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How Safe Are Coach McDermott and GM Beane?

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Interesting tidbit from WGR...according to Jerry White there is a prop bet that places Coach McDermott as one of the 5 coaches most likely to get fired.  They gave him 1-5 odds of getting fired.  I know little about better but I am considering betting my life savings against it.

 

IMO, the Bills can go 0-16 and there’s no way Coach is getting axed.  There are a plethora of reasons.  The first is practicality.  In his first year McDermott led the Bills to the playoffs. Period.  That was unthinkable a few years ago, and breaking that streak was huge for both Coach and this franchise.  

 

Second are the Pegulas.  The love Coach and treat him like family.  They gave him a lot of power and authority and he delivered. 

 

The third is continuity.  The Pegulas are conscious of their reputation of getting rid of coaches.  They also know the history of the Bills.  Terry is rumored to have consultants to discuss business with and they will preach continuity as well.  

 

The last is that McDermott and Beane were probably very clear in the time their “process” would take.  I have no doubt that Terry gave Coach his word that he was committed to five years and would give him some time.

 

Either way, I’d put the odds if Coach McDermottt getting fired at 5%.  Jerry White said he feels McDermott is one of the safest coaches in the NFL.  I would agree.  What say you?

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Not a chance either get fired this year no matter how the season goes.

 

0%

 

None

 

Nada

 

Zilch

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Fired? Not a chance. Jailed for choking out some member of the media for asking the same question 36 times in a row? 47% chance.

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Outside of a player revolt, both jobs are safe through next year and will remain safe after that if we show improvement. 

 

Anyone saying otherwise has no idea what’s going on.  

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Ain't happening. they're rebuilding. last season bought them some time. He'll survive 2 more years before that becomes a thought

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3 minutes ago, Bangarang said:

Not a chance either get fired this year no matter how the season goes.

 

0%

 

None

 

Nada

 

Zilch

I’m trying to find that prob bet but can’t figure it out.  I want to be $5K

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3 minutes ago, BuffaloRush said:

I’m trying to find that prob bet but can’t figure it out.  I want to be $5K

You need to bet more.  Really not worth it for only 1K

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15 minutes ago, PeterDude said:

IMO they get this season and the next at minimum.

Great avatar!

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Right now, this looks like one of the most poorly managed teams in the NFL, both in terms of identifying and retaining talent and managing the salary cap. I guess you have to put that on the GM more than the coach, but the talent part is pretty egregious on both sides. 

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We need to remember that if/when there is a HC/GM opening, Buffalo is always a very hard sell.  There's a very short line of people waiting to come to Buffalo as either HC or GM.  That's how/why we have had such a string of losers along the way.

 

Having said that, I hope they are both wildly successful!

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If crap hit the fan over the next couple of seasons, could Beane fire McD?

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Just now, skibum said:

Right now, this looks like one of the most poorly managed teams in the NFL, both in terms of identifying and retaining talent and managing the salary cap. I guess you have to put that on the GM more than the coach, but the talent part is pretty egregious on both sides. 

 

They created the high dead cap intentionally as part of the overall plan moving forward with 2019 as the year they spend to acquire better talent via UFA and the draft.

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Sounds like someone wants something to happen that ain't gonna happen

 

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Earliest he'd get fired is near the end of next season. Pegulas will have signed off on this rebuild so they knew there was a good chance this was going to be a down year. Next year will be the money year. If McBeane can't improve the roster and they wind up whiffing on Allen, there could be some fire the coach buzz going into the final few games. I still doubt they'd do it, but you never know what gets said or how things play out behind the scenes. Three years is enough time to determine whether your new coach/GM have the goods IMO.

Edited by VW82
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Next year starts the evaluation clock on the McBeane era.  They will get two years (2019 and 2020) to show substantial progress.  The bar will be pretty high -- like double digit wins by 2020. Considering that hasn't been accomplished yet this century--that's a fair standard.

 

 

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2 minutes ago, VW82 said:

Earliest he'd get fired is near the end of next season. Pegulas will have signed off on this rebuild so they knew there was a good chance this was going to be a down year. Next year will be the money year. If McBeane can't improve the roster and they wind up whiffing on Allen, there could be some fire the coach buzz going into the final few games. I still doubt they'd do it, but you never know what gets said or how things play out behind the scenes. Three years is enough time to determine whether your new coach/GM have the goods IMO.

 

Exactly the right take.

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2 minutes ago, Marv's Neighbor said:

We need to remember that if/when there is a HC/GM opening, Buffalo is always a very hard sell.  There's a very short line of people waiting to come to Buffalo as either HC or GM.  That's how/why we have had such a string of losers along the way.

 

Having said that, I hope they are both wildly successful!

 

Do you really feel that was true in 2015?  Our D the previous year was #4 in the NFL, and there was some talent on the team.  I remember there being a fair bit of interest.

Likewise 2017, still good bit of talent on the roster, seemed to be a good bit of interest.

 

I think the interest goes with the talent on the team.  If Allen and Edmunds look promising, there would be interest.  Otherwise, McBeane have scraped the talent cupboard pretty bare, so not.

 

There are only 32 of these jobs in the world, so it's not as though coaches can afford to be so picky about what city they're in.  They have to be realistic about their chances for success, though (see above)

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How safe are the fans after one loss ?

Image result for nervous gif
Edited by THE SLAMMER
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this is a 5 year deal IMO. Anything less than that is just another tear down, new scheme, flush the next few years down the toilet. This franchise is desperate for continuity at the GM and HC spots. 

 

 

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27 minutes ago, Johnny Hammersticks said:

Mcbeane’s jobs might be among the safest in the NFL, IMO.

I agree.  He gets next year too.  If the Bills aren't improved by then, him and Beane are in trouble

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