I agree with this one 100%. The game’s not that hard. People tend to over complicate it.
This is a falsehood that was perpetuated by statisticians, many of whom probably never played a sport in their lives. All you need to do is look at the Comeback game, last year’s Super Bowl or heck even yesterday’s Tennessee - Chiefs game to see how much momentum can impact a game. Players are men, not machines, and it’s a very emotional game. Swings in emotion have a large impact.