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He doesn't really move the needle. Like a young Clowney, but injured. Similar "motors."
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Bills sign Taron Johnson to 3-year $31 million extension
Richard Noggin replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
The irony. -
The calculus here is compelling in that not every top prospect pans out in the league, obviously. So typically MORE shots at it is better. While in your hypothetical, Thomas has the traits and production/pedigree of a blue-chipper, Keon Coleman is intriguing enough to warrant consideration with the additional value behind him. I've begun to fancy Coleman recently, alongside Mitchell and Worthy, as options at 28. It's more interesting the more I think about it.
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On one hand I generally agree that this kind of distribution makes sense IF the Bills aren't eager to upgrade some of the existing position group pipelines. However, I'd like to suggest that the Bills could/should consider upgrading the talent pool at RB, WR, OL, DL, CB, and S. The roster can DEFINITELY benefit from adding two safety prospects, potentially bumping Monsieur Hamlin. The presumed starting LG is not beyond challenge, nor is Alec Anderson's hold on backup/flex IOL. Tommy Doyle and Ryan Van Demark are not necessarily unimpeachable as OT depth/prospects. And while the Bills should 100% add a #2 RB prospect, they could also replace Johnson as well (I see better ways to spend draft capital, for sure, but who knows). DT arguably NEEDS 2 guys, and DE arguably needs 1. LB to me is our best pipeline, given the youth and promise of Bernard, Williams, and Spector (and of course Milano maybe the most impactful LB in the league when healthy). Then of course there is WR.
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Agree that trading UP for a WR, more than a handful of picks, is unlikely and unwise. Especially with such a deep WR pool. Has Beane ever traded BACK in the 1st, though? Feels to me especially like a sit-tight-and-let-the-draft-come-to-you kinda year. I know some fans fear a repeat of KC jumping in front of us for McDuffie, but I think BOTH teams should just chill and pluck the awesome talent that falls to them. We assume both teams want a WR early. But I could easily see KC going OL or CB in the 1st. The Bills could also look at a DT, CB, or S. Fun to consider the permutations.
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I'm guessing 32/32 NFL defensive coordinators want to stop the run so effectively that opposing offenses are forced to become one-dimensional, pass-only attacks.
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One more for tonight, again trading out of the 1st round. Trading every single pick, in fact, and ending up with roughly 5 top-100 prospects when initially we only had a look at 2. I don't know about the Miami OG, but otherwise these are guys who can play football at the next level. Mitchell at 36 is a dream. And I'll bet Beane really likes Kneeland, even if DE isn't a huge need in his eyes (probably isn't with 3 guys making money already).
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Skipped over Coleman, Mitchell, Worthy, plus Newton and DeJean at 28 in favor of a trade-back for two 2nd rounders. Just to see. And to be honest, I really like the results. 12 dudes won't make the 53, but this draft beefs up several pipelines (WR, RB, DT, S) and adds solid depth at IOL, CB, and DE.
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So then we did NOT learn a lot from the Sammy Watkins episode? I'm confused.
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Diggs cryptic comments - 2024 edition
Richard Noggin replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Reasonable. -
Diggs cryptic comments - 2024 edition
Richard Noggin replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
This 3-post progression lays out the fundamental distinction between assessing offseason roster/depth chart needs versus bigger picture impact players. Those who want the Bills to draft an alpha WR NOW, no matter what, aren't hoping to replace Davis' role from last year to plug that new "hole." They're hoping to IMPROVE upon what the Bills had last year. They're hoping to take advantage of a legendary WR draft class, where even at 28, need most likely meets value at an impact position. JA17 has never had a top WR with elite traits. He's had Foster, Jones, Brown, Beasley, Diggs, Sanders, and Davis. Gotta add a blue chip boundary beast to take another step forward. Those who don't see an urgent need to upgrade at WR are satisfied with what we've seen from the Bills offense when it matters most. But how have the WRs performed in our playoff losses, minus 13 seconds? How has Diggs performed, specifically? -
Armstead feels like an overpay to me, whereas with Davis I really wonder if he could thrive in a simplified scheme. Those explosive, downfield posts and nines and digs and crossers against man pressure packages were memorable. That Tampa game last year stands out as an intriguing anomaly, with Gabe being featured underneath with quick-hitting, pre-defined routes. For whatever reasons, however, Davis and Allen continuously struggled to get on the same page in their option-heavy E-P passing schemes. And Gabe also dealt with some serious yips catching the ball. Curious to see how it goes for him with Jax.
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I know he's not generating a lot of mainstream buzz, due to poor 40 and limited college production...but I have a feeling Coleman could be a dude. That combine gauntlet performance, recording the top speed, might be a super interesting example of elite play speed versus bad testing speed. Many online are pointing to Puka Nacua's top gauntlet speed last year as a compelling parallel. (Coleman was a little faster ftr, and he's taller. He also ran 2nd fastest go route during drills -- but admittedly this metric is less controlled.) I've often argued against Coleman's NFL projection based on generally poor translations of his recent college contested catch rate peers like Arcega-Whiteside, Quentin Johnson, N'Keal Harry, Mims, Marshall, etc. The question then becomes: was the prospect his QB's go-to guy and just gifted at high-pointing the ball and hauling it in under duress, or was he bad at creating separation? My thinking is shifting to either Coleman or Mitchell at 28 IF they're even still available. Beane strikes me as a Worthy guy at 28 IF he's even available. That presents us with three legitimate prospects (of which at least one should still be available) to consider at 28 without sacrificing capital to move up. Does anyone think all 7 will be gone by then? Edit: turns out Coleman also returned punts?
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Having fun exploring what happens if the Bills DON'T obsess about WR early and instead go BPA. This draft would upset so many Bills fans, but wow what an immediate transformation of the d-line and secondary: