billsfan89

I don't see LB they signed Klein to play OLB in 7 front sets and they have Edumonds and Milano there in the nickel. I get that they might want a replacement for Milano if they feel his price for an extension is too high BUT I think that the front office is in win now mode and they would probably want a player who would have more of an impact in 2020 than a backup LB. I think the pick will be between a DE, RB, or CB. All three positions are needs and I think a good player at that position will fall to the Bills at pick 54.

Not a big fan of Jefferson or any of the other WR's taken at pick 22 or after. I would have probably preferred the team trade up to 16 to take a WR there. So given what was available trading for Diggs was probably the best option esp for a short term immediate impact. Grab a WR in round 3 to get someone behind Brown and Beasley and add some depth. Deep WR class no need to get one at pick 54.

I would assume the schedule would be tougher as the 2019 schedule was really soft. But my main point is that the NFL is super volatile and often times things go very unpredictably that stating the difficulty of a schedule can be hard. I do remember a lot of people going into 2019 really were concerned about the schedule particularly the back half of the schedule. In the division I would say that the Pats got worse and the Jets and Fins got better. The rest of the schedule is just to hard to shake out.

It's all relative to value but I would also like to point out that this is a deep WR class and RB's could be found in round 4. If a good value is there at DE or CB I would rather take that and then draft a WR in round 3.

Follow the drafting patterns of the best teams in the league and you typically see that pattern of first round picks being spent along the lines and at QB. That's the proper way to build a team.

Diggs is one of the top 10 WR's in the game and at worst just barely outside that range. That's not exactly an easy type of player to find and he helps the Bills tremendously.

Most good teams tend to spend their first round picks on O-line, QB, and D-line. QB play determine the outcome of 90% of NFL games and how you protect your QB and how you attack and pressure the opponents QB is usually what it comes down to.

Camp body it seems like. Never hate an O-line signing.

The Pats always seem to find a decent kicker but that aside they still had a very good ST unit without a consistent kicker. Their defense should still be top 10 in the league as well. But I do agree I think that their offense might be one of the worst in the league. They have no QB and not the best weapons. Although I think their stable of RB's and their O-line (if they keep Tuney) is solid their flaws will not be drastically improved via the draft most likely. Overall I think the Pats aren't worth writing off just yet. They are exceptionally well coached which is a huge advantage, they still have a decent amount of talent and a good complement of draft picks to work with. I think Billy B can get 7 wins out of a team that normally would win 3 or 4.

They went 11-5 without Brady, granted that was ages ago but we will see just how much was Brady and how much was the Pats system/design. I wouldn't count them out just yet, top ST unit, still a strong top 10 defense, and pieces on offense to work with.

Sounds like a typical "buy low" Pats move. The past few haven't worked out too well (Josh Gordon and AB in particular) but these moves typically work out for the Pats.

Maybe this is because I didn't notice him much (thus being a perception bias) but I didn't think he was anything special last year in the limited playing time he got.

Neither have really been much of a contributor thus far. I was talking about a guy drafted in the 6th or 7th that has played a key role or started significantly. Sweeney was a backup who flashed some potential but not exactly someone you can't find rather easily. I hope I am wrong about both as I think they have some potential but neither 6th or 7th round picks from 2017 or 2018 have come through that much.

In the previous 3 drafts I can't think of any 6th or 7th round picks that were significant contributors. Milano was a 5th round pick and T.Johnson was a 4th round pick. Those two are the only ones I can think of past round 3. So it isn't like this front office nails those late round gems often enough where you have to value those late round picks like gold.

If Yannick got 18-20 he would be making 3-5 million less than Mack but your point stands that it is pretty marginal the difference. If they traded pick 19 for Yannick that would remind me of the Randy Moss trade from Minny to Oakland. The Vikings got Napoleon Harris a good linebacker and the 7th pick in the draft (I think they might have also gotten a later round pick thrown in there) for Moss and they spent the 7th pick on a WR who was a reach and a bust. I get that Moss leaving left a huge hole on the roster but you could try and fill that hole using other resources and then built up other parts of the roster with that 7th pick. Instead they chased the vapors of Moss by somewhat reaching on Williamson when they could have taken a good defensive piece (either one of the corners taken after who both ended up being good or DeMarcus Ware if they wanted a pass rusher) and set up their team for success by building a much stronger defense.

