Mat68

Who knows where they go. They spent a high pick on Campbell last year. I dont think you bring in Rivers and go young all around him.

Makes sense. Either pulling a Clowney esche signing or extending White.

Right thats a future, its also easily replaced if buffalo trades down at any point day 2 or start of day 3.

The draft picks Buffalo gave up equates to a draft day trade up from 22 to 18. For a pressumed #1 that filled a massive void on the roster is a complete no brainer. The picks sound like alot but in reality the 5th and 6th picks are throw ins. Im not sure the NFL talking heads are even aware how those picks were accumulated. If NE was in on Diggs using their pick in the package is 3d chess and histerical. Beane turned 2 lineman who where not making the team last fall into pieces used to secure a # 1 wr. I think if the media told the whole story Buffalo comes out ahead. The only real question was 22 too much? Will that player be the caliber of Diggs? Its debatable. With Brady gone the division is wide open for the taking. Diggs completes the 11 personal and allows the weapons to slide into proper roles that better stresses a defense. Overall im not that impressed with highend depth of talent in this class. I feel by 22 you are essentially in the second round.

For who?

I dont see a rd 2 Rb as a back up. In my eyes its a co starter. Whoever can greater impact the offense is the direction. Whoever the #2 Rb is they are still going to be touching the ball 15 plus times a game.

The offense needs playmakers. They are set at the top 3 wr spots. They showed creativity to get every drop of production out of Mckenzie the last 2 years. If they put a dynamic athlete in that role while developing them into their system it makes a whole lot of sense to me. With Diggs the Bills are not tied to any type of Wr as a need. I do think the best weapon available at 54 needs to be the pick. Whether thats wr, te, or rb.

Part of me wonders if Bill just takes all of his years of clout and goodwill in NE and cashes all of it in this year. He tanks and puts NE in a position to draft Lawerence. Literally, going into the year with the Qb room that netted the browns 0 win s points to that outcome. Going from the top of the league to the bottom the year you let Brady walk takes massive brass you know whats.

With Moss improving his times he very well could be the target. His miss tackle % was very similar to Singeltary.

I dont see it. This isnt 08. NE doesnt have the best roster in the NFL. They will be haunted by getting cheap with Brady. 25 mil a year? NE couldnt do better? Very bizarre... I think Bill and Mcdaniels are feeling themsevles too much. Very arogent letting the Goat walk with noting but career backups and a day 3 Qb on the roster.

Lets not forget Haskins is why Burrow transfered in the first place. If im Cincy I trade out build a foundation. Have a dumpster fire at Qb in 2020 and put myself in position for Lawrence in 21.

For 20 years the Patriots could set game plans and build around the premise they would win the turnover battle. Brady even early on protected the football. Mcdaniels on offense was operating under the terms of being able to solve defensive problems using calculius. Almost their own language of sorts. Brady got them into the right play and knew the right throw. It was taking candy from a baby. Moving forward they are going to meet similar problems armed with addition and subtraction. Whoever plays Qb not only are they not as good throwing the football as Brady they are waaayyyyyyy behind the mental side. The Patriots are stuck in the situation Buffalo was when Kelly retired. They are armed with a good defense. The weapons on offense are aged. The holes and mistakes the organization have made over the last 20 years will apear when they dont have the Qb covering everything up.

Depends on the recignition and response to the issue.

Even though he blew up the combine I think there is strong chance at Taylor being available at 54. With the incredible amount of usage at Wisconsin I think that will scare teams away. At 54 im ok with him because he will share the load with Singletary and he is on a reasonable rookie deal. He is the most produuctive and most athletic running back in the class. I think Buffalo runs to the podium and may even trade up for him in rd 2.

Diggs is as perfect pairing for the offense and Allen. With the NE principles that made Welker and Edleman famous, Diggs will be given freedom on jerk routes to get open. Beasley did non conventional moves to get open amd Allen found him alot. With Allens arm strength he can allow some freedom to Diggs and throw it to a spot. Diggs is also tops in the league since he entered in deep ball efficency. Having an elite deep threat is something Allen has always needed to stretch the whole fieild. Diggs moves all the other passing options down to an ideal position. Brown as the secondary option, Cole third and Knox forth really allows them to flurish with less attention.

Right now with the current state of travel I suspect the FA spending to be done. Unable to kick tires on older backs or players with checkered pasts off the field or injury seems like a calculation Mcbeane wont make. I dont recall many June 1 designated cuts at the start of FA, so the possiblitly of a secondary FA period is very real imo.

