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Projecting wins a losses as of today


dayman

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Any given Sunday of course...but lets take a look and be fairly conservative:

 

v. NYJ (W)
@CAR (L)
v. DEN (W)
@ATL (W)

Nice Start to the season, we're 3-1 who would have thought! Now ... moving forward:

 

@CIN (W)
v. Bucs (L)
v. OAK (L)
@NYJ (W)
v. NO (W)
@LAC (W)
@KC (L)
v. NE (L)
v. Indy (W)
v. MIA (W)
@NE (L)
@MIA (W)

Gave us an L to every team that is likely to beat us and took the W for every team that basically sucks. On top that ... I think we could easily take 1 of those back to back games at home v. Bucs and Oak (Carr is hurt now so we play EJ)...we may split with the Pats given their issues...those possibilities give us the flexibility to drop two games to crap...if the Chargers and Indy somehow beat us (just randomly picking them based on having the best QBs of the bad teams we play assuming Luck is back).

 

That said...Miami will have likely given up by December...Indy will probably be in tank mode (that franchise is known to tank if it's a lost season)...the Jets are hopeless...Cinci is as bad as advertised (forget about a beating against the Browns it means nothing)...we should kill the Saints we are a matchup nightmare for them...

 

Lost of ways to look at it but 10 wins looks entirely possible. 9 looks almost likely unless we melt down...this is the wonder of having beaten Denver and Atlanta...what started off as real tough schedule is lightening up now as we look forward.

Edited by dayman
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I suspect some of both.

 

 

I'm impressed so far, but I'm not extrapolating out to 12-4. Still happy with 9-7. We are thin and injuries may hurt us down the road. Picking individual games is like picking the lottery numbers, to me.

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I suspect some of both.

 

 

I'm impressed so far, but I'm not extrapolating out to 12-4. Still happy with 9-7. We are thin and injuries may hurt us down the road. Picking individual games is like picking the lottery numbers, to me.

 

Like I said, any given Sunday...but looking ahead a little is ok. Cinci has real problems...and Derek Carr is going to be out a while. We can easily run this 5-2 and roll into Jets/Saints/Chargers suck fest that could stretch it to 7 or 8 wins real quick...do that and you're looking at 2 juicy December games versus a Dolphins squad that has given up by then and whala!!! 9 or 10 wins. Just like that without really beating any good teams from here on out.

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Are we going to lose to Oakland with EJ at the helm?

 

I can't begin to tell you how sad that would make me. I get the desire to look forward, but I couldn't have guessed this beginning so I won't try to guess the ending. I'm impressed with the general direction, so I'll be happy with that...

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I see them beating Cincinnati and the jets with two more against the hapless fish. Then they need to find three more

 

Right, and that's basically the point of this thread. You take that...then you look at:

 

-home v. EJ Manuel

-home v. average at best Saints that typically suck on the road

-at an 0-4 Chargers team in meltdown mode

-home v. a 1-3 Colts team that's only win was barely beating the Browns

 

I can find 3 in those 4 right there pretty easily. Take all 4 and we buy some breathing room to drop one against a Cinci/Jets/Phins matchup.

 

My only point is...given that we beat the Broncos and ATL our schedule is flipping and there's reasonably wiggle room to get to 10 wins without even beating anyone good moving forward.

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Lets focus on Cincinnati!! Then we get a bye and can speculate about Tampa.

 

If it were our job to focus on preparing to play Cinci I would agree but we're all just kind sitting on the coach with our laptops so...I think it'll be ok if we do this now.

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I can't begin to tell you how sad that would make me. I get the desire to look forward, but I couldn't have guessed this beginning so I won't try to guess the ending. I'm impressed with the general direction, so I'll be happy with that...

 

Just going off his projection, there is no way we would lose that. Almost every player in the front 7 knows his weaknesses.

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Just going off his projection, there is no way we would lose that. Almost every player in the front 7 knows his weaknesses.

 

Everyone on planet earth knows EJ's weaknesses. He can't really run, can't throw accurately, and doesn't get rid of the ball. These are obvious to all.

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All that matters is the next game. Cincinnati will be a tough game. They are not as bad as their record may indicate, and the Bills are not good enough that anyone should assume any team they face is a given to be a victory. Still, I'm on cloud nine that the Bills are 3 -1.

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EJ Manuel is not coming into Buffalo and winning, other than that, I don't like doing this because week by week so much can change.

I will say I love our matchup against Cincy and TB in Buffalo after our bye, I see us at 5-1 , past that anything is possible

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EJ Manuel is not coming into Buffalo and winning, other than that, I don't like doing this because week by week so much can change.

I will say I love our matchup against Cincy and TB in Buffalo after our bye, I see us at 5-1 , past that anything is possible

Carr isnt going to miss more than a game or two

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