Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Orlando Tim said: The reason to change the scale on each graph to highlight the differences between the countries? That is unrelated to the scale but you did give me a reason. Yes, because the absolute number of deaths between hot and cold were a factor of 3 different. The differences for deaths in hot countries on the same scale would have been less visually apparent graphically. they'd already been presented numerically. ON THE FIRST PAGE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 hour ago, redtail hawk said: Yes, because the absolute number of deaths between hot and cold were a factor of 3 different. The differences for deaths in hot countries on the same scale would have been less visually apparent graphically. they'd already been presented numerically. ON THE FIRST PAGE! What is sad with your argument is that one of the topics we discuss in stats with students is all the ways that people can present real data while clearly trying to mislead, and one of big ones is messing with the scale on two separate graphs with same information. But I found another graph that supports your belief. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 12 hours ago, Orlando Tim said: I don't know if Lancet is considered a reliable source but this is pathetic. This kind of dishonesty is why people don't trust "experts" anymore, they leave out all of the real info to make a point. No they are not. Haven't been for decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Orlando Tim said: What is sad with your argument is that one of the topics we discuss in stats with students is all the ways that people can present real data while clearly trying to mislead, and one of big ones is messing with the scale on two separate graphs with same information. But I found another graph that supports your belief. Let's concentrate on one study at a time. The hot/cold study was published in an obscure branch of Lancet dealing with population health. And yes, Lancet's main journal is considered among the best and most widely read medical journals in the world. This particular article in this particular journal will be read by very few people except scientists in the field who can easily understand the data as presented and will read it critically. I suspect you also understand the meaning of the data but care not to acknowledge it. It's not intended to mislead the public but to inform the science community. Someone had to look very hard to find a tiny detail in a table that bears no impact on the findings of the study. Stop being obtuse. You look for what you hope to find and when you don't find it, you amplify some trivial data presentation method. If only you were as diligent in your interest in info on trump's crimes and how he devised them...Even if the authors were trying to mislead (and they weren't) it's nothing compared to the lies trump and MAGA's spout every day. Everything is not a conspiracy but Jan 6 was. Edited July 25, 2023 by redtail hawk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irv Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 When does the Demented Biden impeachment trial start? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 🎯 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 10 hours ago, redtail hawk said: Let's concentrate on one study at a time. The hot/cold study was published in an obscure branch of Lancet dealing with population health. And yes, Lancet's main journal is considered among the best and most widely read medical journals in the world. This particular article in this particular journal will be read by very few people except scientists in the field who can easily understand the data as presented and will read it critically. I suspect you also understand the meaning of the data but care not to acknowledge it. It's not intended to mislead the public but to inform the science community. Someone had to look very hard to find a tiny detail in a table that bears no impact on the findings of the study. Stop being obtuse. You look for what you hope to find and when you don't find it, you amplify some trivial data presentation method. If only you were as diligent in your interest in info on trump's crimes and how he devised them...Even if the authors were trying to mislead (and they weren't) it's nothing compared to the lies trump and MAGA's spout every day. Everything is not a conspiracy but Jan 6 was. We won't agree because we are truly arguing two different things. You are arguing that the data was accurate, which is true. I am showing you that this kind of presentation is improper. If I accept that no malfeasance was intentional then the next question is what is the purpose of the table at all? It is beyond useless, simply show the raw numbers instead of using the bars. The table is at very best poorly done to the point that it is worthless in that context, since a table is supposed to make it easier to compare not more difficult. