MJS

And what's the point of cutting him? He's a 2nd year player. Maybe let him continue to develop while fixing the blocking and running schemes. He is cheap and young. Keeping him on the roster does not prevent you from drafting or signing another running back. Send them to camp and let them compete.

Unfortunately he has let the stardom get to his head. He used to be quiet and humble, or at least that was how it seemed from the outside. Now he's drinking his own kool-aid.

So there's a chance ...

He hasn't done anything special on the field in 7 years... They are going to give up eventually.

I don't think Ertz is that good, honestly.

He is on the decline and always injured. Why would we want him?

Biggest cry baby in NFL history.

Every season is different. Our team will be different and all those other teams will be too. But I don't think it will get anywhere near as tough a schedule as this past season was. And I expect the Bills will be playing with a chip on their shoulder all season.

It affects all of the teams equally. Let each team figure out their own cap situations.

Having elite players is not what that metric is about. Drafting well does not mean that you have a bunch of home grown elite players. You can draft a bunch of average starters and still have good AV relative to other teams. Another team could draft one or two elite players but the rest of their draft picks could be out of the league. I think it makes perfect sense for the most successful teams, by wins and losses, to also be the teams who draft the best. And if you look at the teams on the top of the list, I think they do draft well and those teams are respected around the league for their ability to draft and develop players. Beane and the Buffalo Bills certainly get a ton of respect around the league as well. I think where the metrics might be inflated are actually for the bad teams. They draft players and they start even if they suck because those bad teams have no other choice. So those bad players perhaps get a higher score even though they likely would not be playing at all or even make the roster of some of the good teams. And they try to account for that.

What if lightning struck Tyreek Hill because God was angry that he is such a douche?

I've done my research. AV is a good metric. They do their best to isolate each player. Obviously that's not always possible. But their grades match closely, in my opinion, to what we see on the field from these players. And I'm not talking only about Bills players. I haven't actually looked at the grades for Bills players much. But I have looked league wide and at grades for historical players.

I remember this from before and really liked your methodology then. I believe we had a conversation about AV used to show the quality of free agent pickups over the same timeframe and I believe you showed that Buffalo shows well with their free agents too, correct? So, great at drafting and great at free agent signings as far as value added is concerned. Beane is clearly a great GM and if he keeps it up he'll be in the hall of fame one day. I think people tend to look at the busts and ignore some of the successes. And they also look at their team in a vacuum, not understanding that EVERY team in the league has draft picks that bust and free agents that don't work out. People assume that the average success rate is much higher than it actually is. Good stuff. I'd like to see this analysis continued for future seasons. I think you are dead wrong. What metrics are you using to back this up? You are just going by your gut. You are assuming a higher success rate for the NFL than is actual. You are also making huge assumptions with the AV metric that may or may not be true (and are likely false).

Any contract will be an extension. It will be added to the end of his current contract and the 5th year option. The cap implications won't hurt until those extension years, as far as I understand it. Allen's cap hit will still be low for the remainder of his current contract. That's what I've heard, at least.

Hmm. Wade does have elite speed. Hopefully he has worked on his pass blocking the last two years. That's the real hurdle for him.

Rex and Rob know their stuff. Not sure about Rob, but Rex's issue is being lazy and unwilling to adapt. McDermott puts in a ton of work. He is constantly trying to get better and get the team better. Rex is nothing like that. He doesn't have the drive to succeed like McDermott does. I think NFL offenses caught up and figured out how to attack his defense. And he didn't adapt.

Diggs already got a pay raise and is under contract for 3 more seasons.

Lot's of guys will be signed by their current teams, so we won't even know who will be available at this point.

Yes. They are college players. If we want to draft one, awesome. But we can't expect for them to come in and be Kamara.

Maybe... But it was eye opening to me just how good KC is. And it got me a little worried that even though we have a really good team, KC is not going away and it is going to be an extreme struggle to get past them.

Singletary is puzzling to me. I really expected a big year out of him. He looked pretty dang good last season. Not sure what happened. Our oline really regressed in run blocking too, for some reason. Daboll needs to fix that and get more creative with the run game. I'm all for trying to trade for or draft a big time running back. A guy with speed and explosiveness.

Sticky fingers grabbing jerseys.

Our missing link is the best dual threat running back in the league who set the single game rushing TD record and may be a hall of famer one day? Yeah, I'd think a player like that would help. But maybe it's unrealistic to expect to get someone like that.

I mean, he played only a few snaps. It's hard to really compare them.

Apparently you don't know that Mahomes is like the best QB ever when blitzed? He is unstoppable when you blitz him. He showed it in the Bills game the few times we blitzed him. He burned us bad. Beating Mahomes requires PRESSURE without the blitz.