BillytheKid

Chris Simms said that he already talked to a lot of GM’s and almost all of them said Allen is their number 1 choice. So I guess we can take that for whatever it’s worth.

I can see some of your points and won’t push back too much on them. I will say the receiver they brought in, isn’t anything special. Is he better than what has been on the roster the last two years? Yes, but that isn’t saying much. I don’t think as highly of DJ Moore as a lot of people do. I don’t think he is some major game changer. He isn’t bad by any means. He will help to an extent, most likely anyways, nothing is a given for sure, but I don’t see it as some huge move that will make the offense go from averaging 28 - 30 points per game up to over 35 points per game. If it does then great but I don’t see it really. Defense is going to have to be the biggest improvement.

This isn’t the best way of doing these stats. I already did all of this a couple of months ago and posted it. This needs to go by games played, not by years. Mahomes only played one game his rookie year. So essentially, Mahomes and Allen have played the exact same amount of years. While Allen is obviously great , he ranks 2nd in all of those stats after Mahomes who is number one in all of them except for TD’s. I used 143 games including both regular season and playoffs since Allen has played a total of 143 games, then compared Allen to what many consider the other top 9 or 10 QB’s of all time after their first 143 games. Mahomes was first in almost every category. Allen was second in most. Mahomes has like 5,000 more yards than Allen does in the same amount of games. While I love Allen, it’s disingenuous to do it the way lots of people do these stats, like this guy did and use years instead of actual games played.

I wonder if McDermott controlled Brady more so than he did Daboll and Dorsey? Starting in 2020, Allen’s 3rd year when he had his breakout season these are his averages under Daboll, then Dorsey, then Brady. Why do his numbers drop so much under Brady? Was it because McDermott controlled what Brady could do more so than the other two or some other reason? Or do you think Brady was doing it on his own? From the Sounds of it, seems like Brady wants to throw more this year than anytime during Allen’s career but who knows. These are only Regular Season Stats: Brian Daboll (2020–2021) Total Yards: 307.5 yards per game Passing Yards: 271.2 yards per game Ken Dorsey (2022–Mid-2023) Total Yards: 312.3 yards per game Passing Yards: 268.0 yards per game Joe Brady (Mid-2023–2025) Total Yards: 250.3 yards per game Passing Yards: 217.6 yards per game As you can see his numbers drop drastically under Brady.

If you live in New York though you end up keeping only half of your salary after all of the taxes between the state, federal government and league taxes you have to pay. It’s still a lot of money but you only keep 20 Million or 30 million. Thats like with Allen and these other QB’s making a lot of money, Allen isn’t really making 55 Million per year or whatever it is, I figured it out, that after all of his taxes and everything he is only keeping about 25 million each year. Obviously still great money but makes sense why some of these guys like a James Cook last year and other players want to get a bigger contract because after taxes are taken out they aren’t keeping anywhere close to what their actual Salary is.

I’ve seen this happen many times in pro sports where you get lots of guys together making it look like there is no way they won’t win it all and they never do. I’ve seen it happen in the NFL a few times over the years and the teams never win it when everyone thinks they will. Rams will probably end up being worse than everyone thinks.

I saw a post today that was showing from 2017 to 2025 draft picks with the most passing TD’s, Rushing and Receiving TD’s and most passing yards in each class and I think most rushing yards. 2018 Allen most passing yards, most passing TD’s and Allen also has the most Rushing/Receiving TD’s of that class ahead of Saquon Barkley and it’s not even close in rushing TD’s. Allen has 24 more rushing TD’s than Barkley.

1. Jordan Bulls 90’s/ Allen Bills Now 2. 1987-88 Wyoming Cowboys basketball (I’m from Wyoming. Fennis Dembo/Eric Leckner Era, only old heads will know those names) 3. Washington Redskins under Joe Gibbs (they were my favorite NFL team until Allen came to the Bills) 4. Los Angeles Angels 2002 team. Being originally from Wyoming with no pro teams I picked teams at a very young age from players I liked and stuck with them. MLB- Angels fan (they have sucked forever now) NBA- Bulls fan NFL - Bills fan now College- Wyoming. Even though now I don’t care as much cause CFB only matters for the big schools.

If you look at that leaked schedule for weeks one and two, all of the games released so far actually match up with the teams playing each other. The only difference is what day or time the teams playing each other.

I agree with what you are saying. While I understand why a lot of people do this for comparisons and content and it’s fun to do, the reality is no one knows how tough the schedule will be from year to year because so many moves are made each off season, so you can’t go by the previous years and how good the teams were.

They might have Buffalo open up against the Jets since it is a closer game and also not as hot and humid. I would think they want the Bills to be as ready as possible for that home opener on Thursday night. You could definitely be correct, I was just thinking if they want the Bills to look as good as possible for opening up the new stadium against a good opponent, sending them to Miami in the hot humid heat on a short week might not look as good from a scheduling standpoint as playing the Jets. What do I know though… 🤷‍♂️

This is based on the first 143 games they started and played. So your whole scenario is wrong. Has nothing to do with “years” in the league. I always go by games played. It’s the only accurate way to do it. If you go by years then lots of guys didn’t play a rookie year and many other inconsistencies.

I usually stay off twitter or X because it’s so toxic but happen to reply to something on there the other day, to a Baltimore fan and was telling them how Allen destroys Lamar in Per game stats. He of course tried to move the goal posts and say that Allen should have more yards because he plays in the AFC East, told me to compare their stats vs teams that are .500 or better, so I did.

Agree he needs to win a Super Bowl but again just wanted to compare raw stats against the other top QB’s of all time at the same points in their career. On the one I did that has an ERA adjustment it actually moves Marino up to number 2 all time after Mahomes and Allen slides back to 3 after strictly the 143 games. Looks like I got it to Load. This is ERA adjusted. Again not sure what Gemini used to adjust for ERA. Said something about inflation like what something costs today vs in 1990 or something of that nature. Guess I should have saved it.

I couldn’t get the adjusted ERA graph to load but Elway was still towards the bottom. I watched Elway play, I grew up in Wyoming, we got the Broncos games every Sunday, with that said Elway wasn’t as good as Allen. When you are comparing greats someone has to be towards the bottom. Not everyone can be at the top. These are what people consider to be the top 9 QB’s of all time in most lists compared to Allen after 143 games. So not all of them will be at the top when it’s the top 9 guys.