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCal Deek Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Orlando Tim said: We won't agree because we are truly arguing two different things. You are arguing that the data was accurate, which is true. I am showing you that this kind of presentation is improper. If I accept that no malfeasance was intentional then the next question is what is the purpose of the table at all? It is beyond useless, simply show the raw numbers instead of using the bars. The table is at very best poorly done to the point that it is worthless in that context, since a table is supposed to make it easier to compare not more difficult. Maybe this belongs in the Covid thread but was the hypothesis here that the virus did better in cold weather because people were more apt to be closed up, together, inside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said: Maybe this belongs in the Covid thread but was the hypothesis here that the virus did better in cold weather because people were more apt to be closed up, together, inside? The main premise was what kills people more as a main factor, hot or cold? The final tally was more than 10:1 cold killed more but the graph was made to look like the numbers were kinda similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 26 minutes ago, Orlando Tim said: The main premise was what kills people more as a main factor, hot or cold? The final tally was more than 10:1 cold killed more but the graph was made to look like the numbers were kinda similar. Nope. It was 3:1. You’re an idiot. U teach stats. God help your students Edited July 25, 2023 by redtail hawk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 37 minutes ago, redtail hawk said: Nope. It was 3:1. You’re an idiot. U teach stats. God help your students Are we looking at the same table? The closest ratio is Croatia and they are still above 3:1(less than 40 to more than 150) Seriously where are you pulling your numbers from? Edited July 25, 2023 by Orlando Tim 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Orlando Tim said: Are we looking at the same table? The closest ratio is Croatia and they are still above 3:1(less than 40 to more than 150) Seriously where are you pulling your numbers from? Read the actual numbers here https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(23)00023-2/fulltext. They assume serious readers do that before staring at a graph on page 76…and misinterpreting it Edited July 25, 2023 by redtail hawk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Just now, redtail hawk said: Read the actual numbers here https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(23)00023-2/fulltext. They assume serious readers do that before staring at a graph on page 76… Are you telling me the chart is not of the numbers from the report? What are the numbers on the chart from? Your insulting me and then telling me that the charts and raw numbers are not the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 1 minute ago, Orlando Tim said: Are you telling me the chart is not of the numbers from the report? What are the numbers on the chart from? Your insulting me and then telling me that the charts and raw numbers are not the same. They are the same. You’re digging deeper. Recall that the x axis is different for cold deaths Edited July 25, 2023 by redtail hawk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, redtail hawk said: They are the same. You’re digging deeper. Recall that the x axis is different for cold deaths I am not digging- the cold deaths in Croatia is listed at more than 150 the hot deaths is less than 40, how the hell is that not greater than 3:1? And that is the smallest ratio. Ireland is more than 150 for cold and looks like 3 for hot, how are you getting a 3:1 ratio overall? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Callahan Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 “There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics” https://venngage.com/blog/misleading-graphs/ is a real basic explanation. https://ecampusontario.pressbooks.pub/bio16610w18/chapter/how-graph-misrepresents-data/ "Truncated graph" "This is the most common way of data manipulation. A truncated graph usually involves manipulation of the axis to make something not significant at all look like a huge difference." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chris farley said: “There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics” https://venngage.com/blog/misleading-graphs/ is a real basic explanation. https://ecampusontario.pressbooks.pub/bio16610w18/chapter/how-graph-misrepresents-data/ "Truncated graph" "This is the most common way of data manipulation. A truncated graph usually involves manipulation of the axis to make something not significant at all look like a huge difference." We already discussed that, but that would require intent and I can't prove that. I am not sure what his point is at this time besides pretending that a table has a purpose beyond helping people look at data quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 32 minutes ago, Orlando Tim said: I am not digging- the cold deaths in Croatia is listed at more than 150 the hot deaths is less than 40, how the hell is that not greater than 3:1? And that is the smallest ratio. Ireland is more than 150 for cold and looks like 3 for hot, how are you getting a 3:1 ratio overall? Did you look at the total raw numbers in the ABSTRACT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Media beg Republicans to ‘move on’ from Hunter Biden – because they know scandal is serious by Jonathan Turley “I wonder after this plea happens if you would advise your party to move on?” That question from CBS’s “Face the Nation” host Margaret Brennan to Republican presidential candidate Chris Christie was raised just days before a former business associate of Hunter Biden, Devon Archer, gives potentially explosive testimony to a House committee in the Biden corruption scandal. The media’s desire to “move on” from the scandal is reaching an almost frantic level, as millions in foreign payments and dozens of corporate shell companies are revealed, and incriminating emails are released. https://nypost.com/2023/07/24/media-beg-republicans-to-move-on-from-hunter-biden-because-they-know-the-scandal-is-serious/ . