I got Allen in the 3rd round with pick 32. I picked first last year and drafted CMC, I wouldn't do that a second time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Call_Of_Ktulu Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 I picked 5th and I took Allen in the 3rd rd. Mahomes even went in the 3rd rd, you are at a huge disadvantage if you take a QB with your 1st pick If your only playing in a 50 to 100$ league do whatever u want. If you are playing in a 500$ with 10$ transactions and 40$ for trades don’t take a QB in the 1st rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted September 14, 2021 Author Share Posted September 14, 2021 So I just lost my very first fantasy match-up ever by 0.58 points in our Yahoo fantasy league. It came down to the Ravens defense for me tonight vs Justin Tucker for him. Fantasy interests made that game more interesting... not that it wasn't. If only Allen didn't lay an absolute egg... If only I didn't drop Deebo Samuel for Jarvis Landry because I saw Curtis Samuel was injured and out and stupidly got the 2 mixed up... Oh well... Onto the next match-up. How the heck does this fantasy stuff work once you lose, anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dma0034 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said: How the heck does this fantasy stuff work once you lose, anyway? Like NFL. Determined by record. Make sure you put in your waiver claims for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted September 14, 2021 Author Share Posted September 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, dma0034 said: Like NFL. Determined by record. Make sure you put in your waiver claims for next week I've been trying to reclaim Deebo but it's not allowing me, yet. Also, my backup QB was Fitz... so I'll likely have to replace him. Oh yeah... and the other thing that killed me was my 2 starting RBs were Singletary and Raheem Mostert... and of course Mostert gets injured early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dma0034 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said: I've been trying to reclaim Deebo but it's not allowing me, yet. Also, my backup QB was Fitz... so I'll likely have to replace him. Oh yeah... and the other thing that killed me was my 2 starting RBs were Singletary and Raheem Mostert... and of course Mostert gets injured early. RBs are tough. You'll have to target Mitchell for the 49ers after you get Samuel back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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