Im not arguing Allen hasnt been good at it. For everything thats required from an NFL starting qb deep accuracy is pretty low on the list. The NFL average for the play is 46.6 percent. Yes, Allen was below average. I think I gave reasons why a handful of plays could reasonably fall the other way. If that happens Allen would be at or above league average. A total of 709 accurate deep passes (ACC) were thrown by 35 qualifying quarterbacks in 2018, an average of 19.0. The total amount of attempts came to 1,520, while the average was 43.4. The average accuracy percentage was 46.6 percent, and in this study 19 quarterbacks finished above that percentile.Jul 26, 2019 Football Outsiders › 2019 › 2018-1... 2018-19 Deep Ball Project | Football Outsiders

Where to begin? Well im not just spewing non sense to start an internet arguement. Im not writing some peer review journal either. You think im lying help yourself to prove it. Josh Allen year 1 had terrible weapons. Im not impressed with the ability of our recievers to for lack of a better phrase help out Allen. For every great play Knox made he missed easy ones. For as fast as Jon Brown is for his career his deep ball win rate is much lower than you would expect. With Allen, those that have been opposed to him from the start have seemed to move the goal posts with him. Hes too inaccurate. They got him intermidate weapons he is tops in the league in intermidiate passing. This year Jimmy G lead the league in many deep ball categories, while also throwing some of the fewest league wide. Heck Mahomes isnt top 5 and to the naked eye hes by far the best. With everything that ive seen with Allen if deep ball efficentency is the only concern then Buffalo is in great shape. You feel different thats ok. Imo Diggs solves alot of problems the passing atrack had last year. His deep ball catch rate has comsistently been high with multiple Qbs throwing him the ball. Bridewater, Bradford, Kennum and Cousins.

Every Qb misses them..... Even Mahomes.

Did he miss throws? Yes. Am I concered that he a has a fatal flaw? No. The point about his recievers. Unless the ball landed inbewteen the numbers in their arms they didnt catch it. For 1 that was uncatchable their been 1 where they should have. During last offseason PFF did a podcast on deep balls. Just look at the numbers. The league leaders are under 20 completion. So 5 to 6 completions equates to 25% thats a big swing.

I think a servicable De is worth more than a servicable Rb. Espically, a Rb with an injury history.

What im saying is deep accuracy is a violtile stat year over year. Players that are worst routinley lead the league the following year and visa verse. Who did Allen have to throw to the last 2 years? Having Diggs outside greatly improves the success of his deep ball. For everything Jon Brown is, what he is not is a consistent deep ball guy. For his career he is below the NFL in catch rate of deep throws. Diggs on the other hand has been near the tops in the league in this category his entire career. With 5 to 6 plays being the difference from tops to worst, having Diggs on the recieving end of those plays will greatly improve. Mind you the guys Allen the past 2 years was throwing these balls to. He didnt have Tareek Hill or Micheal Thomas. It was Benjimen, Holmes, Mckenzie, Jones, and Foster I like the odds of him improving. Because they manned up across the board and no one got open.

Browns lack of route running cost them the Baltimore game. This is a game where not having a #1 wr costed them the game. Not a single Wr was able to consistently get open. Down the strech he hit his fair share of deep throws. Diggs and Brown with Allens arm stength is going to stress defense.

At this point they would be spending money on a guy who will see the feild in a limited basis. I think drafting a guy makes way more sense. They can learn the position and have a package of plays each week. In the draft I can see them gping multiple ways. Claypool or Pittman big slot or x wrs in the short term redzone threat. Hamler as a possible weapon and future replacememt to beasley in the slot. Finally a Shaunalt or Bowden type who can be a playmaker and future outside wr. I think day 2 those are all strong possiblites and imo will have the most value when they are on the clock.

Because, the single largest area NFL qbs need to win at is the short to intermediate. 0 to 20 yards is where the NFL passing games win or lose. Allen went from bottom of the NFL to to top 5 in year 2. That progression paired with his improved Td to int ratio all shows Allen developing into an above average qb. Deep throws are low percentage. Connecting 5 to 6 more a season is the difference from bottom to tops in the league. Adding Diggs will greatly improve the offense in this area. Having 2 guys outside who can run past defenders and run full route trees will create more oppurtunites down the feild.