The Raiders also got cap relief by not having to pay Mack a huge contract so not only did you get the two first round picks but you also don't have a 23 million dollar aav contract on your books. Now I do agree that you have to take those picks and that space and either replace the player and add other picks or you have to actually use those picks to build other avenues of the roster and replace those players some other way. Right now the Raiders are chasing ghosts with that pick and space. I think if they do manage to land Yannick without giving up either of their first round picks and the contract isn't too bad then they at least have a prime time pass rusher with a young guy opposite him and they would still have the two firsts there to build the roster in other avenues.

I would say that trading down tends to be the best move (unless it is for a QB and even then it has to be the right QB) as the draft is a crap shoot and getting more tickets in this game is usually better. However trading up isn't bad if you are a GM that trusts your scouting and knows the draft board/league analysis well. I would rather trade a 6th round pick to move up 7-10 spots in round 4 to secure a better player than to just always take picks that might never amount to anyone of consequence.

Ferrel is too early to tell he wasn't lighting the world on fire but he did show some flashes (4.5 sacks is not tragic for a rookie) DE's take some time to develop so I wouldn't call that pick a miss just yet. But I would agree that if they are giving up pick 19 for Yannick that squanders a big part of what they got for Mack. Yannick is a very good player but I am not giving up a 1st and a 18-20 million dollar a year contract for a very good player. The Raiders would be generous to offer their two 3rd round picks for Yannick and the Jags should be happy to get that haul.

The Bills will defer any Tre extension until next off-season, I think he will get his but given they have the 5th year option they get to delay the inevitable cap hit. They need to focus on resigning Dawkins and Milano.

No, Yannick comes with having to pay him 20 million aav and a large guarantee. As good as he is I am not giving up an entire draft class worth of picks for him and a disgruntled RB who is good at best. Now if we are talking about giving up pick 86 and another late round pick I would be interested in entertaining the possibility of securing a top flight DE and a power RB while still having pick 54 to just add a talented young player at any position while still having some mid to late round picks to add some depth around the edges. But honestly looking at the cap situation long term I don't want Yannick clogging up the cap at 18-20 million aav. Yes he is a good player and will be 26, I get that it isn't the worst investment to make and it helps the team vault into contention in 2020. However I could easily see Yannick's contract becoming a burden long term. McBeane prioritizes flexibility and timing in the cap. Right now with Dawkins and Milano needing extension and Tre coming up the year after adding a big DE contract might not be the most prudent let alone adding a big DE contract at the expense of draft capital. I would rather just draft a DE at pick 54 if one is there and stick with adding some younger players. If anything this team's "win now" move should be to sign Clowney to a one year deal. Clowney as a one year mercenary would greatly help the edge rush and we would get the best out of him as he would still be seeking that big pay day.

Not at all, you don't reach for need. However you can't just draft for value (would you take 5 RB's if they all happened to be the BPA?) You need a combination of need and value. Basically my philosophy is that you take the best player available if they are an insane value or you take the best player at a position of need or where you need to get younger. My issue with drafting a RB in round 2 is that RB's are a dime a dozen. A lot of effective running backs can be found in the mid rounds. So my take is that if you are going to take a RB at pick 54 you better be getting a guy who will be a top 5-7 player because you probably can get a decent back in round 4 or 5. So yes you do have to factor in draft value, value of the position, and need when drafting. All three factors are important. Right now positional value at RB is very low which means that despite it being a need on the roster the value of the draft pick has to be there in order to justify spending your biggest draft asset on that position.

The only way I could see it happening is if after the draft they don't get a RB they like and don't want to reach. Then you turn to the trade and free agency market. Even then I think they would take Carlos Hyde or another free agent back instead of trading a 6th or 7th away for Fournette.

Nope, unless insane value slips (Like Tua is there at pick 54 or something really out there) or this is a late round project QB should be at the bottom of the draft board.

I would love him as a one year rental over Kroft. I wouldn't mind trading a 5th round pick or a marginal roster player for him. I wouldn't break the bank for Howard but if I can solidify the pass catching TE position and add depth over a guy in Kroft who struggles to stay on the field then I say it is worth the draft investment. I wouldn't keep Howard long term but one year and get a comp pick for him I am sold. This team must really like what Knox can bring and thinks Kroft can stay healthy if they plan to make zero moves at the TE position. I like what Knox can bring but I think he is a year away from being consistent and I don't think Kroft can stay healthy. Give me a better player at the position on a one year rental if the cost is reasonable.

Henry and Cubb were second round picks that's why I started that those blue chip RB's are the types of prospects you want at pick 54. If you can get a really good prospect at pick 54 then take them. But there are other positions you need to take ahead of a RB so the only way you justify an RB is if they are that dam good.