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, redtail hawk said: Did you look at the total raw numbers in the ABSTRACT Are the numbers the same on the abstract as the table? I am doing this on my phone and the columns don't stay lined up in the abstract. If the abstract has different numbers then the table then the table is a straight lie, if they are the same then I am correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Orlando Tim said: Are the numbers the same on the abstract as the table? I am doing this on my phone and the columns don't stay lined up in the abstract. If the abstract has different numbers then the table then the table is a straight lie, if they are the same then I am correct. Thank you for giving me the opportunity to show why "doing your own research" is a very bad idea. btw, there are no columns in the abstract. OOPS! Edited July 25, 2023 by redtail hawk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Chris farley said: “There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics” https://venngage.com/blog/misleading-graphs/ is a real basic explanation. https://ecampusontario.pressbooks.pub/bio16610w18/chapter/how-graph-misrepresents-data/ "Truncated graph" "This is the most common way of data manipulation. A truncated graph usually involves manipulation of the axis to make something not significant at all look like a huge difference." Do you mean this line? "Across the 854 urban areas in Europe, we estimated an annual excess of 203 620 (empirical 95% CI 180 882–224 613) deaths attributed to cold and 20 173 (17 261–22 934) attributed to heat" which is more than 10:1 ratio? Or is there something else? Seriously where did you get 3:1? I had assumed you meant the tables inside the report since NOTHING shows a 3:1 ratio as you claimed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Callahan Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 11 minutes ago, Orlando Tim said: Do you mean this line? "Across the 854 urban areas in Europe, we estimated an annual excess of 203 620 (empirical 95% CI 180 882–224 613) deaths attributed to cold and 20 173 (17 261–22 934) attributed to heat" which is more than 10:1 ratio? Or is there something else? Seriously where did you get 3:1? I had assumed you meant the tables inside the report since NOTHING shows a 3:1 ratio as you claimed. I just noticed the chart was misleading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 TRUTH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Keep Archer away from Barry's compound in MV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 7 hours ago, redtail hawk said: Nope. It was 3:1. You’re an idiot. U teach stats. God help your students Where did the 3:1 number come from? I am honestly trying to figure that part out, I said 10:1 based on the overall numbers and you called me an idiot, where did the 3:1 come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 5 hours ago, Orlando Tim said: Do you mean this line? "Across the 854 urban areas in Europe, we estimated an annual excess of 203 620 (empirical 95% CI 180 882–224 613) deaths attributed to cold and 20 173 (17 261–22 934) attributed to heat" which is more than 10:1 ratio? Or is there something else? Seriously where did you get 3:1? I had assumed you meant the tables inside the report since NOTHING shows a 3:1 ratio as you claimed. 203,620/20,173 is greater than 10:1. Maybe with new math it's 3:1 (not that a threefold higher incidence of cold versus heat deaths isn't still significant). Edited July 25, 2023 by Doc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
All_Pro_Bills Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 hour ago, BillsFanNC said: This is how ABC news positioned the story: Republicans on the committee have long claimed that President Biden was more involved in his son's business dealings than he has disclosed -- and Monday's interview with Archer will likely be the latest attempt for Republicans to back up those claims. During his 2020 campaign Biden told reporters, "I have never discussed with my son or my brother or anyone else, anything having to do with their businesses." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 7 hours ago, Orlando Tim said: I am not digging- the cold deaths in Croatia is listed at more than 150 the hot deaths is less than 40, how the hell is that not greater than 3:1? And that is the smallest ratio. Ireland is more than 150 for cold and looks like 3 for hot, how are you getting a 3:1 ratio overall? Eating major crow. You are correct. I'm slipping...But kudos for not yielding. I like your spunk kid! Edited July 25, 2023 by redtail hawk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDHillFan Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, redtail hawk said: Eating major crow. You are correct. I'm slipping...But kudos for not yielding. I like your spunk kid! You must feel like a real dumbass after the way you carried on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Just now, JDHillFan said: You must feel like a real dumbass after the way you carried on. Piling on...Mea culpa, Mea culpa, Mea maxima Culpa. Tear me a new one. Your one and only chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDHillFan Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Just now, redtail hawk said: Your one and only chance. Today. Maybe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 minute ago, JDHillFan said: Today. Maybe. Not enough coffee or maybe too many ciders last night, and there are all these things, all these things running round my head...I keed. Well, there kinda are but not in a strange way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDHillFan Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, redtail hawk said: these things running round my head... Something other than MAGA? Liar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, JDHillFan said: Something other than MAGA? Liar. Good shot...try harder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaCrispy Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts