billsfan89

I like Williams as an effective solid starter. I think he’s gonna be in a good position to polish up his game after a year of tape and an offseason to adjust while also not being counted on to start right away with Milano in there right away. Kincaid I think will have a nice bounce back if healthy. So I’m a bit higher on that 2023 class.

He’s a nice producer but I think the Bills even if they wanted him (which they likely don’t) probably couldn’t secure him given that he’s probably gonna find an opportunity to start somewhere and the Bills simply can’t offer that open opportunity

2023 had two players come in and “plug and play” on offense while Dorian Williams has started and looks to be a nice find. It’s not a “home run” draft class but if Kincaid rebounds from a disappointing second season and Williams solidifies himself as a solid starter that’s gonna be a good draft class. Especially since the team didn’t have many picks in the draft class and used two selections to move down and pick up two 6th round picks in the 2024 draft. If a draft produces two starters that’s not bad that’s probably an average class but if you can produce three starters on limited picks while that’s not a home run like the 2022 class that’s a very nice draft class that will help sustain winning.

Not the full episode just clips

I use my brothers HBO max subscription so it’s gonna be a watch for me. Not sure if I would pay a month for Max just to watch this but there are a lot of other good shows on Max to check out (The Rehearsal Season 2) so it’s not like you could only be paying for Hard Knocks I always wonder who is going to be the weird under the radar guy each season. Looking at the Bills roster I have no clue?

I would imagine that this gets ironed out in the new CBA or they even work on a better slotting system before the next CBA. I think the point of a slotting system was to avoid holdouts so if this is causing this much disruption there will be action taken on it

I think the rookie template needs to be very "plug and play" or else what is the point of it?

I honestly think Burrow is asking out at best after next season. I can't see him wanting to be that deep into his 30's and putting up with a consistently bad offensive line, cheap ownership, and a terrible defense. The Bengals ownership just can't afford to have a QB on a big contract and have the other money needed to keep up at least a solid team around him. They won't fire coaching as evidenced by how long Marvin Lewis hung around, they don't spend on the little things, and just handicap themselves too much.

Sanders is a key piece that the team likely hope can plug into the D-line rotation. I think the NFL needs to adjust the slotting system again because the whole point of "slotting" contracts was to avoid the hold outs that plagued first round picks prior to the slotting system. Now we have almost an entire round sitting out because the slotting system doesn't account for percentage of contracts guaranteed? This isn't just on the teams that gave their second round pick 100% guarantees this is on the CBA for keeping this open.

Seems like he will be back in a week or two not a big deal…

The Bills 2004 defense and special teams combined with some hodge podge of the best offensive players (Jason Peters at LT, Lee Evan, Fred Jackson/Lynch, etc) from the drought era would probably at best make for a team that in their era could probably win 11-13 regular season games and with some luck get to the AFCCG. That's how terrible this organization was. The 2004 defense was a top 3 unit in the NFL and the best offensive talent from a 16 year period could probably put together an above average to good unit. I would genuinely take this years team over the drought all stars it was that bad.

I think the progression candidates are likely the 2023/24 draft classes. I think a bounce back from Kincaid and further progression from D.Wiliams and Torrence are likely. Then the 2024 class is just ripe for guys to breakout of limited roles or build on top of their rookie seasons. The regression candidates are likely the veteran guys. Knox, Milano, Dawkins, Taron, even Rapp and some other younger vets are the guys you think could regress. Obviously guys go up and down every year but the Bills season is likely going to be determined by the progression of the previous two draft classes.

I hope Marv makes it Betty White and Bob Barker just missed the 100 mark.

I am always glad to hear someone you really like on the field is a good person off the field. It's not a necessity. Being a pro-athlete is a job like any other so them being a good person off of it is not a necessity.

Kincaid got 73 catches when healthy his rookie year and Knox was there as was massive target hog Diggs and Gabe Davis was getting his share too. I think 70+ is a reasonable possibility if Kincaid is healthy. For Keon I think if he’s healthy 50 is a reasonable projection. i think if both guys are mostly healthy it’s over for me. But two players staying mostly healthy in a season isn’t a sure thing at all

Bosa was able to get 5 sacks in each of the past 2 seasons. So I think it’s a fair projection to at least think he can do that. I’m also hoping that the Bills plan to keep Bosa on a reduced snap count in the regular season to keep him healthy. Last two season he averaged about 40 snaps per game with the Chargers which was about 56% of their defensive snaps. The Bills top two DE’s snaps wise per game were AJE at 36 and Groot at 46. If the Bills can get Bosa to play about 30-33 snaps a game that could possibly reduce his risk of injury by 20% or more. My take on Bosa is can he give the Bills 10-12 games? 5-7 sacks in those 10-12 games would allow the Bills to get their young players and Hoecht up to speed as the season goes and have a front line guy produce.

This one is tough. Because that’s 60 a piece to hit the over. I think if Kincaid is healthy he should hit 60-70 catches with upside for more. In his rookie year Kincaid despite Diggs having a ton of targets managed 73 catches in 16 games. So if he’s healthy in 2025 60-70 is very doable with upside to get past 80. Keon only had 29 catches last year but did miss a few games. If he’s healthy and improving upon a decent but uneven rookie season I think 50 if healthy is a stable target but he has upside to hit 60+. Both guys are young and not coming off serious injuries. If they can play 15 games a pop I think they hit it. I will take the over but very reluctantly

I think they would rather IR him than try to sneak him on the PS. I think he flashed a little last year and he was a mid round pick who’s not looked completely lost out there. He’s also a more bend driven pass rusher which this team doesn’t have a lot of the coaching staff may like the diversity. Kingsley Jonathan hung around from mid 2022 through camp in 2024 and I think Solomon is a much better prospect and one that was drafted by this team.

Groot-9 Bosa-6 AJE-6 Solomon-2 Jackson-1.5 Total 24.5 I think ideally you want Groot at 10/11, Bosa to get 7-8 and Solomon or Jackson to have 3-4. I think Hoecht should also push 3-5.

Miami and the Jets are a collective of talent as opposed to a cohesive team. The Bills in addition to Josh Allen also have a cohesive team concept that while infuriating at times does make sense and leads to wins

Not only was the defensive line massively improved I would also say at corner there was significant investment.

Didn’t this come out right after the draft and it was cleared? I could be mistaken?

PFF has been gushing about the Bills defensive acquisitions. They really liked the Hoecht acquisition and think Bosa even if he just gives the Bills 10-12 games those games will be a big positive. They also think the draft depth and Larry O acquisition make the defensive line fairly deep.

He’s likely gonna be a niche role player but they have Gilliam as a good blocking fullback so I don’t think they will use Hawes as a fullback. I would be interested to see if they flex Knox into the backfield sometimes. Knox isn’t as good a blocker as Gilliam would be out the backfield but Knox is a solid blocker and a much better receiver than Hawes likely is at this point.

He never had a big contract with the Ravens so he took the money in a business decision. Can’t blame him as that was his only big bite at the apple. He still was a good player with the Jets even made an All Pro in 2022 with them.